Belarus

Korzik18

Jedi
FOTCM Member
Since Biden came to power, the United States is trying to catch up over the years of Trump's presidency. They are doing their best to inflame the situation around the borders of Russia. Thanks to Lukashenko and support from Russia and Putin, our country Belarus is still holding on. Any difficulties only unite and temper us.
Of course, a coup d'état would be a shock for the country. The conspirators planned to hold it, perhaps even at the annual May 9 parade. In a similar manner, Egyptian President Marshal Anwar Sadat was assassinated.

Automatic translation from Russian:
In 1981, a military parade was held. It was attended by all the political and military leadership of Egypt, including President Marshal Anwar Sadat, Vice President of Air Chief Marshal Hosni Mubarak and Minister of Defense and Military Industry of the country, Field Marshal Mohammed Abd al-Halim Abu Ghazal. Dignitaries admired the passing columns of Egyptian military units and formations. It is not for nothing that the Egyptian army has traditionally been considered one of the strongest in the Middle East. When five Mirage fighters appeared in the sky, the views of both the leaders and most of the guests and participants present at the parade rushed into the sky. It was interesting to watch how the Egyptian pilots show their skills.

At that time, an artillery tractor stopped near the central rostrum, where President Sadat was. Nobody paid attention to this. The security officers decided that the tractor had broken down and did not attach any importance to the stop. Meanwhile, a man in the form of a lieutenant of the airborne troops descended from the tractor and threw a grenade towards the tribune. An explosion thundered. The grenade exploded before reaching its final target. At that moment, the lieutenant opened fire from a machine gun at the podium. At the same moment, several more servicemen jumped out of the tractor, who also opened fire on the people on the podium and began to throw grenades towards the podium. In the truck itself, there was one more soldier who was targeting President Anwar Sadat.
Anwar Sadat was taken to a military hospital by helicopter. But the president died without regaining consciousness. The life of an influential Arab politician was interrupted at the age of 63.
The assassination of Sadat was a huge failure for the Egyptian special services. However, they tried to rehabilitate themselves promptly. Three participants in the assassination attempt were captured right at the scene of the crime, and three more people were arrested a few days later.
Lukashenka has been in power for 26 years. He did a lot of good and bad. But without the support of Russia, the ties of our industry, loans, Belarus would not be a peaceful and stable, albeit not a rich country.
Lukashenka loves to sit on two chairs, to please both the West and the East. He attributed this multi-vector policy to the economic need to trade and have good connections with all countries. He wanted to be neutral. This is certainly correct, but alas not in our time and in our world.
It's time to make a choice on whose side you are!
Before the elections, Lukashenka suddenly became friends with the United States, hugged Pompeo during his visit, and allowed the appointment of a US ambassador to Belarus (he did not seem to make it to us) for the first time in about 10 years. In parallel, his rhetoric towards Russia has become more hostile. Most of our people did not understand this at all. We are closely connected with Russia both historically, culturally and mentally. We have the same language and traditions. Russia cannot be our enemy.

Did he want to attract the oppositional part of the population to his side or was he preparing the way of retreat? But I hope that all his illusions about supporting the West have been dispelled. I think now he realized that in any case, despite all the smiles of the agreements, the fate of Gaddafi, Hussein, Milosevic awaited him. Well, if he fled to Russia, then Yanukovych, and that would be the best option.
On April 21, Putin addresses the Federal Assembly with a message, and on April 22, he meets with Lukashenko in Moscow. They are announcing some interesting decisions and statements.
 
I guess the PTB weren't too happy about Lukashenko outing their 940 million dollar bribe from the IMF to impose draconian covid restrictions. Apparently not happy with their failed color revolution and "opposition leader". Glad this plot was foiled. I'm very interested to see Putin's address tomorrow and announcement with Lukashenko.
 

Ellipse

The Living Force
FOTCM Member
For those who, like me, know nothing about Belarus (Biélorussie in French), here is what we can read on the French Wikipedia page about this country:

The country, a vast plain with a continental climate, is 40% covered by forests, including a primary forest that is home to animal species that have disappeared in the rest of Europe. The main resources of the country, with its poor subsoil, are agriculture and industry. In the south of the country is the historic region of Polesia, whose eastern part is difficult to access, especially for Westerners, and is still contaminated by radiation from the 1986 explosion at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant, as is the northern part of Ukraine.

