Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 22_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at 05:38 UTC on December 21th from Region 3519 (S12W72) the flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over East Indian Ocean​

HUGE PROMINENCE BEING RIPPED APART: The was a large prominence (compare to size of the Earth) on the SW limb. It starts to become very dynamic and is torn to pieces by the magnetic changes and plasma flows in the corona. pic.twitter.com/CDj2CNpMam

— Keith Strong (@drkstrong) December 22, 2023

There are currently 8 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3519, AR3521, AR3524 AR3626 AR3528, AR3529, AR3530, AR3531

AR3523 & AR3527 are gone

Total number of sunspots has increased to 138 (58 of these are grouped into 10 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

AR3529 has lost its a delta component but remains with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares. Now AR3528 has a stable magnetic fields and AR3521 has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field. These sunspots are facing the Earth.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled (Kp 3) levels for the past 24 hours. On December 21th Solar wind speed reached a peak of 440 km/s (Moderately high speed) at 21:36 UTC.​

Aurora Oval Bz: -2.72 nT South

● Current Conditions at 04:25 UTC on December 22th

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 1)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 360 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 2.5 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.48 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.84x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 5.0 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M3 0004 UT Dec22 from AR3519 (S52W72) the flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over South Pacific Ocean

TWO BIG FLARES ONE AFTER THE OTHER: Sunspot region AR3519 produce an M3 flare peaking at 00:04 UT on the 22nd December which was followed by a C8 flare at 01:10 UT just to its south. Note there was some ejecta from the M flare so a CME was likely launched. pic.twitter.com/6819jC2nql

— Keith Strong (@drkstrong) December 22, 2023

▪︎ Sunspot number:138(SN 133 December 21)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun
............
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[MK Scarlett]

We should soon see the AR3535 sunspot. Don't know at all if there is any meaning to it, but I come on this thread everyday or nearly and each time since four days I can't help thinking of the 353535 code (a genetic one it seems) the C's talked about in 3 sessions (Session 21 December 1996 - Session 23 August 2001- Session 20 August 2001).

I picked-up and put in bold parts what was said about this 353535 code in the Session 20 August 2001.

Ra being related to the Sun, I wonder, but I don't know exactly what I am wondering as I am not able to put a clear meaning or idea on it. So I could as well be completely off the chart (then, it is FWIW).

Session 20 August 2001​

August 20, 2001
Laura, Ark, Terri Burns
[...]
Q: All right, first question is, what is the origin of the Levites?
A: Hittites Moon Worshippers.
Q: Well, before the Hittites became Hittites, what were they?
A: Indo-europeans.
Q: What was the source of the Indo-europeans?
A: Aryan sub-race.
Q: Is there any other group the Aryans mixed with to produce the Indo-Europeans?
A: Fourth Density genetic tweak.
Q: Was Abraham a Levite?
A: Yes.
Q: Was Sarah Nefertiti?
A: Yes.
Q What was the reason for the strange skull shape of Nefertiti and her family?
A: Genetic tweak.
Q: Was this 4th density genetic tweak done by STS or STO?
A: STS
Q: If the Levites were the Hittite Moon worshipers, how come Akhenaten, who hung out with Nefertiti, instituted Sun worship? That doesn't make sense.
A: Future Ho into.
Q: Future what into?
A: Ho.
Q: HO must stand for something. I don't understand. Was Nefertiti responsible for Akhenaten's Sun worship?
A: Mostly.
Q: Well why did it turn into Sun worship instead of Moon worship?
A: Future honor of Ra. Go 353535. Deity.
Q: So in other words they were laying a foundation for future layering of other concepts?
A: Yes.
Q: Was the Temple on Crete at Knossos, was it really a necropolis as Wunderlich suggests?
A: 5th density waiting room.
Q: Did they sacrifice humans there?
A: Yes.
Q: Did they sacrifice animals?
A: Yes.
Q: What animals were they sacrificing, and to whom?
A: Apis Bull in part.
Q: What was the other part?
A: Haho 353535
Q: "Ho" must be a name. Is Ho a name of a god?
A: HOH 353535
Q: (T) Is it water? (L) Is it like Hawah? (A) HOH water?
A: Remember Irish pig.
[...]
Q: Was Rock Lake also a necropolis?
A: No.
Q: Where did the people come from who built the structures in Rock Lake?
A: Have come from many places.
Q: (T) Is the "M" mound a natural formation?
A: No.
Q: (L) Who made it?
A: F 353535
Q: Is it worthwhile to keep studying these clues?
A: Yes.

