Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

Simple vibrating sphere model, from the same book as above plot, introduces also the term "degree of oscillations" which is apparently relevant for the Sun:

That could perhaps explain the astrology and other interesting effects of the Sun on our Planet.

Q: Another thing that he mentioned in passing was that the solar activity of 1989, when we all saw the Aurora Borealis here in Florida and everything was really strange because of this huge solar flare, that this was the most activity we have had since 1952, the year I was born. I was surprised to learn that the year of my birth was the last really big year of solar activity until then. He then goes on to propose that solar activity is the real cause of astrological personality types, that it has to do with the electromagnetic energy and rays emitted by the sun in the twisting and turning of its belts and quadrants of positive and negative energy, and shifting its poles and all of that. It is very complicated. Now, having said all of that, is there anything significant about these years of intense solar activity?

A: Solar activity does cause changes in the magnetic field surrounding earth, thus changing or altering frequency resonance vibrations. This is why the Maya believed in their "ages" and their transformations.

Q: Is there any significance to the intense EM activity from the sun in 1952?

A: What happened then?

Q: Well 1952 was an interesting year. Number one, I was born in the early part of the year, and also that was the year of one of the biggest UFO flaps ever. They were seen over Washington, D.C. They were photographed over the capitol. I don't think that there has been so dramatic a flap since then. I think it was in July of 1952 when the major deal happened, though it went on for months. Is this relating to what we are talking about, that maybe it opened a door or changed the frequency?

A: Yes.

 
Here's a summary of the year and how it compares to the last 20 years. Still nothing like 2003, but still. Coronal holes are the dominant feature in the sun this year.

photo_2025-12-24_07-11-15.jpg

The number of days with magnetic storms in 2025 was the highest in 10 years. The total number of geomagnetically disturbed days has reached a 20-year high.

The number of days with magnetic storms and the total number of geomagnetically disturbed days in 2025 significantly exceeded last year's figures and became one of the largest in the last 2 decades. Over the past 358 days since the beginning of the year, magnetic storms have been observed in 69 cases compared to 44 cases in 2024. Even more significant was the increase in the total number of days with geomagnetic disturbances, in which the Kp index reached a value of 4 or higher (yellow and red levels). There were 164 of them against 94, which is 75% more.

Comparable and high values in the number of days with magnetic storms were last achieved in 2015 (79 cases) and 2016 (69 cases), that is, 10 years ago. At the same time, the value of 2016 will almost certainly be blocked for the rest of the week of the year: a large coronal hole continues to act on the Earth, and the necessary storm may occur today. In terms of the total number of geomagnetically disturbed days, the last time higher values (169 days) were observed was only in 2005, that is, 20 years ago.

The main factor influencing the increase in the number of storms was the unusually large number of coronal holes in the Sun, the massive formation of which began in the first months of the year. If few people knew the term "coronal holes" last year, now these structures completely dominate the information agenda, overshadowing outbursts and other phenomena of solar activity. Since there are no signs of a systemic decrease in the number of coronal holes or a decrease in their size yet, it can be expected that at least the first months of the coming 2026 will continue to be significantly influenced by them, and the increased number of magnetic storms will remain for the time being.

The absolute record holder of the 21st century is 2003, when 272 geomagnetically disturbed days out of 365 were recorded, including 154 days with magnetic storms. This is what some months of the year looked like then: March 2003 (https://xras.ru/image/kpm_RAL5_200303.png ), May 2003 (https://xras.ru/image/kpm_RAL5_200305.png ), and, of course, October (https://xras.ru/image/kpm_RAL5_200310.png ) and November 2003 (https://xras.ru/image/kpm_RAL5_200311.png ) — two months during which the largest series of solar flares in the 21st century occurred. However, December 2025 (https://xras.ru/image/kpm_RAL5_202512.png It also looks quite decent against this background: for 24 days of the current month, 12 geomagnetically disturbed days were registered, including 6 days with magnetic storms.

The absolute minimum of the 21st century is 2009. Only 4 magnetic storms were recorded in 365 days. The second and third places in the rating of calm years are relatively recent 2020 and 2019 - 11 and 19 days with storms, respectively.
 