Belarus, with a population of 9,477,918, has one of the lowest population densities on the continent: 46 inhabitants/km2. The majority of Belarusians live in urban areas; the country's largest cities are Minsk (the capital), Homiel, Hrodna, Mahiliow, Brest, Vitebsk and Babruysk.

[...]

In the 1990s, like its Russian neighbor, Belarus adopted a market economy, but limited the privatization of its industry and agriculture, thus avoiding importing its tractors, refrigerators and agricultural products: inequalities are less pronounced than in Russia. Belarus has thus maintained a welfare state system based on free education and health care. Since July 2010, Belarus, Russia and Kazakhstan have formed a customs union, abolishing controls at their common borders.

In 2018, according to its official statistics, Belarus is ranked 53rd out of 189 countries on the UN Human Development Index, and is in the group of states with "very high development". It has a very low infant mortality rate of 2.9 (compared to 6.6 in Russia or 3.7 in the UK). The rate of doctors per capita is 40.7 per 10,000 inhabitants (the figure is 41.9 in Sweden, 32 in Finland and 26.7 in Romania). The literacy rate is estimated at 99%. According to the United Nations Development Program, the Gini coefficient (inequality indicator) is one of the lowest in Europe.

[...]

According to a 2004 World Bank report, Belarus "quickly recovered GDP growth after the initial economic shock of independence, reduced poverty levels significantly, maintained broad coverage of health and education services, and accomplished this without increasing inequality. The policy measures put in place have been more successful in maintaining living standards and reducing poverty than in many transition economies.

[...]

The agricultural sector represents only 8% of GDP (in 2020) but provides the country with a certain degree of food autonomy. Thus, less than 10% of agricultural products are imported into Belarus.

So when you have read this, you understand why the psychopathic elite want to submit the country. Low inequalities, vast forests, wild life with preserved species, very high development and autonomy. Sure, we have a problem here, it seems this country look like too much as a paradise.
 

Ellipse

The Living Force
FOTCM Member
I notice too that the country had been put on its knees several times:

The country has experienced five major demographic crises in its history:

1563-1566: plague epidemic
1654-1667: war between Russia and the Grand Duchy of Lithuania (half the population disappeared)
1700-1721: Northern War against Sweden (one third of the population is killed)
1914-1917: First World War (1.2 million dead)
1941-1945: World War II (a quarter of the population dies, 1 million people are displaced)

It would be interesting to have the light of 6D on a such history. Is it simply that the country was weak due to circumstances ? Is it that those people carried something special which have to be annihilated ? Is it due some karma? I wonder.

If I remember well, the C's said that wars are an opportunity for something like souls "transfer" or "replacement", in any case some nefarious business from 4D STS side.

Make me think it would be interesting too, to have a graph visualizing all countries demographic history at the same time, so we can see the ones which were the most persecuted, a broader representation.

We can see that Belarus is of course Christian:
The main religions are Orthodox Christianity and Catholicism (especially among the Polish minority).
So I guess, if we add the points of my previous post, this is one of those countries which does no match enough the current frequency of the Empire (NATO), in a profound meaning. So the destabilization.
 

Korzik18

Jedi
FOTCM Member
I notice too that the country had been put on its knees several times:



It would be interesting to have the light of 6D on a such history. Is it simply that the country was weak due to circumstances ? Is it that those people carried something special which have to be annihilated ? Is it due some karma? I wonder.

If I remember well, the C's said that wars are an opportunity for something like souls "transfer" or "replacement", in any case some nefarious business from 4D STS side.

Make me think it would be interesting too, to have a graph visualizing all countries demographic history at the same time, so we can see the ones which were the most persecuted, a broader representation.

We can see that Belarus is of course Christian:

So I guess, if we add the points of my previous post, this is one of those countries which does no match enough the current frequency of the Empire (NATO), in a profound meaning. So the destabilization.
There was also a war with Napoleon in 1812. In just a year, the population living on the territory of present-day Belarus has decreased by a third! People died in battles, from hunger, cold and epidemics. Many villages were burned and plundered. The pre-war population was restored only after 20 years.

