The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!


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Arctic sea ice extent 2021 at the end of December is the highest in recent years and the 2nd highest in 18 years according to the US Snow and Ice Data Center. A cool summer and autumn, particularly in the western Arctic Ocean, led to a rapid increase in sea ice this year. A marked negative anomaly affected the Hudson Bay still almost entirely free at the end of November. Although delayed by more than a month it finally froze in the last 2 weeks.

The Arctic sea ice extent actually grew faster than in the latest years. By the end of December, its extent is 12.95 million square kilometers (5.00 million square miles) which is just within the interdecile range according to the National Snow & Ice Data Center of Boulder, Colorado (US).

 

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This story has been updated to correct the snow lab's elevation.

Almost 18 feet of snow fell in North Tahoe during December, more than any other December in the past 142 years.

Located at Donner Pass, U.C. Berkeley's Central Sierra Snow Lab reported a whopping 214 inches of snow through the month.

On Dec. 27, the lab recorded 193.7 inches of snow, breaking the previous record of 179 inches set in 1970. An additional 20-plus inches fell between Dec. 27 and 31, cementing 2021 in the history books for the snowiest December on record.


The lab is reporting 242 percent of the average snowfall for early January for the 2021-2022 water year, which started Oct. 1.

The snow lab sits at an elevation of 6,894 feet and maintains one of the longest-running snow depth records in the world. Scientists have manually measured snowfall there since 1879.

During the lab's first year, scientists recorded 37.07 feet of snow. The following year, 1880, saw 65.26 feet.

The highest snow years measured at the site were 1938, when 68.25 feet was measured, and 1952, with 67.65 feet. The years 1881, 2015 and 2020 were the lowest, each measuring less than 15 feet of snow.
 
Funny news about the guy who promotes the topic of "global warming" on Earth:

Blizzard prevented US President Joe Biden from getting off the plane
The President of the United States, who flew to Washington, spent about 30 minutes on the plane - the ladder was simply stuck in the snow.
Before Joe Biden's arrival, the airbase employees cleared the airfield, but this did not help - the ladder was still stuck. Only 30 minutes later he was docked to the plane - the president went down to the car, covering his face from gusts of wind and snow.
During his New Year holidays, Biden visited his home state of Delaware. After arriving at Andrews AFB, the president is routinely flown to the White House by helicopter, but this time a motorcade was chosen. Nevertheless, as a result of a severe blizzard and snowfalls, the cars drove at a speed of about 30 km / h.
According to forecasts, up to 30 cm of snow may fall in Washington. Due to the blizzard, federal offices and educational institutions were closed in the city.
 
Arctic sea ice extent 2021 at the end of December is the highest in recent years and the 2nd highest in 18 years according to the US Snow and Ice Data Center.
And highest in 18 years on January 3rd. Just came across this on Twitter:


The article:

Climate History Researcher: Arctic Ice Sees 18-Year High For January 3rd…Also More Ice Than 100 Years Ago!​

By P Gosselin on 5. January 2022

Arctic sea ice refuses to melt…there’s more ice today in some Arctic regions than 100 years ago.
Climate science skeptic rock star Tony Heller of realclimatecscience.com presents more inconvenient data on Arctic sea ice. Ice levels are perfectly within the normal range of the past 100 years.

Arctic sea ice data reaches 18-year high for January 3rd
First Tony presents the latest data on Arctic sea ice extent for this date.
“Arctic sea ice extent is the highest in 18 years,” reports the leading manmade global warming skeptic. “The global warming scam is collapsing in real time, even as the press and government ramp up the lies.”


Image: Real Climate Science | "Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts." — Richard Feynman

Tony also points out: “Antarctica just had their coldest six months on record,” a fact the mainstream media and government agencies have done everything to keep a lid on.

More ice today than 100 years ago
Diving deep into the newspaper archives, Tony also discovered old articles dating 100 years ago and noted in his post last month that the Arctic back then had been warming rapidly and the area of Svalbard had even been ice free.
But there is lots of ice around Svalbard now,” Tony shows:

Image: realclimatescience.com

Unfortunately Twitter has stopped Tony from presenting these embarrassing facts and deleted his account. But you can follow him at: Tony Heller (@TonyHeller) • gab.com

When you only listen to the media, then you’ll wind wind up worrying about climate change. But when you look at the historical record and facts and compare them to today, then you’ll see things are pretty normal.
 
