On January 8th, the deputy commander of the operational command of the Donetsk People’s Republic, Eduard Basurin, reported that Ukrainian security forces were preparing a provocation with possible casualties among the civilian population in the area of Marinka.
Popov: Ukrainian offensive likely around Trump's inauguration day
http://www.fort-russ.com/2017/01/popov-ukrainian-offensive-likely-around.html
Basurin stated: “We call on Ukrainian authorities to cease and not commit foolish and rash actions which will lead to new casualties, including among the civilian population. We also want to draw the attention of the OSCE mission and UN representatives to this fact and demand that measures be taken to prevent provocations from the UAF.”
Earlier, another truce was supposed to enter into force on the night of December 23rd-24th, 2016. The events of the first hours of December 24th, however, showed that these expectations were not to be fulfilled. Observers in the field did, however, note a relative decline in the intensity of UAF shelling.
The UAF provocation exposed by Eduard Basurin is a continuation and development of the Svetlodar adventure. In fairness, it should be added that the Ukrainians themselves never concealed their plans. They have repeatedly said that Minsk-2 is for them a tactical ploy and that the “Ukrainian liberators” will not leave the “separatists” in peace. Even their main target lines have been named: Debaltsevo (at the junction of the DPR and LPR), Stanitsa Luganskaya (LPR), and Marino-Shirokino (southern DPR). For the Ukrainians, provocations like the recent firefights near Svetlodar and the expected provocation near Marinko are part of a single plan of conducting reconnaissance via forays on strategic fronts.
It is rather dubious that such an obvious violation by Kiev of the Minsk Agreements will draw broad international condemnation. Kiev has long since thought up an explanatory formula for justifying offensive actions and, in the least, the OSCE mission has literally closed its eyes more than once to violations by the Ukrainian side. An offensive, however, will most likely end in another tactical defeat.
It can be presumed that the Ukrainians’ intensification of activities in the “ATO” zone is directly connected to Trump’s victory. In Ukraine, many known figures directly tied to the UAF and political circles feared the possibility of Donald Trump winning the US presidential elections. Since Trump’s victory has become a fait accompli, the Ukrainians expect serious, if not fundamental changes in American policy towards Ukraine. I think that the Ukrainians will attempt to drag the new American administration onto their side. To this end, a series of military provocations which will take place at the very beginning of (or just before) Trump’s inauguration (January 20th) are in order. Even better for the Ukrainians would be if these provocations would affect Russia and thereby give the Russophobic lobby in US political and military circles the occasion to accuse our country of aggression and put pressure on Trump.
Based on the all of the above, it follows that provocations near Svetlodar and the Ukrainians’ announced offensive near Marinka are part of a single operative plan, not an initiative of individual commanders. Moreover, they will continue and quite possibly qualitatively escalate. The firefights near Svetlodar bear the character of a tactical offensive. A new offensive could turn into an operational one and, if the internal political situation in Ukraine changes radically, then this could turn into a strategic offensive.
Total Chaos In The Nazi Ukraine Junta Ranks, With Desertions, Alcohol Abuse And Criminal Indiscriminate Bombing Of Civilian Areas Of Donetsk Republic ! (Report/Video Col. Basurin)
http://novorossia.today/156351-2/
(MILITARY SITUATION REPORT/VIDEO FROM THE HIGH COMMAND DPR ARMY COL. BASURIN) Over the past day, total madness by the Coup Leader of Ukraine Poroshenko and his Nazi henchmen as they attack and launch heavy weapons fire on civilian areas of Donetsk Republic ! This all backed by the Obama regime and the green light to kill and wipe out the civilians of Donbass ,
this all ordered by the warmonger himself Senator McCain! Also it is important to stress, the world to know, the terrorist organization of NATO who have supplied weapons to the Nazi Ukraine Junta, lethal weapons and the order to kill all civilians of Donbass, this ordered by NATO Chief Stoltenberg as well ! War crimes ! As reported, the criminal forces of Ukraine violated the ceasefire 521 times, having launched on the territory of the Republic 4 tank shells, 64 82 and 120mm mortar shells and 316 shells from different types of grenade launchers. In addition, the enemy also used in the attack, Infantry fighting vehicles and small arms.
The Ukrainian terrorists, on the orders of the commanders of the 53rd, 72nd and 92nd separate mechanized brigades, Gruzevich, Nikolyuk and Sokolov, and the commander of the 36th Marine brigade, Delyatitsky, shelled the following localities of the Republic: Zheleznaya Balka, Zaytsevo, Yasinovataya, Alexandrovka, Luganskoye, Kominternovo, Leninskoye, Sakhanka and Dzerzhinskoye.
Our intelligence continues to record the strengthening of the Nazi Ukraine Units (AFU) positions near the contact line.
