I thought this was worth posting in the thread:
The above video done by After Skool in cooperation with Academy of Ideas is informative. It seems to me it can be viewed from two perspectives in this situation. One is becoming mentally infected by a mistaken social narrative about a pandemic, the other is opposing the falseness, but in a way that one ends up loosing balance and connectedness with reality oneself. The video does not mention the Covid issue, so anyone can watch and think about how it might apply to past and present social conditions.The 20-minute video, “Mass Psychosis — How an Entire Population Becomes Mentally Ill,” is a fascinating illustration of how mass psychosis can be induced.
Dr Joseph Mercola: Mass Psychosis — How to Create an Epidemic of Mental Illness - NewsVoice
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09maaUaRT4M&t=1snewsvoice.se
Tromethamine (Tris) is a blood acid reducer which is used to stabilize people with heart attacks. Here are known side effects: Respiratory depression - local irritation- tissue inflammation - injection site infection - febrile response - chemical phlebitis - venospasm (vein spasms) - hypervolemia - IV thrombosis - extravasation (with possible necrosis and sloughing of tissues) - transient decreases in blood glucose concentrations - hypoglycemia, and Hepatic Necrosis with infusion via low-lying umbilical venous catheters.
Is vaccine efficacy a statistical illusion?
To evaluate the risk/benefit of a vaccine for treating a virus, such as covid-19, we can compare the all-cause mortality rate of vaccinated against unvaccinated people on a periodic basis. If the mortality rate for those vaccinated is consistently lower than that for unvaccinated then we might conclude the vaccine must be beneficial.
Placebo Vaccination
Imagine that a placebo rather than a vaccine is quickly rolled out to a population of one million people of similar age and health. Let’s assume the weekly non-virus mortality rate for this population is 15 per 100,000 (100k), so we would expect about 150 out of the million to die in any given week. Because the placebo changes nothing, the mortality rates for both vaccinated and unvaccinated average the same 15 per 100k, each week every week. Hence, on average, what we should observe – as the ‘vaccination’ programme rolls out to most of the population - is shown in Table 1. Notice that the placebo vaccine roll-out programme is enacted at pace and the cumulative percentage of the population vaccinated rises to 98% within 12 weeks.
Table 1. Roll out of placebo ‘vaccine’. No observed differences in mortality rates (no population growth and each week total population reduced by previous week’s deaths).
Vaccinated Unvaccinated Week Population Cumulative Percentage vaccinated Deaths Population Mortality rate Deaths Population Mortality rate 1 1,000,000 0.5 1 5,000 15 149 995,000 15 2 999,850 1 1 9,999 15 148 989,852 15 3 999,700 2 3 19,994 15 147 979,706 15 4 999,550 4 6 39,982 15 144 959,568 15 5 999,400 7 10 69,958 15 139 929,442 15 6 999,250 14 21 139,895 15 129 859,355 15 7 999,100 28 42 279,748 15 108 719,352 15 8 998,950 45 67 449,528 15 82 549,423 15 9 998,801 65 97 649,220 15 52 349,580 15 10 998,651 80 120 798,921 15 30 199,730 15 11 998,501 93 139 928,606 15 10 69,895 15 12 998,351 98 147 978,384 15 3 19,967 15 13 998,201 98.5 147 983,228 15 2 14,973 15 14 998,052 98.6 148 984,079 15 2 13,973 15 15 997,902 98.7 148 984,929 15 2 12,973 15 16 997,752 98.9 148 986,777 15 2 10,975 15 17 997,603 99 148 987,627 15 1 9,976 15 18 997,453 99.1 148 988,476 15 1 8,977 15 19 997,303 99.2 148 989,325 15 1 7,978 15 20 997,154 99.3 149 990,174 15 1 6,980 15
Now suppose there is a one-week delay in the reporting of deaths. Such delays are routine in statistical reporting of mortality and vaccine data. Then the data reported by the authorities is different from reality, here shown in Table 2, which is the same as Table 1 but where the death totals are simply ‘shifted’ down one week.
Table 2. Death reporting delayed by one week.