 

[Ca.]

A Big Solar Flare & a Filament Poised to Erupt | Space Weather News 22 December 2023

https://twitter.com/x/status/1738399824951595090

Snow Forecast -Bárðarbunga Rumbles - Iceland Uplift, Eruption May Be Imm... https://t.co/o7T5BcPgET via @YouTube

— Oppenheimer Ranch Project (@Diamondthedave) December 23, 2023

It’s Friday! 5.0 EQ New Zealand's Hikurangi Zone. 6.1 EQ South Of Africa. Iceland Eruption update FRI 12/22/23https://t.co/VgD83Y6DI1

— TheEarthMaster (@RealEarthMaster) December 22, 2023

🚨ثوران بركان "مارافي" ظهر اليوم في أندونيسيا خلال أذان صلاة الجمعة. pic.twitter.com/N0Fdqq16MW

— الأحداث العالمية (@NewsNow4USA) December 22, 2023

The eruption of the “Maravi” volcano this afternoon in Indonesia during the call to Friday prayers.

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 23_2023

After the M3 event at 00:04 UTC from AR3519 (see previous report) the calm returned and then the largest solar event was a C6.4 observed at 09:23 UTC on December 22 from Region 3519 (S10W83)​

There are currently 10 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3519, AR3521, AR3524, AR3626 AR3528, AR3529, AR3530, AR3531 and new regions AR3532, AR3533

https://twitter.com/x/status/1738261421874348231

We should soon see the AR3535 sunspot. Don't know at all if there is any meaning to it,

It looks like Kabbalistic 353535 (Infinite Power) will not mean much in the next few days. Some of these regions will return to become AR3535: AR3507, (Lat South 16) AR3508, (Lat North 06) AR3510, (Lat. South 15) and AR3511 (Lat. South 23) With the exception of sunspot 3511 which ended its run with a beta magnetic field (bipolar +- with energy to produce C-class flares) the others ended as alphas (unipolar) In my opinion there is no esoteric interpretation here but let's wait and see.

Total number of sunspots has increased to 157 (57 of these are grouped into 10 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 35% chance M flares and 5% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. On December 22th Solar wind speed reached a peak of 381 km/s (Normal speed) at 01:54 UTC Total IMF reached 6 nT at 0826 UTC​

Aurora Oval Bz: Bz: -2.34 nT Sur

● Current Conditions at 04:30 UTC on December 23

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 1)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 331 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 4 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 6 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.86x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 4.4 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M3 0004 UT Dec22
Sunspot number:157 (SN 138 December 22)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun
............
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 24_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at 09:14 UTC from Region 3530 (N08E07).​

There are currently 8 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3521, AR3626 AR3528, AR3529, AR3530, AR3531, AR3532, AR3533

AR3519 & AR3524 are gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 123 (43 of these are grouped into 8 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 90% chance for C flares, 25% chance M flares and 1% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

LARGE FARSIDE SUNSPOT: There is a sunspot on the farside of the sun so large it is affecting the way the whole sun vibrates. Helioseismologists have pinpointed its echo, right here. The active region is about one week from rotating onto the Earthside of the sun. Meanwhile, stay tuned for some impressive farside halo CMEs. SpaceWeather.com

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels (Kp3) for the past 24 hours. On December 23th Solar wind speed reached a peak of 492 km/s at 11:13 UTC. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 12:54 UTC

Aurora Oval Bz: -4.46 nT South
​

Let us run🐶🤩 These guys got extra power from the northern lights on Sunday ✨#ranua #lapland pic.twitter.com/SRbV7zofYk

— Jari Romppainen (@RomppainenJari) December 23, 2023

● Current Conditions at 04:30 UTC on December 24

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (Kp 3)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 396 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 3 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 8.25 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.89x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 4.3 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 0237 UT Dec24
Sunspot number:123 (SN 157 December 23)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun

Thermosphere is Warm and Stratosphere is very cold
View attachment termosfera-caractersticas-funcin-y-las-auroras-1.webp

RECORD COLD WEATHER IN THE STRATOSPHERE: Now we know why polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) have suddenly exploded. According to NASA's MERRA-2 climate model, temperatures in the Arctic stratosphere just hit a 40-year record low for the month of December:​

Cold air in the stratosphere is exactly what PSCs require. Normally, the stratosphere has no clouds at all. But when the temperature drops to a staggeringly-low -85 C, widely-spaced water molecules coalesce into ice crystals and PSCs begin to form. Their aurora-like colors make them the most beautiful clouds on Earth.​

PSCs are normally confined to the Arctic where the stratosphere is coldest. During this week's extreme cold wave, the clouds descended all the way to mid-latitudes. Here they are over Locarno,Switzerland (+46N):​

​

The season for PSCs usually starts in January. The current cold wave has given the season an early start, and could herald many more clouds in the weeks to come. SpaceWeather.com​

............
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 25_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. Sunspot region 3529 has produced two M-class flares in five hours, while another M1 flare occurred behind SE limb.