Coming soon to a highway near you?
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Thousands affected at popular destination of Murree with eight of those killed from same family

Atiq Ahmed, an Islamabad police officer, said eight of the 22 fatalities were from the family of fellow Islamabad police officer Naveed Iqbal, who also died. All 16 died of hypothermia, officials said.

Rescue services physician Abdur Rehman said that after evacuating all of the stranded tourists from their cars, the death toll stood at 22, including 10 men, 10 children and two women.

The interior minister, sheikh Rashid Ahmed, said thousands of vehicles had been pulled from the snow but more than a thousand were still stuck in the area on Saturday.


Murree, 28 miles (45.5km) north of the capital of Islamabad, is a popular winter resort that attracts well over a million tourists annually.

Streets leading into the city are often blocked by snow in winter.

Ahmed said more than 4ft (1.2 metres) of snow fell in the area overnight and all incoming traffic was blocked on Saturday.

The minister said paramilitary troops and a special military mountain unit had been called in to help.

"Until then no vehicle or even people on foot are allowed to enter Murree except for the emergency and rescue vehicles and those bringing food for the stuck people," he said.


Umar Maqbool, a local administrator, said the heavy snowfall hampered rescue efforts during the night and heavy equipment brought in to clear the snow got stuck initially.

Officials gave no further details about those who had died in their stuck vehicles but said they were working on both recovery and rescue operations.

Food and blankets were distributed to the stuck tourists.

Video shared on social media showed cars packed bumper-to-bumper, with 3ft high (1 metre) piles of snow on their roofs.

"The heavy snowfall caused a traffic jam and the closure of roads," Babar Khan, a tourist who was stranded for hours, told AFP by phone.

"Roads were also closed due to falling trees in many places."

The website of Pakistan's National Weather Forecasting Centre said heavy snowfall was expected in the area until Sunday afternoon. While Fawad Chaudhry, the Information minister, said "decades" of weather records had been broken in the last 48 hours.

The Punjab province chief minister's office said the surroundings had been declared a "disaster area" and urged people to stay away.

Imran Khan, Pakistan's prime minister, said he was shocked and upset at the tragedy.

"Unprecedented snowfall & rush of ppl proceeding without checking weather conditions caught district admin unprepared," he tweeted.

"Have ordered inquiry & putting in place strong regulation to ensure prevention of such tragedies."

Most streets leading to the area's resorts were largely cleared of snow later on Saturday but some work was still being done, Maqbool said. Military troops and machines were working to clear all the streets and the military established relief camps at army run schools that provided shelter and food.
 
A daily record of snowfall was broken in Toronto yesterday:

Snowfall broke daily record at Pearson for Jan. 17​

Downtown Toronto had received 36 centimetres of snow by 2 p.m. on Monday, according to a summary from the Ontario Storm Prediction Centre. Ottawa, meanwhile, received 45 centimetres of snow.

The snowfall recorded at Toronto Pearson International Airport on Monday — 32 centimetres — broke a daily record for Jan. 17, according to Environment Canada. The previous daily record at Pearson was set in 1994, when 7.6 centimetres of snow fell.

The summary said the snowfall amounts reported at Toronto Pearson International Airport and Ottawa International Airport fell within the Top 10 highest snowfall totals reported in a single snowfall event.

The last time Toronto saw a storm with more than 25 centimetres was in 2019. The last time there was more than 30 centimetres was in 2008.

Toronto's largest single-day snowfall, recorded at Pearson Airport, was 45.5 centimetres in February 1965.

About the storm itself:

Ray Houle, a severe weather meteorologist for Environment Canada, called Monday's storm a "significant" weather event.

"The general consensus around here is that it was a pretty historic storm. Not very often do we get a storm that brings snowfall amounts and blizzard-like conditions like that to the Golden Horseshoe and the GTA," said Houle.

"I thought it was pretty significant — it was once-in-a-decade kind of storm."

Source

One resident tweeted the following:

 

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Thousands rescued, more remain stranded on snow-hit Turkish highway - 20 inches of snow overnight

It is winter at its worst for Turkey this week as snowfall and blizzards set in, spelling trouble for the population in most of the country's 81 provinces. Traffic disruption and difficulty in accessing remote locations are among the major woes of the public.