With regard to losses in the Great Patriotic War of 1941-1945 (World War II), historians now speak of the death of every third Belarusian. The population has decreased from about 9 to 6 million. And now we hardly find a family that did not suffer from this war, whose ancestors did not fight or survived the occupation. Our family was lucky, 2 grandfathers from my side and 2 from my husband's side returned alive from the war.

We are geographically located on the western borders of Russia and have been part of it for most of history. Therefore, all enemies go through us.

It would be interesting to have the light of 6D on a such history. Is it simply that the country was weak due to circumstances ? Is it that those people carried something special which have to be annihilated ? Is it due some karma? I wonder.
Maybe you are right. And this is the mission of our state.

Some historians believe that if not for such frequent and numerous losses in wars, then not 9.7 million people but 33 million could live in Belarus now.
But something constantly prevents our country from growing and developing successfully. If not a war, then the collapse of the Soviet Socialist Republic and a sharp economic decline.
Throughout all the post-war years, up to the beginning of the 1990s, the population of the Republic of Belarus was constantly growing. However, the intensity of this growth began to decline already in the early 1990s.

After the collapse of the USSR, mortality increased sharply in the former Soviet republics, especially among men. This is the first time in history that the death rate has steadily and significantly increased not because of the war. Belarus in 2010 only approached the 1990 indicators.

The economic reforms of the perestroika era have affected many aspects of people's lives. Since 1993, Belarus, whose population has begun to decline, has entered the stage of depopulation.

The decrease in the number of citizens was due to the excess of the death rate over the birth rate. The result of this process is the constant movement of the country towards the acquisition of the status of a smaller state (in terms of number).

If we try to immediately give a short, general description of the population of the Republic of Belarus, then we can say the following: the Belarusian nation is aging, with a high number of pensioners and a low birth rate, relatively educated, living mainly in cities, employed in the sphere of material production by less than half. According to these relative characteristics, the inhabitants of Belarus differ little from the population of neighboring states. Automatic translation Экономика и демография Беларуси: после 25 лет на "свободе" и в СССР
 

Korzik18

Jedi
FOTCM Member
And another misfortune of our lands is the accident at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in 1986. Tomorrow, April 26, this disaster turns 35 years old.

The peculiarities of the meteorological conditions in the period April 26 - May 10, 1986, as well as the composition and dynamics of the emergency release of radioactive substances, determined the complex nature of the pollution of the territory of the republic.

Analysis of the radioactive contamination of the territory of Europe with cesium-137 shows that about 35% of the Chernobyl fallout of this radionuclide on the European continent is located in Belarus. Contamination of the territory of Belarus with cesium-137 with a density of over 37 kBq / m2 amounted to 23% of the entire area of the republic (for Ukraine - 5%, Russia - 0.6%). Considering the scale and severity of the consequences of the Chernobyl disaster, the Supreme Council of Belarus in July 1990 declared the territory of the republic an ecological disaster zone.

In the first period after the disaster, a significant increase in the exposure dose rate of gamma radiation was recorded practically throughout the entire territory of Belarus.
The highest levels of iodine-131 deposition took place in the near zone of the Chernobyl nuclear power plant in the southern and southwestern parts.
During the first months after the disaster, iodine-131 completely disintegrated. However, the contamination of the territory with this isotope caused large doses of radiation to the thyroid gland ("iodine strike"), which subsequently led to a significant increase in its pathology, especially in children.

Medical implications

As a result of the Chernobyl disaster, radioiodine (primarily iodine-131) was one of the main sources of population exposure, which primarily affected the thyroid gland. The most exposed residents of Belarus were children and adolescents, especially children under the age of 7 years. The results of direct measurements in 1986 showed that about 30% of children under 2 years of age received doses above 1 Gy.

