Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

Keep in mind while you read the next, that 2024 was relatively calmer than 2025 in the official records.

ENCwmgidPaHXmDBLRs73sk-650-80.jpg.webp

Sunspot AR 13364 grew to be up to 15 times wider than Earth and unleashed nearly 1,000 different solar flares in its three-month lifespan, including this X-class flare on May. 15, 2024, shortly before it rotated onto the sun's far side from our planet for the first time. (Image credit: Main: NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams/helioviewer.org; Inset: NASA/SDO/SpaceWeatherLive.com; with annotations by Harry Baker)

Giant sunspot that triggered recent solar 'superstorm' shot out nearly 1,000 flares and a secret X-rated explosion, record-breaking study reveals

A record-breaking study into a giant sunspot that triggered Earth's biggest geomagnetic storm in more than two decades has revealed surprising new details about the explosive dark patch. The monster sunspot unleashed almost 1,000 solar flares in just over three months, and may have discreetly birthed the most powerful outburst of the current solar cycle.

Back in April 2024, astronomers spotted a growing group of sunspots on the solar surface. This new active region (AR), dubbed AR 13664, quickly swelled in size, eventually reaching a diameter 15 times wider than Earth by early May. It then quickly unleashed a barrage of X-class solar flares — the most powerful type of solar explosion — that fired a series of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) toward Earth, which successively slammed into our planet's magnetic field.

This triggered a G5-level ("extreme") geomagnetic storm between May 10 and May 13, which was the most powerful of its kind since 2003 and painted widespread auroras around the globe.

But the giant sunspot's journey didn't end there. Like other massive sunspots, AR 13664 was able to survive several trips around the sun, which enabled researchers to keep tabs on it for longer than usual — and it put on quite the show. (Sunspots only remain visible on the sun's Earth-facing hemisphere for up to two weeks at a time before rotating out of view, but they reappear if they survive the trip across our home star's far side.)

In a new study published Dec. 5 in the journal Astronomy & Astrophysics, researchers analyzed observations of AR 13664 spanning 94 consecutive days between April 16 and July 18, 2024, which equates to roughly 3.3 trips around the sun. Thanks to images captured by NASA's Solar Orbiter, which circles the sun, researchers were able to keep tabs on the sunspot as it rotated out of view.

"It’s a milestone in solar physics," study lead author Ioannis Kontogiannis, a solar physicist at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETH Zurich), said in a statement. "This is the longest continuous series of images ever created for a single active region."

In the paper, the team revealed that AR 13664 unleashed a total of 969 solar flares. This included 38 X-class flares and 146 M-class flares, which are also capable of impacting Earth's magnetic field. The rest were lower-level, including C-class and B-class flares, which pose no threat to our planet. Most of the biggest flares were directed away from Earth, which is why more geomagnetic storms did not occur.

The largest flare was a suspected X16.5 magnitude blast, which occurred on the sun's far side from Earth on May 20, 2024. That’s significantly more powerful than an X9 blast that occurred on Oct. 3, 2024, which is currently listed as the most powerful flare of the last 8 years. However, as AR 13664's blast was partially obscured by its location on the sun, researchers cannot officially declare a new record.

AR 13664's epic journey around the sun is a reminder of the immense power of our home star, especially during solar maximum — the most active phase of the sun's roughly 11-year solar cycle, when the number of sunspots and solar storms sharply rises.

We have likely just finished the most recent solar maximum, which started in early 2024, much earlier than scientists initially predicted it would. This peak phase was also much more active than previous maxima, with a 23-year peak in visible sunspots and a record number of X-class flares in 2024.

It looks like 2026 might genuinely humble them.
 
We already have a few records for 2026 💦

XRAS

photo_2026-01-13_08-54-12.jpg


Geomagnetic activity is growing this year, exceeding the previous record year.

The rate of formation of geomagnetic disturbances (Kp index = 4; yellow level) and storms (Kp = 5 and higher; red level) for the first 13 days of January exceeded the figures of the previous year, 2025, which, in turn, were the highest in the last 10-20 years (Лаборатория солнечной астрономии (XRAS) ).

Of the first 13 days of the year, 8 were colored yellow and red, that is, 62% (statistics here and below are given in Moscow time). In 2025, this figure was 169 out of 365 days, or 46%, which was already a record high since 2005. In addition, there have already been 3 days of magnetic storms since the beginning of the year (23%) compared to 69 out of 365 (18%) last year. It is incorrect to draw global conclusions and forecasts for the coming year based on the first 13 days, but at least the claim that the records of the previous year can be broken in the coming year has already been made.