Thousands of people were stranded on a highway connecting the country's southern provinces as heavy snowfall and a blizzard hit the region late Tuesday and Wednesday. Some 2,800 people trapped in their cars in motionless traffic were evacuated by crews.

Gaziantep Governor Davut Gül said that the stranded people were motorists and passengers on Tarsus-Adana-Gaziantep Motorway (TAG), which was closed to traffic on Tuesday night. Gül told Anadolu Agency (AA) that they prioritized the sick among the stranded and each of them was taken to the nearest hospitals. Around 186 people in need of medical care were evacuated to hospitals. He said the crews also distributed food to some 7,000 people on the highway where the vehicles could not move to low visibility and thick snow.

Gül said crews helped 1,780 vehicles stuck on the road but "at least 2,800 more people" were still stranded. Social media was flooded with messages about people waiting for help for hours on Tuesday night and early hours of Wednesday.


The governor said the main cause of the disruption on the highway was several long-haul trucks that were involved in accidents and slowed down the traffic. The work was underway on Wednesday morning to remove the broken down trucks but an ongoing blizzard posed a challenge. The governor urged the public living near the area not to drive on Wednesday. Later on, the governorate banned drivers from leaving Gaziantep.

In a rare phenomenon for the region, Gaziantep itself was heavily hit by snowfall and the traffic came to a standstill in the province, one of the most populated in the country. Temperatures were around minus 3 degrees Celsius (minus 26.6 degrees Fahrenheit) in the province early Wednesday. A thick layer of snow covering the city center reached 50 centimeters (19.7 inches) overnight.

 
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The latest projection of sunspots in our cycle, from Suspicious Observers. You can see the sun is much more active (blue line) than what was expected (red line). So what are the implications?

We're seeing plenty of Ice Age symptoms, as compiled in this thread - huge snow load, mass flooding in warmer areas, ice sheet growth.

So despite the sun's increased activity again, will we see the above continue? Does the Ice Age still Cometh?

More 'solar wind' means a reduced influx of cosmic rays that nucleate clouds via radiation. But there's still plenty of volcanoes and fireballs happening to increase the atmospheric dust, leading to heavy water from the skies.

Then there's the gulf stream - it's already pretty much shot, and I don't know if it will recover and bathe Western Europe in its life-giving warmth again.

Jet stream variability seems to correspond to sun activity, with a quiet sun correlating to a very erratic jet stream. So perhaps with a reawakening sun, the jet stream will normalize somewhat, and there will be fewer instances of Arctic air masses pouring South.

The renewed activity of the sun also doesn't bode well for a Carrington-style event, in particular with Earth's magnetic field weakening.

It is literally chilling to think that all of what we've witnessed so far is only the beginning of the Earth changes events that typify an Ice Age!
 
Youtube account Night Lights Films - Adrien Mauduit, who seems to know what they're talking about, claims to have filmed 2 hours worth of 'very rare type II polar stratospheric clouds' over Tromsø, Norway.

Pretty sure there's been a number of reports of similar sightings on SOTT in recent years. In the last week or so there's been a couple of posts of recent PSC sighting as well.

According to wiki:

  • Type II clouds, which are very rarely observed in the Arctic, have cirriform and lenticular sub-types [9] and consist of water ice only.[4]

Only Type II clouds are necessarily nacreous[1] whereas Type I clouds can be iridescent under certain conditions, just as any other cloud. The World Meteorological Organization no longer uses the alpha-numeric nomenclature seen in this article, and distinguishes only between super-cooled stratiform acid-water PSCs and cirriform-lenticular water ice nacreous PSCs.[

Below is the video and the accompanying, informative, blurb:



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Polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) are clouds in the winter polar stratosphere at altitudes of 15,000–25,000 m (49,000–82,000 ft). They are best observed during civil twilight, when the Sun is between 1 and 6 degrees below the horizon, as well as in winter and in more northerly latitudes.[1] One main type of PSC is made up mostly of supercooled droplets of water and nitric acid and is implicated in the formation of ozone holes.[2] The other main type consists only of ice crystals which are not harmful. This type of PSC is also referred to as nacreous (/ˈneɪkriəs/, from nacre, or mother of pearl, due to its iridescence).