As a result of exposure to iodine radionuclides at the early stage of the accident and insufficient effectiveness of measures to protect the thyroid gland since 1990, an increase in the incidence of thyroid cancer has begun in Belarus, especially among children. Compared to the pre-accident period, the number of cases of thyroid cancer after the Chernobyl accident increased 33.6 times among children, and 2.5-7 times among adults, depending on age groups. The largest number of cases of thyroid cancer is detected among residents of the Gomel and Brest regions.
The damage caused to the republic by the Chernobyl disaster, calculated for a 30-year period of overcoming it, is estimated at 235 billion US dollars, which is equal to 32 budgets of the republic in 1985. This includes losses associated with deteriorating public health; damage to industry and the social sphere, agriculture, the construction complex, transport and communications, housing and communal services; pollution of mineral, land, water, forest and other resources; as well as additional costs associated with the implementation of measures to eliminate and minimize the consequences of the disaster and ensure safe living conditions for the population. Министерство по чрезвычайным ситуациям
I was 5 years old when it happened. I even remember how my mother came home worried and said about the disaster. I had an enlarged thyroid gland, but luckily there were no other serious problems.
 

Korzik18

Jedi
FOTCM Member
I guess the PTB weren't too happy about Lukashenko outing their 940 million dollar bribe from the IMF to impose draconian covid restrictions. Apparently not happy with their failed color revolution and "opposition leader". Glad this plot was foiled. I'm very interested to see Putin's address tomorrow and announcement with Lukashenko.
The results of the meeting between Putin and Lukashenko are not exactly known. Lukashenko said that he would sign a decree that in the event of his death (as President), all power will pass to the Security Council, where the military and civilians will decide by secret ballot "when the presidential elections are scheduled, whether or not to introduce a state of emergency." He was clearly planning something. So far, this idea contradicts the Constitution, but which is going to be amended at a popular referendum in 2022. I think his plan will be clear by then.

Putin's message was quite interesting. For the most part, he talked about the internal problems of the population and their solution. He never mentioned Ukraine (although their crazy politicians were waiting for a declaration of war). In the concluding short block about foreign policy, there were, as always, several bright phrases!

Here's a good article on Sott: 'Red lines,' coup attempts and Zircon missiles: Highlights of Putin's address to Federal Assembly -- Sott.net

It was really surprising to hear that Putin from a high rostrum confirmed the disclosure of a conspiracy against Lukashenka, planning a cyber attack on the power system of Minsk. By the way, the conspirators with personal lawyers (without shackles and signs of torture) confess. And they even call the name of the curator from the United States.

Adviser to US President Joe Biden Michael Carpenter was involved in the preparation of a military coup in Belarus and an attempt on the life of President Alexander Lukashenko, the ONT TV channel reported.

I wonder how else PTB will attack Belarus after the failure of the color revolution and the military coup? What is written in their training manual?
It is important that they do not come up with the idea of attacking our new nuclear power plant. After Chernobyl, this is a sore subject for Belarusians.
 
The results of the meeting between Putin and Lukashenko are not exactly known. Lukashenko said that he would sign a decree that in the event of his death (as President), all power will pass to the Security Council, where the military and civilians will decide by secret ballot "when the presidential elections are scheduled, whether or not to introduce a state of emergency." He was clearly planning something. So far, this idea contradicts the Constitution, but which is going to be amended at a popular referendum in 2022. I think his plan will be clear by then.

Putin's message was quite interesting. For the most part, he talked about the internal problems of the population and their solution. He never mentioned Ukraine (although their crazy politicians were waiting for a declaration of war). In the concluding short block about foreign policy, there were, as always, several bright phrases!

Here's a good article on Sott: 'Red lines,' coup attempts and Zircon missiles: Highlights of Putin's address to Federal Assembly -- Sott.net

It was really surprising to hear that Putin from a high rostrum confirmed the disclosure of a conspiracy against Lukashenka, planning a cyber attack on the power system of Minsk. By the way, the conspirators with personal lawyers (without shackles and signs of torture) confess. And they even call the name of the curator from the United States.



I wonder how else PTB will attack Belarus after the failure of the color revolution and the military coup? What is written in their training manual?
It is important that they do not come up with the idea of attacking our new nuclear power plant. After Chernobyl, this is a sore subject for Belarusians.
What's your take on how the people in Belarus are handling the news of the coup plot? Are people taking it seriously, or do they regard it with skepticism?
 

Korzik18

Jedi
FOTCM Member
To answer your question, I had to think a little.:-)

Now almost every society in every country in the world is divided on the basis of the Covid-19 relationship. Likewise, our society is divided, but to a greater extent due to the attitude towards the color revolution.

