Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 08_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at 06:29 UTC on July 07 from AR3359(S22W27) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over India
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There are currently 10 sunspot regions on the solar disk:AR3357, AR3358,AR3359, AR3360, AR3361, AR3362, AR3363, AR3364 and new regions AR3365, AR3366
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Total number of sunspots has increased to 149 (84 of these a re grouped into 10 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 35% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

● AR3361 (N24E02 size 240MH) has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares


● Sunspot AR3363 is very large (S21E56 size 320MH) but so far very quiet. It has not produced a significant flare since it appeared two days ago.

A SUNSPOT SO BIG YOU CAN SEE IT FROM MARS: A huge sunspot (AR3363) just emerged over the sun's southeastern limb. Mars rover Perseverance saw it before we did. On July 2nd, the rover's mast-mounted stereo camera (MASTCAM-Z) tilted up to the sky above Jezaro crater and photographed a deep-black dot on the solar disk:​

Zoran Knez of Croatia assembled this montage using publically available NASA images
Perseverance does this all the time. Using a solar filter, the rover looks at the sun almost every day to check its brightness. When the sun dims, researchers know a dust storm is brewing--one of the most important forms of weather on the Red Planet.
Sunspots are a bonus. A recent study shows that Perseverance sees more than 40% of all sunspots despite the fact that Mars is 78 million km farther from the sun than Earth and the rover's camera doesn't put many pixels across the solar disk. It is able to resolve about 10% of the biggest sunspots into multiple pixels.
Perseverance has one big advantage. It can see parts of the sun we cannot. From where Mars is currently located, Perseverance views more than half the sun's farside, giving it a preview of sunspots still hidden from Earth. That's how the rover spotted AR3363 days in advance.
Astronomers on Earth saw the sunspot for the first time on July 5th:
"A very big sunspot is coming!" says Philippe Tosi of Nîmes, France, who photographed AR3363 and inserted an image of Earth for scale.

Just don't forget, Perseverance saw it first. Daily photos from Perseverance are available here. Select the date and camera (MASTCAM-Z), then start looking for sunspots. SpaceWeather.com

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 554 km/s (Moderately high speed) at 03:26 UTC on July 07 Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) threshold reached at 08:57 UTC Total IMF reached 10 nT at 01:00 UTC on July 07

Aurora Oval Bz: -0.56 nT South
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● Current Conditions at 01:30 UTC on July 08

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 470.7 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 10.07 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.96 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.6 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 22:09 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 149 (SN 101 July 07)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ Solar wind flowing from this pair of coronal holes could brush Earth on July 8-9.

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SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 09_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 01:44 UTC on July 08 from AR3361 (N24W12)

There are currently 10 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3358, AR3359, AR3360,AR3361, AR3362, AR3363, AR3364, AR3365, AR3366 and new region AR3367
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AR3357 is gone

Total number of sunspots has increased to 197 (87 of these a re grouped into 10 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

● AR3361 (N24W14 size 260MH) has grown and continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

● Sunspot AR3363 (S21E40 size 320MH) is very large but it has a stable magnetic field so far.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 498 km/s (Elevated speed) at 21:23 UTC on July 08 Total IMF reached -6 nT at 21:05 UTC on July 08

Aurora Oval Bz: 1.9 nT North
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● Current Conditions at 05:30 UTC on July 09

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 1)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 380.3 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 2.36 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.36 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.6 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C5 at 00:09 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 197 (SN 149 July 08)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
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SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 10_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C6.8 event observed at 23:20 UTC on July 08 from AR3366 (S10W38)

There are currently 12 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3358, AR3359, AR3360,AR3361, AR3362, AR3363, AR3364, AR3365, AR3366 AR3367 and new regions AR3368, AR3369
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Total number of sunspots has decreased to 180 (63 of these a re grouped into 12 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares.

