So, the situation with the Wagner group and in Syria has been developing extremely rapidly over the last couple of days. And I would not call the situation anything other than breathtakingly critical. But let's move on to the facts at hand.
As everyone knows Deputy Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Mr. Yevkurov is now on a tour of Libya and Syria. His stated goals are to fight terrorism and strengthen cooperation. Next will be the same tour in Africa, by happy coincidence, exactly in those places where you know who are based. I will not reveal any secret about the purpose of the visit if I voice what is already being discussed in social networks: Yevkurov has been sent to finish off the Wagner, to replace the conditional Ministry of Defense "PMC" with new ones and to convince the locals to refuse to cooperate. Why persuade the locals? Well, apparently, so that the initiative, as it were, would come from the field.
It is important to note that Yevkurov was sent even before the crash in Tver and his tasks, accordingly, were known even before, as he had time to hold the first meeting with Syrians before the crash, where he voiced everything. If we also compare it with the previous events, namely the total blocking of African logistics through Syria by Wagner (expulsion from Hmeimim, canceling all overflight permits for all flights through Damascus, etc.), the conclusion is obvious. ), then the conclusion is obvious. By the way, in this case our Ministry of Foreign Affairs, or rather our embassy even overdid it, forbidding Syria to accept planes of the Ministry of Defense of the Central African Republic.
That even the USSR in the best years of the Cold War did not allow itself in relation to its allies. This surprised the CAR Foreign Ministry and the Syrians, who, of course, could have ignored it (after all, this is strictly a relationship between the CAR and the SAR), but blocked everything to the Africans just in case.
Anyway, even before the demise of Wagner's leadership, the trend was there. Moreover, after Yevkurov flew to Syria and held a series of meetings with the Syrian military leadership, the Wagner representatives in Syria were urgently summoned to the SAR Defense Minister Abbas, where they were given ultimatums: hand over weapons and equipment, and clear Syria by September 20.
Meanwhile, Yevkurov flew on to Libya, where he met with Haftar and, according to my information, offered the Libyans the same thing, to which the Libyans, agreed, but asked not to hurry.
At this time, the Embraer flies out of Moscow, crashes and the entire Wagner leadership is killed, exacerbating an already difficult situation for Wagner units in Syria and Africa. Yevkurov returns to Syria and meets again with Wagner's Syrian office, this time softening his rhetoric, apparently realizing that the situation is such that escalation will provoke the collapse of the entire security architecture. According to eyewitnesses, representatives of Wagner asked him questions, to which Yevkurov admitted that there is still no first-person decision on who will supervise them, but it will be made soon, and in the meantime they can be recruited into the new PMC and prepare for the inventory of weapons and equipment.
It should be said that the events were developing so rapidly that even the administration of the Syrian president (as they themselves claim) could not keep up with the events, drawing information from the military attaché of the Russian Embassy, who actively lobbied for the above-mentioned ultimatum.
The information began to spread across Syria, causing nervousness among Iranians, as there is a rotation of Americans with unclear intentions just ahead across the Euphrates. And now, according to rumors, today the Iranians came to the local leadership of Wagner, already knowing about the ultimatum and intending to occupy their territories and fields, when the evacuation of Wagner, saying that the Syrians, they say, are aware of it.
