That's old AR14168 thats firing off as it turns the limb, this is how it started out at the beginning of August, producing 17 M-Class solar flares and out of all of them, 1 Earth directed CME, an M4.4 on August 05, 2025 the resulting CME hit us on August 08 and comingled with a CH HSS from CH69, we experienced kP 5 conditions but the corona (blew away the full Moon)that was part of a substorm was more like kP 6 conditions.
A CME IS HEADING FOR EARTH: The sun is a tricky star. While we were watching giant sunspot 4197, a different, much smaller sunspot erupted. On Aug 30th at 20:02 UTC, sunspot 4204 produced a long duration M2.7-class solar flare:
Although the flare was not very intense, it lasted for 3 hours, long enough to lift a CME out of the sun's atmosphere. Indeed, new data from SOHO coronagraphs confirm that a CME is heading straight for Earth. Here it is.
A NASA model of the CME predicts it will strike our planet late on Sept. 1st. The impact could spark a strong G3-class geomagnetic storm spilling into Sept. 2nd. During such a storm, auroras may be photographed in US states as far south as Virginia, Missouri and Colorado.
Okay, sorry for all the model fatigue, but @e_philalethes pointed out that NASA M2M also modeled a weaker CME ahead of the faster M2.7 CME. This is nice, because the smaller CME may act like a push broom and create a nice, pristine environment for the large CME to expand into.
The clean environment may mean that the large CME can retain its speed and hit Earth with more power. The big CME mayalso combine with the small CME and increase geoeffectiveness.
So according to the model the CME should hit the Earth approximately the 02/09....Just a few days after the Carrington event's anniversary on August 28 1859, from Spaceweather.com:
Under total lunar eclipse, there is this illustration of the principle.Eclipse Information Eclipse Map 3D Globe Map Live Stream
The longest total lunar eclipse since 2022. Totality will be visible from Australia, Asia, Africa, and Europe—around 85% of the world’s population has a chance to see this eclipse.
Watch it LIVE!
Certain lunar eclipses have been referred to as "blood moons" in popular articles but this is not a scientifically recognized term. This term has been given two separate, but overlapping, meanings.
The meaning usually relates to the reddish color a totally eclipsed Moon takes on to observers on Earth. As sunlight penetrates the atmosphere of Earth, the gaseous layer filters and refracts the rays in such a way that the green to violet wavelengths on the visible spectrum scatter more strongly than the red, thus giving the Moon a reddish cast. This is possible because the rays from the Sun are able to wrap around the Earth and reflect off the Moon.
STRONG GEOMAGNETIC STORM: A fast-moving stream of solar wind hit Earth on Sept. 14th, sparking an unexpectedly strong G3-class geomagnetic storm. Overnight (Sept. 14-15), auroras appeared in the USA as far south as Colorado. The storm is subsiding now, but it's not over. Minor (G1) to moderate (G2) storms are possible throughout Sept. 15th. SpaceWeather
Heavy rains cause flooding in various areas of Mexico City
On Zaragoza Road, a lake formed that prevented people from passing for more than three hours, heading towards the highway and the exit to Puebla.
The metro stopped its service from Pantitlán on line 1.
THE SUN IS BLOWING A GALE: Earth is inside a stream of solar wind blowing faster than 700 km/s (1.6 million mph). The gale is blowing from a large butterfly-shaped hole in the sun's atmosphere--and it's potent. First contact with the stream on Sept. 14th sparked auroras in more than a dozen US states from Alaska to Arizona. (Here's a nice video from Colorado.) SpaceWeather.com
These conditions (the IMF carried by the force of the solar wind, not CMEs) tend to "coincide" with climatic phenomena (Increase in severity storms, hurricanes, cyclones, etc.) or geological events (volcanic or seismic activity), mainly when the IMF component exceeds 10 nanoTeslas (nT)
NASA launches a replacement for the main solar instrument that has been operating for 30 years
Tomorrow, September 24, 2025, at 14:30 Moscow time, the SWFO-L1 spacecraft with instruments for continuous measurement of solar wind parameters and, most importantly, with the new solar coronagraph CCOR, which is expected to back up and eventually likely replace the LASCO coronagraph, operating at this point on board the SOHO satellite since 1996, will be launched aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket to the Lagrange point L1, located 1.5 million kilometers from Earth.