А. Oppositionists:
1. People just lived, many of them never even watched the news (I know such people), they were not at all interested in politics. Their world consisted of work, household and family problems, planning the future of children (how to send a child to study abroad). Many of them lived with a persistent conviction that we have a very bad country (we have bad things, education, medicine, laws) and that there is happiness only in America and Europe. At the same time, most of these dissatisfied have good jobs (IT specialists, doctors, managers, company owners), own housing, good cars. A real middle class. Basically, these are people up to 45 years old (fortunately, not all) who did not know difficulties and hardships, did not experience hunger and war. They love Belarus and want to see it prosperous, but for some reason they dream of going to live abroad. But most of them are good people, just naive revolutionaries trapped in a pseudo-reality created by psychopaths.

2. There are still radical people, marginals, thirsty for blood and destruction, power, some for money, and some with obvious fascist ideas. They train in special military detachments, fight in Donbas on the side of Ukraine, make warehouses with weapons and plan terrorist attacks. At the same time, the first category of naive intellectuals-revolutionaries diligently pretends not to notice these Russophobes.

Alas, I can't find on sott there was an excellent article on how ordinary innocent people fall into someone else's pseudo-reality and cannot get out of it.
I have several friends and relatives who have fallen into this trap. I think all this is due to a lack of knowledge and understanding of the structure of the world and some infantilism.

В. Fortunately, I dare to assume that most of the population 60-70% has a more or less objective view of reality.

What's your take on how the people in Belarus are handling the news of the coup plot? Are people taking it seriously, or do they regard it with skepticism?
I think that the attitude towards a coup d'etat depends on which group the person belongs to:
А. Oppositionists are skeptical. And they even justify the conspirators and terrorists. They say it's okay to sit in the kitchen or in Zoom and plan to kill the president and his son !!! Lukashenka has 3 sons: 2 adults and one 16 year old goes to school (the opposition doesn't like him most of all).

В The pro-government group of the population takes it seriously. With one caveat, it was really difficult to believe, since we have long been living in a peaceful country, without terrorist attacks. We have lost the habit of political and social upheavals.

But knowledge protects. And the more information about the conspiracy appears, the more terrible and disgusting it becomes.

Yesterday they showed additional surveillance materials, recordings of the conversations of the conspirators from the summer of 2020, as well as their own confessions. Everything looks quite grave and terrible. People were thirsty for money and power, they wanted to enrich themselves at the expense of the state, to sell factories, to seize all the institutions of power, in fact to unleash a civil war. They themselves say that they thought about the best way to kill Lukashenka: at the time of the plane's takeoff, in the residence, at the parade. We were discussing where to get the right weapon. They wanted to buy a special house on the farm to torture government officials. They followed Lukashenka's eldest son and worked out a kidnapping plan. And they were looking for traitors among the army. And here they had a misfire!

I look at the conspirators and understand why they are called "Winnie the Pooh" with a grin. They live in their reality and wishful thinking. And it can be seen! They believe that the CIA will help them, the State Department will allocate money to overthrow the government, etc. They already share positions of power and money. But they were caught and we see their real frightened face.
But if they really managed to find a traitor in the ranks of the army and their plan succeeded? I think we would not be funny anymore.

And I also think maybe the Universe ruined their plans ?!:-)
 

AndrewMn

Jedi
FOTCM Member
I fully confirm everything that @Korzik18 wrote above and would like to add one more important objective point.
As of today, earlier, neither during the elections, nor after the elections, not a single candidate presented a program for the country's development. For me, this is just a very important argument. Absolutely all of our revolutionaries repeat only one mantra - the main thing is to get power (control). And none of them even makes an attempt in any of the oppositional mass media at least to give theses - why do they need power. But such a position only testifies to the fact that they, like predators, run to prey, seeing nothing around, pulling the weaker into their reality.
 

