Venezuela: Resistance or disintegration?

Keep in mind, John Bolton is U.S. National Security Adviser? It looks more like a staged prop? So, what kind of message is Bolton sending? Is it a scare tactic, along with the new round of Sanctions, to warn Maduro that the US is ready "to invade"- exerting more pressure for Maduro to step down?

I thought it looked like a staged photo op when I came across it too. It's just silly. As if Bolton jots down bullet points of major US plans on his notebook and then goes walking around with them face out. Seems to me that it was just to get the media talking about the idea that 'the military option' in Venezuela is a possibility. I think this story is pretty much the same thing:

Did Trump float 'military option' in Venezuela with war-hark Lindsey Graham?

My guess is they do this type of thing in part to gauge where US public is at (and thus how it needs to be steered), to try and rattle Maduro, and maybe to keep the 'fire' lit with the Guaido dupes.
 
sorry, the time expired ..

Gasoline per liter in dollars Venezuela gasoline prices, 21-Jan-2019 | GlobalPetrolPrices.com 21 january, 2019
Mexico .99
Venezuela 0.01
US .68

Subway
Mexico (5 pesos) .26 USD
Venezuela (.50 bolivar soberano) = 0.0003 USD Anuncian nuevas tarifas para el transporte público en Venezuela
US 2.75 New York Here's what it costs to ride the subway in 11 major US cities

The video is from a venezuelan youtuber of 15 january, 2019 its from CLAP stores, according to telesur Se cumplen dos años desde la creación de los CLAP en Venezuela using deepl--The CLAPs emerged to deal with the onslaught of economic warfare, product hoarding and price speculation. But people complain that the prices are expensive.

minimum salary Venezuela=4500 bolivar soberano =2.79 USD
minimum salary Mexico=102 mexican peso =5.36 USD

yellow cheese kg 6,750 bolivar soberano = 4.19 USD
yellow cheese kg 130 mexican peso = 6.83 USD

soy oil 900 ml 1077 bolivar soberano = .67 USD
soy oil 946 ml 35 mexican peso = 1.42 USD

ketchup heinz 567 gr 1220 bolivar soberano = .76 USD
ketchup hunts 600 gr 19 mexican peso = 1 USD

spaguetti 500 gr 511 bolivar soberano = .32 USD
spaguetti 500 gr 17 mexican peso = .89 USD

fusili 500 gr 858 bolivar soberano = .53 USD
fusili 450 gr 34 mexican peso = 1.79 USD

quaker oats 400 gr 970 bolivar soberano = .60 USD
quaker oats 475 gr 37 mexican peso = 1.95 USD

and etc ...
I compare the prices here https://www.heb.com.mx/catalogsearch/result/?q=espagueti+500+gr&cat= and use this currency conversion site Bolívar Soberano a Dólar Estadounidense conversión - CUEX

Mabar these minimun salary are not well compared. In mexico about 4.9 $ is the salary per day, while in venezuela about 7.5 $ per month!!! so you see the wage/day in venezuela is about 7.5/20 workdays = 0.37 $/day. My father spent his whole old-age pension (one minimum wage) in 1 kg of onions and a bit of spring onion. This is surreal.

edit: I updated the value of the minimum wage
 
I think this story is pretty much the same thing:

Did Trump float 'military option' in Venezuela with war-hark Lindsey Graham?

My guess is they do this type of thing in part to gauge where US public is at (and thus how it needs to be steered), to try and rattle Maduro, and maybe to keep the 'fire' lit with the Guaido dupes.

That was also my blink reaction. It can be seen as putting pressure on Maduro, but it can also be seen as a way to put Trump in a bad light by his voters. Lindsey Graham and the Deep State wouldn't mind if they could rattle the popular support that Trump has by putting out that Trump floated the idea of a military foreign intervention. It appears that it was Pence, Bolton and the Deep State who started the ball rolling after which Trump was caught off guard. Now he has to show that he is in charge by going along with the whole thing. That is at least a possibility.
 
Mabar these minimun salary are not well compared. In mexico about 4.9 $ is the salary per day, while in venezuela about 7.5 $ per month!!! so you see the wage/day in venezuela is about 7.5/20 workdays = 0.37 $/day. My father spent his whole old-age pension (one minimum wage) in 1 kg of onions and a bit of spring onion. This is surreal.

edit: I updated the value of the minimum wage
ah ... my fault then, sorry :-[ I missed that big detail, thank good the gasoline price is ridiculous ...
 
My observation is there is so much happening across the planet that skills of discernment is critical in order to filter out the truth from much of the dis/misinformation. This Utuber seems to add critical thinking skills to what's happening in Venezuela. Some of his earlier vids breaks down the process.