● AR3361 (N24W14 size 260MH) has grown and continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares
INCREASING CHANCE OF FLARES: NOAA forecasters have increased the odds of a flare today (40% M-class, 5% X-class) in response to developments inside sunspot AR3361. The active region has an increasingly unstable 'beta-gamma-delta' magnetic field that harbors energy for strong explosions. Any flares will be geoeffective as the sunspot is directly facing Earth. SpaceWeather.com

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 398.5 km/s (Normal speed) at 18:55 UTC on July 09 Total IMF reached 6.3 nT at 00:00 UTC

Aurora Oval Bz: -1.18 nT South
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A GREEN FLASH IN A FERRIS WHEEL: Sometimes when the sun is setting over the ocean and just about to vanish beneath the waves, observers see a surprising flash of emerald green--the rare "green flash." On July 8th, Italian photographer Claudio Balella captured an extra-rare "green flash in a Ferris Wheel."​
"I was photographing the sunset when I noticed this big Ferris Wheel about 15 km down the coast," says Balella. "To my amazement, a green flash beamed through the wheel. It was fantastic!"

It's not unusual for the setting sun to split into multiple colors. The atmosphere acts like a prism, separating the solar disk into red, green, and blue components. Green flashes happen when a mirage magnifies the normal atmospheric refraction, transforming green into a startling flash. A layer of warm air next to the ocean produced the magnifying mirage for the flash Balella saw. SpaceWeather.com​
● Current Conditions at 01:50 UTC on July 10

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 1)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 336 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 0.56 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 4.68 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.2 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C3 at 23:20 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 180 (SN 197 July 09)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
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SpaceWeather.com
 
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"UNEXPECTED SOLAR FLARE: In a slightly surprising development, sunspot AR3358 exploded during the early hours of July 10th (0355 UT), producing an M2-class solar flare: movie. The previously quiet sunspot was not expected to explode. Type II solar radio emissions reported by the US Air Force suggest that it hurled a CME to space faster than 1060 km/s (2.4 million mph)."


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SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 11_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M2.3 event observed at 03:55 UTC on July 10 from AR3366 (S10W52) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over East Asia.

Note: there is no consensus on the active region that generated the M2.3 flare, some sources mention AR3358 and others AR3366 because both regions are very close to each other. It is possible that the region was AR3366 because AR3358 is about to leave the solar disk

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A second M1.4 eruption occurred at 22:18 UTC from the region AR3358 (S13W50) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Pacific Ocean
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There are currently 12 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3359, AR3360,AR3361, AR3362, AR3363, AR3364, AR3365, AR3366 AR3367, AR3368, AR3369 and new region
AR3370
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AR3358 is gone

Total number of sunspots has increased to 183 (72 of these a re grouped into 12 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

AR3361 (N24W38 size 270 MH) has a beta-gamma-delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class and X-class flares

AR3367 (N10W13 size 120MH) has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

THIS GIANT SUNSPOT CRACKING UP? Sunspot AR3363 is so big, the Perseverance rover saw it from Mars. Now it might be cracking up. Peter Aniol saw a fissure forming yesterday when he photographed the sunspot from Montlaux, France:​
The bright, linear gap dividing the sunspot is known as a "light bridge." It measures 10,000 km from end to end.​
The nature of light bridges is not fully understood. They often herald the break-up of a sunspot, with jets of plasma shooting up from the chasm as the sunspot decays. Some research suggests that magnetic fields at the base of a light bridge are busy cross-crossing and reconnecting--the same explosive process that sparks solar flares.

So which is it? Will the sunspot explode or quietly fall apart? No one can say. Readers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor the crack up. SpaceWeather.com​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 495 km/s (Elevated speed) at 04:56 UTC on July 10 Total IMF reached 6 nT at 13:35 UTC

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH: Minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on July 13th when a CME is expected to pass close to Earth. NASA and NOAA models of the CME give different results. NASA predicts a glancing blow, NOAA a clean miss. Either way, a close encounter could disturb Earth's magnetic field and produce high latitude auroras. SpaceWeather.com​

Aurora Oval Bz: -3.99 nT South
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● Current Conditions at 02:40 UTC on July 11

