Sol (Sun) and its phenomena



Tuesday, Jun. 20, 2023


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GEOMAGNETIC UNREST PREDICTED: Earth's magnetic field could become unsettled on June 21st when multiple streams of solar wind flowing from holes in the sun's atmosphere reach our planet. In addition, a CME is expected to deliver a glancing blow on June 22nd. Added together, these disturbances could cause a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm with solstice auroras at high latitudes. Aurora alerts: SMS Text

POSSIBLE MID-LATITUDE NOCTILUCENT CLOUDS: Since late May, the NOAA-21 satellite has been monitorig a buildup of noctilucent clouds (NLCs) around the North Pole. On June 17th, the clouds may have spilled all the way down to mid-latitudes:​


"[Our latest map] shows lines of faint clouds extending down to 40 N," says Matt DeLand of Science Systems and Applications, Inc, who processed the data. "I'm not sure I believe these are all real clouds, because they show up in only one of three slits [in the satellite's OMPS Limb Profiler instrument]." Daily maps later this week may provide confirmation.​

NLCs are clouds of frosted meteor smoke. They form every year in summer when wisps of water vapor rise up to the edge of space and crystalize on the surfaces of disintegrated meteoroids. Often, the clouds are most widespread during nights around the summer solstice, with sightings in recent years as far south as Spain and southern California.​


Above: Noctilucent clouds over Scotland on June 16th. Credit: Alan C Tough​

With this year's northern summer solstice only 2 days away, the timing is right for mid-latitude NLCs. NOAA-21's detections may indeed be real. Stay tuned for updates in the days ahead and, meanwhile, be alert for noctilucent clouds.​
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 21_2023

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours

X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: New sunspot AR3341 erupted on June 20th, producing an X1.1-class solar flare (1709 UT). NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory captured the extreme ultraviolet flash:
xflare_anim_strip_opt.gif
Radiation from the flare ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere. This caused a deep shortwave radio blackout over North America:. Aviators and ham radio operators may have noticed loss of signal at frequencies below 30 MHz for as much as 20 minutes after the flare.
20230620_220137.png
SOHO coronagraphs have since detected a CME emerging from the blast site. It appears to be bright and fast. Type II solar radio emissions detected by the US Air Force suggest an expansion velocity faster than 1000 km/s (2.2 million mph). Earth is probably not in the strike zone of this fast CME. Confirmation awaits modeling by NOAA analysts. SpaceWeather.com

Prior to the X-class flare, region 13342 had produced three M-class flares.

● M1.0 at 11:13 UTC that caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Atlantic Ocean
● M1.8 at 11:25 UTC that caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Atlantic Ocean
M1.0 at 15:48 UTC that caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North America

There are currently 12 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3333, AR3335, AR3336, AR3337, AR3338, AR3339, AR3340, AR3341, AR3342, AR3343. and new regions AR3344, AR3345, AR3332 is gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 155 (76 of these are grouped into 12 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 60% chance for M flares and 20% chance for X flares.

AR3333 (S11W45 size 60MH) has a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares. Its size was reduced in the last 24 hours from 90MH to 60MH.

AR3340 (N20E28 size 80MH) AR3341 (S16E56 size 110MH) AR3342 (S22W76 size 70MH) have a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares.


● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 503 km/s at 22:55 UTC on June 20 Total IMF reached 7 nT at 19:14 UTC. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 11:51 UTC

Aurora Oval Bz: -5.07 nT South
aurora-map.jpg


● Current Conditions at 04: 40 UTC on June 21

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 443.4 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 9.5 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.91 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: -1 0 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C3 at 03:19 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 155 (SN 181 June 20)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
● Streams of solar wind flowing from three small coronal holes could reach Earth on June 21-22.
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SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 21_2023
Cosmic Rays intensify!

M 8.9 Solar Flare Earth Facing‼️👀/ U.S. Extreme Weather EVENTS / Earthquakes Today
Premiered 23 hours ago #solarflare #extremeweather #earthquakes



Wednesday, Jun. 21, 2023
CME TO STRIKE VENUS AND MARS: A CME launched into space by yesterday's X-flare (described below) may not strike Earth, however, it will hit Venus and Mars, according to a NASA model. The strike on Venus (June 22nd) will probably erode a small amount of the planet's upper atmosphere, while the strike on Mars (June 25th) could spark auroras visible to MAVEN and other Mars-orbiting satellites.​

X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE AND CME: New sunspot AR3341 erupted on June 20th, producing an X1.1-class solar flare (1709 UT). NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory captured the extreme ultraviolet flash:​


Radiation from the flare ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere. This caused a deep shortwave radio blackout over North America: map. Aviators and ham radio operators may have noticed loss of signal at frequencies below 30 MHz for as much as 45 minutes after the flare.

