The Duran think that NATO is going to have to either go 'all in' soon, or 'all out', as regards continuing financial support, weapons and media coverage for Ukraine. There are clear tensions among NATO and EU members as to how much they are willing to commit (or how much pressure they can withstand). The flip-flopping on supply of proper heavy armoured tanks, for example, is just farcical at this point.
It's all a good reminder that nobody, however carefully and thoroughly they may analyse the situation, knows what is going to happen next. Emotions rule the show so much of the time, on both sides. Many people are so eager for Russia to display its 'escalatory dominance' soon that they latch on to any evidence of an imminent large scale offensive. I have seen the case made for this by so many people now, with reasoned arguments to support it, that I think movements out of Belarus are likely soon. However, the war of attrition in the Donbass continues in Russia's favour and there is still much to be done there.
As horrible as the whole situation is, it has been an excellent opportunity to learn about my own thinking, emotions and tendency towards anticipation. So much detail is available - from a detached view hovering above the landscape to the face of a soldier filmed by their killer's body camera, and worse. No war has carried so much significance for so many people, and been followed in such detail by so many. It seems like it offers opportunities to awaken, or descend into madness, like never before.
