angelburst29
The Living Force
Representatives for the Russian Emergency Situations Ministry (EMERCOM) said that all bomb shelters and underground shelters in Moscow meant for the evacuation of people in case of a nuclear attack or other emergencies, “were prepared and will be able to accommodate the entire population of the capital.”
Moscow Prepared for Possible Nuclear Attack: Statement of Russian Emergency Situations Ministry (EMERCOM)
http://www.globalresearch.ca/moscow-prepared-for-possible-nuclear-attack-statement-of-russian-emergency-situations-ministry-emercom/5549105
“As a result of the introduction of new approaches to civil defense, an inventory of underground facilities of the city was conducted. The Moscow underground facilities will be able to protect 100% of the population of the city,” deputy head of EMERCOM of Russia in Moscow, Andrei Mishchenko said.
He also added that the department takes urgent measures to enhance civil defense. The department updates the legal framework and modernizes control and alarm systems.
“We work to improve the public training system in the field of civil defense,” he said.
Noteworthy, the Ministry for Communications, the Finance Ministry, the Ministry for Industry, the Russian State Reserve and the Bank of Russia earlier took part in a sudden inspection of the Russian army. The above-mentioned departments worked in a “war-time” mode to test their systems for a possible war.
The Washington Free Beacon wrote citing US intelligence that Russia suddenly started building super bunkers. According to the publication, “dozens” of such bunkers are being built across the country.
Experts point out that their creation is associated with the introduction of a prospective integrated automated command and control system of the fifth generation into Russian missile forces.
To crown it all, according to services responsible for the organization of civil defense and emergency response, a special program was launched in Moscow in 2015 , within the scope of which bomb shelters and fallout shelters were built or renewed in every district of the Russian capital.
Two years ago, Russia conducted drills to repulse a nuclear attack on Moscow and strike a massive retaliatory blow. Reportedly, President Putin used the “nuclear suitcase” during the drills.
In 2015, both Russian and American generals said for the first time that a nuclear war between the United States and Russia was close like never before.
“Despite the fact that the majority of Russians, including Muscovites, do not know where bomb shelters are located in their neighborhoods, there is a list of addresses of bomb shelters. The shelters are now maintained accordingly to give people an opportunity to go through several days of a man-made emergency or a nuclear attack,” EMERCOM officials said.
Translated from Russian
Politonline
Read article in Russian
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20161003/1045965189/syria-suicide-bombing.html
A suicide bombing during the wedding in northern Syrian town of Hasakah left at least 22 killed and 33 wounded, town's mayor told Sputnik.
"The suicide bomber blew himself up in a wedding reception hall 400 meters (1312 feet) away from Hasakah," the mayor said stressing that the death toll is likely to rise. Nearby hospitals are providing first aid to the wounded.
Camera Crews of Russian TV-Channels Come Under Fire in Syria
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20161003/1045964153/russia-camera-fired-aleppo-syria.html
Camera crews of Russian TV-channels Zvezda and NTV came under fire in the Syrian city Aleppo on Monday, a correspondent from the targeted crew said.
"We have been under fire. We are sitting behind the bus, hiding. The fire is aimed," Maksim Gritsenko, Zvezda TV channel correspondent said, as quoted by the channel’s website. The type of the used weapons is unknown. The journalists reportedly were not injured in the incident. The camera crews are said to have headed for the Handarat refugee camp in north-western Aleppo.
Ryabkov: Russia received no notification of terminating Russian-US agreement on Syria
http://sana.sy/en/?p=89516
In an interview given to Sputnik news agency, Ryabkov said that the aforementioned agreement can be resumed, and that new touches can be added to it if necessary, but the real question is whether Washington is prepared for a diplomatic solution or not.
He said that if the US exits the agreement, it would be a big strategic mistake, noting that the United States has been employing a very narrow-minded policy regarding Syria, and if there’s a decision in Washington to exploit the Syrian issue for personal gains, then Russia will not play along.
Ryabkov stressed that Russia suggests that the Americans should cooperate with Russia and work with those who actually understand what is happening and are capable of delivering aid and fighting terrorist groups.
Reconciliation agreements signed with 8 more Syrian settlements — Russian Defense Ministry
http://tass.com/world/903631
Reconciliation agreements were signed over the last 24 hours with representatives of eight Syrian settlements, including five — in the province of Latakia, two — in the province of Homs, and one — in the province of Quneitra, the Russian Center for reconciliation of the warring parties said in its regular daily news bulletin posted on the Russian Defense Ministry’s official website on Sunday.