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 1)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 328.7 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 4.15 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.52 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.1 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M1 at 22:18 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 183 (SN 180 July 10)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
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SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 12_2023

SEVEN M-CLASS SOLAR FLARES IN JUST 12 HOURS
Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M6 event observed at 18:08 UTC on July 11 from AR3372 (N22E75) it caused a Moderate R2 radio blackout over North America
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SOMETHING FLARE-Y THIS WAY COMES: A big new sunspot is emerging over the sun's northeastern limb, and it is crackling with solar flares. The strongest so far, an M6-class explosion on July 11th (1808 UT), saturated pixels in the telescope system onboard NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory:​
The extreme ultraviolet flash ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, creating a shortwave radio blackout over North America (map) and doppler-shifting the frequency of America's WWV time-standard radio transmissions (data).

In total, this active region has produced 5 M-class solar flares in the past 12 hours. An X-class flare may be in the offing. SpaceWeather.com​

Others flares from AR3372 on July 11

●M1.9 at 14:35 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Atlantic Ocean
●M1.1 at 16:12 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North America
●M1 0 at 19:29 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North America
● M5.7 at 22:15 UTC it caused a Moderate R2 radio blackout over North Pacific Ocean

From AR3368
●M1.2 at 23:37 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over East Asia
●M1.4 at 00:31 UTC on July 12 it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over East Asia

There are currently 13 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3360,AR3361, AR3362, AR3363, AR3364, AR3365, AR3366 AR3367, AR3368, AR3369, AR3370 and new regions AR3371,
AR3372
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AR3359 is gone

Total number of sunspots has increased to 181 (111 of these a re grouped into 13 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 55% chance for M flares and 20% chance for X flares.

●AR3361 (N25W49 size 250 MH) is decaying and now has a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

●AR3367 (N10W38 size 160MH) has grown and continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 443 km/s (Elevated speed) at 01:19 UTC on July 11 Total IMF reached 9 nT at 20:41 UTC

Aurora Oval Bz: 0.24 nT North
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● Current Conditions at 03:15 UTC on July 12

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 311.8 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 4.85 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 6.54 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.1 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M1.4 at 00:31 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 181 (SN 183 July 11)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
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Posted on YouTube, here, ( link to the SOS ENATTOS' monitoring station ), a bit of a followup on the july 7's flare :

"STRONG SOLAR FLARES CAN CAUSE SIGNIFICANT GEOMAGNETIC PULSATIONS IN <1 HOUR! UPDATE: 6.8 M-flare was launched DIRECTLY after I wrote this, check out the video I made on it 😉https://youtu.be/9Zw_QUT4XFI

Typically with space-weather reporting when a solar flare occurs, attention is drawn to how the solar plasma will propagate out into the interplanetary medium, and forecasts are made for whether the flare will hit Earth and when. Typical velocities for a flare are 500-800+ km/s, so an expected arrival of 1 to 2+ days is given, and then it still remains to be seen whether the space weather will couple to Earth's magnetosphere in a significant way and cause a geomagnetic storm. BUT solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and filament eruptions not only have a plasma component but also a light component! All photons travel at the same speed (300,000 km/s in a vacuum), no matter their frequency (radio to gamma/cosmic), and a spike in extreme-ultraviolet (EUV) and X-ray radiation is practically a given with a solar flare, it's actually how solar flares are given their class ratings (like M-class or the more powerful X-class).

What I am drawing your attention to here with this data is the 4.0 M-class solar flare on that occurred on July 7th, 2023 (top red arrow). It lasted for about 2.5 hours, and 30 minutes after it ended a significant 45 min long geomagnetic pulsation (bottom red arrow) was observed at the SOS ENATTOS mine in Sardinia, Italy, South Europe. Being shielded from most background electromagnetic disturbances, this 0.2 - 105 Hz magnetic field observation station is an ideal location for monitoring the Schumann resonances and PC1 (0.2-5 Hz) geomagnetic pulsations.