Yesterday (17th of January 2022), the northern regions of Scandinavia were treated to a very rare high-altitude spectacle. For about 2 hours, rare polar stratospheric clouds (PSC) type II appeared out of nowhere, displaying a staggering iridescence contrasting with the dimmer twilight of the short polar days.

PSCs are also called mother-of-pearl clouds or nacreous clouds because their iridescence (diffraction of sunlight in tiny ice particles) is some of the strongest in clouds on Earth. Their strong colors are very visible with naked eyes, making the experience surreal, almost straight out of a fairy tale. They are also some of the highest clouds on Earth, forming around 15-30km in altitude in very precise conditions, limiting their occurrence. It needs to be extremely cold up there (below 78°C), which can only be satisfied in the winter months above polar regions where the stratosphere is at its coldest. There, tiny ice particles (along with other chemicals present in type I) nucleate and form over mountain ranges because of vertical shears/strong winds to form lenticular structures (type II).

I filmed those in a rush yesterday between snow showers, as a friend gave me the heads up. I used a long focal length to really try and emphasize their iridescence. In one of the sequences, you can also see Jupiter hang above the clouds (top left corner!), as well as an airplane flying by! All was shot with the Sony a7rII at a focal length of 200-600mm (Sony). All post production was made in FCPX. I hope you like the movie as much as I liked shooting and processing it and I thank everyone of you for your support. All content is of course copyrighted Night Lights Films (except sountrack licensed through Artlist, see credits for title and artist), and no footage can be used in any way without our prior consent /permission. Please contact us at nightlightsfilms@gmail.com for media and purchase inquiry. Please share and comment if you liked the video and follow me for more videos like this one! More at nightlightsfilms.com. Thanks for watching and don't forget to subscribe!!
 
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The latest projection of sunspots in our cycle, from Suspicious Observers. You can see the sun is much more active (blue line) than what was expected (red line). So what are the implications?
I heard rumours of undercounting spots in 2019, thus i guess the max would be in 2025, a year earlier. The dromedary shape comes from Jupiter and Saturnus being inline with the sun. Then the curve max would turnout lower, like 80, and activity would bottom out in 2030. Wait and see.
 
The latest projection of sunspots in our cycle, from Suspicious Observers. You can see the sun is much more active (blue line) than what was expected (red line). So what are the implications?

On the 12th of Jan, Space Weather.com gave a few more details on this unexpectedly strong sun spot activity; says it is more than two times stronger than forecast; exceeding forecasts for 15 months straight; the highest in more than 5 years; aurora activity is more intense and at lower latitudes; 'geomagnetic activity has nearly tripled since the new solar cycle began'.

Whether this unexpected turn of events is due to external factors (comets - added: such as Megacomet Bernardinelli-Bernstein
/nemesis) and it will suddenly slump, i don't know.

It did however also bring to mind this prediction of a terminator event, which, whilst it may off, maybe there's something to it, since this cycle is, for now, stronger than predicted; as i think the Terminator theory proposes. I don't know enough about it to say either way, but i've included some of the details in the 2nd quote for reference for those that do have a better understanding:

New sunspot counts from NOAA confirm that the young solar cycle is outperforming the official forecast. You are here:
sunspot count solar cycle 25
Sunspot counts have exceeded predictions for 15 straight months. The monthly value at the end of December 2021 was more than twice the forecast, and the highest in more than 5 years.

The "official forecast" comes from the Solar Cycle Prediction Panel representing NOAA, NASA and International Space Environmental Services (ISES). Using a variety of leading indicators, the Panel predicted that Solar Cycle 25 would peak in July 2025 as a relatively weak cycle, similar in magnitude to its predecessor Solar Cycle 24. Instead, Solar Cycle 25 is shaping up to be stronger.

Sky watchers have already noticed the change. "We are definitely seeing the effects on the ground in the Arctic!" reports Chad Blakley of the Swedish tour guide service Lights over Lapland. "Auroras now are the best in years."

solar cycle 25 aurora x flare
(A) The first X-flare of Solar Cycle 25 on July 3, 2021; (B) A radio blackout caused by an X-flare on Oct. 28, 2021; (C) Auroras over Wisconsin photographed by Marybeth Kiczenski on Nov. 4, 2021.
Indeed, geomagnetic activity has nearly tripled since the new solar cycle began. In 2020, the first full year of Solar Cycle 25, there were 9 days with at least minor (G1-class) geomagnetic storms. That number skyrocketed to 25 days in 2021. One of those "storm days" (Nov. 4, 2021) was a borderline G4-class (severe) event with auroras sighted as far south as California and New Mexico.