"The number of settlements that joined the reconciliation process has reached 702. Talks on joining the regime of cessation of hostilities were continued with field commanders of armed opposition groups in the settlement of Muaddamiet al-Shih in the province of Damascus and commanders of armed opposition groups in the provinces of Homs, Aleppo and Quneitra," the center said.
The number of illegal armed groups that declared their commitment to the ceasefire terms remains unchanged — 69, as follows from the bulletin.
Apart from that, according to the Russian center, efforts are continued to improve the humanitarian situation. Thus, a total of 2.68 tonnes of humanitarian cargoes — sugar, flour, rice, tea, canned meat and fish — were delivered to the Orthodox community in the city of Latakia.
Hot meals and living essentials distribution outlets are still open for civilians leaving Aleppo’s neighborhoods controlled by illegal armed groups, the center said.
The Russian Defense Ministry declared the establishment of the reconciliation center on February 23. It is headquartered at the Hmeymim air base, Latakia province. The center was set up in line with agreements reached by Russia and the United States to facilitate the negotiations between the Syrian government and opposition and to organize humanitarian deliveries.
Emergencies Ministry to organize all-Russian civil defense drill
http://en.mchs.ru/mass_media/news/item/32914206/
Also, federal executive authorities, heads of regions, local governing bodies and organizations are going to participate in the drill. Personnel and equipment of the Emergencies Ministry are going to be fully engaged, as well as rescue and recovery units, paramilitary mine rescue divisions, units of the State Small Vessel Inspectorate, as well as State Fire Service of the Emergencies Ministry and aircraft.
Non-staff rescue and recovery units will also participate in the civil defence drill. The drill is purposed to check relevance of current plans for different periods and preparedness of all personnel and equipment for action.
Information and gathering of the senior personnel of ministries and agencies, executive authorities of the regions of the Russian Federation and local governments will be carried out.
Evacuation, issuing of personal protection equipment, deployment of sanitation station will be trained. Additionally, all protective equipment will be brought to readiness. Systems for emergency information of the population are going to be checked upon agreement with regional and municipal authorities.
Quality of medical services will be checked in medical institutions under jurisdiction of the Emergencies Ministry. Rescuers in cooperation with other service will train action to mitigate different emergency situations, as natural, as man-caused in order to improve efficiency of approaches used to protect the population and territories. Fulfillment of these tasks allows increasing level of preparedness of the population, senior management and civil defence forces for action during large scale emergency situations occurring in peace time.
Obama Warned to Defuse Tensions with Russia
https://consortiumnews.com/2016/10/02/obama-warned-to-defuse-tensions-with-russia/
ALERT MEMORANDUM FOR: The President
FROM: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
SUBJECT: PREVENTING STILL WORSE IN SYRIA
We write to alert you, as we did President George W. Bush, six weeks before the attack on Iraq, that the consequences of limiting your circle of advisers to a small, relatively inexperienced coterie with a dubious record for wisdom can prove disastrous.* Our concern this time regards Syria.
We are hoping that your President’s Daily Brief tomorrow will give appropriate attention to Saturday’s warning by Russia’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova: “If the US launches a direct aggression against Damascus and the Syrian Army, it would cause a terrible, tectonic shift not only in the country, but in the entire region.”
Speaking on Russian TV, she warned of those whose “logic is ‘why do we need diplomacy’ … when there is power … and methods of resolving a problem by power. We already know this logic; there is nothing new about it. It usually ends with one thing – full-scale war.”
We are also hoping that this is not the first you have heard of this – no doubt officially approved – statement. If on Sundays you rely on the “mainstream” press, you may well have missed it. In the Washington Post, an abridged report of Zakharova’s remarks (nothing about “full-scale war”) was buried in the last paragraph of an 11-paragraph article titled “Hospital in Aleppo is hit again by bombs.” Sunday’s New York Times totally ignored the Foreign Ministry spokesperson’s statements.
In our view, it would be a huge mistake to allow your national security advisers to follow the example of the Post and Times in minimizing the importance of Zakharova’s remarks.
Events over the past several weeks have led Russian officials to distrust Secretary of State John Kerry. Indeed, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who parses his words carefully, has publicly expressed that distrust. Some Russian officials suspect that Kerry has been playing a double game; others believe that, however much he may strive for progress through diplomacy, he cannot deliver on his commitments because the Pentagon undercuts him every time. We believe that this lack of trust is a challenge that must be overcome and that, at this point, only you can accomplish this.