To summarize, what we are seeing here is
A) a large spike in EUV and X-ray radiation from the Sun, which
B) began to ionize Earth's ionosphere within ~8 minutes (150,000,000 km / 300,000 km/s), which
C) changed the electromagnetic potentials of the ionosphere, therefore
D) inducing new current flows in the ionosphere which then
E) created magnetic pulses at the same frequency of current pulsations.

To delve into the details even more specifically, a high-power stream of high-vibrational light photons from the Sun was absorbed into the charged ions of Earth's uppermost atmosphere known as the ionosphere (made up of electrons, protons, heavier ions), causing them to change their vibrational frequency and therefore flow more strongly on a global scale, and this newly stimulated movement of ionospheric ions then released extremely-low-frequency photons (<100 Hz) which this Schumann resonances monitoring station picked via their E-W magnetic field component vibrations.

In this way Earth's ionosphere is able to take high-frequency energy (like from a solar flare, or gamma ray burst from a distance supernova) and convert it into low-frequency energy that overlaps with human bioelectric rhythms (heart, brain, and autonomic nervous system rhythms) both in frequency (0-50+ Hz) and power (picotesla scales for magnetic and micovolts for electric).

And for everyone who read to this point, you'll also notice in the X-ray flux data the overall uptrend in x-ray energy from the Sun as measured at Earth over the past few days. With a possible geomagnetic storm forecasted for the next couple days (7.12-13.23) and with ionospheric potentials raised from all the x-ray radiation (the radiation belts are well-charged too!), it is likely we'll see some interesting activity in the Schumann resonances over the next few days!"

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SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 13_2023

For a second day, solar activity has been at high levels. The largest solar event of the period was a M6.8 event observed at 08:55 UTC on July 12 from AR3372 (N24E65) it caused a Moderate R2 radio blackout over Middle East
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A HYPERACTIVE SUNSPOT: New sunspot AR3372 is seething with activity. In the last 24 hours alone it has produced eight M-class solar flares (graph) To the extreme ultraviolet telescopes onboard NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory, it looks like the northeastern limb of the sun is on fire:​
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The rat-a-tat-tat of solar flares from AR3372 is causing a rolling series of shortwave radio blackouts around all longitudes of our planet. Ham radio operators, mariners and aviators may have noticed loss of signal below 30 MHz on multiple occasions since July 11th. In addition, episodes of sudden ionization in the atmosphere are doppler-shifting the frequency of time-standard radio stations such as Canada's CHU and America's WWV (data).​
If current trends continue, we should expect more strong M-class flares during the next 24 hours with a chance of X-flares as well. This sunspot will become even more geoeffective in the days ahead as it continues to turn toward Earth. SpaceWeather.com​

There are currently 13 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3360,AR3361, AR3362, AR3363, AR3364, AR3365, AR3366 AR3367, AR3368, AR3369, AR3370, AR3371, AR3372

Total number of sunspots has increased to 227 (99 of these a re grouped into 13 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 55% chance for M flares and 20% chance for X flares.

●AR3361 (N25W66 size 220 MH) continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

●AR3363 (S21W10 size 850MH) has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 356 km/s (Normal speed) at 00:44 UTC on July 12 Total IMF reached 9 nT at 21:14 UTC

Aurora Oval No data available

● Current Conditions at 03:30 UTC on July 13​

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 297.8 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 2.75 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 2.95 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.1 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C8 at 00:58 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 227 (SN 181 July 12)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
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SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 14_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels. The largest solar event of the period was a M2 event observed at 19:20 UTC on July 13 from AR3372 (N24E53) it caused a Moderate R1 radio blackout over North America​
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There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3361, AR3362, AR3363,AR3364, AR3366 AR3367, AR3368, AR3369, AR3370, AR3371, AR3372
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AR3360 and AR3365 are gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 219 (81 of these a re grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 55% chance for M flares and 20% chance for X flares.