The increase in the number of magnetic storms is observed against the background of a decrease in total solar activity, which is believed to have passed its peak in 2024 and is currently moving towards a minimum expected in 2029-2030. The main cause of magnetic storms is an exceptionally large number of coronal holes, which lead to disturbances in the solar wind, which in turn affects the Earth's magnetic field. There are no trends towards a decrease in this number yet. There are two medium-sized holes in the Sun right now (https://xras.ru/database/sun_images/2026/aia211/202601/20260113_063145_aia211.jpg ).

The current figures, however, are still lagging behind historical records. In the most active solar year of the current century, 2003, geomagnetic disturbances and storms were observed on 272 days out of 365, i.e. 72% of the time. Only 93 days were calm this year.
 
M3 flare from behind the east limb of the sun, meaning it was most likely much stronger.
This region is now facing us.

XRAS

Active region No. 4341, which was noted in the first two weeks of the year by two very strong explosions on the far side of the Sun, has moved to the side visible from Earth and will become the main source of news about the Sun in the coming days. At night, the second M-class flare of the year (level 4 on a 5-point scale, where X is the highest) was recorded in the region. The peak of radiation occurred at 23:33 Moscow time. The exact measured score was M1.62. The first M-class flare this year occurred here three days ago.

The active region is clearly operating in a mode of long pauses spent accumulating energy, which is then released in the form of separate powerful explosions. At the moment, major events, presumably of the highest X-level, occurred here on January 8 and 12. The word “presumably” is used because the explosions occurred beyond the edge of the Sun, and their energy could not be accurately measured. If we rely on the previous 4-day interval between major flares, the next one can be expected within 1-2 days, although there is no physical pattern behind this other than the magic of numbers. The night flare, despite being classified as M, is not objectively strong and can be characterized as average. Its impact on Earth is negligible.

At the moment, the active region has been assigned a Beta-Gamma classification in the catalogs, which is close to the peak “flare danger” level, but still not the maximum. It is expected that tomorrow or the day after tomorrow it will be assigned the highest level — Beta-Gamma-Delta.
 
Airplanes "lost" during the geomagnetic storm of May 2024. Well, not literally.


A new study published in Space Weather suggests that flying during an extreme geomagnetic storm may not be a great idea. During the superstorm of May 10-13, 2024, disturbances in Earth’s ionosphere disrupted GPS tracking systems for airplanes flying over Europe. Some planes briefly appeared hundreds of kilometers from their true locations.

tracks_strip.jpg


Researchers Erik Schmölter and Jens Berdermann of the German Aerospace Center analyzed more than 700 million ADS-B messages from 18,000 aircraft. ADS-B messages are short radio broadcasts sent by aircraft about once per second, reporting their GPS-derived positions. Air traffic controllers and nearby aircraft use them for real-time tracking. The superstorm caused significant position errors for days.

The problem was especially acute on May 11th when the sun hit Earth with an X5.8-class solar flare. Intense solar X-ray and radio emission caused direct interference with GPS signals on the sunlit side of Earth. As many as 53% of satellite-receiver links failed at latitudes south of ~50° N.


jumos_med.jpg



In the map, right, red dots mark the location of 169 aircraft during the X-flare. ADS-B messages reported that these aircraft abruptly "jumped" off course during the flare. In fact, they were still flying normally

Fortunately, there were no mishaps. Aviation safety is built on layers, and ADS-B is only one of them. Conventional radar surveillance remained available around airports, and pilots retained full control of their aircraft. In most cases, they could simply look out the window and see exactly where they were. Stronger and longer storms could cause more problems, though.

Confused? So were the GPS receivers. Read the original study here.​

From the study:
swe70008-fig-0002-m.jpg

Solar wind (a), interplanetary magnetic field (b) and geomagnetic activity (c) during the Mother's day storm 2024. The raw data of proton density (black) and speed (blue) in panel (a) as well as magnetic field magnitude (black) and z component (red) in panel (b) are shown with the transparent time series, while hourly maxima (, and ) and minima are shown with the opaque time series. The light blue shading indicates the storm period and the darker blue shading highlights the storm sudden commencements. The Kp index in panel (c) highlights the levels of geomagnetic activity.


swe70008-fig-0017-m.jpg

Flare indicator Total Electron Content (map) map (a), which is calculated with the modeled energy absorption during the solar flare and the pre-flare TEC, TEC gradient TEC map (b), rate of TEC index (ROTI) map (c) and disturbance ionosphere index-spatial gradient (DIX-SG) map (d). All maps describe the ionospheric state at the beginning of the solar flare 11 May 2024 at 11:15 UT.
 
Back
Top Bottom