Korzik18

Jedi
FOTCM Member
Disgust at Belarus’ grounding of Ryanair jet selective given lack of concern about similar incidents involving West & its clients

I woke up the other morning with every major MSM outlet spamming outrage over this incident - My immediate thought was, "Uh oh, looks like ole' Lukashenko nabbed one of CIA/Soros agent/agitators, lol, get Rekt kids - how's that feel?". Good for him. The over-the-top accusations by the media about "omg muh terrorism" just made me roll my eyes so hard.
Storm again in Belarus!
Suddenly, on Sunday, May 23, news came that the Minsk airport received information about a bomb on board an Athens-Vilnius plane flying over Belarus. The Ryanair plane landed at Minsk-2 airport, no bomb was found, but one of the founders of the extremist neo-fascist telegrams of the NEXTA channel was on board (it really became the main informational and driving force behind the protest in Belarus during and after the 2020 presidential elections). The channel is sponsored by Poland (maybe the United States, and various democratic foundations). All the creators and administrators of the channel's telegrams, opposition leaders (including Tikhanovskaya - Belarusian Guaido) fled Belarus even before the elections or immediately after, when they realized that they had lost to Poland and Lithuania. They are all wanted in Belarus. They lost but didn't give up. Because the PTB has not abandoned its plans to overthrow Lukashenka and impose democracy following the example of Ukraine.

Bolton called the countries surrounding Russia a gray zone that needs to be REMOVED:
... Six Eastern European and Caucasus countries were left in a gray zone between Russia and NATO’s new borders, thereby remaining vulnerable to Moscow’s desire to reestablish hegemony within the former USSR....
...Russia kept Belarus politically and economically close, still its strategy today but an increasingly difficult one after 2020’s popular opposition to the Minsk regime....

...As long as a gray zone remains between NATO and Russia, instability will persist. Shrinking this inherently dangerous geographic space reduces potential Russian mischief, and ultimately confronts Moscow again with the question whether to join the West or oppose it.
...Belarus is the hardest challenge of all, with alliance membership inconceivable for quite some time. Yet however difficult it may be, the U.S. cannot leave Belarus to Moscow uncontested. The map alone shows how geopolitically critical Belarus is for Poland, Ukraine, and the Baltic republics, and how grave a threat an offensive Russian military presence would be. Ironically, rising pro-democracy sentiment increases the risk of Russian military intervention, and perhaps an outright Anschluss, even as the popular discontent demonstrates that moving Belarus westward may be more feasible than previously thought. NATO needs more outreach into Belarus, and its Eastern European members should play a major role. Belarus also implicates the related question whether Sweden and Finland will finally accept the inevitable and join NATO, thereby bolstering the Baltic republics and others.

Russia’s promises not to intervene in its former republics — and its protestations that its intentions are benign — carry no weight. Russia will stop meddling when it knows that it cannot succeed and that crossing a NATO boundary (of some sort) will bring inevitable and highly damaging consequences. The sooner we make that clear, the better....

By JOHN R. BOLTON
May 13, 2021
Until now, political scientists and experts argue over whose special operation this was:
1. Pure coincidence
2. Operation Lukashenka and the Belarusian KGB
3. Operation of Western intelligence services.

So far, there is little information and data to give an exact answer. :huh:

The case is really tricky. I will not go into detail about all the facts and nuances. But I am already inclined to think that it was option 3. Too quickly (almost instantly) there was a reaction from almost all Western leaders (European, Canada, USA), from the pseudo-leaders of the Belarusian opposition based in Europe. As always, groundless accusations are heard against not only Lukashenka the terrorist and air pirate, but also Russia. There are calls for re-imposing sanctions on Nord Stream 2 and even stopping the Yamal-Europe gas pipeline.

Immediately, European countries decided to boycott Belarusian airlines and banned flights in the country's airspace. This will increase the cost of flights to some destinations, increase the load and risk on airports, as the aircraft will need to refuel due to the lengthening of the route. About 300 000 planes flew t through Belarus per year.

Belarus has invited representatives of ICAO, IATA, EASA and the EU and US aviation authorities to study the incident with the Ryanair aircraft. But NOBODY did not answer the invitation.
photo_2021-05-25_14-39-23.jpg
In Latvia, the mayor of Riga, where the world ice hockey championship is being held, together with the country's foreign minister, replaced the national flag of Belarus with the white-red-white opposition flag. Countries have sent ambassadors to each other.