● M2.9 at 11:18 UTC from AR3529 the flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Africa.

​

● M2.6 at 16:49 UTC the flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over South America


● M1.1 at 19:51 UTC from a sunspot behind south east limb

ANOTHER M FLARE! This time it was from a region behind the SE limb. It was an M1 flare but as most of it was likely occulted by the limb, it was probably at least a high M if not an X flare. Look at the spectacular ejecta at 50,000K - it was also very fast and caused a big CME. pic.twitter.com/mWiDdlXqZG

— Keith Strong (@drkstrong) December 24, 2023

(Data: SDO/AIA & LASCO/SOHO)

— Dr. Ryan French (@RyanJFrench) December 25, 2023

q

There are currently 8 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3521, AR3626, AR3528, AR3529 AR3530, AR3531, AR3532, AR3533

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 113 (46 of these are grouped into 8 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 35% chance M flares and 1% chance for X flares.

AR3529 (S21W25) is crackling with M-class solar flares and has developed a beta-delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class flares. Any flare produced by this region will be geoeffective in the coming days.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels (Kp3) for the past 24 hours. On December 24th Solar wind speed reached a peak of 468 km/s (Elevated speed) at 11:13 UTC. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 21:00 UTC​

Aurora Oval Bz: 0.61 nT North

Red and green aurora? Fairbanks knows how to show off the holiday colors! pic.twitter.com/Xsj9xiN0Bc

— Vincent Ledvina (@Vincent_Ledvina) December 24, 2023

● Current Conditions at 03:27 UTC on December 25

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 0)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 436 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 6.29 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.58 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.97x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.8 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C5 2340 UT Dec24
Sunspot number:113 (SN 123 December 24)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun

...........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 26_2023

SILENT NIGHT. Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2.4 event observed at 07:45 on December 25th from Region 3528 (N07W82)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1739284887507439736

There are currently 7 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3521, AR3626, AR3528, AR3529 AR3530, AR3531, , AR3533

AR3532 is gone.

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 98 (28 of these are grouped into 7 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 30% chance M flares and 5% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels (Kp1) for the past 24 hours. On December 25th Solar wind speed reached a peak of 481 km/s (Elevated speed) at 13:49 UTC. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 16:42 UTC

Aurora Oval Bz: 2.74 nT North
​

● Current Conditions at 04:34 UTC on December 26

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 0)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 479 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 7.61 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 7.88 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.97x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.8 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 0314 UT Dec26
Sunspot number: 98 (SN 113 December 25)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun

...........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 27_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 05:01 UTC on December 26th from Region 3529 (S21W52)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1739835325088706957

A very photogenic eruption on the Sun, from the night before Christmas. This active region will rotate to face us in the coming days, so we await whatever else it brings! #spaceweather #astronomy (data: AIA & LASCO) pic.twitter.com/iHWr9FRLYF

— Dr. Ryan French (@RyanJFrench) December 26, 2023

There are currently 6 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3521, AR3626, AR3529 AR3530, AR3531, AR3533

AR3528 is gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 94 (23 of these are grouped into 6 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 20% chance M flares and 5% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

A SUNSPOT BIG ENOUGH TO SEE FROM MARS: Every day, NASA's Mars Perseverence rover looks at the sun to check the air for dust. It just saw a large sunspot:​

Perseverance's images of the sun come from its MASTCAM (stereo mast camera), which puts about 90 pixels across the solar disk. It takes a large sunspot to show up in these low-resolution images. Today's sunspot is a behemoth, measuring at least 200,000 km from end to end.​

Because Mars is orbiting over the farside of the sun, Perseverance can see approaching sunspots more than a week before we do. Consider this your 1-week warning: A really big sunspot is coming.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels (Kp1) for the past 24 hours. On December 26th Solar wind speed reached a peak of 508 km/s (Moderately high speed) at 19:08 UTC. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 01:16 UTC​

MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on Dec. 27th when multiple CMEs launched two days ago might graze Earth's magnetic field. Misses are equally likely as hits, so this is a low-confidence forecast. SpaceWeather.com​

Aurora Oval Bz: -2.51 nT South​

● Current Conditions at 03:35 UTC on December 27

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 2)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 472 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 4.44 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 3.9 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 20.10x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.6 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 0316 UT Dec27
Sunspot number: 94 (SN 98 December 26)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun

...........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Vulcan59]

Martin Armstrong's economic model, Socrates, predicts global cooling and an ice age!