SOHO coronagraphs have since detected a CME emerging from the blast site. The CME's expansion velocity exceeds 1000 km/s (2.2 million mph), according to Type II radio bursts detected by the US Air Force. It's a fast mover that should deliver a potent blow to whatever it hits.

Earth is probably not in the strike zone, although a glancing blow may be possible on June 22nd or 23rd. Confirmation awaits modeling by NOAA forecasters. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text

A NEW WAY TO DETECT SOLAR FLARES:Around the world, ham radio operators are experimenting with a new way to detect solar flares--the Doppler Shift method. Brian Curtis of Sault Ste Marie, Michigan, demonstrated the technique during yesterday's X-flare:​


"I monitor the frequency and field strength of Canada's CHU time station transmitting at 7850 KHz," explains Curtis. "During the X-class flare event, I was able to detect the Doppler shift of the station's carrier frequency (green plot). It shifted by 5 Hz, which is a small change, but very obvious!"​

When radiation from a solar flare hits Earth's atmosphere, it ionizes the air, temporarily boosting the thickness of our planet's ionosphere. Any radio station skipping off the ionosphere will suddenly find its frequency Doppler shifted. Frequency standards stations such as WWV, WWVH, and CHU transmit carriers with atomic-clock grade frequency stability, so they are perfect sources for Doppler monitoring.

"I have been monitoring radio stations for decades, noting sudden changes in signal strength as a means of monitoring space weather events," says Curtis. "It is only fairly recently (~4 months) that I started to experiment with monitoring the Doppler shift of HF stations. Yesterday's X-class flare event is by far the most dramatic that I have witnessed thus far."

Would you like to detect solar flares this way? The HamSCI citizen science program has developed a Personal Space Weather Station specifically for doppler shift measurements. This technique can also be used to study solar eclipses.​


Opinion
Catastrophic Pole Shift Hypothesis - Is There Any Evidence? When Was Antarctica Ice Free?
Premiered Jun 18, 2023, Magnetic Reversal News Run Time 55:42
Cosmic Catastrophe on Revolution Radio, Studio B, 12 noon mountain time https://revolution.radio/
 
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SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 22_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 12:44 UTC on June 21 from Region 3341 (S15E48) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Atlantic Ocean

CME TO STRIKE VENUS AND MARS: A CME launched into space by yesterday's X-flare (described yesterday) may not strike Earth, however, it will hit Venus and Mars, according to a NASA model. The strike on Venus (June 22nd) will probably erode a small amount of the planet's upper atmosphere, while the strike on Mars (June 25th) could spark auroras visible to MAVEN and other Mars-orbiting satellites. SpaceWeather.com
There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3333, AR3335, AR3337,AR3338, AR3339, AR3340, AR3341, AR3342, AR3343, AR3344, AR3345 and new region AR3346
AR3336 is gone

Total number of sunspots has increased to 190 (80 of these are grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

AR3340 (N21E15 size 120MH) has a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares. All other regions have stable magnetic fields.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 485 km/s at 29:47 UTC on June 21 Total IMF reached 7 nT at 12;28 UTC.

Aurora Oval -2.04 nT South
aurora-map (1).jpg

● Current Conditions at 04: 40 UTC on June 22

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 1)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 460.9 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 6.11 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 6.85 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: -1 0 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C6 at 01:10 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 180 (SN 155 June 21)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
● Streams of solar wind flowing from three small coronal holes could reach Earth on June 21-22.
.....
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 23_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4.8 event observed at 23:44 UTC on June 22 from Region 3341 (S15E34) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Pacific Ocean

Prior to the M4.8 the AR3341 produced a M1 event observed at 11:21 UTC on June 22 it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Africa

20230622_213115.jpg

There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3333, AR3335, AR3337,AR3338, AR3339, AR3340, AR3341, AR3342 , AR3344, AR3345, AR3346
AR3343 is gone
hmi200.gif
Total number of sunspots has decreased to 176 (70 of these a re grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

● AR3340 (N21E04 size 130MH) has lost its gamma component and now has stable magnetic fields.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 479 km/s at 01:13 UTC on June 22 Total IMF reached 7.77 nT at 06:38 UTC.