It should not be attributed to paranoia on the Russians’ part that they suspect the Sept. 17 U.S. and Australian air attacks on Syrian army troops that killed 62 and wounded 100 was no “mistake,” but rather a deliberate attempt to scuttle the partial cease-fire Kerry and Lavrov had agreed on – with your approval and that of President Putin – that took effect just five days earlier.
In public remarks bordering on the insubordinate, senior Pentagon officials showed unusually open skepticism regarding key aspects of the Kerry-Lavrov deal. We can assume that what Lavrov has told his boss in private is close to his uncharacteristically blunt words on Russian NTV on Sept. 26:
“My good friend John Kerry … is under fierce criticism from the US military machine. Despite the fact that, as always, [they] made assurances that the US Commander in Chief, President Barack Obama, supported him in his contacts with Russia (he confirmed that during his meeting with President Vladimir Putin), apparently the military does not really listen to the Commander in Chief.”
Lavrov’s words are not mere rhetoric. He also criticized JCS Chairman Joseph Dunford for telling Congress that he opposed sharing intelligence with Russia, “after the agreements concluded on direct orders of Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Barack Obama stipulated that they would share intelligence. … It is difficult to work with such partners. …”
Policy differences between the White House and the Pentagon are rarely as openly expressed as they are now over policy on Syria. We suggest you get hold of a new book to be released this week titled The General vs. the President: MacArthur and Truman at the Brink of Nuclear War by master historian H. W. Brands. It includes testimony, earlier redacted, that sheds light on why President Truman dismissed WWII hero Gen. Douglas MacArthur from command of U.N. forces in Korea in April 1951. One early reviewer notes that “Brands’s narrative makes us wonder about challenges of military versus civilian leadership we still face today.” You may find this new book more relevant at this point in time than the Team of Rivals.
The door to further negotiations remains ajar. In recent days, officials of the Russian foreign and defense ministries, as well as President Putin’s spokesman, have carefully avoided shutting that door, and we find it a good sign that Secretary Kerry has been on the phone with Foreign Minister Lavrov. And the Russians have also emphasized Moscow’s continued willingness to honor previous agreements on Syria.
In the Kremlin’s view, Russia has far more skin in the game than the U.S. does. Thousands of Russian dissident terrorists have found their way to Syria, where they obtain weapons, funding, and practical experience in waging violent insurgency. There is understandable worry on Moscow’s part over the threat they will pose when they come back home. In addition, President Putin can be assumed to be under the same kind of pressure you face from the military to order it to try to clean out the mess in Syria “once and for all,” regardless how dim the prospects for a military solution are for either side in Syria.
We are aware that many in Congress and the “mainstream” media are now calling on you to up the ante and respond – overtly or covertly or both – with more violence in Syria. Shades of the “Washington Playbook,” about which you spoke derisively in interviews with the Atlantic’s Jeffrey Goldberg earlier this year. We take some encouragement in your acknowledgment to Goldberg that the “playbook” can be “a trap that can lead to bad decisions” – not to mention doing “stupid stuff.”
Goldberg wrote that you felt the Pentagon had “jammed” you on the troop surge for Afghanistan seven years ago and that the same thing almost happened three years ago on Syria, before President Putin persuaded Syria to surrender its chemical weapons for destruction. It seems that the kind of approach that worked then should be tried now, as well – particularly if you are starting to feel jammed once again.
Incidentally, it would be helpful toward that end if you had one of your staffers tell the “mainstream” media to tone down it puerile, nasty – and for the most part unjustified and certainly unhelpful – personal vilification of President Putin.
Renewing direct dialogue with President Putin might well offer the best chance to ensure an end, finally, to unwanted “jamming.” We believe John Kerry is correct in emphasizing how frightfully complicated the disarray in Syria is amid the various vying interests and factions. At the same time, he has already done much of the necessary spadework and has found Lavrov for the most part, a helpful partner.
Still, in view of lingering Russian – and not only Russian – skepticism regarding the strength of your support for your secretary of state, we believe that discussions at the highest level would be the best way to prevent hotheads on either side from risking the kind of armed confrontation that nobody should want.
Therefore, we strongly recommend that you invite President Putin to meet with you in a mutually convenient place, in order to try to sort things out and prevent still worse for the people of Syria.
