Leon Festinger, When Prophecy Fails 1956.A man with a conviction is a hard man to change. Tell him you disagree and he turns away. Show him facts or figures and he questions your sources. Appeal to logic and he fails to see your point. We have all experienced the futility of trying to change a strong conviction, especially if the convinced person has some investment in his belief. We are familiar with the variety of ingenious defenses with which people protect their convictions, managing to keep them unscathed through the most devastating attacks. But man’s resourcefulness goes beyond simply protecting a belief. Suppose an individual believes something with his whole heart; suppose further that he has a commitment to this belief, that he has taken irrevocable actions because of it; finally, suppose that he is presented with evidence, unequivocal and undeniable evidence, that his belief is wrong: what will happen? The individual will frequently emerge, not only unshaken, but even more convinced of the truth of his beliefs than ever before. Indeed, he may even show a new fervor about convincing and converting other people to his view.
But if it be agreed we shall be tried by visions, there is a vision recorded by Eusebius, far ancienter than this tale of Jerome to the nun Eustochium, &, besides, has nothing of a fever in it. Dionysius Alexandrinus was about the year 240 a person of great name in the Church for piety and learning, who had wont to avail himself much against heretics by being converant in their books; until a certain presbyter laid it scrupulously to his conscience, how he durst venture himself among those defiling volumes. The worthy man, loth to give offence, fell into a new debate with himself what was to be thought; when suddenly a vision sent from God (it is his own epistle that so avers it) confirmed him in these words: Read any books whatever come to thy hands, for thou art sufficient both to judge aright, & to examine each matter. To this revelation he assented the sooner, as he confesses, because it was answerable to that of the Apostle to the Thessalonians, "Prove all things, hold fast that which is good". And he might have added another remarkable saying of the same author: "To the Pure, all things are pure"; not only meats and drinks, but all kind of knowledge whether of good or evil; the knowledge cannot defile, nor consequently the books, if the will & conscience be not defiled.
For books are as meats and viands are; some of good, some of evil substance; and yet God, in that unapocryphal vision, said without exception, Rise, Peter, kill and eat, leaving the choice to each man's discretion. Wholesome meats to a vitiated stomach differ little or nothing from unwholesome, and best books to a naughty mind are not unapplicable to occasions of evil. Bad meats will scarce breed good nourishment in the healthiest concoction; but herein the difference is of bad books, that they to a discreet & judicious reader serve in many respects to discover, to confute, to forewarn, and to illustrate.
Baadaye mvua ilizidisha kasi, labda kwa haja ya kuosha ile damu mbiombio ili mwanadamu asahau alilotenda. Jambo la kutazamwa ni kile kivuli cha matendo ya mwanadamu kilichosimama wima kumwonyesha kosa lake, ingawa mwanadamu alikataa kuona.
Labda wale wanaotazama nyuma na mbele, ndio tu wanaotambua, kwamba wingu la mwanzo la mvua likiagunka, jengine na jengine hufuatuia.
Later the rain intensified dramatically, perhaps with the need to wash the blood rushing so man could forget what he has done. A thing to behold is that shadow of the actions of a man that stands upright to show his fault, although a man refuses to see.
Maybe those who look back and ahead, are the only ones who realize that from the beginning of rain fall, another and another will follows indefinitely.
Whatever it is you learn to do, you learn by doing it.