Vaccinated Unvaccinated Week Population Cumulative Percentage vaccinated Deaths Population Mortality rate Deaths Population Mortality rate 1 1,000,000 0.5 - 5,000 - - 995,000 - 2 999,850 1 1 9,999 7.50 149 989,852 15.08 3 999,700 2 1 19,994 7.50 148 979,706 15.16 4 999,550 4 3 39,982 7.50 147 959,568 15.31 5 999,400 7 6 69,958 8.57 144 929,442 15.49 6 999,250 14 10 139,895 7.50 139 859,355 16.22 7 999,100 28 21 279,748 7.50 129 719,352 17.92 8 998,950 45 42 449,528 9.33 108 549,423 19.64 9 998,801 65 67 649,220 10.39 82 349,580 23.57 10 998,651 80 97 798,921 12.19 52 199,730 26.25 11 998,501 93 120 928,606 12.91 30 69,895 42.86 12 998,351 98 139 978,384 14.24 10 19,967 52.51 13 998,201 98.5 147 983,228 14.93 3 14,973 20.00 14 998,052 98.6 147 984,079 14.99 2 13,973 16.07 15 997,902 98.7 148 984,929 14.99 2 12,973 16.16 16 997,752 98.9 148 986,777 14.97 2 10,975 17.73 17 997,603 99 148 987,627 14.99 2 9,976 16.50 18 997,453 99.1 148 988,476 14.99 1 8,977 16.67 19 997,303 99.2 148 989,325 14.99 1 7,978 16.88 20 997,154 99.3 148 990,174 14.99 1 6,980 17.15Suppose we want to examine and compare the mortality rates of the unvaccinated and vaccinated cohorts based on the data in Table 2. Figure 1 shows this comparison, and we can see that the mortality rate is consistently lower for the vaccinated than that for the unvaccinated throughout the roll out of the vaccination programme and it reduces as soon as vaccination nears population saturation at close to 100%.
We might conclude that those who remain unvaccinated look to be suffering much higher levels of mortality than the vaccinated. The reporting delay therefore creates a completely artificial impression that the vaccine must be highly effective. In fact, it looks like a magic ‘cure all’ wonder drug!
The fact that the mortality rate of the unvaccinated peaks when the percentage of those vaccinated peaks should ring some alarm bells that something strange is going on (unless there is independent evidence that the virus was peaking at the same time).
ONS data on Covid-19 Vaccination
While the placebo vaccine example was purely hypothetical, Figure 2 shows the vaccinated against unvaccinated mortality using the data in the latest ONS report mortality in England by Covid-19 vaccination status (weeks 1 to 38)[1], complemented by NIMS vaccination survey data (up to week 27 only). Here we show other-than covid mortality to remove the virus signal.
Figure 2. Reported weekly other-than covid mortality rates for vaccinated versus unvaccinated for 60-69 age group for weeks 1-38 2021.
Note that we see the same features as the shifted graph in Figure 1. In other words, a perfectly reasonable explanation for what is observed here could be that there is no difference in mortality rates between vaccinated and unvaccinated and the mortality differences are simply a result of a delay in death reporting. Moreover, given we have removed covid deaths (which were only a small percentage of all-cause deaths in the reported data) we get a near identical result for non-covid mortality to that which would result if the vaccine were a placebo! Thus, we appear to have created a statistical illusion of vaccine efficacy.
If this is not a statistical illusion how is it possible that the unvaccinated are dying from non-covid causes at a higher rate than vaccinated? Also how is it possible that, at the time vaccination rates are ramped up to nearly 100% of the population, the nonvaccinated are dying from non-covid deaths at almost twice the rate of those who are vaccinated?
These same patterns are also observable in the 70-79 and 80+ age groups (with the mortality peaks for the unvaccinated appearing at different weeks because these age groups received vaccinations earlier). This strongly suggests that what we are observing is a genuine statistical illusion unexplainable by any real impact of the vaccine on mortality rates. There could, of course, be reasons other than just delays in death reporting or misclassification. For example, any systematic underestimation of the actual proportion who remain unvaccinated would lead to a higher mortality rate for unvaccinated higher than that for the vaccinated, even if the mortality rates were equal in each category.
Consider a deadly placebo
It is also important to note that even if the actual mortality rate for the vaccinated was higher than that of the unvaccinated, where the vaccine was causing death, as a side effect, we would still likely observe the same illusion.
