The think tank Katehon commenting on and reproducing a post from the TG channel Незыгар.
There were 12 in the first group, 10 in the next and 10 in the last. What do readers from Russia think of such a division? Is it reasonable, exaggerated, are some people misplaced or missing, or should one abstain from speculating?.THE THREE POLES OF RUSSIAN ELITES
On May 11, an article appeared on the Nezygar telegram channel claiming that during the 15 months of the Special Military Operation, Russian elites had formed 'three main groups united by corporate and personal economic interests': the 'Peace Party' or 'Capitulators', 'Neutral' or 'Undecided' and 'Victory Party' or 'Hawks'. And if readers may have questions about the personal content of the lists of 'parties', then the very division of this kind seems to be very justified.
The main criterion for belonging to a particular group is the willingness and desire to support the Special Military Operation and the presence or absence of assets, interests and connections in the West. The latter ensures the presence or absence of dual loyalty (to Russia and the West).
This analysis is as general as possible. However, it allows us to understand some features of the course of the Special Military Operation. The influence of certain groups can explain the contradictory actions and statements of the Russian authorities, the policies of individual media, the positions of certain institutions, as well as internal institutional contradictions. Earlier, the philosopher and geopolitician Alexander Dugin proposed a similar division: 'the party of the immediate defeat of Russia, the party of the delayed defeat of Russia, the party of Victory.' Over the past 15 months, the concepts of 'peace party' (or 'defeat party' and 'victory party') have become consensual among journalists and political scientists, pollinating intra-elite positions on the NWO issue.
'Capitulators'
Thus, the actions of the party of 'capitulators', according to the author of 'Nezygar', include 'strange movements of troops as a result of negotiations, problems with logistics and supplies, as well as tough open and tacit opposition to attempts to introduce mobilization elements in the economy.' We are talking about liberals and comprador oligarchy. This group has serious assets in the West (as well as in Ukraine), which means that Western countries have every opportunity to put pressure on this group. It is logical that it is supported by both foreign institutions and foreign media. In addition, since the 1990s, these people have serious connections within government agencies.
According to Nezygar, the group of 'capitulators' includes:
1. Roman Abramovich is an oligarch from the 1990s, a citizen of Russia, Great Britain, Portugal and Israel. He was seen at the talks in Istanbul last year. He presented the foreign mercenaries released through his mediation with 'iPhones'.
2. Vladimir Potanin is the owner of Norilsk Nickel. He stated that he 'considers it a bad idea to confiscate and nationalize the assets of foreign companies in Russia in response to similar actions of the West against our assets.' He was not seen in support of the NWO.
3. Vladimir Medinsky - former Minister of Culture of Russia. He headed the Russian delegation at the talks in Istanbul in March 2022.
4. Yuri Borisov - Director General of Roscosmos, formerly Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian government, who oversaw the military-industrial complex before the start of the NWO.
5. Viktor Vekselberg is a citizen of Cyprus, Chairman of the Board of Directors of the Renova Group of Companies. According to the head of the Ukrainian Agency for the Prevention of Corruption, Oleksandr Novikov, he may be interested in obtaining Ukrainian citizenship.
6. Viatcheslav Kantor is a citizen of Russia, Cyprus and Israel living in London. He owns a multibillion-dollar business for the production of mineral fertilizers. He denied claims of attempts to obtain Ukrainian citizenship. The spouse has Ukrainian citizenship.
7. Alexander Voloshin is the former head of the Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation, a key figure in the so-called 'family' - an oligarchic group formed around the relatives of the first President of Russia Boris Yeltsin Patron of systemic liberals.
8. Mikhail Fridman is a citizen of Russia and Israel living in London. Co-owner of Alfa Group. He refrained from supporting the NWO. Friedman's son considers himself a 'Ukrainian'. According to Western media, he offered to transfer money to 'help' Ukraine. Financed by the banned FBK Navalny.
9. Vladimir Lisin is the owner of the Novolipetsk Metallurgical Plant. The richest man in Russia according to Forbes in 2022. He opposed the de-dollarization of foreign trade. It avoided inclusion in EU sanctions under the patronage of the leadership of a number of European countries.
10. Vagit Alekperov is the largest shareholder of Lukoil and the head of the company until 2022. After the start of the NWO, he left Russia. According to former Bulgarian Minister Asen Vasiliev, fuel from the Lukoil Oil Burgas plant was secretly supplied to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Lukoil itself denies these statements.
11. Arkady Volozh is a Russian, Maltese and Israeli citizen, co-founder of Yandex.
12. Alexey Mordashov is the owner of Severstal. In 2022, he was one of the first to call for an end to the 'NWO' and stated that he had nothing to do with it, and therefore could not be the object of sanctions.
