This is a preliminary post shortly after the event by Larry Johnson @ Sonar 21. His discusses the failure of ss and also his analysis of the rifle used . He starts with his experience of weapons, then goes on to discuss the type of weapon used in his opinion.I haven't caught up on this thread yet so apologies if this has already been said.
Hitting a head sized target at 150 yards with a .556 AR15 is not overly difficult, even without the aid of optics. Especially when you're not stressed, there are no time constraints on the shot, and assuming a small amount of training. Hitting a moving target while people on the ground are giving away your location is another thing entirely. I can only assume a head shot was attempted because the shooter expected Trump to be wearing body armor (I know I would be if in his position).
These are the embedded videos in this short piece, he will give a further analysis later
Also a further analysis