The deputy of the Latvian parliament proposed to take the Belarus national ice hockey team hostage and exchange it for all "political prisoners". “There is a proposal: Latvia detains the entire Belarusian hockey team and releases them to the Latvian border in exchange for all political prisoners of the Belarusian regime,” Aigars Bikse wrote on Facebook.
He noted that "the European Union was hit in the face" and the response to the incident with the Ryanair plane in Minsk "must be loud."

The collective West has much more benefits from the current situation, more destabilization and chaos, more pressure on Belarus and Russia, new sanctions:
automatic translation Belarus:
-The special operation to arrest the ex-editor-in-chief of Nexta Roman Protasevich, or a series of incredible coincidences that led to his arrest, opened a new page in Belarus's relations with the EU.

-After the 2020 elections, despite all the harshness of the statements, the EU was limited to rather symbolic sanctions against Belarus. Painful sanctions (against Belarusian oil refining) were imposed only by the United States.

Now on the agenda:
- A complete ban for EU-based airlines on all flights through the airspace of Belarus and a ban for Belarusian airlines to make any flights through the airspace of the EU. The United Kingdom and Ukraine have already joined these sanctions, having canceled all flights to / through Belarus and closed their airspace for Belarus.

In addition, there are calls for the expulsion of Belarus from the International Civil Aviation Organization, which de facto may mean a complete air blockade of the country.

- Freezing of investments from the EU to Belarus.

- Sanctions against individuals involved in an emergency landing in Belarus on board the Irish airline Ryanair.

Calls from the UK to impose sanctions on Nord Stream 2 and the Yamal-Europe gas pipeline running through Belarus (owned by Gazprom) are purely German trolling.

Due to the Ryanair incident, Belarus is receiving significantly tougher sanctions from the EU than previously imposed by it due to the elections and protests in the country.
Tough sanctions can really hit the Belarusian economy hard. Europe is the second trading partner of our country after Russia. But this whole story has one plus for us. Lukashenka's information and political window to Europe is closing. The sanctions actually cut off all directions for Belarus, except for the Russian one. The political and economic dependence of the Republic of Belarus on the Russian Federation is sharply increasing.

I hope Lukashenka has no secret fantasies that the West will forgive him and accept him back, if only as Milosevic or Gaddafi.
I want to believe that we have a leader who will not betray. Unfortunately, our society is now divided into a small part of ardent oppositionists, patriots and a large part of just people who see all the madness of the world around them, but do not know who to trust.
Of course outraged A SEA OF LIES is pouring around. The media on both sides are very much escalating the situation where one should not hype on hot news.:cool2: I stay calm, but a heightened sense of justice sometimes boils inside. Just a crazy house around.
 

Siberia

Ambassador
Ambassador
FOTCM Member
Until now, political scientists and experts argue over whose special operation this was:
1. Pure coincidence
2. Operation Lukashenka and the Belarusian KGB
3. Operation of Western intelligence services.

So far, there is little information and data to give an exact answer. :huh:

The case is really tricky. I will not go into detail about all the facts and nuances. But I am already inclined to think that it was option 3.
It does look like option 3 indeed. Here is how the Deputy of Bundestag has commented the situation (translated via DeepL):

The situation with the emergency landing of Ryanair aircraft in Minsk was provoked by the West. This opinion was expressed by Bundestag deputy Waldemar Herdt on May 25.

Herdt notes that Western countries could originally pursue one goal - to stop flights of Belarusian companies over the area of the European Union (EU).

"I'm pretty sure that the information about the former editor-in-chief of Telegram-channel NEXTA Roman Protasevich, who was on board, was planted to the Belarusian secret services from the West. But it's unforgivable {for Belarusian authorities apparently} to be so easily guided and caught... That's for sure," "360.ru" quoted Herdt.

The consequences of this move for Belarus are quite harsh, I can imagine how the people will be angry that they cannot fly to Europe as before.

But this whole story has one plus for us. Lukashenka's information and political window to Europe is closing. The sanctions actually cut off all directions for Belarus, except for the Russian one. The political and economic dependence of the Republic of Belarus on the Russian Federation is sharply increasing.

Yes, it seems that Lukashenko will not be able to sit on two chairs as before. He will have to build closer ties with Russia, China. But like you said, this could also bring certain benefits for Belarus. We will see how it goes from now on. There will be soon a planned meeting between the presidents of Russia and Belarus, and it will be interesting to see the results of it.
 
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