This group has the greatest economic resources since the 1990s. Its clientele is almost the entire Russian 'creative' intelligentsia and a significant part of the media. To this should be added powerful bureaucratic ties. These are those who, according to the head of the Wagner PMC, Yevgeny Prigozhin, constitute the 'deep state' as 'a community of near-state elites acting independently of the political leadership of the state and having close ties and their own agenda. These elites work for different masters: some for the existing government, some for those who have been on the run for a long time, but, thanks to their connections, after the flight of the elder, they remain in their places. 'At meetings, they are silent, expressing their doubts. And when making decisions on bureaucratic procedures, certain actions aimed at winning this war are inhibited. In such optics, the 'shell hunger', for example, in the same PMC 'Wagner', can also be explained by the hidden opposition of this group.
'Undecided'
'The personalities of this group either avoid direct assessments of the NWO and the hybrid aggression of the West, or support the 'figure of silence' in the public space,' the author of Nezygar claims. Many personalities from this group are closely associated with the Capitulatory Party, but are afraid to openly express their positions.
According to Nezygar, the group of 'Undecided' includes:
1. Elvira Nabiullina - Chairman of the Central Bank of Russia. Thanks to its policy, the multibillion-dollar gold and foreign exchange reserves of the Central Bank were blocked in the West.
2. Anton Siluanov - Minister of Finance of Russia. With the connivance of the Ministry of Finance in 2022, there was a record outflow of capital from the country.
3. Alexei Kudrin is a former Minister of Finance and head of the Accounts Chamber, now an adviser on corporate development at Yandex.
4. Maksut Shadaev - Minister of Digital Development, Mass Media and Communications of Russia.
5. Igor Shuvalov - former First Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian government, chairman of the state development corporation VEB.RF.
6. Sergei Naryshkin - Director of the Foreign Intelligence Service of the Russian Federation.
7. Andrey Kostin - President and Chairman of the Management Board of VTB. At the height of the NWO, he proposed privatizing the remaining state-owned enterprises to increase the budget.
8. Dmitry Kozak - Deputy Chief of Staff of the Presidential Administration of Russia. Previously, he supervised negotiations in the Normandy format (Russia, Ukraine, France and Germany).
9. Olga Lyubimova - Minister of Culture of Russia.
10. Konstantin Ernst - General Director of Channel One JSC.
The author of Nezygar believes that the silence of a number of representatives of the second group about the NWO is due to 'the need to preserve lobbying opportunities in the interests of the' party of peace ', without drawing attention to their political preferences.' This group still hopes for the restoration of pre-conflict relations with the West, the preservation of the old pre-mobilization paradigms in culture and the media. A typical example is the undisputed position of the 'frightened patriot' Ivan Urgant - at the same time the 'face' of Alfa-Bank, which threatens to return to Russian TV.
'Victory Party' or 'Hawks'
Representatives of the power, intellectual and business elites who fully associate themselves and their future with the future of the country and the victorious outcome of the NWO. These are those who invest as much as possible in Victory at all levels.
According to Nezygar, representatives of the Victory Party include:
1. Nikolai Patrushev - Secretary of the Security Council of Russia.
2. Vyacheslav Volodin - Chairman of the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of Russia.
3. Sergey Kiriyenko - First Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation.
4. Dmitry Rogozin is the former general director of Roscosmos, the head of the Tsar's Wolves group of military advisers in the Donbass.
5. Ramzan Kadyrov is the head of the Chechen Republic.
6. Yevgeny Prigozhin is the founder and head of the Wagner PMC.
7. Konstantin Malofeev - Deputy Chairman of the World Russian People's Council, Chairman of the Tsargrad Society. He is actively involved in providing assistance to Russian volunteers in the Donbass. He was the object of a failed assassination attempt by the Ukrainian special services.
8. Dmitry Mazepin is the former owner and CEO of the United Chemical Company Uralchem.
9. Igor Altushkin - co-owner of the Russian Copper Company (RCC). Earlier, the RCC denied statements about sponsoring the Ural volunteer battalion.
10. Alexander Dugin is a philosopher, the founder of the neo-Eurasian school of geopolitics, whose daughter, Daria, died as a result of an assassination attempt by the Ukrainian special services.
According to the author of Nezygar, despite the support of nationally-oriented entrepreneurs and the strengthening of positions within state structures during the NWO, this group is still weaker than the first two. This is due to both 'incomparably weaker financial and economic potential' and inconsistency of actions and subjective personal contradictions. As a result, this group does not act as a whole, does not have a single ideological program. In general, despite possible questions about the composition of the group (as well as the rest), this assessment sounds fair. The patriotic part of the Russian elite needs to be united.
Nezygar's analysis, and above all its key conclusions, need close attention. The future of the NWO depends largely on coordination and synergy within elite groups, each of which has its own vision of the future of Russia: direct defeat and Western occupation, an 'agreement' with the gradual abandonment of new territories and reintegration into the Western system, or the formation of a special sovereign and self-sufficient pole of a multipolar world.