Another sign of increasing solar activity is the X-flare. X-flares are the most powerful type of solar flare. They can cause strong radio blackouts, pepper Earth's atmosphere with energetic particles, and herald intense geomagnetic storms. The sun produced zero of these flares from late 2017 until mid-2021. Solar Cycle 25 busted the drought on July 3, 2021, with an X1.6 category explosion, followed by an X1-flare on Oct. 28, 2021.



Comment:Interestingly, two particularly memorable events occurred within 24 hours of the X-flare:


Two down, 98 to go? Typical 11-year solar cycles produce more than 100 X-flares during the years around Solar Max. Stay tuned for updates as Solar Cycle 25 intensifies. Solar Cycle 25 sunspot count exceeds expectations for 15 straight months - NOAA -- Sott.net

Terminator event:

"If the Terminator Event happens soon, as we expect, new Solar Cycle 25 could have a magnitude that rivals the top few since record-keeping began," says McIntosh.

This is, to say the least, controversial. Most solar physicists believe that Solar Cycle 25 will be weak, akin to the anemic Solar Cycle 24 which barely peaked back in 2012-2013.
Orthodox models of the sun's inner magnetic dynamo favor a weak cycle and do not even include the concept of "terminators."

"What can I say?" laughs McIntosh. "We're heretics!"

The researchers outlined their reasoning in a December 2020 paper in the research journal Solar Physics. Looking back over 270 years of sunspot data, they found that Terminator Events divide one solar cycle from the next, happening approximately every 11 years. Emphasis on approximately. The interval between terminators ranges from 10 to 15 years, and this is key to predicting the solar cycle. "We found that the longer the time between terminators, the weaker the next cycle would be," explains Leamon. "Conversely, the shorter the time between terminators, the stronger the next solar cycle would be."

Example: Sunspot Cycle 4 began with a terminator in 1786 and ended with a terminator in 1801, an unprecedented 15 years later. The following cycle, 5, was incredibly weak with a peak amplitude of just 82 sunspots. That cycle would become known as the beginning of the "Dalton" Grand Minimum.

Solar Cycle 25 is shaping up to be the opposite. Instead of a long interval, it appears to be coming on the heels of a very short one, only 10 years
since the Terminator Event that began Solar Cycle 24. Previous solar cycles with such short intervals have been among the strongest in recorded history.
 
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On the 12th of Jan, Space Weather.com gave a few more details on this unexpectedly strong sun spot activity; says it is more than two times stronger than forecast; exceeding forecasts for 15 months straight; the highest in more than 5 years; aurora activity is more intense and at lower latitudes; 'geomagnetic activity has nearly tripled since the new solar cycle began'.

Whether this unexpected turn of events is due to external factors (comets - added: such as Megacomet Bernardinelli-Bernstein
/nemesis) and it will suddenly slump, i don't know.

It did however also bring to mind this prediction of a terminator event, which, whilst it may off, maybe there's something to it, since this cycle is, for now, stronger than predicted; as i think the Terminator theory proposes. I don't know enough about it to say either way, but i've included some of the details in the 2nd quote for reference for those that do have a better understanding:



Terminator event:

Yeah, it's all shaping up much differently than I... anticipated. Good ol' anticipation! Sigh. And I don't know if that's a sigh of relief or something else.

I've been keeping that Terminator-event article in mind while keeping an eye on both Sol and also Ice Age symptoms reporting. When first reading the article, I was initially hit with a nice dose of 'what-the-heck'. Is this disinfo? Or does it indicate that a full-blown Ice Age may not be as imminent as I thought?

For instance, would it be reasonable to suspect a slower decline into Ice Age conditions? With the end of our current solar max in year 2030 being the most viable 'chaos point', ie. a steep drop into deep cold?

It's hard to say what the solar increase will mean, given cometary visitors, as you point out, too. There are many, many factors at play, and I hadn't thought of Bernardenelli-Bernstein as a player in this drama. Thanks for pointing that out!