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: NOAA forecasters say there is a chance of minor G1-class geomagnetic storms late on June 23rd when a CME might hit Earth's magnetic field. This is the same CME hurled into space by an X1-class solar flare on June 20th. At first it appeared the CME would miss Earth; however, additional modeling suggests a glancing blow might be possible. SpaceWeather.com

Aurora Oval Bz: -3.24 nT South
aurora-map.jpg
● Current Conditions at 04: 00 UTC on June 23

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 423.9 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 5.1 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.54 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 1.0 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M4 at 23:44 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 176 (SN 189 June 22)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
.....
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 24_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C2.9 event observed at 10:04 UTC on June 23 from Region 3335 (S15W58)

New high for sunspot number today at least during solar cycle 25,

There are currently 16 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3333, AR3334, AR3335, AR3337,AR3338, AR3339, AR3340, AR3341, AR3344, AR3345, AR3346 and new regions AR3347, AR3348, AR3349, AR3350, AR3351
AR3342 is gone
hmi200.jpg
Total number of sunspots has increased to 194 (76 of these a re grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.
All regions have stable magnetic fields

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 472 km/s (Elevated speed) at 18:05 UTC on June 23 Total IMF reached 8 nT at 20:40 UTC.

ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT SOLAR FLARE (UPDATED): Active sunspot AR3341, which produced an X-flare on June 20th, exploded again on June 22nd: movie. This time it's an M4.8-class flare. The eruption hurled a CME into space, but not toward Earth. NASA models suggest it will sail wide of our planet. SpaceWeather.com

Aurora Oval Bz: -7.32 nT South
aurora-map.jpg

● Current Conditions at 04: 50 UTC on June 24

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 448 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 10.74 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 8.95 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 1.1 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 00:24 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 194 (SN 176 June 23)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
.....
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
Big Flares for Field Day & Side-Swiping Storms | Space Weather News 23 June 2023



Saturday, Jun. 24, 2023
POSSIBLE GLANCING-BLOW CME: Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on June 27th if, as NOAA models suggest, a CME might graze Earth's magnetic field. The slow-moving CME was hurled into space on June 22nd by an M4.8-class solar flare. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text

Opinion
THIS IS CRAZY‼️ / Extreme Weather EVENT Across Multiple States
Premiered 15 hours ago
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 25_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1.1 event observed at 12:17 UTC on June 24 from Region 3337 (N21W51) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Africa.

There are currently 15 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3335, AR3337, AR3338, AR3339, AR3340, AR3341, AR3345, AR3346, AR3347, AR3348, AR3349, AR3350, AR3351 and new regions AR3352 AR3353
hmi200.jpg
AR3333, AR3334, AR3344 are gone

Total number of sunspots has increased to 200 (61 of these a re grouped into 15 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.
All regions have stable magnetic fields

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 585 km/s (Moderately high speed) at 19:25 UTC on June 24 . Active geomagnetic conditions (kp4) threshold reached at 20:44 UTC Total IMF reached 12 nT (Strong solar magnetic field) at 20:54 UTC.

A CRACK IN EARTH'S MAGNETIC FIELD: Solar wind data suggest that a CME passed close to Earth on June 24th around 1900 UT. The near miss opened a crack in Earth's magnetosphere, setting the stage for possible G1-class storms in June 25th. SpaceWeatherlive.com

Aurora Oval Bz: 2.55 nT North
aurora-map.jpg
● Current Conditions at 04: 10 UTC on June 25

▪︎ Minor G1 Geomagnetic storm (kp 5) threshold reached at 01:46 UTC
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▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 513.2 km/sec (Moderately high speed)
▪︎ density: 11.3 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 8.26 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 1.4 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 02:19 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 200 (SN 194 June 24)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
.....
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 26_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C8.4 event observed at 12:18 UTC on June 25 from Region 3341 (S16W05)

There are currently 13 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3335, AR3337, AR3338, AR3339, AR3340, AR3341, AR3345, AR3346, AR3347, AR3349, AR3351, AR3352 AR3353
AR3348 and AR3350 are gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 180 ( 50 of these a re grouped into 13 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

AR3340 (N21W32 size 300MH) has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 552 km/s (Moderately high speed) at 06:56 UTC on June 25 Total IMF reached 12 nT (Strong solar magnetic field) at 21:06 UTC.