•In Shumy (1 km away from the contact line), there were detected 11 armored personnel carriers;
•In Maryinka (1 km away from the contact line), there were detected 30 foreign mercenaries from a private military company;
•In Travnevoye (1 km away from the contact line), there was detected the arrival and accommodation of the personnel of a unit of the 46th special purposes battalion of the AFU;
•In Kurakhovo (18 km away from the contact line) arrived about 300 SBU employees to carry out cleansing operations;
•In Mirnoye (11 km away from the contact line), there was detected the arrival of four trucks with ammunition;
•In Chermalyk, there was detected the personnel of a sniper platoon of the 501st separate Marine battalion.
We received the confirmation of the fact of increasing frequency of desertion in the AFU units after the holidays, as well as due to restrictions imposed by the «ATO» command on the military’s compensatory time off for meetings with their families and relatives.
In particular, it was found that a soldier from the 2nd battalion of the 30th separate mechanized brigade voluntarily left the temporary dislocation point, taking personal weapons with him, and headed to the area of the locality of Volnovakha.
According to his comrades, the soldier was going to sell his arms and ammunition so that he could afford to go home in central Ukraine.
In addition, we found the fact of desertion by a soldier of the 1st battalion of the 72nd separate mechanized brigade of the AFU. Due to this fact, the personnel of the battalion is forbidden to leave the dislocation of their units, which, consequently, caused the abuse of alcoholic beverages on the territory of the unit.
Following this state of affairs, there was noted the arrival of commissions of the higher headquarters in the units of the AFU, in order to check the combat readiness and morale.
In our turn, the DPR People’s Army units continuously improve the level of combat readiness. From now on, the platoons teamwork training has begun in the DPR People’s Army units, followed by supervision sessions to perform control exercises on driving and shooting with small arms at the military training grounds.
Vice-Commander of the DPR Defense Ministry operative command Donetsk,Colonel Eduard Basurin
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SEHDhcwNnm0 (3:21 min.)
Ukraine Junta Military Going AWOL, Low Morale And Discipline Now Hiring Nazi Gangs To Do The Fighting For The Poroshenko Regime ! (Military Report/Video Maj. Marochko)
http://novorossia.today/156354-2/
(MILITARY SITUATION REPORT/VIDEO BY HIGH COMMAND LPR PEOPLE’S ARMY MAJ. MAROCHKO) Over the past day, the situation on the contact line has not changed significantly and remains under control.
The Nazi Ukrainian military, on the order of the terrorist and criminal, Gorbatyuk, two times violated the ceasefire, having shelled the LPR People’s Army positions in the area of the localities Kalinovka and Logvinovo with 82 and 120mm mortars, infantry fighting vehicles, grenade launchers and small arms.
The criminal authorities of the Ukraine Junta continue to use the ceasefire to regroup and strengthen their positions on the contact line, as well as to carry out provocative bombardments. In particular, in the area of a fishery in the locality of Valuyskoye, the enemy has placed weapons of the 14th separate mechanized brigade of the Nazi Ukraine Units (AFU ) , prohibited by the Minsk Agreements, including two 122mm motorized artillery systems «Gvozdika» and one tank.
At the same time, against the background of low manning of the Nazi Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel, the Ukrainian Junta command continues to seek the help of nationalist hardcore right wing Nazi gangs and makes every effort to discourage the military personnel serving in the «ATO» area from dismissing. Soldiers and officers of the Nazi Ukraine Units (AFU) do not express a desire to renew the contracts for military service. Due to this fact, in the AFU units, there is noted a decline in the military discipline and sense of duty, with a simultaneous increase in the number of cases of AWOLs at the end of their contract.
In particular, the official statement of a representative of the «ATO» headquarters contains the information about three AFU soldiers who have not returned from their outing. We assume that they will soon join our ranks to fight the Ukrainian terrorism.
In addition, the Chief of the General Staff of Nazi Ukraine, V.Muzhenko, ordered the completion of the AFU staff officer positions by recruiting reserve officers who have received the higher education and a military rank but do not have the experience in military service. These measures confirm all the deplorable situation in the Armed Forces of Ukraine Junta.
In addition, the AFU command continues to violate the rights of the military. In particular, we have become aware of the two-month deliberate postponement of rotation activities planned in the AFU for February-March 2017.
The level of equipment of the AFU units with weapons and military equipment is defined as low. Up to 70% of the military equipment park is in poor condition, with a half of it, according to the annual report, not to be restored. A commission of the «ATO» headquarters, headed by a deputy commander, is working on this fact. In particular, in the repair and restoration battalion of the 24th brigade of the AFU, stationed near the locality of Kamyshevakha, the commission found the facts of theft of petroleum products and illegal sales of repair kits and assemblies of motor vehicles.
This week, in the People’s Army, there are scheduled classes on special, tactical, intelligence and fire training, including practical shooting at the military training grounds. In addition, the People’s Army command pays special attention to the level of the personnel physical training, with all categories of the military passing control norms.
We invite all the media accredited by the People’s Army to cover lessons on combat training, as we are most open and ready to show what we have achieved in mastering the military prowess.
Once again I would like to say that LPR People’s Army strictly observes the Minsk Agreements but, in the event of their failure by the Nazi Ukrainian side, is ready to act decisively.
Official representative of the LPR People’s Army, Major Andrey Marochko
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m8Pqqj_vA5U (4:36 min.)