Then there is this from CARICOM
STATEMENT BY THE CONFERENCE OF HEADS OF GOVERNMENT OF CARICOM ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN THE SITUATION IN THE BOLIVARIAN REPUBLIC OF VENEZUELA

The following Heads of Government of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) - Antigua and Barbuda, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, Jamaica, Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago; Foreign Ministers of Grenada and Suriname [1] ;, meeting by video-conference on 24 January 2019, issued the following statement.

“Heads of Government are following closely the current unsatisfactory situation in Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, a neighbouring Caribbean country. They expressed grave concern about the plight of the people of Venezuela and the increasing volatility of the situation brought about by recent developments which could lead to further violence, confrontation, breakdown of law and order and greater suffering for the people of the country.
Heads of Government reaffirmed their guiding principles of non-interference and non-intervention in the affairs of states, respect for sovereignty, adherence to the rule of law, and respect for human rights and democracy.
Heads of Government reiterated that the long-standing political crisis, which has been exacerbated by recent events, can only be resolved peacefully through meaningful dialogue and diplomacy.
In this regard, Heads of Government offered their good offices to facilitate dialogue among all parties to resolve the deepening crisis.​
Reaffirming their commitment to the tenets of Article 2 (4) of the United Nations Charter which calls for Members States to refrain from the threat or the use of force and Article 21 of the Charter of the Organization of American States which refers to territorial inviolability, the Heads of Government emphasized the importance of the Caribbean remaining a Zone of Peace.
Heads of Government called on external forces to refrain from doing anything to destabilize the situation and underscored the need to step back from the brink and called on all actors, internal and external, to avoid actions which would escalate an already explosive situation to the detriment of the people of Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and which could have far-reaching negative consequences for the wider region.
Heads of Government agreed that the Chairman of Conference, Dr the Honourable Timothy Harris, Prime Minister of St. Kitts and Nevis would seek an urgent meeting with the United Nations Secretary-General to request the U.N’s assistance in resolving the issue.”​
The Government of Guyana, on Friday 25 January, confirmed its endorsement of this Statement.[1]
https://caricom.org/media-center/co...ation-in-the-bolivarian-republic-of-venezuela
 
In the past few days, I came across a recent article that featured this photo (below) claiming to decipher a portion of what was on President Putin's notes. I was able to find the photo but unable to locate the article. Maybe, in my travels today, I'll come across the article. (BTW - Putin looks "GREAT" in that photo!)

I still haven't come across the article I was searching for but it was a spin-off from this one:

07/20/18 - What is Putin trying to tell us?
What is Putin trying to tell us?

Colombia dismissed speculation regarding a puzzling memo from US National Security Adviser John Bolton, which mentioned 5,000 American troops being sent to the Latin American nation, affirming that it will rely on politics and diplomacy in the Venezuela crisis.

Tue Jan 29, 2019 - Bogota Says It Has No Clue About Bolton’s Puzzling ‘5,000 Troops to Colombia’
Farsnews

Colombian Foreign Minister Carlos Holmes said he is unaware of the “importance and reason” behind Bolton’s memo, noting that his country will only act “politically and diplomatically” in dealing with Venezuela, RT reported.

The White House was conspicuously reluctant to clarify the meaning of the note, and distributed the same brief comment to multiple news agencies: “As the president has said, all options are on the table.”

During the same briefing, Bolton and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin announced that a package of sanctions would be imposed on Venezuela’s state oil company, Petroleos de Venezuela SA. According to Bolton, the sweeping restrictions will freeze $7 billion in assets and cause more than $11 billion in lost export revenues during the next year. The US buys a sizeable amount of Venezuelan oil, but Mnuchin stated that the sanctions would have a “modest effect” on American imports.


Exempting US companies from the Venezuela sanctions is proof that the US is gunning for regime change while seeking to maximize profits, Lavrov said.

Jan. 29, 2019 - Lavrov: US policy aimed at toppling Venezuela’s government
Lavrov: US policy aimed at toppling Venezuela’s government

Washington and its closest allies are openly pursuing a policy aimed at overthrowing the legitimate authorities in Caracas, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Tuesday.

We are concerned about what the US and its closest allies are doing with respect to Venezuela, brazenly violating all imaginable norms of international law and actually openly pursuing the policy aimed at overthrowing the legitimate government in that Latin American country," the Minister said.