Aurora Oval Bz: 0.28 nT North
aurora-map.jpg
● Current Conditions at 04: 30 UTC on June 26

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 492.5 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 6.05 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.77 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 1.5 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C4 at 04:02 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 180 (SN 200 June 25)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
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SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
Screenshot 2023-06-26 at 12-37-51 Dr. Tamitha Skov on Twitter.png




Season 15: Ep7 31 mins Preview included
David Wilcock continues his exploration into the transformation of Earth’s atmosphere by highlighting the increase in strange planetwide electrical phenomena. As the Earth’s van Allen belt becomes charged by a new wave of energy coursing through our solar system, we see strange plasma balls illuminating the night sky. The work of Dr. Dmitriev shows us that these strange plasma balls are the intersection of hyper-dimensional energy which can have a dramatic effect upon seismic activity. He suggests that this activity is a sign of our emotional interaction with the planet, and this is how the Earth dispels the negative energy that we are generating.
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 27_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1.6 event observed at 16:22 UTC on June 26 from Region 3340 (N20W45) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over US east coast
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There are currently 14 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3337, AR3338, AR3339,AR3340, AR3341, AR3345, AR3346, AR3347, AR3348
AR3349, AR3351, AR3352 AR3353 and new region AR3354
hmi200.jpg
AR3335 is gone
Total number of sunspots has decreased to 158 (66 of these a re grouped into 14 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

AR3340 (N21W32 size 300MH) has a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 617 km/s (Moderately speed) at 01:59 UTC on June 26 Total IMF reached 6.2 nT at 02:47 UTC.

SOLAR MAX IS BOOSTING AIRGLOW: There was no geomagnetic storm on June 22nd. Nevertheless, the sky turned green over rural Colorado. Aaron Watson photographed the dramatic display from the West Elk Mountains:​

SpaceWeather.com​

Aurora Oval Bz: -0.77 nT South
aurora-map.jpg

● Current Conditions at 05: 10 UTC on June 27

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 516.9 km/sec (Moderately speed)
▪︎ density: 1.51 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 3.18 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.5 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C3 at 23:20 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 158 (SN 180 June 26)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
.....
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 28_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1.27 event observed at 15:14 UTC on June 27 from Region 3340 (N23W58) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Atlantic Ocean
20230627_220137.png

There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3337, AR3338, AR3339,AR3340, AR3341, AR3345, AR3347, AR3348, AR3351, AR3354 and new region AR3355
hmi200.jpg
AR3346, AR3349, AR3352 AR3353 are gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 141 (54 of these a re grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

AR3340 (N22W64 size 260MH) has a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

AR3354 (N12E11 size 450MH) has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares.
NEW FAST-GROWING SUNSPOT: Sunspot AR3354 didn't exist yesterday. Today it is 5 times wider than Earth. A 24 hour movie from NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory shows the sunspot's rapid development. It merits watching as a possible source of Earth-directed solar flares. SpaceWeather.com

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 577 km/s (Moderately speed) at 01:42 UTC on June 27 Total IMF reached -5 nT at 01:35 UTC.

Aurora Oval Bz: -3.08 nT South
aurora-map.jpg

● Current Conditions at 04: 10 UTC on June 28

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 472.8 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 2.03 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 4.73 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.0 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C4 at 22:33 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 141 (SN 158 June 27)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
.....
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 29_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1.97 event observed at 08:44 UTC on June 28 from Region 3340 (N23W72) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over the Middle East
20230628_223436.png

There are currently 8 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3339,AR3340, AR3341, AR3345, AR3348, AR3351, AR3354, AR3355
hmi200.gif
AR3337, AR3338, AR3347 are gone

Total number of sunspots remains at 141 (61 of these a re grouped into 8 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

AR3340 (N22W64 size 260MH) has a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

AR3354 (N12E11 size 450MH) has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares.

AR3354 (N12W02 size 800MH) has grown very rapidly in the past 24 hours. It merits watching as a possible source of Earth-directed flares. This has developed a beta-gamma-delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class and X-class flares.