In the wake of the carnage of World War II, Winston Churchill made an observation that is equally applicable to our 21st Century: “To jaw, jaw, jaw, is better than to war, war, war.”
* In a Memorandum to President Bush criticizing Colin Powell’s address to the UN earlier on February 5, 2003, VIPS ended with these words: “After watching Secretary Powell today, we are convinced that you would be well served if you widened the discussion … beyond the circle of those advisers clearly bent on a war for which we see no compelling reason and from which we believe the unintended consequences are likely to be catastrophic.”
For the Steering Group, Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
William Binney, former Technical Director, World Geopolitical & Military Analysis, NSA; co-founder, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.)
Fred Costello, Former Russian Linguist, USAF
Mike Gravel, former Adjutant, top secret control officer, Communications Intelligence Service; special agent of the Counter Intelligence Corps and former United States Senator
Matthew Hoh, former Capt., USMC, Iraq & Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (associate VIPS)
Larry C. Johnson, CIA & State Department (ret.)
John Kiriakou, former CIA counterterrorism officer and former senior investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Linda Lewis, WMD preparedness policy analyst, USDA (ret.) (associate VIPS)
Edward Loomis, NSA, Cryptologic Computer Scientist (ret.)
Ray McGovern, former US Army infantry/intelligence officer & CIA analyst (ret.)
Elizabeth Murray, Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Middle East, CIA (ret.)
Todd Pierce, MAJ, US Army Judge Advocate (ret.)
Coleen Rowley, Division Counsel & Special Agent, FBI (ret.)
Kirk Wiebe, former Senior Analyst, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA, (ret.)
Robert Wing, former Foreign Service Officer
Ann Wright, U.S. Army Reserve Colonel (ret) and former U.S. Diplomat
Moscow Prepared for Possible Nuclear Attack: Statement of Russian Emergency Situations Ministry (EMERCOM)
http://www.globalresearch.ca/moscow-prepared-for-possible-nuclear-attack-statement-of-russian-emergency-situations-ministry-emercom/5549105
“As a result of the introduction of new approaches to civil defense, an inventory of underground facilities of the city was conducted. The Moscow underground facilities will be able to protect 100% of the population of the city,” deputy head of EMERCOM of Russia in Moscow, Andrei Mishchenko said.
He also added that the department takes urgent measures to enhance civil defense. The department updates the legal framework and modernizes control and alarm systems.
“We work to improve the public training system in the field of civil defense,” he said.
Noteworthy, the Ministry for Communications, the Finance Ministry, the Ministry for Industry, the Russian State Reserve and the Bank of Russia earlier took part in a sudden inspection of the Russian army. The above-mentioned departments worked in a “war-time” mode to test their systems for a possible war.
The Washington Free Beacon wrote citing US intelligence that Russia suddenly started building super bunkers. According to the publication, “dozens” of such bunkers are being built across the country.
Experts point out that their creation is associated with the introduction of a prospective integrated automated command and control system of the fifth generation into Russian missile forces.
To crown it all, according to services responsible for the organization of civil defense and emergency response, a special program was launched in Moscow in 2015 , within the scope of which bomb shelters and fallout shelters were built or renewed in every district of the Russian capital.
Two years ago, Russia conducted drills to repulse a nuclear attack on Moscow and strike a massive retaliatory blow. Reportedly, President Putin used the “nuclear suitcase” during the drills.
In 2015, both Russian and American generals said for the first time that a nuclear war between the United States and Russia was close like never before.
“Despite the fact that the majority of Russians, including Muscovites, do not know where bomb shelters are located in their neighborhoods, there is a list of addresses of bomb shelters. The shelters are now maintained accordingly to give people an opportunity to go through several days of a man-made emergency or a nuclear attack,” EMERCOM officials said.
Translated from Russian
Politonline
Read article in Russian
At Least 22 Killed, 33 Wounded in Suicide Bombing at Wedding in Syria's HasakahA suicide bombing during the wedding in northern Syrian town of Hasakah left at least 22 killed.
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20161003/1045965189/syria-suicide-bombing.html
A suicide bombing during the wedding in northern Syrian town of Hasakah left at least 22 killed and 33 wounded, town's mayor told Sputnik.
"The suicide bomber blew himself up in a wedding reception hall 400 meters (1312 feet) away from Hasakah," the mayor said stressing that the death toll is likely to rise. Nearby hospitals are providing first aid to the wounded.