To see this effect let’s revisit our placebo vaccine example and make a small change to Table 1 where instead of a mortality rate of 15 per 100k for the vaccinated, suppose it is 17 per 100k (a rise in mortality of approximately 13%). So, the placebo vaccine is killing two more people per 100k and gives no mortality benefit otherwise. In this scenario the reported mortality rate for the ‘deadly placebo’ is compared to the first ‘placebo’ scenario, in Figure 3. Even here we see the illusion that the mortality rate for the vaccinated is lower than unvaccinated. Both scenarios are the opposite of reality, and both look interchangeable. This means the chance of picking up a vaccine side effect signal is close to impossible and instead the illusion is created of vaccine efficacy.
Figure 3. Reported weekly mortality rates vaccinated against unvaccinated for ‘placebo’ scenario and ‘deadly placebo’ scenarios.
The illusion of declining vaccine efficacy
Finally, it is important to note that the same statistical illusion applies to all measures of vaccine efficacy whether they be cases, hospitalizations, or deaths. In fact, replacing the number of deaths in Table 1 with number of cases, with a one week reporting delay, would result in vaccine efficacy rates as shown in Figure 4.
This occurs when the actual placebo vaccine efficacy for cases is zero.
This reporting bias is one type of bias that might be called ‘reporting lag censoring’, a phenomenon whereby structural or process factors systematically interfere with when data is handled and reported with the consequential effect that it is then misinterpreted, leading to false conclusions.
[1] Deaths involving COVID-19 by vaccination status, England - Office for National Statistics
Great article by Nick Fenton and Martin Neil regarding statistical bias. It is quite a long read, but it's mind-blowing how simple bias introduced into their model of placebo vaccinations introduced a perception of highly efficient vaccines. Are researchers aware of that kind of systemic errors? It seems
Yep - MSM doing all it can to cover up what's happening:So it appears AFib is an adverse event of the jabs.
OK, so no eating out or entertainments? Essential stuff is OK (for now)?This is a translation of one part of the Austrian law concerning the new covid laws: As one can see one can still do things without 2G. .
"Customer areas
§ (1) Customers may only enter customer areas of business premises for the purpose of purchasing goods or
for the purpose of obtaining services only if they have a 2G certificate.
(2) Paragraph 1 shall not apply to:
1. public pharmacies,
2. food retailers (including sales outlets of food producers) and farm-based direct marketers,
3. drugstores and drugstores,
4. sales of medical and sanitary products, therapeutic aids and appliances,
5. health and nursing services,
6. services for persons with disabilities, which are provided by the Länder within the framework of the
disability assistance, social assistance, participation, or equal opportunity laws,
7. veterinary services,
8. sale of animal feed,
9. sale and maintenance of safety and emergency products, which are in particular fire extinguishers,
protective equipment, illuminants, combustibles, fuses, salt spreaders, but not weapons and
accessories, unless their acquisition for professional purposes for legal reasons is mandatory and cannot be postponed.
for professional purposes, unless their acquisition is absolutely necessary and cannot be postponed,
10. emergency services,
11. agricultural trade, including animal auctions, as well as the horticultural business and the
Land products trade in seeds, fodder and fertilizers,
12. gas stations and electric filling stations and car washes,
13. banks,
14. postal service providers including their postal partners, insofar as these postal partners fall under the
5 Par. 2, as well as postal service outlets as defined in § 3 No. 7 PMG that are operated by a municipality or are located in municipalities. operated by a municipality or located in municipalities in which the provision of postal services is not
by any other postal service point falling under § 5 Par. 2, but which are used exclusively for the provision of postal services and which do not fall under § 5 Par. 2. provision of postal services and the activities permitted under § 5 par. 2, and providers of
of telecommunications,
15. services related to the administration of justice,
16. public transport,
17. tobacco stores and newsstands,
18. hygiene and cleaning services,
19. waste disposal services,
20. automobile and bicycle repair shops,
21. the collection of pre-ordered goods, whereby customers in enclosed spaces are required to wear a mask"
---------------
Providers of mobile nursing and care services are only allowed to enter external workplaces workplaces if they present a 2G certificate and wear a tight-fitting mechanical protective device that covers the mouth and nose area.
If a 2G certificate cannot be presented, proof from an authorized agency of a negative result of a molecular biology test for SARS-CoV-2, which must have been taken no more than 72 hours ago. and a mask must be worn when in direct contact with customers.