The decision to exempt American businesses from the sanctions against Venezuela is evidence of Washington’s intention for regime change in that country while at the same time maximizing profit from it, he added. "This merely underscores the cynicism of the current developments. US companies operating in Venezuela are exempt from these sanctions. In other words, they wish to topple the government and derive material gains from this," Lavrov said.

The anti-Maduro forces are getting their orders from Washington, who instruct them not to make any compromises with the authorities in Caracas, Lavrov stressed.

"According to our sources, the leaders of the opposition movement who have declared ‘dual power’ are in fact receiving instructions from Washington not to make any concessions until the authorities agree to abdicate in some way," Lavrov said.

"Together with other responsible members of the international community, we will do everything to support President Maduro’s legitimate government in upholding the Venezuelan constitution and employing methods to resolve the crisis that are within the constitutional framework," the Russian top diplomat stressed.

Bolton's notepad
Lavrov pointed out that during a recent press briefing, US National Security Adviser John Bolton nonchalantly displayed a notepad about sending troops to Colombia that cameras quickly picked up. This raised eyebrows, particularly given Washington’s statements about a potential military intervention in Venezuela.

"I have read reports saying that apparently yesterday, John Bolton held a press briefing and, according to the media, was careless enough to expose some notes to journalists with TV and photo cameras. The note read ‘5,000 troops to Colombia.’ This raised some eyebrows, especially given the overt calls for using Venezuela’s neighboring countries to launch a direct intervention due to the difficult humanitarian situation in Venezuela, which can be heard from the United States and a number of other countries," the Russian top diplomat elaborated.

The note in question took center stage at Bolton’s press briefing. Many media outlets posted a photo of him holding the notepad with handwritten notes that read "Afghanistan - welcome the talks" and "5,000 troops to Colombia." When asked about a potential US military intervention, a White House spokesperson noted, "As the president has said, all options are on the table."

Colombia’s Defense and Foreign Ministries later rejected the reports about a potential deployment of 5,000 US troops to the country. Colombian Foreign Minister Carlos Holmes Trujillo said that Bogota was unaware of any such plans.


On January 28, the United States imposed sanctions on the Petroleos de Venezuela oil company.

January 28, 2019 - Kremlin comments on US sanctions against Venezuelan oil company
Kremlin comments on US sanctions against Venezuelan oil company

US sanctions against Venezuelan Oil Company PDVSA (Petroleos de Venezuela) is blatant illegal intervention, said Russian Presidential Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov on Tuesday.

"The legal leadership of Venezuela has already described these sanctions as illegal. We can fully join this point of view," he said.

He recalled the "consistent attitude of Moscow to such restrictions, to which American colleagues are increasingly beginning to resort."

"We do not consider this to be right; we consider it most often to be the manifestations of unfair competition. In this case, this is a continued line on undisguised interference in the internal affairs of Venezuela," the Kremlin spokesperson said.

Peskov did not go into details about the possible consequences of the US sanctions policy against the Venezuelan oil-producing company PDVSA for Russia. "This is a commercial issue," he said.

"Of course, we are analyzing the possible consequences of these restrictive limiting actions." At the same time, he assured that Moscow will use all available mechanisms to protect its own interests, if they are affected by US sanctions against Venezuela. "Naturally, we will defend ourselves within the framework of the existing international law, using all the mechanisms available to us," Peskov said.

"Of course, we are analyzing the possible consequences of these restrictive limiting actions." At the same time, he assured that Moscow will use all available mechanisms to protect its own interests, if they are affected by US sanctions against Venezuela. "Naturally, we will defend ourselves within the framework of the existing international law, using all the mechanisms available to us," Peskov said.


In an interview on Fox Business, Trump’s hyper-militaristic National Security Adviser John Bolton admitted the US-led coup in Venezuela is motivated by oil and corporate interests.

January 29, 2019 - US Coup in Venezuela Motivated by Oil and Corporate Interests – Militarist John Bolton Spills the Beans
US Coup in Venezuela Motivated by Oil and Corporate Interests - Militarist John Bolton Spills the Beans | The Grayzone (Transcript)

US President Donald Trump’s hyper-militaristic National Security Adviser John Bolton spilled the beans in an interview on Fox Business, admitting that the United States government is working with corporations to target Venezuela’s massive oil reserves.

“We’re looking at the oil assets,” Bolton said. “That’s the single most important income stream to the government of Venezuela. We’re looking at what to do to that.”

“We’re in conversation with major American companies now,” he continued. “I think we’re trying to get to the same end result here.”

“It will make a big difference to the United States economically if we could have American oil companies really invest in and produce the oil capabilities in Venezuela,” Bolton admitted.

Published on Jan 29, 2019 (1:07 min.)


