Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 04_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2.8 event observed at 23:58 UTC from Region 3270 (S23W04)

SOLAR CYCLE UPDATE: March was another strong month for Solar Cycle 25. According to NOAA, the average sunspot number was among the highest of the past 10 years:

Originally, forecasters thought Solar Cycle 25 would be about the same as Solar Cycle 24, one of the weakest solar cycles in a century. March's sunspot numbers are the latest sign that Solar Cycle 25 will exceed predictions. In fact, Solar Cycle 25 has outperformed the official forecast for more than 24 months in a row.​

Solar Maximum is not expected until 2024 or 2025, so the solar cycle has plenty of time to strengthen, bringing more X-flares, geomagnetic storms and auroras. SpaceWeather.com​

There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3262, AR3264, AR3266, AR3269 and AR3270

The total number of sunspots has increased to 56 (18 of these are grouped into 5 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 65% chance for C flares, 15% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

AR3270 has grown in magnetic complexity and now features a field Beta-Gamma-Delta, a sunspot group with a beta-gamma magnetic configuration (Bipolar with irregularly distributed polarity) but contains one (or more) delta sunspots (opposite polarity within the same penumbra)

Delta sunspots indicate a higher probability of magnetic reconnection between sunspots of opposite polarity and, therefore, of strong solar flares. AR3270 could soon pose a threat for Earth-directed solar flares.



● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 542 km/s at 14:33 UTC on April 03 Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) threshold reached at 20:59

Aurora Oval. Bz: -2.58 nT South

● Current Conditions at 05:30 UTC on April 04

▪︎ Geospace active
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 4
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 492.3 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 10.06 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -0.8% Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 23:53 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 56 (SN 54 April 03)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 05_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2.1 event observed at 03:08 on April 04 from a unnumbered sunspot.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1643438210532384769

There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3264, AR3266, AR3270 and new region AR3271

AR3262, AR3269 are gome

A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SUNSPOT: New sunspot AR3270 has rapidly grown into a behemoth with two primary dark cores larger than Earth and an unstable delta-class magnetic field. The sunspot is inset in this magnetic map of the sun's surface from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:

The mixture of magnetic polarities shown in this map is what makes the sunspot dangerous. In the center of the spot, + and - bumping together might reconnect, causing strong explosions. NOAA forecasters say there is a 15% chance of M-class solar flares and a 5% chance of X-flares in the next 24 hours. Any eruptions will be geoeffective because the sunspot is directly facing Earth. SpaceWeather.com

UPDATE. AR3270 no longer has the beta-gamma-delta magnetic field. According to the latest NOAA update the magnetic complexity of the region is now Beta-Gamma a very complex bipolar sunspot where the polarities of the component spots cannot be distinguished. Even so, the region contains enough energy to produce M-class flares.

The total number of sunspots has decreased to 44 (15 of these are grouped into 4 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 65% chance for C flares, 15% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 554 km/s at 01:59 UTC on April 04. Maximum planetary index Kp 3.9

Aurora Oval. Bz: -2.7 nT South

https://twitter.com/x/status/1642992526469783553

● Current Conditions at 05:00 UTC on April 05

▪︎ Geospace unsettled
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 3
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 489.2 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 9.54 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -0.6% Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: C1 at 04:47 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 44 (SN 56 April 04)
▪︎Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 06_2023

ALL QUIET. Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1.9 event observed at 12:19 UTC on April 05 from an unnumbered sunspot

https://twitter.com/x/status/1643773212189249536

There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3266, AR3270 and AR3271

The total number of sunspots has decreased to 37 (18 of these are grouped into 3 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 55% chance for C flares, 10% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 524.3 km/s at 02:50 UTC on April 05. Maximum planetary index Kp 3

Aurora Oval. Bz: 4.51 nT North


● Current Conditions at 04:30 UTC on April 06

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 2
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 405.8 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 6.44 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: -0.3% Below Average
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 01:23 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 37 (SN 44 April 05)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 07_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2.9 event observed at 05:53 UTC on April 6 from Region 3272 (S21E72) it produced a Minor R1 Radio blackout over Indian Ocean

https://twitter.com/x/status/1643907215038840832

https://twitter.com/x/status/1644140140980322304

There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3266, AR3270 and AR3272

The total number of sunspots has decreased to 33 (15 of these are grouped into 3 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 50% chance for C flares, 25% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares. AR3272 emerged in the southeast (S20E72), and is already crackling with M-class solar flares. It is currently 40 millionths of a hemisphere in size and has a well-defined beta (bipolar) complexity.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 415.1 km/s at 20:02 UTC on April 06. Maximum planetary index Kp 3

