SOTTREADER
The Living Force
All fair points, and well put.Ok, that's understandable. Something like this probably happens or can happen to many pro-Russian Westerners, aspecially after such events. Many such Westerners hold an unrealistically positive view about Russia or whatever Russia does, so such events can definitely throw people off balance. If so, an introduction of doubt is a good thing.
As it happens, there are no harsher critics of what Russia is doing than Russians themselves. In many cases they even overdo it. There is even a name for them: "vsepropalshiki". It's from the phrase "vse propalo" (all is lost). They are usually pro-Russian and consider themselves patriots. But they have a knee-jerk reaction to any Russian loss, real or perceived, doesn't matter on what scale or area. Now they have been activated again big time.
I am sharing all of this just to provide perspective, that if Russian bases were indeed lost and looted, we would hear about it on the Russian TG even before the bases would be actually lost. Or if Russian causulties were that high. But it doesn't mean that they would share a reliable information either. The problem with looking for any tiny failure means that often they buy into the Western propaganda and share it as proof of Russia's failure, just to maintain their "all is lost" view. Luckily there are many others who have a more measured approach.
I should clarify that I am pro-human westerner. I support the side that is "for humans" and not psychopaths or whatever hyperdimensional forces want to consume humans. I believe the stakes are higher than security interests of individual countries.
I understand Russia isn't perfect but I think Russia needs to be careful with how it is perceived by lesser allies. The incorrect perception could ultimately cost Russia and China very big if lesser countries perceive they can't rely on their protection if push comes to shove. The safe bet for such countries would be to ally with the US as at least then they won't be overrun by lunatics on the streets.
I haven't read much analysis about what the fall of Syria means for Iran but one would think Iran is now isolated in the middle east. Does a defeat to Iran constitute a strategic defeat for Russia? Maybe the answer to this question will determine how far Russia goes to protect Iran (if that day ever comes). To me, it feels like things are converging on Iran very fast.