Juan Guaidó is the product of a decade-long project overseen by Washington’s elite regime change trainers. While posing as a champion of democracy, he has spent years at the forefront of a violent campaign of destabilization.

January 29, 2019 - The Making of Juan Guaidó: How the US Regime Change Laboratory Created Venezuela’s Coup Leader
The Making of Juan Guaidó: How the US Regime Change Laboratory Created Venezuela's Coup Leader | The Grayzone

Before the fateful day of January 22, fewer than one in five Venezuelans had heard of Juan Guaidó. Only a few months ago, the 35-year-old was an obscure character in a politically marginal far-right group closely associated with gruesome acts of street violence.
Even in his own party, Guaidó had been a mid-level figure in the opposition-dominated National Assembly, which is now held under contempt according to Venezuela’s constitution.

But after a single phone call from from US Vice President Mike Pence, Guaidó proclaimed himself president of Venezuela.
Anointed as the leader of his country by Washington, a previously unknown political bottom-dweller was vaulted onto the international stage as the US-selected leader of the nation with the world’s largest oil reserves.


(Note - this next article was first published on 23 April 2014 and has been updated. It compliments and gives background history of NED Foundations involved in the info in the prior article. )

Anti-government protests in Venezuela that seek regime change have been led by several individuals and organizations with close ties to the US government. Leopoldo Lopez and Maria Corina Machado– two of the public leaders behind the violent protests that started in February – have long histories as collaborators, grantees and agents of Washington. The National Endowment for Democracy “NED” and the US Agency for International Development (USAID) have channeled multi-million dollar funding to Lopez’s political parties Primero Justicia and Voluntad Popular, and Machado’s NGO Sumate and her electoral campaigns.

23 April 2014/January 28, 2019 - The Dirty Hand of the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) in Venezuela
The Dirty Hand of the National Endowment for Democracy (NED) in Venezuela - Global Research

These Washington agencies have also filtered more than $14 million to opposition groups in Venezuela between 2013 and 2014, including funding for their political campaigns in 2013 and for the current anti-government protests in 2014. This continues the pattern of financing from the US government to anti-Chavez groups in Venezuela since 2001, when millions of dollars were given to organizations from so-called “civil society” to execute a coup d’etat against President Chavez in April 2002. After their failure days later, USAID opened an Office of Transition Initiatives (OTI) in Caracas to, together with the NED, inject more than $100 million in efforts to undermine the Chavez government and reinforce the opposition during the following 8 years.

At the beginning of 2011, after being publically exposed for its grave violations of Venezuelan law and sovereignty, the OTI closed its doors in Venezuela and USAID operations were transferred to its offices in the US. The flow of money to anti-government groups didn’t stop, despite the enactment by Venezuela’s National Assembly of the Law of Political Sovereignty and National Self-Determination at the end of 2010, which outright prohibits foreign funding of political groups in the country. US agencies and the Venezuelan groups that receive their money continue to violate the law with impunity. In the Obama Administration’s Foreign Operations Budgets, between $5-6 million have been included to fund opposition groups in Venezuela through USAID since 2012.

The NED, a “foundation” created by Congress in 1983 to essentially do the CIA’s work overtly, has been one of the principal financiers of destabilization in Venezuela throughout the Chavez administration and now against President Maduro. According to NED’s 2013 annual report, the agency channeled more than $2.3 million to Venezuelan opposition groups and projects. Within that figure, $1,787,300 went directly to anti-government groups within Venezuela, while another $590,000 was distributed to regional organizations that work with and fund the Venezuelan opposition. More than $300,000 was directed towards efforts to develop a new generation of youth leaders to oppose Maduro’s government politically.

One of the groups funded by NED to specifically work with youth is FORMA (see this), an organization led by Cesar Briceño and tied to Venezuelan banker Oscar Garcia Mendoza. Garcia Mendoza runs the Banco Venezolano de Credito, a Venezuelan bank that has served as the filter for the flow of dollars from NED and USAID to opposition groups in Venezuela, including Sumate, CEDICE, Sin Mordaza, Observatorio Venezolano de Prisiones and FORMA, amongst others.

Another significant part of NED funds in Venezuela from 2013-2014 was given to groups and initiatives that work in media and run the campaign to discredit the government of President Maduro. Some of the more active media organizations outwardly opposed to Maduro and receiving NED funds include Espacio Publico, Instituto Prensa y Sociedad (IPYS), Sin Mordaza and GALI. Throughout the past year, an unprecedented media war has been waged against the Venezuelan government and President Maduro directly, which has intensified during the past few months of protests.