Camera crews of Russian TV-channels Zvezda and NTV say they came under fire in the Syrian city Aleppo.
Camera Crews of Russian TV-Channels Come Under Fire in Syria
https://sputniknews.com/middleeast/20161003/1045964153/russia-camera-fired-aleppo-syria.html
Camera crews of Russian TV-channels Zvezda and NTV came under fire in the Syrian city Aleppo on Monday, a correspondent from the targeted crew said.
"We have been under fire. We are sitting behind the bus, hiding. The fire is aimed," Maksim Gritsenko, Zvezda TV channel correspondent said, as quoted by the channel’s website. The type of the used weapons is unknown. The journalists reportedly were not injured in the incident. The camera crews are said to have headed for the Handarat refugee camp in north-western Aleppo.
Moscow, SANA – Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said that Russia received no notification from the United States on terminating the Russian-US agreement on Syria.
Ryabkov: Russia received no notification of terminating Russian-US agreement on Syria
http://sana.sy/en/?p=89516
In an interview given to Sputnik news agency, Ryabkov said that the aforementioned agreement can be resumed, and that new touches can be added to it if necessary, but the real question is whether Washington is prepared for a diplomatic solution or not.
He said that if the US exits the agreement, it would be a big strategic mistake, noting that the United States has been employing a very narrow-minded policy regarding Syria, and if there’s a decision in Washington to exploit the Syrian issue for personal gains, then Russia will not play along.
Ryabkov stressed that Russia suggests that the Americans should cooperate with Russia and work with those who actually understand what is happening and are capable of delivering aid and fighting terrorist groups.
The number of illegal armed groups that declared their commitment to the ceasefire terms remains unchanged — 69
Reconciliation agreements signed with 8 more Syrian settlements — Russian Defense Ministry
http://tass.com/world/903631
Reconciliation agreements were signed over the last 24 hours with representatives of eight Syrian settlements, including five — in the province of Latakia, two — in the province of Homs, and one — in the province of Quneitra, the Russian Center for reconciliation of the warring parties said in its regular daily news bulletin posted on the Russian Defense Ministry’s official website on Sunday.
"The number of settlements that joined the reconciliation process has reached 702. Talks on joining the regime of cessation of hostilities were continued with field commanders of armed opposition groups in the settlement of Muaddamiet al-Shih in the province of Damascus and commanders of armed opposition groups in the provinces of Homs, Aleppo and Quneitra," the center said.
The number of illegal armed groups that declared their commitment to the ceasefire terms remains unchanged — 69, as follows from the bulletin.
Apart from that, according to the Russian center, efforts are continued to improve the humanitarian situation. Thus, a total of 2.68 tonnes of humanitarian cargoes — sugar, flour, rice, tea, canned meat and fish — were delivered to the Orthodox community in the city of Latakia.
Hot meals and living essentials distribution outlets are still open for civilians leaving Aleppo’s neighborhoods controlled by illegal armed groups, the center said.
The Russian Defense Ministry declared the establishment of the reconciliation center on February 23. It is headquartered at the Hmeymim air base, Latakia province. The center was set up in line with agreements reached by Russia and the United States to facilitate the negotiations between the Syrian government and opposition and to organize humanitarian deliveries.
The Emergencies Ministry of Russia is going to organize all-Russian civil defence drill since 4 October until 7 October 2016. More than 40 million people, more than 200.000 specialists of rescue and recovery units, as well as more than 50.000 units of equipment are going to be involved into the drill.
Emergencies Ministry to organize all-Russian civil defense drill
http://en.mchs.ru/mass_media/news/item/32914206/
Also, federal executive authorities, heads of regions, local governing bodies and organizations are going to participate in the drill. Personnel and equipment of the Emergencies Ministry are going to be fully engaged, as well as rescue and recovery units, paramilitary mine rescue divisions, units of the State Small Vessel Inspectorate, as well as State Fire Service of the Emergencies Ministry and aircraft.
Non-staff rescue and recovery units will also participate in the civil defence drill. The drill is purposed to check relevance of current plans for different periods and preparedness of all personnel and equipment for action.
Information and gathering of the senior personnel of ministries and agencies, executive authorities of the regions of the Russian Federation and local governments will be carried out.