NAKED-EYE SUNSPOT: If you have eclipse glasses, put them on and look at the sun. There's a naked-eye sunspot today (AR3354). South Korean astronomer Bum-Suk Yeom saw it this morning and created this infographic:​

The sunspot is seven times wider than Earth itself, covering an area of the sun equal to ~25% of the historical Carrington sunspot. These dimensions mean it can be seen with the human eye (no magnification required) if the sun is properly filtered.​
The amazing thing is, this sunspot didn't exist two days ago. It has grown with remarkable rapidity. Ths movie tracks the last 12 hours:​
Such a fast-changing active region can hardly be stable. Indeed, it is seething with activity and could soon produce a significant flare. SpaceWeather.com​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 501 km/s (Moderately speed) at 00:20 UTC on June 28 Total IMF reached 6 nT at 10:01 UTC.

Aurora Oval Bz: -5.35 nT South
aurora-map.jpg
● Current Conditions at 04: 30 UTC on June 29

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 490.3 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 5.3 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 6.35 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.0 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 04:03 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 141 (SN 141 June 28)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
.....
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 


Thursday, Jun. 29, 2023
MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: NOAA forecasters say that a CME might graze Earth's magnetic field on July 1st. It was launched into space two days ago by an erupting magnetic filament in the sun's northern hemisphere. The glancing blow, if it occurs, could spark a minor G1-class geomagnetic storm. Aurora alerts: SMS Text

GIANT SUNSPOT: When the week began, sunspot AR3354 didn't exist. Now it is 10 times wider than Earth and still growing. The sunspot burst into view on June 27th, breaching the surface of the sun, then blossoming into a giant over the next 48 hours:​

bigspot_anim_strip_opt.gif

If you have eclipse glasses, put them on and take a look. AR3354 can be seen without any magnification. It is a "naked eye" sunspot.

Ongoing rapid changes in the sunspot's structure could destabilize its magnetic field, bringing opposite polarities so close together that they explode. Any solar flares today will be geoeffective as the sunspot directly faces Earth. Solar flare alerts: SMS Text

Screenshot 2023-06-29 at 17-01-46 Space Weather Australian Bureau of Meteorology.png

Solar Maximum Could Hit Us Harder And Sooner Than Predicted. How Severe Can The Sun's Cycle Peak Be?
Magnetic Reversal News Premiered Jun 27, 2023
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JUNE 30_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M3.85 event observed at 14:15 UTC on June 29 from Region 3354 (N15W16) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Atlantic Ocean
20230629_223639.png

There are currently 6 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3339,AR3340, AR3341, AR3345, AR3354, AR3355
hmi200.gif
AR3348, AR3351 are gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 112 (52 of these a re grouped into 6 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

AR3340 (N20W88 size 80MH) is decaying but continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

AR3354 (N12W18 size 890MH) continues with a beta-gamma-delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class and X-class flares.

GIANT SUNSPOT ALERT: When this week began, sunspot AR3354 didn't exist. Now it is 10 times wider than Earth and still growing. The sunspot burst into view on June 27th, breaching the surface of the sun, then blossoming into a giant over the next 48 hours: movie.​
AR3354 is so big, amateur astronomers can see details normally reserved for the world's greatest telescopes. Michael Karrer sends this picture of the sunspot's dark heart from his backyard observatory in Austria​
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"Despite its gigantic size, the sunspot was not as easy to photograph as I expected," says Karrer. "The jetstream brought variable seeing to my observatory. But in a few moments of fair conditions I was able to capture this high-resolution image."​
Karrer's photo shows that the sunspot's heart is not completely dark. It is peppered by "umbral dots"--incandescent balls of plasma rising and falling in the sunspot's core. Researchers believe they are turbulent convection cells, which dredge up heat from ~1000 km below. The same kind of motions can be seen in a pan of water boiling on a hot stove. The photo also resolves hundreds of "penumbral filaments," fine magnetic tubes that transport energy out of the sunspot.​
While many astronomers are using telescopes to examine the sunspot, telescopes are not required. AR3354 can be seen without any magnification. If you have eclipse glasses, put them on and take a look. SpaceWeather.com

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 537 km/s (Moderately speed) at 14:32 UTC on June 29
Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) threshold reached at 17:19 UTC. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 16:34 UTC.

Aurora Oval Bz: 0.26 nT North
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● Current Conditions at 04: 50 UTC on June 30

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 493.3 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 1.61 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 4.79 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.0 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 22:47 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 112 (SN 141 June 29)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
.....
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 

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