Potential Food and Energy Shortage Across the World

[Magnolia]

Ice Age Farmer (ice age farmer , Ice Age Farmer) posted info related to 'Merchant ships hit by missiles in Black Sea; Grain/fert exports STOP in Ukraine/Russia.' Ukraine Archives - There seems to be no definitive statement about who did it or why.

 

[unkl brws]

Ocean shipping to and from Russia halted by container lines​

A friend of mine posted a link to this article on FB today -

Ocean shipping to and from Russia halted by container lines

As the invasion of Ukraine enters its second week, the international shipping community is suspending cargo routes to and from Russia, disrupting trade in everything from electronics and metals to clo

www.workboat.com

 

[Anthony]

The media is warning of upcoming food rationing, and of course, it's Putin's fault!

From the Ice Age Farmer Telegram channel:

With mainstream media pushing idea of rationing food, the technocrats seem to be pivoting to digital ration cards. Too much resistance to mandates/passports? Just stage a war and cut the food.

As Kissinger said: “Control food and you control people.”

MSM:

Putin’s energy shock is becoming a world food crisis. Brace for rationing.

My report: https://www.iceagefarmer.com/2022/0...ing-food-crisis-escalates-eu-farmers-furious/

 

[loreta]

Here now the corn oil is rationed. This is just the beginning. Plus, we live on an island. We are at war. This is the beginning of something very ugly that is coming.

 

[unkl brws]

This is another article a friend linked to on FB. I'm getting the feeling that people around me are getting a sense that something serious is happening. This from the U.K. -

Refinery workers won't unload tanker full of Russian oil

Essar says it is 'working urgently' to secure alternative sources of diesel while ensuring uninterrupted supply of fuel to the region

www.cheshire-live.co.uk

 

[Joe]

China ag minister says winter wheat condition could be worst in history​

China ag minister says winter wheat condition could be worst in history

‌BEIJING :The condition of China's winter wheat crop could be the "worst in history", the agriculture minister said on Saturday, raising concerns about grain supplies in the world's biggest wheat consumer

 

[Joe]

Drought shrinks Canada's wheat crop to 14-year low, shrivels canola harvest​

Drought shrinks Canada's wheat crop to 14-year low, shrivels canola harvest

Drought has shriveled Canada's wheat crop to its smallest in 14 years, and its canola harvest to a nine-year low, a government report showed on Monday.

www.ctvnews.ca

WINNIPEG -- Drought has shriveled Canada's wheat crop to its smallest in 14 years, and its canola harvest to a nine-year low, a government report showed on Monday.

 

[Joe]

The Russia-Ukraine War has Turned Egypt's Food Crisis into an Existential Threat to the Economy​

The Russia-Ukraine War has Turned Egypt's Food Crisis into an Existential Threat to the Economy

With the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war on Feb. 24, 2022, Egypt's food security crisis now poses an existential threat to its economy. The fragile state of Egypt's food security stems from the agricultural sector's inability to produce enough cereal grains, especially wheat, and oilseeds to...

mei.edu

 

[Joe]

Northwest winter wheat crop already stressed by drought​

March 3rd

Northwest winter wheat crop already stressed by drought - KXLY

SPOKANE, Wash.– Weather data and reports from the USDA show that the winter wheat crop in the Northwest will have a big hurdle to overcome in the growing season. The culprit is the lingering drought that led to some of the worst crop yields in decades across the region in 2021. RELATED: Farmers...

www.kxly.com

SPOKANE, Wash.– Weather data and reports from the USDA show that the winter wheat crop in the Northwest will have a big hurdle to overcome in the growing season. The culprit is the lingering drought that led to some of the worst crop yields in decades across the region in 2021.

The results of the disastrous harvest are still being felt months later. A limited supply of soft white wheat, the primary type of wheat grown in the Inland Northwest, has helped lead to a six-year low for wheat exports from the United States. That’s according to the USDA wheat report for February. The report also states that 71 percent of U.S. winter wheat is being hit by drought in 2022. Drought is one of many factors impacting local farmers, including rising supply costs and unstable global wheat markets thanks to the war in Ukraine.

 

[Laurs]

Things don't look good for Portugal and to make matters worse, there has also been a severe drought going on. This mainstream article features commentaries from representatives of the food banks, the Portuguese Agriculture Confederation (CAP), the Portuguese association of animal feed industries, the Portuguese swine production federation and the association of Portuguese milk producers:

Portugal on brink of food emergency

Portugal on brink of food emergency: War in Ukraine will see prices in supermarkets increase by 20-30% within days

www.portugalresident.com

Some snippets:

​

Portugal on brink of food emergency​

​

War in Ukraine will see prices in supermarkets increase by 20-30% within days: food bank fears total collapse of social system​

The war in Ukraine; the galloping increases it has prompted in fuel costs, spell ‘food supply emergency’ – not just for Portugal, but due to this country’s dependence on imports, the low salaries earned by the vast majority of the population, and high poverty rates, Portugal will come off particularly badly.


CAP is considering “declaring rationing”, he added. “The stocks of some products, like flour for (making) pastas, are so low that in one or two months we may have to bring in rationing like what happened in the 70s” (a time almost no expats will recall, but the point where Portugal rose up out of the misery of dictatorship into revolution).

Meat costs will increase by 30%​

Corn is the major component in animal feed. As Jaime Piçarra, secretary general of the Portuguese association of animal feed industries told Expresso: “Just in the last week, the price of a tonne of corn leapt from €300 to €420. This means, animal feed will increase 25% to 30%, which producers won’t be able to afford. The industry could collapse.


It goes without saying, these increases will reflect in prices to the consumer.