Evacuation, issuing of personal protection equipment, deployment of sanitation station will be trained. Additionally, all protective equipment will be brought to readiness. Systems for emergency information of the population are going to be checked upon agreement with regional and municipal authorities.
Quality of medical services will be checked in medical institutions under jurisdiction of the Emergencies Ministry. Rescuers in cooperation with other service will train action to mitigate different emergency situations, as natural, as man-caused in order to improve efficiency of approaches used to protect the population and territories. Fulfillment of these tasks allows increasing level of preparedness of the population, senior management and civil defence forces for action during large scale emergency situations occurring in peace time.
A group of ex-U.S. intelligence officials is warning President Obama to defuse growing tensions with Russia over Syria by reining in the demonization of President Putin and asserting White House civilian control over the Pentagon.
Obama Warned to Defuse Tensions with Russia
https://consortiumnews.com/2016/10/02/obama-warned-to-defuse-tensions-with-russia/
ALERT MEMORANDUM FOR: The President
FROM: Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
SUBJECT: PREVENTING STILL WORSE IN SYRIA
We write to alert you, as we did President George W. Bush, six weeks before the attack on Iraq, that the consequences of limiting your circle of advisers to a small, relatively inexperienced coterie with a dubious record for wisdom can prove disastrous.* Our concern this time regards Syria.
We are hoping that your President’s Daily Brief tomorrow will give appropriate attention to Saturday’s warning by Russia’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova: “If the US launches a direct aggression against Damascus and the Syrian Army, it would cause a terrible, tectonic shift not only in the country, but in the entire region.”
Speaking on Russian TV, she warned of those whose “logic is ‘why do we need diplomacy’ … when there is power … and methods of resolving a problem by power. We already know this logic; there is nothing new about it. It usually ends with one thing – full-scale war.”
We are also hoping that this is not the first you have heard of this – no doubt officially approved – statement. If on Sundays you rely on the “mainstream” press, you may well have missed it. In the Washington Post, an abridged report of Zakharova’s remarks (nothing about “full-scale war”) was buried in the last paragraph of an 11-paragraph article titled “Hospital in Aleppo is hit again by bombs.” Sunday’s New York Times totally ignored the Foreign Ministry spokesperson’s statements.
In our view, it would be a huge mistake to allow your national security advisers to follow the example of the Post and Times in minimizing the importance of Zakharova’s remarks.
Events over the past several weeks have led Russian officials to distrust Secretary of State John Kerry. Indeed, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, who parses his words carefully, has publicly expressed that distrust. Some Russian officials suspect that Kerry has been playing a double game; others believe that, however much he may strive for progress through diplomacy, he cannot deliver on his commitments because the Pentagon undercuts him every time. We believe that this lack of trust is a challenge that must be overcome and that, at this point, only you can accomplish this.
It should not be attributed to paranoia on the Russians’ part that they suspect the Sept. 17 U.S. and Australian air attacks on Syrian army troops that killed 62 and wounded 100 was no “mistake,” but rather a deliberate attempt to scuttle the partial cease-fire Kerry and Lavrov had agreed on – with your approval and that of President Putin – that took effect just five days earlier.
In public remarks bordering on the insubordinate, senior Pentagon officials showed unusually open skepticism regarding key aspects of the Kerry-Lavrov deal. We can assume that what Lavrov has told his boss in private is close to his uncharacteristically blunt words on Russian NTV on Sept. 26:
“My good friend John Kerry … is under fierce criticism from the US military machine. Despite the fact that, as always, [they] made assurances that the US Commander in Chief, President Barack Obama, supported him in his contacts with Russia (he confirmed that during his meeting with President Vladimir Putin), apparently the military does not really listen to the Commander in Chief.”
Lavrov’s words are not mere rhetoric. He also criticized JCS Chairman Joseph Dunford for telling Congress that he opposed sharing intelligence with Russia, “after the agreements concluded on direct orders of Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President Barack Obama stipulated that they would share intelligence. … It is difficult to work with such partners. …”
Policy differences between the White House and the Pentagon are rarely as openly expressed as they are now over policy on Syria. We suggest you get hold of a new book to be released this week titled The General vs. the President: MacArthur and Truman at the Brink of Nuclear War by master historian H. W. Brands. It includes testimony, earlier redacted, that sheds light on why President Truman dismissed WWII hero Gen. Douglas MacArthur from command of U.N. forces in Korea in April 1951. One early reviewer notes that “Brands’s narrative makes us wonder about challenges of military versus civilian leadership we still face today.” You may find this new book more relevant at this point in time than the Team of Rivals.