Another one that I forgot to mention in my attempted 'forecasting' post is the all-important Beaufort Gyre. This may be the mechanism that truly shuts down the AMOC, and ushers in the long winter. I don't know how the solar uptick would affect the Gyre, though. Maybe I'll ask Mr. Cap Allon?

This info below may be old hat for many people, but I'm finding it very useful these days to not take in so much new information as to go over what I 'think' I know with a finer detail of analysis.

Polar oceanographer Andrey Proshutinsky of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution has labeled this anticipated surge of water a “ticking climate bomb,” noting that even a partial flush of that growing reservoir –a mere 5 percent– could temporarily cool the climate of Iceland and northern Europe. A larger outflow would actually threaten to shutdown the Gulf Stream, an event that would see ice age conditions sweep Northern and Western Europe almost overnight.

gulf-stream.jpg
The Gulf Stream is key to Europe having the mild, habitable climate that it does.

We know this occurs, and have detailed records of a relatively recent event: during the 1960s and 1970s, a surge of fresh Arctic water was released that cooled the top half-mile of parts of the North Atlantic. Known as the Great Salinity Anomaly, British oceanographer Robert R. Dickson said the event represented one of the most persistent and extreme variations in global ocean climate observed during the past century. The surge of ice and freshwater cooled Northern Europe dramatically and disrupted the North Atlantic food chain. Between 1951 and 2010, many of Europe’s exceptionally cold winters occurred during the period of the Great Salinity Anomaly.

The discussed mechanism is believed, by many, to be the ice age trigger, and a newly published scientific paper only adds further support. Entitled, “Evidence for extreme export of Arctic sea ice leading the abrupt onset of the Little Ice Age, the new study combines marine sediment cores drilled from the Arctic Ocean to the North Atlantic. These records reveal that an abrupt increase in Arctic sea ice and cold freshwater exported to the North Atlantic starting around 1300, peaking in mid-century, and ending abruptly in the late 1300s. Crucially, the paper concludes that external forcing from volcanoes or any other cause may not be necessary for large swings in climate to occur — a previously widely held assumption: “These results strongly suggest that these things can occur out of the blue due to internal variability in the climate system,” said Dr. Martin Miles, researcher in the Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research at the University of Colorado.

The climate jigsaw continues, albeit slowly, to be pieced together.

The next bout of severe cooling is due –climate is cyclic, never linear– and the release of the Beaufort Gyre, in line with a rapidly waning magnetosphere and an intensifying Grand Solar Minimum, hold all the keys necessary.
 
Snow Apocalypse In the South of Russia: Krasnodar breaks records, and in Tuapse snowdrifts are the size of a human being


Extreme snowfall hit the Krasnodar Territory on January 22. However, it was on the 23rd that the storm struck the main blow. It seems that the inhabitants of the region have never seen such an amount of snow. Half-meter snowdrifts have grown on the streets, in yards, in parks and squares.
- This is a real snow apocalypse! - say the inhabitants of the Kuban, publishing another video with the consequences of the elements.
The reason for such a snowy disgrace was immediately two cyclones - "Ida" and "Elpis". The first brought cold air from the north to the shores of the Black Sea, and the second - moist air masses. As a result, powerful snow clouds hung over the Kuban, covering the region for more than a day now.
Several districts of the region suffered from bad weather at once. The situation is most serious now in the Tuapse district. The height of snowdrifts in some villages is the size of a human being. People make their own way.
Due to bad weather, the Shahumyan pass is still closed. Difficult road conditions have developed on dozens of tracks in the Krasnodar Territory. Therefore, drivers are asked to stay at home and refuse to travel in such bad weather.
- Giant snowdrifts formed in Krasnaya Polyana - 45 centimeters, in Kordon Laura - 102 centimeters, - says Evgeny Tishkovets, a leading specialist of the Phobos weather center. - In Goryachiy Klyuch, 112 centimeters fell, in the village of Gorny, Tuapse district - 141 centimeters.
wr-960.webp


PS. If you look at a map showing the height of the snow cover, you can see that Russia is covered with record snow from the very North (Murmansk) to the very South (Kranodar). The Urals and Western Siberia are also covered with snowdrifts.
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