In direct violation of Venezuelan law, NED also funded the opposition coalition, the Democratic Unity Table (MUD), via the US International Republican Institute (IRI), with $100,000 to “share lessons learned with [anti-government groups] in Nicaragua, Argentina and Bolivia…and allow for the adaption of the Venezuelan experience in these countries”. Regarding this initiative, the NED 2013 annual report specifically states its aim: “To develop the ability of political and civil society actors from Nicaragua, Argentina and Bolivia to work on national, issue-based agendas for their respective countries using lessons learned and best practices from successful Venezuelan counterparts. The Institute will facilitate an exchange of experiences between the Venezuelan Democratic Unity Roundtable and counterparts in Bolivia, Nicaragua and Argentina. IRI will bring these actors together through a series of tailored activities that will allow for the adaptation of the Venezuelan experience in these countries.”

IRI has helped to build right-wing opposition parties Primero Justicia and Voluntad Popular, and has worked with the anti-government coaltion in Venezuela since before the 2002 coup d’etat against Chavez. In fact, IRI’s president at that time, George Folsom, outwardly applauded the coup and celebrated IRI’s role in a press release claiming,

“The Institute has served as a bridge between the nation’s political parties and all civil society groups to help Venezuelans forge a new democratic future…”​
Detailed in a report published by the Spanish institute FRIDE in 2010, international agencies that fund the Venezuelan opposition violate currency control laws in order to get their dollars to the recipients.

Also confirmed in the FRIDE report was the fact that the majority of international agencies, with the exception of the European Commission, are bringing in foreign money and changing it on the black market, in clear violation of Venezuelan law. In some cases, as the FRIDE analysis reports, the agencies open bank accounts abroad for the Venezuelan groups or they bring them the money in hard cash. The US Embassy in Caracas could also use the diplomatic pouch to bring large quantities of unaccounted dollars and euros into the country that are later handed over illegally to anti-government groups in Venezuela.

What is clear is that the US government continues to feed efforts to destabilize Venezuela in clear violation of law. Stronger legal measures and enforcement may be necessary to ensure the sovereignty and defense of Venezuela’s democracy.
 
My observation is there is so much happening across the planet that skills of discernment is critical in order to filter out the truth from much of the dis/misinformation. This Utuber seems to add critical thinking skills to what's happening in Venezuela. Some of his earlier vids breaks down the process.

Indeed my friend,these power hungry members of the deep state surely knows how to manipulate.It appears their intention is becoming more and more explicit to most resident in Venezuela. The US Foreign Relation Council Members are digging a hole so deep it may take sometime to cover. Try as they might the military and the judiciary of Venezuela will not allow this puppet on a string to overthrow Madura. This guy has been caught with his pants down many times (SOTT).
Good video 1peacelover.
 
That was also my blink reaction. It can be seen as putting pressure on Maduro, but it can also be seen as a way to put Trump in a bad light by his voters. Lindsey Graham and the Deep State wouldn't mind if they could rattle the popular support that Trump has by putting out that Trump floated the idea of a military foreign intervention. It appears that it was Pence, Bolton and the Deep State who started the ball rolling after which Trump was caught off guard. Now he has to show that he is in charge by going along with the whole thing. That is at least a possibility.

The 'new way' for becoming a president: 'Just call Pence!' :-)

It is a 'calculated' risk.

Bolton Prevented Trump From Holding Dialogue With Caracas
30.01.2019

Chinese investments most at risk from US sanctions against Venezuela
29 Jan, 2019

Venezuelan Crisis Has Zero Impact on Oil Market So Far - Saudi Energy Minister
28.01.2019
 
The confusion people (including Venezuelans) have about this situation is largely due to media distortion.

For example, let's say you're swayed by the argument that Venezuela is a socialist, thus dictatorial country. This implies that all information there is controlled by the government, and that any it does not control is usually censored.

But then you learn that most media in Venezuela is privately-owned (by Venezuelan and foreign corporations) - just as it is almost everywhere else - and that they're mostly in line with the anti-govt narrative.

So Venezuelans are in fact subject to the same full-spectrum barrage of globalist BS that the rest of us are, with the result being similar artificially-created or exaggerated division within Venezuela.

From the level of information, if you next look at finance and the economy, the manipulation is equally stupendous. I still haven't wrapped my head around it all, but it looks to me like Venezuela has been subject to about 7 years (since Chavez's death) of sophisticated sabotage in order to 'make real' the globalists' fervent wish that the transformation of Venezuela from third world to first world country fails utterly.

I'm sorry, I have arrived a little late to this conversation.