Our model indicated we entered a Grand Minimum that overtook the sun beginning in 2020 and will last through the 2050s. This will result in diminished magnetism, infrequent sunspot production, and less ultraviolet (UV) radiation reaching Earth. This all means we are facing a global cooling period in the planet that may span 31 to 43 years.

Massive dark hole opens in the Sun - We are in a solar MINIMUM -- Sott.net

An enormous dark hole has opened up in the surface of the sun, emitting streams of unusually fast radiation, known as solar wind, right at Earth. The size of the temporary gap is wider than 60 Earths and extraordinary at this stage of the solar...

www.sott.net

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 28_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 0317 UTC on December 27th from Region 3529 (S20W62).​

There are currently 7 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3521, AR3626, AR3529, AR3530 AR3531, AR3533 and new region AR3534

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 78 (20 of these are grouped into 7 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 15% chance M flares and 1% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels (Kp1) for the past 24 hours. Peak solar wind speed was not available due to the unreliability of the real time solar wind source. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 1105 UTC​

Aurora Oval Bz: 0.93 nT North

● Current Conditions at 04:20 UTC on December 28th

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 0)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 451 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 7.02 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 4.83 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 20.18x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.7 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: B8 0356 UT Dec28
Sunspot number: 78 (SN 94 December 27)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1, 2024.

WIDESPREAD POLAR STRATOSPHERIC CLOUDS: Last week, Dec. 17th-24th, temperatures in the Arctic stratosphere dipped to a 40-year low. The result was a widespread outburst of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs). Normally confined inside the Arctic circle, the aurora-like clouds descended all the way to Italy and the south of France:​

​

Spaceweather.com reader Jamie McBean created this map of sightings drawing on a variety of sources: "I used the SpaceWeather Photo Gallery, Twitter, Facebook and other forums such as Netweather for the UK and 3BMeteo for most of the sightings from Italy," says McBean.​

" I've almost certainly missed out on some locations as I can't have scoured *everything,*" says McBean. "For example, you can see that with big gaps in Germany. Cloud cover has been pretty extensive in NW Europe recently, so I am sure more locations would have seen these amazing clouds if not."​

The outburst is over--for now. PSCs typically appear two or three times every winter in response to cold waves in the stratosphere. If this first apparition is a sign of outbursts to come, we could be in for a great season. Stay tuned. SpaceWeather.com​

https://twitter.com/x/status/1739332343918219675

...........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 29_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at 10:58 UTC on December 28th from Region 3533 (N14W38)​

BIG SMILEY GHOST: Coronal Mass Ejections come in all sizes and shapes. This morning one looks remarkably like a huge ghost looming above the NE limb of the Sun and what's more it is smiling at us!- Keith Strong vía X

AN ODD "BLOB" OF PLASMA EXPELLED FROM THE SUN: This is what finally formed the face of the "ghost". A large volume (many time that of the Earth) becomes detached from the sun and slowly drifts away. Look at it more closely, it looks as though it is spinning - even more strange! pic.twitter.com/RXdSOZcW9b

— Keith Strong (@drkstrong) December 29, 2023

A wisp of plasma seemed to defy the sun’s mighty pull, floating serenely above our star’s surface. How? magnetism. Dr. Alex Young vía X

There are currently 6 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3529, AR3530 AR3531, AR3533 AR3534 and new region AR3535

AR3521 & AR3626 are gone.

We should soon see the AR3535 sunspot. Don't know at all if there is any meaning to it,

It looks like Kabbalistic 353535 (Infinite Power) will not mean much in the next few days...

Finally appeared the cabalistic sunspot 3535 (formerly AR3510) located in the southwest (S05W19) is too small to represent a danger to the planet (from a purely physical point of view), it is only a region of 10 millionths of a solar hemisphere, very small compared to the Earth that reaches approximately 170 MH. This active region will have a short life because in a few days it will leave the solar disk, its magnetic field is bipolar and stable. Nothing to see here except for the plasma "ghost" who thought it was Halloween.