Aurora Oval. Bz: -2.13 nT South

Wow... seven levels of Auroras

https://twitter.com/x/status/1643719301181087748

https://twitter.com/x/status/1643984151807139840

● Current Conditions at 04:50 UTC on April 07

▪︎ Geospace unsettled
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 3
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 403.6 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 4.06 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: -0.1% Below Average
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 at 02:48 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 33 (SN 37 April 06)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 08_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C5.8 event observed at 23:34 UTC on April 07 from Region 3272 (S22E68) later on April 08 a M2.8 at 01:46 UTC it produced a Minor R1 Radio blackout over Southeast Asia.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1644517755180265472

Filament eruption on the north pole.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1644457218866135040

https://twitter.com/x/status/1644507458235244544

https://twitter.com/x/status/1644528317817835521

There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3270 and AR3272, AR3266 is gone

The total number of sunspots has increased to 38 (18 of these are grouped into 3 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 70% chance for C flares, 25% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares. AR3272 has produced two M-class solar flares. It is currently 180MH in size and has a beta-gamma magnetic configuration.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 436 km/s at 02:00 UTC on April 07. Maximum planetary index Kp 3

Aurora Oval. Bz: -3.66 nT South

● Current Conditions at 05:00 UTC on April 08

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 2
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 391 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 2.32 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: +0.2% Elevated
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M2 at 01:46 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 38 (SN 33 April 07)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 09_2023

Solar activity during the past 24 hours declined to low levels with only minor C-Flares detected. The largest solar event of the period was a C5.3 event observed at 04:43 UTC on April 08 from AR3272

There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3270 and AR3272

The total number of sunspots has increased to 49 (29 of these are grouped into 2 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 30% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

AR3272 is currently 230MH (Earth equals almost 170MH) in size and has a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. 26 sunspots make up this complex. This region remains a threat for a possible M-Flare.


● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 466 km/s at 05:05 UTC on April 08. Maximum planetary index Kp 2

Aurora Oval. Bz: 0.28 nT North

https://twitter.com/x/status/1644709682701803521

● Current Conditions at 05:00 UTC on April 09

▪︎ Geospace unsettled
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 3
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 408.2 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 0.17 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: +1% Elevated
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 at 02:29 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 49 (SN 38 April 08)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 10_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3.7 event observed at 18:41 UTC on April 09 from AR3272

https://twitter.com/x/status/1645240834177085442

https://twitter.com/x/status/1645039954706178048

There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3272 and new region AR3273

AR3270 is gone

The total number of sunspots has increased to 52 (32 of these are grouped into 2 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 25% chance for M flares and 1% chance for X flares. AR3272 continues to grow and is now 280MH in size although it continues to have a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy to produce M-class flares.

CHANCE OF FLARES TODAY: NOAA forecasters say there is a 25% chance of M-class solar flares today. The likely source would be sunspot AR3272, which has an unstable 'beta-gamma' magnetic field. Any explosions will be geoeffective as the sunspot is turning to face Earth. SpaceWeather.com

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 468.7 km/s at 18:14 UTC on April 09. Maximum planetary index Kp 3

Aurora Oval. Bz: -5.59 nT South

● Current Conditions at 05:00 UTC on April 10

▪︎ Geospace unsettled
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 3
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 333 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 28.06 p/cm3 (Moderate density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: +1.6% Elevated
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C6 at 04:39 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 52 (SN 49 April 09)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 11_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2.8 event observed at 05:20 UTC from new Region 3276 (S22E75)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1645390140137668608

There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3272, AR3273, and new regions AR3274, AR3275, AR3276

https://twitter.com/x/status/1645392088295518211

The total number of sunspots has increased to 92 (42 of these are grouped into 5 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 35% chance for M flares and 1% chance for X flares. AR3272 developed new sunspots and is now a complex of 31, its magnetic complexity continues to be beta-gamma, however, its size decreased to 370MH. Sunspot AR3272 poses a threat for M-class solar flares

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Active geomagnetic conditions (kp 4) threshold reached at 08:59 UTC Solar wind speed reached a peak of 562 km/s at 13:14 UTC on April 10 Maximum planetary index Kp 4

GLANCING-BLOW CME DUE TODAY: NOAA forecasters say that a CME might deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field today. It left the sun on April 7th, propelled an an erupting filament of magnetism. Minor geomagnetic storms are possible if/when the CME arrives. SpaceWeather.com

Aurora Oval. Bz: -2.52 nT South

https://twitter.com/x/status/1645455411200311301

● Current Conditions at 06:10 UTC on April 11

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 1
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 436.5 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 9.08 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: +1.8% Elevated
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C6 at 03:07 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 92 (SN 52 April 10)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Lukasz]

Astrophotographers Andrew McCarthy and Jason Guenzel have teamed up to create a stunning view of the Sun, revealing the textured, fiery details of its atmosphere. Using a specially modified hydrogen-alpha solar telescope, the combined data from over 90,000 individual images were processed together to reveal the layers of intricate detail within the solar chromosphere.