It is true that the disinformation disseminated throughout the world has contributed greatly to the enormous confusion that exists regarding what is happening in Venezuela, but I believe that we have to consider that disinformation has two sides, one that would be the mainstream western media carrying out an artful campaign against the Venezuelan government, and another that would be constituted by all those (inside and outside the country) who sympathize and support it. The first is well known, the second may be less organized and systematized, but IMO exists. It is made up of an army of alternative media that sympathize with progressive leftist Latin American governments perhaps not so much because of their virtues or merits, but because they are anti-imperialist and crosscuttingly oppose the hegemonic power led by Washington.

I must admit, I too have long been sympathetic to the Bolivarian Revolution and Latin American left-wing governments such as Brazil or my country (Argentina). But by virtue of all the material we have been sharing here and in SOTT over the last few years about the true nature of left movements, the polarizing effect, and the social decomposition produced by the ideological possession of these groups as they spread in society, my personal vision, with pain and sadness, has been slowly changing.

The constant interference of the US and its perverse agenda to destroy any possibility of independence and growth on the part of Venezuela (and other countries as well) is undeniable, only a fool could deny it. But in light of what I have seen, read, and lived in my country (in many respects Argentina had a government with characteristics very similar to Venezuela), today my perception of this whole affair is aimed at placing part of responsibility for the state of chaos and disintegration of the Venezuelan people in the hands of the government. I know this idea may be unfriendly to many, and I recognize that I may be mistaken or my judgment clouded, but it is still what I think at this moment.

The United States has been interfering in Latin America for decades. Despite all the damage done, the poverty and misery caused, every intervention in the 1970s did nothing more than increase a national and sovereignist sentiment in the bulk of the population (beyond a small elite aligned with Washington).

The social decomposition we see today in Venezuela, IMHO, is not at all a direct product of US intervention, but of a social dynamic and political practices imposed by the Bolivarian Revolution from the beginning.

In the search for more objective information, over the last few days, I have been compiling and reading some analyses of the Venezuelan government's economic and social investment policies. This is a summary of what I have read, but it is advisable for those who read Spanish to keep an eye on them for a more exhaustive and detailed analysis; the reports are extensive and abundant in data.

NOTE: It is worth clarifying that the reports do not seem passionate anti-Chavez speeches, but detailed analyses. In fact, the authors do not seem to be against the active participation of the State as the engine of the economy, they do question (IMO with pretty good judgment) the way in which this was carried out.
  • High public social spending (GPS in Spanish) was tied directly to oil revenues (2004-2005 period was the highest GPS in Venezuelan history, repeated in 2011-2012, both election periods). However, the progressive increase of the GPS does not seem to have been accompanied by policies tending to make it sustainable along the time. The beginning and early abandonment of several "social missions" (this is the term used for government to name social plans) denotes a high level of improvisation and a consequent bad spending of public funds.
  • The Executive Power developed a progressive strategy tending to the centralization of GPS control and financing. This centralization grew throughout the Chávez administration and continued with Maduro. Ultimately, the state apparatus grew so large that it became very complicated to manage efficiently and corruption in intermediate bodies became more frequent.
  • During the Chávez government a growing portion of the GPS was done through actors outside the government but under the control of the government (extra-budgetary funding) . This occurred mostly through PDVSA. In this way, it is assumed that the government concealed part of GPS and was able to increase it over and above the budget approved by the legislature and outside of the ordinary controls that various state agencies usually have over the execution of budgets. In this graph it can be seen that what is spent exceeds what is budgeted/planned:
... continue below...
 
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  • Apparently around 2006 there are indications that Chávez began to see some deficiencies in the GPS and tried to strengthen control and coordination mechanisms of the missions, although it seems that this could never be achieved.
  • The GPS seems to have focused on giving direct benefits to citizens without this having a direct correlation with the development and growth of the productive matrix. This seems to have been a fundamental factor in making unsustainable the prosperity experienced by some sectors of the population in the middle of Chávez's government.
  • Poverty reduction during the Chávez administration was one of the strongest arguments in favor of the Bolivarian Revolution. The studies I was reading explain 2 things: (1) There are several ways to measure poverty. One is to establish lines that produce a scale based on citizens' incomes. The "poverty line" is the line that indicates that those below are poor. The other way is to measure "unmet basic needs". The latter seeks to identify deficits in the objective situation of the population on the basis of a set of needs that are considered to be the minimum that a household should satisfy in order to achieve decent living conditions. There is a third method, the integrated method, which incorporates both factors. (2) During the Bolivarian government the poverty movement (measured in both ways) looks like this:
LThQnaU1-ptt1B57zHTfwR0F0mveWTSVCIGzdgHot8KPEiGmrAM5yV-JaAsRZTct1MdLrTYKUWf2g9oe8Tc_TxoOEVcA17JjNp9LtE1IQSveaG_gUx1XQOa0k0HJTdcCTYCZhfTd