Relevant information on the technology being used so far and what would be used starting on 2026. As of late, up to 50% of the data is lost on a daily basis.

Xras

The quality of incoming solar wind data is likely to improve only in the spring of 2026 after the launch of the new SWFO-L1 device.

For those who are tired of watching gaps and failures in incoming solar wind data (Солнечный ветер актуальные данные ), there is little good news at the moment.

The world's main spacecraft, which has served as the main source of information in recent years, DSCOVR, failed as a result of a software glitch back in July of this year (Лаборатория солнечной астрономии (XRAS) ). During this time, there were several attempts to get it back to work, but in all cases, broken information came from the board, and it was turned off. For the last six months, the ACE spacecraft, launched back in 1997 and located, like DSCOVR, at the L1 Lagrange point 1.5 million km from Earth, has been used as a backup source. At this distance, there is no influence of the Earth's magnetosphere, and the instruments are able to measure the solar wind without distortion caused by the Earth's magnetic field. It is clear that the 28-year-old device is making the most of itself, but miracles do not happen. In the last couple of months, the situation has become quite sad: up to 50% of information is lost per day.

Strictly speaking, there is another satellite at point L1 capable of measuring the parameters of the solar wind— Wind, but it was launched even earlier than ACE, in 1994. In addition, it is formally scientific (it belongs to the competence of NASA, not NOAA), and the legal possibilities for its use for monitoring space weather are not fully understood. The technical condition of Wind is also not completely clear.
That didn't sound reassuring. Specially considering the GONG information.
As far as can be understood, currently NOAA's main "bet" is the SWFO-L1 spacecraft, which was launched on September 24 this year and is equipped with new instruments for measuring solar wind parameters, as well as the new CCOR solar coronagraph. The latter may be able to replace the LASCO coronagraph, which has also been in space for more than 30 years. Currently, SWFO-L1 is on the flight path to the L1 point, where it is scheduled to arrive in January 2026, that is, within a month. If the spacecraft successfully reaches a given orbit and the equipment is successfully tested, new data should begin to arrive in mid-2026, but given the situation, it is hoped that NOAA will turn on the satellite earlier, in the spring. In particular, in early December, NOAA began to turn on and check some instruments in advance at the flight stage, and on December 11 it even published the first test data from the magnetometer (NOAA Shares First Space Weather Data from SWFO-L1’s Magnetometer ). From this alone, it can be seen that the schedule for testing the SWFO-L1 and its commissioning will try to shift to the left as much as possible.

You may notice that after the satellite starts operating, its current nondescript working name will be replaced with a much more beautiful one: SOLAR-1. If everything goes well, then from the middle of next year it will become familiar to everyone who monitors space weather.
 
I noticed something very unusual two days ago, on the night of December 23. As usual, it was very cloudy, with light rain occasionally falling, and the temperature was around 3–4°C. Throughout the night, there were powerful flashes of light high in the sky, but without any sound.
In the past few years, I’ve noticed a similar phenomenon during the summer, typically when there are storms and dense cloud cover.

It seemed like high-altitude lightning with no noticeable thunder. However, I’ve never seen it happen in winter before, and even in summer, I’ve only seen it a few times over the last few years.

I guess that it might be related to increased electromagnetic activity in the atmosphere, a plasma phenomenon. It was probably a transient luminous event (TLE).
 
I noticed something very unusual two days ago, on the night of December 23. As usual, it was very cloudy, with light rain occasionally falling, and the temperature was around 3–4°C. Throughout the night, there were powerful flashes of light high in the sky, but without any sound.
In the past few years, I’ve noticed a similar phenomenon during the summer, typically when there are storms and dense cloud cover.

It seemed like high-altitude lightning with no noticeable thunder. However, I’ve never seen it happen in winter before, and even in summer, I’ve only seen it a few times over the last few years.

I guess that it might be related to increased electromagnetic activity in the atmosphere, a plasma phenomenon. It was probably a transient luminous event (TLE).
I have also noticed these large lightning bolts in the sky without sound for a few years, about 2 or 3 years. From my balcony I have a wide angle of the sky, more than 180° and it is often after a stormy episode, even 1 or 2 days later, summer or winter and with a clear sky on the other hand, therefore without clouds or with few clouds.
 
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