The door to further negotiations remains ajar. In recent days, officials of the Russian foreign and defense ministries, as well as President Putin’s spokesman, have carefully avoided shutting that door, and we find it a good sign that Secretary Kerry has been on the phone with Foreign Minister Lavrov. And the Russians have also emphasized Moscow’s continued willingness to honor previous agreements on Syria.
In the Kremlin’s view, Russia has far more skin in the game than the U.S. does. Thousands of Russian dissident terrorists have found their way to Syria, where they obtain weapons, funding, and practical experience in waging violent insurgency. There is understandable worry on Moscow’s part over the threat they will pose when they come back home. In addition, President Putin can be assumed to be under the same kind of pressure you face from the military to order it to try to clean out the mess in Syria “once and for all,” regardless how dim the prospects for a military solution are for either side in Syria.
We are aware that many in Congress and the “mainstream” media are now calling on you to up the ante and respond – overtly or covertly or both – with more violence in Syria. Shades of the “Washington Playbook,” about which you spoke derisively in interviews with the Atlantic’s Jeffrey Goldberg earlier this year. We take some encouragement in your acknowledgment to Goldberg that the “playbook” can be “a trap that can lead to bad decisions” – not to mention doing “stupid stuff.”
Goldberg wrote that you felt the Pentagon had “jammed” you on the troop surge for Afghanistan seven years ago and that the same thing almost happened three years ago on Syria, before President Putin persuaded Syria to surrender its chemical weapons for destruction. It seems that the kind of approach that worked then should be tried now, as well – particularly if you are starting to feel jammed once again.
Incidentally, it would be helpful toward that end if you had one of your staffers tell the “mainstream” media to tone down it puerile, nasty – and for the most part unjustified and certainly unhelpful – personal vilification of President Putin.
Renewing direct dialogue with President Putin might well offer the best chance to ensure an end, finally, to unwanted “jamming.” We believe John Kerry is correct in emphasizing how frightfully complicated the disarray in Syria is amid the various vying interests and factions. At the same time, he has already done much of the necessary spadework and has found Lavrov for the most part, a helpful partner.
Still, in view of lingering Russian – and not only Russian – skepticism regarding the strength of your support for your secretary of state, we believe that discussions at the highest level would be the best way to prevent hotheads on either side from risking the kind of armed confrontation that nobody should want.
Therefore, we strongly recommend that you invite President Putin to meet with you in a mutually convenient place, in order to try to sort things out and prevent still worse for the people of Syria.
In the wake of the carnage of World War II, Winston Churchill made an observation that is equally applicable to our 21st Century: “To jaw, jaw, jaw, is better than to war, war, war.”
* In a Memorandum to President Bush criticizing Colin Powell’s address to the UN earlier on February 5, 2003, VIPS ended with these words: “After watching Secretary Powell today, we are convinced that you would be well served if you widened the discussion … beyond the circle of those advisers clearly bent on a war for which we see no compelling reason and from which we believe the unintended consequences are likely to be catastrophic.”
For the Steering Group, Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
William Binney, former Technical Director, World Geopolitical & Military Analysis, NSA; co-founder, SIGINT Automation Research Center (ret.)
Fred Costello, Former Russian Linguist, USAF
Mike Gravel, former Adjutant, top secret control officer, Communications Intelligence Service; special agent of the Counter Intelligence Corps and former United States Senator
Matthew Hoh, former Capt., USMC, Iraq & Foreign Service Officer, Afghanistan (associate VIPS)
Larry C. Johnson, CIA & State Department (ret.)
John Kiriakou, former CIA counterterrorism officer and former senior investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Linda Lewis, WMD preparedness policy analyst, USDA (ret.) (associate VIPS)
Edward Loomis, NSA, Cryptologic Computer Scientist (ret.)
Ray McGovern, former US Army infantry/intelligence officer & CIA analyst (ret.)
Elizabeth Murray, Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Middle East, CIA (ret.)
Todd Pierce, MAJ, US Army Judge Advocate (ret.)
Coleen Rowley, Division Counsel & Special Agent, FBI (ret.)
Kirk Wiebe, former Senior Analyst, SIGINT Automation Research Center, NSA, (ret.)
Robert Wing, former Foreign Service Officer
Ann Wright, U.S. Army Reserve Colonel (ret) and former U.S. Diplomat