As can be seen, income indicators show that poverty fell between 2004 and 2010. But when you look at the indicator related to basic needs you can see that poverty was not substantially reduced. This suggests that GPS was oriented towards direct allocation rather than the creation of adequate infrastructure to enable these marginalized sectors to improve their quality of life. This also suggests what many have pointed out as criticism of the Revolution: GPS has had a welfare strategy under the image of a paternalistic state and was not oriented mainly to creating opportunities for the poor sectors to improve their living conditions through their own efforts.
The studies also report that the social effects and results of the missions, over time, were increasingly losing their effectiveness.
This graph shows the relationship between GPS and poverty as measured by the integral method:
uhB45Wsk-MsbllaI7B6hIHcRI27fQJf4GoB9wRjfhdcJc16yMIgBJh5kVD8_kdy-0K3mJd1tsmdFAleyeVZ5TILVpwcARePTyF15y5zsuCHODHkfrinZQjq5MbORH6ntLGt9OwEY

As can be seen, from 2005-2006 the inverse relationship between GPS and poverty tends to become more chaotic, suggesting an increase in the weight of other variables in the equation.

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This is what the reports establish as hypotheses based on data obtained from state agencies and other sources. But beyond these analyses, I think we should also consider information that is not so objective but of a testimonial nature. According to what was reported by those who experienced it in the first person (some even members of this forum) it is possible to try to reconstruct some additional factors that are fuzzier and difficult to sustain with objective information. One of them is that the government seem to has imposed a binary logic: that is to say "you are with us or against us" or "you are a patriot or a traitor to the homeland". This way of seeing the world and society in black and white did nothing more than push people towards one of these sides, leaving no room for alternative and/or moderate visions. Any critical voice, even any friendly voice, before the slightest criticism or observation, was stigmatized or put in place immediately.

I would like to add that I personally sympathize with the idea of a State playing a primary role in social life, helping to create a fairer scenario with opportunities for all, and promoting a more balanced distribution of wealth. But that does not mean that state resources should be squandered in order to artificially and compulsively improve the lives of those in worse conditions. Governments such as the Venezuelan, Argentine, and Brazilian, IMO made the state apparatus grow much faster than their economies were growing. This caused the first few years to increase the welfare of the population and to grow many statistical indicators, such as poverty, illiteracy, access to health, etc. (which, by the way, excited many, including myself), but in the medium term this was a time bomb. On the other hand, the excesses in the granting of benefits made many social sectors (mostly the working middle class) feel victim of an injustice; a lifetime of hard work, forging a future for their children, and suddenly they began to see how their neighbors without much effort, even without a steady job, earned wellbeing. In fact, the compulsive use of this resource by the government caused a very unwanted effect: the conviction of all those marginalized sectors benefited that the State must make up for their shortages, and the idea that there is no need to overcome oneself and strive to progress because the State is there to equilibrize the balance.

In any case, I must say that these are just considerations and an attempt to give a broader view of the whole issue. I am not sure of anything, but I have a strong impression that, at least in part, the seed of failure was sown by the Revolution itself before the U.S. escalated the economic attack on Venezuela to the extreme (or before this attack began to have serious effects). And in this sense, I think it is very possible that ideological possession has led the Venezuelan government to dream of achieving socialist utopia and to distance itself completely from reality. In fact, I have the impression that once the U.S. economic attack began to wreak havoc on the Venezuelan economy (fundamentally tied to the value of crude oil), much of the government's efforts were geared toward sustaining itself in power and defending socialist ideals, rather than solving real problems. We usually refer to errors or erroneous decisions of the government as a result of the clumsiness of its officials, but I wonder if it is possible that there are pathological factors at play when it comes to contextualizing these errors.

In recent times we have had the opportunity to see the effect on society of trying to frame reality within a rigid and polarizing dogma (the Marxist dogma of oppressed vs. oppressors). At the moment I tend to believe that the U.S. did what it has done for decades, but it is quite possible that the Bolivarian Revolution has laid the groundwork for it to take a long time for Venezuela to find its way again.

Obviously, there is a question that remains unanswered: If Venezuela had not been under the economic siege of the U.S., would it have, with the passage of time learned from its mistakes and achieved the dream of a fairer society with sustainable material well-being? Possibly we will never be able to know...
 