Concerning gastronomie, culture etc. the rules are: Only 2G.
Meanwhile in Singapore, 87% of the population is vaccinated, and the Covid mortality rate has never been this high. Note that before the vaccination campaign Covid mortality rate was almost zero
1. It makes me sad and angry how you can still deny the pandemic. We have residents in our house whose friends and relatives have died of Corona. And in our common room you meet with 'unvaccinated people' who do not live in the Martha Housing Project.
In your complaint to the MV you write: "...as long as the health salvation of society is propagated and accepted solely in the eradication of the unvaccinated by injections and fear drives us further apart".
I don't understand your views! Greetings R.
2. "...as long as the health salvation of society is propagated and accepted solely in the eradication of the unvaccinated by injections, and fear drives us further apart."
What language! Extermination in the context of human beings. Are you crazy?! To me it almost feels more like a tyranny of the anti-vaccinationists at the moment. Like this
In my opinion, the only ones who create division/split and fear are the (Ver)leaders and rulers of the so-called lateral thinkers, the party "die Basis", the AfD and self-proclaimed health experts who were kicked out of university at some point. On their head go: Manslaughter, verbal and physical attacks on journalists, hospital staff being threatened and insulted, aggressive behaviour in front of schools, no clear demarcation from right-wing radicals, harbouring Q-Anon supporters, fake news, denigration of victims of National Socialism, ...
Thought pages... well... reminds me partly of a few scenes from the film "The Life of Brian". I clicked on the article anyway. It makes you dizzy with all the numbers and links. Are they all serious? Or did he just pick out the ones that suited him? Can lay people, like us, judge the work and statements of virologists? So I don't understand you any better.
Oh well, you can follow the measures and get vaccinated and still be critical.
Get out of there
Greetings S.
3. Dear H,
Enough!
I don't want any contrarian/conspiracy theorist talk here in the house. It doesn't fit with the diversity here.
It's not "fear" that is ruining our coexistence, it's your aggressive demand to scatter attachments in minutes and your sharing frenzy.
Don't you realise that the majority in Martha neither understands nor shares your opinion?
If you want to inform us about Mr. unknown's reasons against everything, including the Corona vaccination, what do you want to tell us?
No, I understand you less and less!
E.
4. Various aspects to H's contribution, which left me almost speechless in view of his otherwise so esteemed and grandiose intelligence and immense knowledge:
- In the article cited (which I must admit I have not listened to in its entirety), the argument against vaccination is teeming with words like "could" "probably" "possible" etc.
- What is almost completely missing is an approach on how to contain the virus, except perhaps for the propagated herd immunity, where as many as possible get infected - and accordingly many die in the process. What cynicism! In past plague epidemics, for example, it was not uncommon for up to a third of the population to be wiped out. I prefer even the dilettantism of the current politicians.
- The fact that people do not trust the figures published in the "normal" news is completely incomprehensible to me.
In Germany we have - thank God - a pretty well-functioning journalism. And it thrives on exposing everything that is not going well: "Only bad news are good news". I can't for the life of me imagine that no one from BILD to FAZ, SZ to TAZ would have noticed if there was anything even remotely wrong. Instead, people trust people they've never heard of before. Not to mention arguments like "I know someone there".
- It often sounds like the vaccinated are being accused of being a bit stupid and spreading the virus faster than the unvaccinated. How is it then that there are countries where at the same time the vaccination rate is very high and the incidence very low? E.g. Portugal, Spain but also Cambodia.
- Sometimes rules (= restrictions) are needed in a community to make living together better and safer for everyone. Just imagine if there were no speed limits, with the justification (which we have already had): "Free travel for free citizens".
- But it is also clear that there is no such thing as one hundred percent safety. Not against a virus, not even against side effects. But should we therefore go for zero safety?
I have no FEAR of Corona, but great RESPECT. Admittedly, I have also been a bit lax in using Covid lately. The measures are annoying, of course. But I just stick to the rules for reasons of solidarity, because they seem (for the most part) reasonable and understandable to me.
So dear(!) unvaccinated people: think again. Take a close look at the official figures and weigh up the risk: of contracting covid, or of side effects. And the risk of infecting others.
Here's to a - despite all this - good, mindful coexistence.
Greetings
S.
PS: Phew, that had to come out!