Solar coronagraphs are key tools for space weather forecasting because, unlike telescopes that mainly observe the Sun’s surface, they continuously monitor the near-solar space and directly see solar mass ejections flying away from the star, determine their sizes, and most importantly, predict their trajectories, including whether there is a danger to Earth. For almost 30 years, the only global instrument on whose data this activity is based has been the LASCO instrument. Essentially, it is primarily for this instrument that the SOHO satellite’s operability and funding are maintained nowadays, as almost all other instruments on it have become hopelessly outdated. Every malfunction of LASCO terrifies a huge number of scientists worldwide because if the instrument fails, modern space weather forecasting will be set back decades and become simply impossible.
The CCOR instrument, which is set to embark on its journey to its destination point tomorrow, differs in design and, strictly speaking, it is still unclear whether it can provide data of the same quality as LASCO. Some scientists even believe that LASCO was a unique, accidentally created instrument that even its developers cannot now replicate. Previously, for preliminary testing, a copy of the CCOR instrument was installed on the near-Earth spacecraft GOES-U and, overall, did not make a very positive impression. Those interested can compare the data from the two instruments (CCOR vs LASCO). At the same time, the orbit close to Earth is generally not suitable for instruments of this type, so perhaps, once in a more favorable location, the instrument will reveal its full potential.
The satellite launch was originally scheduled for today, September 23, but was postponed to tomorrow to allow more time for rescue services to arrive in the landing zone. NASA reports that the rocket and payload remain functional, and the weather forecast is 90% favorable for the new launch date and time.
The spacecraft will reach its destination, point L1, in 4 months, in January 2026.
A CME IS HEADING FOR INTERSTELLAR COMET ATLAS: How often does a CME from our own sun strike a comet from interstellar space? It's rare, so tomorrow's collision is worth watching. Physicist T. Marshall Eubanks of Space Initiatives Inc realized that a CME launched on Sept. 19th will reach the location of Comet 3I/ATLAS on Sept. 24th or 25th. Mars could receive a glancing blow, too. Observers should be alert for irregularities in the comet's tail, which could be bent or disconnected by the impact.
From spaceweather.com, something to look for in space, also tomorrow:
A CME IS HEADING FOR INTERSTELLAR COMET ATLAS: How often does a CME from our own sun strike a comet from interstellar space? It's rare, so tomorrow's collision is worth watching. Physicist T. Marshall Eubanks of Space Initiatives Inc realized that a CME launched on Sept. 19th will reach the location of Comet 3I/ATLAS on Sept. 24th or 25th. Mars could receive a glancing blow, too. Observers should be alert for irregularities in the comet's tail, which could be bent or disconnected by the impact.
SO MUCH FOR DOOMSDAY: Comet Elenin (C/2010 X1), widely known for inaccurate reports of its threat to Earth, appears to be breaking apart. Observations by amateur astronomer Michael Mattiazzo of Castlemaine, Australia show a marked dimming and elongation of the comet's nucleus over a ten day period. SpaceWeather.com
The behavior of Comet Elenin is akin to that of Comet LINEAR (C/1999 S4), which disintegrated when it approached the sun in back in 2000.
Comets are fragile objects, easily disrupted by solar heat. As a result, the possible breakup of Comet Elenin, while unexpected, comes as no surprise.
This sounds like the narrative that would come out from the mainstream scientific community to keep the masses ignorant about the plasma discharge capacity of comets. McCanney explains that it is the charge to mass ratio of the ionized CO2 and CO versus H2O that allows more CO2 abundance around the comet nucleus. The comet is discharging the solar capacitor at such a high velocity, that there's more ionized CO2 and CO around the nucleus. The non ionized water molecules are at a slower rate so they can't get anywhere near the comet nucleus. As Pierre explained in his book "Earth Changes and the Human Cosmic Connection" comets with an eccentric orbit (i.e. coming from out of the solar system) follow a trajectory that is almost perpendicular to the Sun's electric field. This means that the surrounding electric potential is rapidly changing along the comet's journey across the solar system. A refresher here:Astronomers recently reported that 3i Atlas is emitting light due to CO² sublimation.
BS! It's just a comet with an eccentric orbit discharging the solar capacitor. From Pierre's book:How often does a CME from our own sun strike a comet from interstellar space? It's rare, so tomorrow's collision is worth watching.