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Obviously, there is a question that remains unanswered: If Venezuela had not been under the economic siege of the U.S., would it have, with the passage of time learned from its mistakes and achieved the dream of a fairer society with sustainable material well-being? Possibly we will never be able to know...
No, as how is the world behaving, I am very pessimistic in that regard, there is the inner country corruption that had plagued it for centuries, Mexico had not been under "that" economic siege of US, it had been lured, and it had been not much work either, I had been reading Pemex Rip by Ana Lilia Perez, is like how Arturo Rodriguez write in his article:
https://notassinpauta.com/2018/02/06/pemex-rip-historias-de-un-latrocinio-sistemico/ said:
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But Pemex RIP is not a history book. It is a rigorous journalistic book, which uses history to explain the conditions of deterioration, of the badly held wealth of a political class, a powerful bureaucracy and a voracious entrepreneurship, which led to the disaster that it is today, which could have been a source of well-being for Mexicans.
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Pemex is and has been a giant investigated in Mexico only by a few, usually intermittently. Newsrooms that have historically resented the lack of will of their addresses to investigate one of the main sources of official publicity.

Naturally, the availability of economic, human and material resources of those who have controlled the oil company is a source of enormous power. The frequent sensation, when someone enters the dark side of the sector to reveal it, is fear. Few, like the author, have faced judicial harassment, death threats and imminent attacks, intervention of their communications and personal surveillance, so much so that they had to live a season out of the country. To do investigative journalism in Mexico in general, and about Pemex in particular, one needs mettle.

But you also need to know, understand and find the words to tell the technical complexities; the numerous and invisible areas of corruption; the framework and sophistication of a modest award in a gas field as well as in large operations that will give tax havens difficult to track; the multitude of politicians and businessmen, with their respective operators, the union and finally, that diversity of sources of power and wealth, which would involve at least eight decades of investigative journalism. This has not been the case.

That is why the work of Ana Lilia Pérez is so valuable from Blue shirts, Black hands. The looting of Pemex from Los Pinos (Grijalbo. 2010), when it exhibited the tropelías of the sons of Marta Sahagún, the same as of Felipe Calderón, Juan Camilo Mouriño and César Nava in that sexeny; of panistas who for years articulated speeches of decency to end up enriching themselves in the then parastatal, where political espionage between panistas reproduced the scheme of cooptation and blackmail, which was implemented from the first years of alternation in the local.

A year later, the book, El cartel negro: cómo el crimen organizado se ha grabado de Pemex (Grijalbo. 2011) (The Black Cartel: How Organized Crime Has Taken Control of Pemex), appeared, in which the journalist made it clear that what we generically call organized crime is more than groups of illiterate pigeons that with sagacity and violence operate enormous criminal structures and that in reality it is a complex set of relations between politicians, businessmen and criminal groups, associates.

Those two books, credited at the time and with every opportunity what was happening in one of the largest and most productive oil companies in the world that, undoubtedly, prepared the way for the Energy Reform that legitimized privatization. Those books are a record, taking up again the unfortunate expression of Enrique Peña Nieto, of how the power groups and the Mexican political class were killing the "goose with the golden eggs", a situation that is explained in the informative torrent of Pemex RIP.

In Pemex RIP, these episodes are already presented as part of a whole. Pemex, converted by the effect of the Energy Reform that came from the Pact for Mexico into a productive enterprise of the state, the book places us before the web of multiple forms of corruption: graft, conflict of interest, influence peddling, money laundering ...

In this, her most recent book, Ana Lilia documents how Odebrecht, a company that motivated the resignation of secretaries of state, placed presidents under investigation, caused economic deterioration in other nations and has become the most scandalous in decades on the continent, has its largest global operation in Ethylene XXI in Mexico, through its subsidiary Braskem, naturally associated with powerful Mexicans.

It also explains an enormous network of off-shore companies, woven even before the Energy Reform, with most of the social reasons created in tax havens during the leadership of Emilio Lozoya. Or, Pemex's actions are documented in different foreign companies that, due to their legal regime and the provisions for opacity that arrived with the Energy Reform, are complicated to track and even so, are evidenced in this careful work.

With name and benefit, Pemex RIP exposes the new foreign investments that took over the sector and in its ten chapters, there are undoubtedly different issues (such as off shore) that perhaps tomorrow or in a few years, if we do not read this book, could take us by surprise in the public discussion.

The pernicious effects of the Energy Reform are not in the future, they are visible today and in Pemex RIP, it is demonstrated, with documents, testimonies and the tools of journalistic maturity, in a simple and punctual way, that we arrived here, through a long road of systemic larcenies....

Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator
 
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