Total number of sunspots has increased to 83 (23 of these are grouped into 6 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 10% chance M flares and 1% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels (Kp1) for the past 24 hours. On December 28th solar wind speed reached a peak of 451 km/sec (Elevated speed) at 04:20. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 22:40 UTC​

Aurora Oval Bz: -1.31 nT South

https://twitter.com/x/status/1740389848148845046

● Current Conditions at 04:20 UTC on December 29th

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 1)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 407 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 15.47 p/cm³ (Moderate density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.61 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 20.14x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 4.1 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 0047 UT Dec29
Sunspot number: 83 (SN 78 December 28)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from a coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1, 2024.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Ca.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1740619516684714126

Hi Patrons! I am working to get a new forecast finished for you. Meanwhile, here is a quick snapshot of the current conditions. As you watch all of the little puffs of material lifting off the Sun (especially back on the 24th and 25th) know that most of those have launched as mini-solar storms. Only one of these storms, however, has been aimed at Earth and it is hitting now. This storm is not expected to cause any significant impact here at Earth, although it might give us a little aurora at high latitudes over the next 24 hours. In addition, we have a finger-like coronal hole that will be rotating into the Earth-strike zone in about four days. This has a better chance of giving us some sustained aurora views right around the start of the New Year.

As for amateur radio operators and GPS users, radio noise on the dayside of Earth should be much quieter than it was last week, with the risk for radio blackouts dropping to low levels. However, in about four to 5 days, we will see the return of a large cluster of active regions from the farside of the Sun that might cause radio blackout risk and radio noise to climb. Until then, enjoy some decent radio propagation and signal reception!

I should have a full forecast posted by tomorrow (Friday) evening. Until then, here is wishing you all some end of the year bliss, relaxation, and holiday cheer!

SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

Friday, Dec. 29, 2023
BIG FARSIDE SUNSPOT: Helioseismic maps of the farside of the sun continue to show a large hidden sunspot. Based on its current location, the active region will rotate onto the Earthside of the sun early next week. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text

ESCAPE FROM THE SUN: A plasma twister in the sun's northern hemisphere broke apart on Dec. 28th and hurled a spinning cloud of hot gas into space. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded its escape:

​

At first glance, this tiny cloud may seem inconsequential. However, on its way out of the sun's atmosphere, it triggered magnetic instabilities that turned into a surprisingly large CME. Here it is. The CME will not hit Earth. CME impact alerts: SMS Text

https://twitter.com/x/status/1740527566992359909

https://twitter.com/x/status/1740548057870352819

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 30_2023

ALL QUIET. Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C9 event observed at 07:54 UTC from Region 3533 (N14W52).​

There are currently 6 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3529, AR3530 AR3531, AR3533 AR3534, AR3535

Total number of sunspots has increased to 92 (32 of these are grouped into 6 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 15% chance M flares and 1% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels (Kp1) for the past 24 hours. On December 29th solar wind speed reached a peak of 488 km/sec (Elevated speed) at 22:29 UTC. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 13:31 UTC

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH (G1): 2024 could begin with a geomagnetic storm. NOAA forecasters say that G1-class storms are possible on Jan. 1st when a co-rotating interaction regioon (CIR) is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. CIRs are transition zones between fast- and slow-moving solar wind streams. They contain CME-like shock waves that do a good job sparking auroras. SpaceWeather.com

Aurora Oval Bz: 4.84 nT North

● Current Conditions at 04:33 UTC on December 30th

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 1)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 359 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 6.2 p/cm³ (Moderate density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 7.5 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.99x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 5.1 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 0110 UT Dec30
Sunspot number: 92 (SN 83 December 29)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from a coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1, 2024.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

Since the coronal hole seems to double in size month by month I wonder what it will look like in January February, etc., on the assumption that it would always be present on the visible face of the Sun...

On December 29, 2023

Solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1-2 NOAA forecasts a Kp 5 which means that we could start the year with beautiful auroras.

 

[Puma]

I hadn't noticed it in the previous photo of the coronal hole.

Today December 30...there is undoubtedly a number 30 in the Sun.

Keith Strong vía X More Odd Shapes on the Sun. Random magnetic fields and hot plasma (here about 500,000K) often produce interesting shapes. Its 30th December - the Sun seems to agree! Here a combination of dark filaments and a coronal hole produce a "30" - top right.