Global cooling to replace warming trend that started 4,000 years ago - Chinese scientists
Stephen Chen
South China Morning Post
Sun, 11 Aug 2019 06:30 UTC
© Xinhua
A team of Chinese researchers says a period of global cooling could be on the way, but the consequences will be serious.
A new study has found winters in northern China have been warming since 4,000BC - regardless of human activity - but the mainland scientists behind the research warn there is no room for complacency or inaction on climate change, with the prospect of a sudden global cooling also posing a danger.
The study found that winds from Arctic Siberia have been growing weaker, the conifer tree line has been retreating north, and there has been a steady rise in biodiversity in a general warming trend that continues today. It appears to have little to do with the increase in greenhouse gases which began with the industrial revolution, according to the researchers.
Lead scientist Dr Wu Jing, from the Key Laboratory of Cenozoic Geology and Environment at the Institute of Geology and Geophysics, part of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, said the study had found no evidence of human influence on northern China's warming winters.
"Driving forces include the sun, the atmosphere, and its interaction with the ocean," Wu said. "We have detected no evidence of human influence. But that doesn't mean we can just relax and do nothing."
© BaiduShare:
Moon Lake, a small volcanic lake hidden in the deep forest of China's Greater Khingan Mountain Range, where a team of scientists spent more than a decade studying the secrets hidden in its sediments.
Wu and her colleagues are concerned that, as societies grow more used to the concept of global warming, people will develop a misplaced confidence in our ability to control climate change. Nature, they warned, may trick us and might catch us totally unprepared - causing chaos, panic, famine and even wars as the global climate system is disrupted.
Comment: And this is exactly what is happening; good people are being brainwashed by the nefarious and misguided into thinking they can somehow control the global climate with drastic and deleterious changes in their lives: The Misanthropic Bankers Behind The Green New Deal
There are already alarming signs, according to their paper, which has been accepted for publication by the online Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
Wu and her colleagues spent more than a dozen years studying sediments under Moon Lake, a small volcanic lake hidden in the deep forests of the Greater Khingan Mountain Range in China's Inner Mongolia autonomous region. They found that winter warming over the past 6,000 years had not been a smooth ride, with ups and downs occurring about every 500 years.
Their findings confirmed an earlier study by a separate team of Chinese scientists, published by online journal Scientific Reports in 2014, which first detected the 500-year cyclical pattern of China's summer monsoons and linked it to solar activity.
The 2014 research, which drew on 5,000 years' worth of data, suggested the current warm phase of the cycle could terminate over the next several decades, ushering in a 250-year cool phase, potentially leading to a partial slowdown in man-made global warming.
Wu said the latest study, with 10,000 years' worth of new data, not only helped to draw a more complete picture of the 500-year cycle, but also revealed a previously unknown mechanism behind the phenomenon, which suggested the impact of the sun on the Earth's climate may be greater than previously thought.
According to Wu, the variation in solar activity alone was usually not strong enough to induce the rapid changes in vegetation the research team recorded in the sediment cores of Moon Lake. Instead, the scientists found the warming impact was amplified by a massive, random interaction between surface seawater and the atmosphere in the Pacific Ocean known as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation.
As a result of the research findings, Wu said she was now more worried about cooling than warming.
"A sharp drop of temperature will benefit nobody. The biggest problem is, we know it will come, but we don't know exactly when."
WEll, if that was the only reason, then why did you bring it up in this thread? Opposite the C's would be STS and when would STS be sharing? Below is perhaps an example:I only bring this up in reference to the C's.......if an alternate source came along which shared accurate information but was from the complete opposite of who the C's are, would it be accepted or would it be neglected?
For context there is more, since there was no question about who the sources might be, but it came later:Q: Well, what I am trying to get at is: should we start stockpiling firewood?
A: Maybe.
Q: So, it could be that fast?
A: Oh yes, and faster when in response to global"warming."
Q: When you put "warming" in quotes, you obviously mean warming in more than just an ordinary sense? Is that correct?