A geometrically modified image of the 2017 eclipse is used as an artistic element in this composition to reveal otherwise invisible structure. Great care was taken to align the two atmospheric layers in a scientifically plausible way, using NASA's SOHO data as a reference.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1638648459002806272

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 12_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 10:16 UTC on April 11from new Region 3272 (S21E11) it caused a minor R1 radio blackout over Africa

https://twitter.com/x/status/1645732945355759617

https://twitter.com/x/status/1645959334390640645

There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3272, AR3273, AR3275, AR3276, AR3277

The total number of sunspots has increased to 103 (53 of these are grouped into 5 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 45% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 477 km/s at 08:50 UTC on April 11 Maximum planetary index Kp 3

Aurora Oval Bz: 2.37 nT North


● Current Conditions at 05:30 UTC on April 12

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 1
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 384 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 3 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: +1.8% Elevated
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 05:02 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 103 (SN 92 April 11)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 13_2023

ALL QUIET Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at 11:53 UTC on April 11from new Region 3279 (S21E52)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1646328164375724032

https://twitter.com/x/status/1646113430699495425

SOLAR MAX MIGHT ARRIVE EARLY: Solar Maximum is coming--maybe this year. New research by a leading group of solar physicists predicts maximum sunspot activity in late 2023 or early 2024, a full year earlier than other forecasts.​

"This is based on our work with the Termination Event," explains Scott McIntosh, lead author of a paper describing the prediction, published in the January 2023 edition of Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences.

The "Termination Event" is a relatively new concept in solar physics. It is a period of time on the sun as short as one month when magnetic fields from one solar cycle abruptly die (they are "terminated") allowing magnetic fields from the next solar cycle to take over. After a Termination Event, the new solar cycle skyrockets.

McIntosh and colleagues have studied termination events for many solar cycles, and they have discovered that its timing can predict the future. "Our latest work pinpoints the Termination Event between Solar Cycle 24 and Solar Cycle 25 at mid-Dec. 2021," explains McIntosh. "This tells us about the size and date of the next solar maximum."

According to their paper, Solar Max is coming between late 2023 and mid 2024, with a peak total monthly sunspot number of 184±63 (95% confidence). This means Solar Cycle 25 could be twice as strong as old Solar Cycle 24, which peaked back in 2014.

Their forecast jibes with another big event now underway. The sun's global magnetic field is about to flip. This happens near the peak of every solar cycle. Magnetic fields near the sun's poles weaken, change sign, and start growing again in the opposite direction. It's like taking a bar magnet from your refrigerator and flipping it upside down--except this bar magnet is as big as a star.

Measurements from Stanford's Wilcox Solar Observatory (pictured above) confirm that the weakening is underway now, with polar magnetic fields probably crossing zero in no more than a few months. "Historically the zero crossing precedes actual sunspot number maximum by 6 to 12 months," says McIntosh, "so this is in accord with our prediction of an early Solar Max."
This forecast is about to be tested, with confirmation as little as 6 to 12 months away. Stay tuned for Solar Max. Spaceweather.com Time Machine

There are currently 7 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3272, AR3273, AR3275, AR3276, AR3277, New regions AR3278 and AR3279

https://twitter.com/x/status/1646324984191623168

The total number of sunspots has increased to 127 (57 of these are grouped into 7 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 45% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.With the exception of the AR3272 (beta-gamma), the other regions maintain a stable magnetic field.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 468 km/s at 14:23 UTC on April 12 Maximum planetary index Kp 2

Aurora Oval Bz: 4.87 nT North

● Current Conditions at 05:30 UTC on April 13

▪︎ Geospace unsettled
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 3
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 420 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 5.79 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: +0.9% Elevated
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C4 at 23:35 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 127 (SN 103 April 12)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Adobe]

Puma:

You are way more knowledgeable with this information than I am, and I would like to ask a question. First, thank you for your work in keeping up this thread and others. Second are you familiar with the site, Solarsytemscope.com? In our resent session I brought up David DuByne’s work with, in-part, this website. If you have time, could you look at a 6-minute section of the video and give me your opinion on the validity of the “tools” being used in DD’s assumptions. You don’t have to commit yourself to his assumption, but maybe a pretty good, or pretty weak, or worth further examination, would be just fine. Something like that. I would just appreciate your opinion. On the video below it is minute :40 to :46 that is of interest.