Pork is the meat most consumed by Portuguese. It is likely to increase more than 30% in price in the next few days, David Neves of the Portuguese swine production federation. It was David Neves who explained the sector only has enough animal feed until April. “After that, we won’t have anything to feed the animals with, which means people would have to go without meat. If urgent measures aren’t taken, we will see the return of hunger to Portugal”, he warned.


The tragedy is that in Portugal – a little country with an enormous heart (as so many Ukrainians have been discovering in these recent horrible days) – 20% of the population (roughly two million people) live on less than €450 per month.


And into this ‘perfect storm’ of imperfections comes a new factor: a significant influx of desperate refugees with young, growing children who need proper nutrition.

 

[Joe]

Here's another problem that causes a snowball effect as food sources become more scarce: protectionism

Argentina halts export registration for soy oil, meal

Argentina has halted registration of export sales of soy oil and meal, the South American country's government said in a statement on Sunday, drawing swift condemnation from the industry in the world's top exporter of processed soy products.

www.reuters.com

 

[Mari]

Cooking oil and wheat flour: Empty shelves in German supermarkets - Then24

14 mar 2022 4:25 p.m In some places it was already evident over the weekend: Sunflower oil and wheat flour are hard to come by. The oil is already

then24.com

Cooking oil and wheat flour: Empty shelves in German supermarkets​

14 mar 2022 4:25 p.m

In some places it was already evident over the weekend: Sunflower oil and wheat flour are hard to come by. The oil is already completely sold out at the discounter Lidl, and Aldi Süd is rationing cooking oil to two liters per household. Cheap flour is becoming scarce at Edeka. Toilet paper is also increasingly being hoarded.

The effects of the war in Ukraine and the sanctions can already be observed in German supermarkets and discounters. Sunflower and rapeseed oil are becoming scarce at Aldi, Rewe, Edeka and other grocers, like that Focus reported.

In Berlin, the corresponding shelves at Edeka or Lidl were already emptied on Saturday. Aldi has already reacted and limited the amount of cooking oil sold per household.

A saleswoman said to a customer in the Aldi market in Fürstenfeldbruck, Bavaria:
“We don’t get any more deliveries. (…) It’s now rationed so that only two liters of oil can be sold per household.”

There are several reasons for this: In addition to a poor harvest last year and supply chains destroyed by corona measures such as lockdowns, rising production costs for cooking oil are also responsible for the lower production volume.

Now comes the war in Ukraine. The country is the largest producer of sunflower oil in the world. Russia follows in second place. In addition, Russia is the world’s largest exporter of wheat, with Ukraine in third place. German consumers can now also observe this in retail: Cheap wheat flour is hard to come by at the beginning of the week.

A similar shortage could follow for corn: Ukraine is the world’s fourth largest exporter of the yellow vegetable. No new deliveries are currently coming from the Ukrainian ports – it is completely unclear when this will be the case again. According to information from the company Ukr-AgroConsult, 500,000 tons of wheat and 1.7 million tons of corn are currently stored in the country. Sunflower oil, where Ukraine is the world’s largest producer and exporter, is also threatened by further massive shortages and price increases.

Momme Matthiesen, Managing Director of the Association of the Oilseed Processing Industry (OVID), takes a similar view. In principle, security of supply in Germany is not in danger.

But there is also a rush for another product that is particularly popular in Germany: the current run on toilet paper is reminiscent of the first lockdown in the Corona crisis. On Monday, the shelves in some cities emptied clearly.

This is true; here in NRW, DE, shelves are empty for this main products.

And the price of gas is double - for now...

 

[Mari]

A few tweets from Germany:

#Hamsterbuying again
I was at aldi lidl tegut netto today and no oil no yeast no flour .. everything sold out

https://twitter.com/x/status/1502679556888616963

Are you not serious? #hamster purchases

Don't you all have better things to do? People are dying in #Ukraine. The country is facing a humanitarian catastrophe, without electricity, gas, water and food and you are hoarding WITHOUT EMERGENCY! Even these delivery amounts are still too much.

On Twitter below is a list of how much flour, sugar, oil, pasta, rice, coffee and milk can be taken per person / basket.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1502509032057225216

And that seems to be a German problem again. It makes you tired... #hamsterbuying

https://twitter.com/x/status/1502259442779361285

 

[PERLOU]

Chez LIDL ce matin en France, Côte d'Azur, quelques étagères vides, j'ai demandé au personnel et ils ont confirmé avoir des rupture de stock...

At LIDL this morning in France, Côte d'Azur, some empty shelves, I asked the staff and they confirmed they were out of stock...

 

[MikaelYosef]

Now comes the war in Ukraine. The country is the largest producer of sunflower oil in the world. Russia follows in second place. In addition, Russia is the world’s largest exporter of wheat, with Ukraine in third place. German consumers can now also observe this in retail: Cheap wheat flour is hard to come by at the beginning of the week.

A similar shortage could follow for corn: Ukraine is the world’s fourth largest exporter of the yellow vegetable. No new deliveries are currently coming from the Ukrainian ports – it is completely unclear when this will be the case again. According to information from the company Ukr-AgroConsult, 500,000 tons of wheat and 1.7 million tons of corn are currently stored in the country. Sunflower oil, where Ukraine is the world’s largest producer and exporter, is also threatened by further massive shortages and price increases.

Is this a side-reason for Russia's interest in Ukraine? I.e., was the decision this year to do something amplified by a predicted access to food? Because, people need food to survive. But to draw direct attention to the fact that climate changes directly effect food production in both the short and long terms, could result in a desperate 'run' by countries on every other country. They're just getting in there first to maintain and guarantee the production lines.