A: And/or not really "warm."
Q: Whitley Strieber and Art Bell have published a book about a "global superstorm." Is any of the information they have given in this book fairly accurate?
A: Derived from non-human sources known for stark accuracy, when convenient.
Q: What makes it convenient at the present time for them to be "starkly accurate?"
A: Fits into plans.
Q: Plans for what?
A: Do we not know already?
Q: In other words: world conquest and the takeover of humanity?
A: Not as simple.
Q: What would make my statement more accurate?
A: Call it amalgamation.
Q: (L) What is the energy fueling Whitley Strieber and his work?
A: Grays.
Q: (L) He is an agent of the Grays?
A: No. Instrument of the Grays.
Q: (T) So, all his writing is compromised by the Grays?
A: Influenced by them.
Q: (T) Well, he says that, too. (L) Well, he now thinks he has learned how to be a companion of God through these experiences.
A: Wolfen reflects Lizzie reality.
Q: (L) Who's read the book, what's it about? (T) I saw the movie but I never read the book. I can't stand his Gothic style of writing. (L) I can't stand to read his stuff either. (T) I only got half-way through Communion and gave it up. (L) Well, let me ask, while we are on the subject of writing, is Anne Rice channeling her concepts in her vampire books?
A: She also is influenced by the Grays.
Can information be accurate but not valid? In this case we are in the areas of atmospheric physics, meteorology, climatology, etc. that is natural science; I looked up the terms you used on Reliability, accuracy & validity: BEEP BioEthics Education ProjectThis message is a harder one to respond to, as there's devil in the detail. If the information being shared is accurate, but comes from a person who is completely contradictory to everything you stand for, is the information still valid?
Being Reliable, Accurate & Valid
As an example of some of these terms, this summer the thermometer that DMI had on station SUMMIT in Greenland showed the highest temperatures ever, a new record and the measurement was accurate, down to the last decimal. It was also reliable, the thermometer itself was not faulty and any other thermometer brought by anyone else put next to the other and under the same circumstances would have measured the same temperature. Unfortunately it was not valid, because the conditions around the thermometer had been messed up by - snow. Although the temperature was real and accurate, the record could not be accepted, because it was not according to the standard conditions. In this example we stayed within the same framework of science, this is not the case if one mentions scientific knowledge and then adds,Reliability
When a scientist repeats an experiment with a different group of people or a different batch of the same chemicals and gets very similar results then those results are said to be reliable. Reliability is measured by a percentage – if you get exactly the same results every time then they are 100% reliable.[...]
Validity
Validity describes whether the results of an experiment really do measure the concept being tested. Does seeing how far a ruler can drop through someone’s hand really measure reaction time? What other variables may be influencing the results? [...]
Accuracy
Accuracy describes how well a measuring instrument determines the variable it is measuring. It can be employed in two ways
In order to be accurate in their work scientists need to first select a measuring instrument that allows an appropriate measure of accuracy eg a micrometer for the diameter of a piece of wire and a ruler marked in mm for its length and then to calibrate it. Calibrating an instrument involves measuring already known quantities too assess how accurately it is working. [...]
- An accurate measuring instrument, say a thermometer, is one whose readings confirm a known result.
- The level of accuracy of a measuring instrument determines the detail to which it can measure. A micrometer measures length to a greater level of accuracy than a ruler which in turn measures length to a greater level of accuracy than a ‘clicker’ wheel.
then you step outside of the framework of natural science, and discuss whether you can accept what he says, because of what you think of him as a person.but comes from a person who is completely contradictory to everything you stand for,
That may be the case, (but again who says? who pays THOSE who say so? where? when? why??? ...) and btw we did not pay to see this clip, except that Google logged us as having watched it and will send us ads).The man featured and sharing his views in this clip is someone who's considered highly divisive, creates controversy and is paid a lot of money to be that way. He appears in this clip on a right-wing, pay-TV station which is only available to a minority of people. It is very probable that an alternate agenda exists, and it's got nothing to do with climate change science or the debunking of it.