The video:

Optimism in the World of Chaos (Timelines and Solutions to 2025)

🍅 Free Sustainability Course from The Grow Network http://homegrown2030.com Natural changes and forced economic and lifestyle shifts as three cycles come together. Global events signal the change. Rex Bear from the LeakProject and David DuByne f…

www.bitchute.com

The website of solarsystemscope.com

Solar System Scope

Online 3D simulation of the Solar System and night sky in real time - the Sun, planets, dwarf planets, comets, stars and constellations

www.solarsystemscope.com

 

[Puma]

... are you familiar with the site, Solarsytemscope.com?

...give me your opinion on the validity of the “tools” being used in DD’s assumptions.

Hi Adobe, yes, I know the Solar System scope page, if I remember correctly I started using it when the Elenin comet was causing a sensation. I like its 3D graphics and the 360° view. Undoubtedly a tool for people who study the sun and planetary alignments that generate electromagnetic currents that interact with the climate and geology of the planet. An example of this is the SSGEOS seismic activity forecasts.

I suppose the same may be true for DD who no doubt has much more experience and knowledge than I do, it is very interesting what he mentions in his video, much of which has already been discussed in the sessions:

● Cometary bombardment as a major cause of mass extinction

Q: (L) The sun is not the source of the periodicity of "dyings", is that correct?

A: Sometimes. Many causes.

Q: (L) Well what is the cause that recurs like clockwork? Is there some cause that is a regular pulsation?33

A: Cometary showers.

● Nemesis and the Sun interaction

My impression was that the "grounding" simply increases the flow of current between the solar system and the galactic system. The charge is actually flowing more vigorously than when this grounding is not taking place, even though it appears to us that the sun is quieter. It's just not building charge and exploding it out into the solar system like static buildup shocks do on a smaller scale. So, with this increase of current flow, the sun's gravity increases, though that of the earth and other planets may not because they are being deprived of that current flow that they normally get. But then, I don't really know about those things.

Now, it is worth mentioning that not even NASA itself has absolute knowledge of what is happening with the sun. Many times it has mentioned in its publications: "it is a mystery", "it is unknown" and so on.

● There are many people who are aware and remain anonymous.

Q: (A) I want to know about this guy who wrote about the sun cycles... is he just another crackpot?

A: Detailed.

Q: This fellow sent some information that was talking about planetary catastrophe related to solar maximums which is, essentially, the same thing I thought of back in 1985...

A: On right track.

Solarsystemscope by itself is a tool, as you mention, the images have the meaning given to them by the user. The average person sees a solar system, for example, while DD and SSGEOS see other dynamics and other interactions. DD mentions that towards the end of this year, the scientific community will observe new climate phenomena. It would be good to follow up and observe, we have several threads that give us clues if we compile the information:

~Earthquakes around the world
~Volcanoes Erupting All Over
~Floods & Landslides
~Crazy storm weather around the world
~Strange clouds
~The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!
~Near-Earth objects and close calls

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 14_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C8 event observed at 10:43 UTC on April 13 from Region 3272 (S22W15).

https://twitter.com/x/status/1646320820933779458

https://twitter.com/x/status/1646703707826843648

https://twitter.com/x/status/1646490202360147968

There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3272, AR3273, AR3275, AR3276, AR3277, AR3278, AR3279 and new regions AR3280, AR3281, AR3282

https://twitter.com/x/status/1646534169055428608

The total number of sunspots has increased to 154 (64 of these are grouped into 10 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 45% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

All regions have stable magnetic fields. AR3272 has decayed in magnetic complexity and has lost its gamma component to remain stable in a beta field (bipolar) and its size is now 150MH. New sunspot AR3279 is crackling with C-class solar flares.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 434 km/s at 08:04 UTC on April 13 Maximum planetary index Kp 3

Aurora Oval Bz: 5.6 nT North


● Current Conditions at 04:30 UTC on April 14

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎ Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 2
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 380 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 6.68 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: +1.0% Elevated
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 03:37 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 154 (SN 127 April 13)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)

SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Alix]

Astrophotographers Andrew McCarthy and Jason Guenzel have teamed up to create a stunning view of the Sun, revealing the textured, fiery details of its atmosphere. Using a specially modified hydrogen-alpha solar telescope, the combined data from over 90,000 individual images were processed together to reveal the layers of intricate detail within the solar chromosphere.

A geometrically modified image of the 2017 eclipse is used as an artistic element in this composition to reveal otherwise invisible structure. Great care was taken to align the two atmospheric layers in a scientifically plausible way, using NASA's SOHO data as a reference.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1638648459002806272

This is amazing, Puma!