Winter Storm Threatens East Coast? Batten Down the Hatches

Laura said:
Scroll down. Lots of pictures including some shots of the biggest ferry connecting to Corsica that almost sank in the port of Marseille.

Amazing pics ! :O
 
I have been watching this for the last couple of days. Until today I didn't really understand how this was going to turn west, but I started looking for other satellite imagery sources and found one that shows something the smaller animations do not show. I downloaded the .flv and have been playing it over and over at 1/2 speed, specifically to see the interaction of several sectors in the Atlantic. The loop I am looking at is on this page-

http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/GOESEast.php

Unfortunately, the way the page in encoded, I cannot provide the direct link to the animation itself. It is on the left of the screen under "Atlantic Ocean Region"- the "Play last 3 days" link. I have watched it well over a hundred times now and, while some think this may not turn west (which it may not), there is something that has changed in the last 8 hours that seems interesting. The 3 day animation runs for 30 seconds. At the 27 second mark, something begins to push the NE corner of the storm.

Whether or not this can actually steer the storm I do not know. It does appear that this is why the forecasters believe it will make landfall though. Something that I thought (that remains to be seen) is if that westerly flow could actually increase the rotational speed of the storm, especially since it will feed extra moisture into it. The flows occurring in the Atlantic at the moment are very interesting indeed, especially near the northwest coast of Africa where generally storms come off of the west coast moving west. Now the flow is due east toward the African coast.

Whatever the case, it is interesting to watch such things, as extraordinary changes are happening globally and are increasing in frequency. For me, seeing one of the arms of cloud cover from this storm reach all the way to the eastern Michigan border shows just how awesome nature can be. We will see....
 
loreta said:
What about the American elections? It is not convenient a big storm during elections? Or people afraid to go outside "in case" the wind will come and take their bodies in the air? I know it can be a serious situation but listening about the preparations in NY city I have the sensation of déjà vu. And people, always, are so afraid and so docile. Sandy when it arrived in Cuba was it so terrible? Not so much, I think.

I was listening to press conferences NJ governor Chris Christie conducting every 4 hrs. This guy went to disneyland last time hurricane flooded NJ and got lot of heat. This time also he planned for Florida during sandy and I heard criticism for that. What ever may be the issue, his press conferences sounding more like damage control. keep on saying , this time we did this, that , past mistakes will not happen again. They even released some water from NJ river system to accommodate for the coming rain, shutting down the entire mass transit systems , evacuating the coastal area, so on , so on. As of now, they scaled down the rain forecast from 3 to 5 day event to 2 days event and even rain fall expectation also got decreased to 4-6 inches from 6+ before, though the tone has not yet changed. so we will have to wait and see. I found it to be surprising that republican NJ governor praising obama for calling and following up about the preparedness. So It looks every body ( president, local leaders, FEMA )souped up over this for their reasons.
 
Seems like this would be a great excuse to cut power to the entire east coast for an extended length of time and if that happens, it may be for a lot longer then the last time.

I hope everybody has their food and water and a plan, etc, because sooner or later the power won`t come back on and we all need to be able to deal with that.

And if it is possible that weather is a disguise for something else, then we might be in for more then any of us are prepared for.

Be safe, everybody.. here we go again.
 
QuantumLogic said:
I have been watching this for the last couple of days. Until today I didn't really understand how this was going to turn west, but I started looking for other satellite imagery sources and found one that shows something the smaller animations do not show.<snip> The 3 day animation runs for 30 seconds. At the 27 second mark, something begins to push the NE corner of the storm.

Yes, I see what you mean. Could be the jet stream that is invisible. Think I'll go look at the jet stream imaging.

It is fascinating to see the storm feeding all that moisture to a giant cyclonic system over the mid-north Atlantic. It's almost as though there are two hurricanes and then the frontal system, so which one will win out in the end?
 
Now they say it is turning more directly North. Well, 10 degrees is still slightly NE.

Hurricane Sandy is making the turn towards the North
Posted on October 28, 2012 by Anthony Watts

Below, you’ll find the latest update from NHC (as of this writing plus an animation from Dr. Ryan Maue that shows the details of the projected path and the meteorological variables as Sandy progresses.

BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
200 AM EDT MON OCT 29 2012

...SANDY TURNING TOWARD THE NORTH...EXPECTED TO BRING
LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...COASTAL HURRICANE WINDS AND HEAVY
APPALACHIAN SNOWS...

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...35.2N 70.5W
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* BERMUDA

IN ADDITION...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE COAST BETWEEN CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA AND CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.
THIS INCLUDES THE TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND TO SMITH POINT...
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER CHESAPEAKE BAY...DELAWARE BAY...AND THE COASTS
OF THE NORTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA...NEW JERSEY...THE NEW YORK CITY
AREA...LONG ISLAND...CONNECTICUT...AND RHODE ISLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF CHATHAM TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...AND
SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN
ENDPOINT OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

OTHER COASTAL AND INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
THESE AREAS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES.
 
We had the seasons first flurries of snow in my part of England on Saturday morning.
I am in Berkshire which is N.W. of London. It is certainly early snow for lowland England.
 
Now it is getting stronger and maybe going more directly North:

Hurricane Sandy strengthens as it heads toward LI
http://www.newsday.com/news/weather/hurricane-sandy-strengthens-as-it-heads-toward-li-1.4162130

The maximum sustained winds increased to near 85 mph -- up 10 mph from earlier Monday morning, the National Hurricane Center said in its 5 a.m. advisory. It was moving north at 15 mph -- 1 mph faster than it was at 2 a.m.

And some strengthening is possible as Sandy transitions into "a wintertime low pressure system" before landfall, the hurricane center said.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
5:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 29
Location: 35.9°N 70.5°W
Moving: N at 15 mph
Min pressure: 946 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
 
Right now here, in Brooklyn is a strong wind moving trash-cans, but no rain.

Talked to my Mom yesterday and she says in Hungary where she is, very cold, 3-5C, and I saw pics with snow.

The weather in Europe not so goodsky either. :shock:
 
panca kanga said:
We had the seasons first flurries of snow in my part of England on Saturday morning.
I am in Berkshire which is N.W. of London. It is certainly early snow for lowland England.

Here in Bucks, not too far from where you live, we haven't seen any snow yet though we've had near zero temperatures at night.
 
It's raining steadily here, but the wind is still just a breeze. We're supposed to have strong winds by 8 am (15 minutes from now) lasting until tomorrow, late morning, so we'll see.
 
Insanity:

My son had to go work, from Brooklyn to Manhattan, even the bridges are closed down and no transportation, subway or buses, we called a cab and his employer pays for it.

He works in a restaurant, those people insane thinking they gonna make a buck today?!?
 
anart said:
It's raining steadily here, but the wind is still just a breeze.

same is true here in NJ too. It will start picking up from now onwards, I think. It supposed to landfall in NJ. Latest is
_http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
8:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 29
Location: 36.8°N 71.1°W
Moving: NNW at 20 mph
Min pressure: 946 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph
 
I live about 10 miles from the coast; it's definitely getting windy here, and it's been pouring since yesterday, but still nothing out of the ordinary. One of the resort towns about 2 hrs away from here is apparently getting some significant damage, though. It's supposed to start getting bad around 4 here, so we'll see.
I was also a bit confused about why they'd think it would turn left, but again.. we'll see.

My son had to go work, from Brooklyn to Manhattan, even the bridges are closed down and no transportation, subway or buses, we called a cab and his employer pays for it.

:O Hope he stays safe.
 
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