Earlier this year, the government said it would spend S$400 million over the next two years to upgrade and maintain the country’s drains and strengthen its flood resilience.
The prime minister made the comments in his annual National Day Rally speech, in which he laid out policies and priorities for the government.
In the speech, he also said Singapore would gradually raise its retirement age by three years to 65.
The retirement age will rise to 63 in 2022 from the current retirement age of 62 and to 65 by 2030, Lee said.
Singapore, which has the longest life expectancy at birth in the world, is growing more dependent on its older residents as birth rates fall and foreign labor is restricted.
“Most seniors in fact don’t want to stop working,” the prime minister said. “We are healthy for longer and living longer, but we don’t want to spend more years in retirement.”
“Also many of us want to build up a bigger nest egg for when we eventually retire.”
Singapore will also raise its so-called re-employment age from 67 to 70 by 2030. Under the re-employment law, companies in Singapore are required to offer eligible employees the option of continuing to work until they are 67.
Lee said the public service will raise its retirement and re-employment ages one year earlier in 2021.
Singapore is facing slowing growth prospects this year. It cut its full-year economic growth forecast last week amid fears of recession in the city-state that has been hit hard by the China-U.S. trade war.
Lee said should U.S.-China relations continue to deteriorate, it was bad news for Singapore. He said that while the current situation did not warrant immediate stimulus measures, the government would respond with appropriate interventions if the situation got much worse.
($1 = 1.3842 Singapore dollars)
Thresold accuracy | 20 % |
---|---|
Target accuracy | 10 % for NH-product. 15 % for SH-product |
Optimal accuracy | 10 % |
Verification/validation method | Comparison with high resolution manual ice charts |
It is to be seen if anything will come out of the fallout:I was so pleased to read this on SOTT today...the backlash against the 'settled science' seems to be gathering pace. I doubt it will be given too much MSM coverage, but posting on social media seems to garner some raised eyebrows and a little panic in some cases!
Breaking News: Dr Tim Ball Defeats Michael Mann’s Climate Lawsuit!
Supreme Court of British Columbia dismisses Dr Michael Mann’s defamation lawsuit versus Canadian skeptic climatologist, Dr Tim Ball. Full legal costs are awarded to Dr Ball, the defendant in the ca…principia-scientific.org
The gift the arrogant Michael Mann gave skeptics was his arrogance and naivety in legal matters. His filing of that absurd libel suit against Dr Ball for comically stating that Mann belonged in “the state penn, not Penn State” was priceless.
Those words will go down in the annals of history as they will be seen as the key that unlocked the door into the sordid conspiracy of the trillion dollar climate change Ponzi scheme.
The plaintiff lost the Mann-v-Ball case because, as we expected, he refused to show his secret science in court.
Anyone familiar with the legal system will know there are strict rules about the discovery of evidence and the penalties for hiding/destroying evidence.
Hiding or destroying key evidence is a desperate villain’s tactic addressed every day by judges, lawyers and juries in our courts.
Arctic expedition
The Northern Fleet’s expedition, organized in association with the Russian Geographical Society’s Center on Northern Fleet, its scientists and the media, began on August 15 onboard the Altai rescue tug. Participants in the unique project follow the routes of Julius von Payer’s expedition of 1874, Frederick Jackson’s expedition of 1897, the expeditions by Evelyn Baldwin and Georgy Brusilov, and others. They have been conducting scientific and environmental studies and exploring Soviet military infrastructure and traces of past centuries’ expeditions.
The crew have sailed about 2,000 miles across the Barents and Kara Seas, carrying out research on the Pakhtusov Island, Vise and Blagopoluchiye Bays. They examined the remains of the weather station, which was destroyed in 1943 by Germany’s U-711 submarine.
The expedition has explored the Hooker Island’s southern coastline and made a few glacier observations. The Altai tug followed the route of the Sedov icebreaking steamer, which brought a Soviet expedition to Franz Josef Land in 1929.