●AR3367 (N10W57 size 200MH) has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

●AR3363 (S21W21 size 800 MH) continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares​

BIG FARSIDE SUNSPOTS: We can't see them, but they are there. Multiple large sunspots are crossing the farside of the sun. Helioseismic maps show where they are located. On Mars, the Perseverance rover can see two of them using its low-resolution MASTCAM camera. SpaceWeather.com​

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH (UPDATED): NOAA forecasters say that minor G1-class geomagnetic storms are possible on July 14th when a CME is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. SOHO coronagraphs watched the lopsided halo leave the sun on July 11th:​
This CME was hurled into space by an erupting magnetic filament in the sun's southern hemisphere. Because of the explosion's southerly location, most of the CME will sail south of our planet. A glancing blow from its northern flank, however, may be enough to cause a minor geomagnetic storm. SpaceWeather.com​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 486 km/s (Elevated speed) at 21:24 UTC on July 12 Total IMF reached 14 nT at 16:24 UTC (strong solar magnetic field)

Aurora Oval Bz: -8.94 nT South
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● Current Conditions at 03:30 UTC on July 14

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 361.3 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 7.51 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 9.83 nT (weak)
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 1.1 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C6 at 22:48 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 219 (SN 227 July 13)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
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Global Climate update June 2023 7 minute video
 
The current solar cycle reaches its peak in 2025 and is expected to be one of the strongest solar cycles
2023-07-13 Snip:
Weather of Arabia - Analysts from the US National Weather Service (NOAA) and NASA agreed to predict that the Earth's magnetic field would encounter coronal mass body energy (CME) between July 14 and 15. According to reports by SpaceWeather.com , the collision could lead to G1-class solar storms, with aurorae appearing in high-latitude regions. The particle cloud was launched into space on July 11 by a magnetic filament that exploded in the sun's southern hemisphere.

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What is a magnetic thread?

In the context of heliophysics, the term "magnetic filament" or "filament" refers to a long, thin structure made of plasma (ionized gas) that appears as a dark or cool feature against the Sun's hotter background light. The filament is also known as a solar flare when viewed from a different angle. The filament is usually associated with magnetic fields and is usually found at the boundaries of active regions on the Sun's surface. The filaments can stretch thousands of kilometers and are held in place by magnetic forces within the sun's atmosphere. Sometimes, these filaments can become unstable and explode, releasing energy and particles into space. This is known as a magnetic filament implosion.
Continued



THE BASTILLE DAY EVENT: You know a solar flare is strong when even the Voyager spacecraft feel it. Twenty-three years ago today (July 14, 2000), the sun exploded with so much force it sent shockwaves to the edge of the solar system.​

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Above: SOHO images of the X5.7-class Bastille Day solar flare (left) and CME (right). Blinding "snow" in the images is a result of energetic protons hitting the spacecraft

At about 11 a.m. in western Europe, where Bastille Day celebrations were underway in France, Earth-orbiting satellites reported an X5.7-class solar flare. Within the hour, energetic particles accelerated by the flare reached our planet. Protons and electrons hit the atmosphere and created a cascade of radiation that reached all the way to the ground--a rare "GLE."

"People flying in commercial jets at high latitudes would have received double their usual radiation dose," says Clive Dyer of the University of Surrey Space Centre in Guildford UK, who studies extreme space weather. "It was quite an energetic event--one of the strongest of the past 20 years."

A day later the CME arrived. Its impact on July 15, 2000, sparked an extreme (Kp=9) geomagnetic storm. The sun had just set on the east coast of North America when the auroras appeared.


Red auroras over Troutman, North Carolina, on July 15, 2000. Credit: Ronnie Sherrill

"I was out in the yard doing chores and saw bright red auroras overhead," recalls Uwe Heine of Caswell County, North Carolina. "I called over to our neighbor, Carrie, who was also outside. I told her those were not sunset colors. It was an aurora, and super rare to see this far south!"

In New York, the sky exploded with light, recalls Lou Michael Moure. "I was living on Long Island at the time. A family member came running into my room, begging me to come outside to see 'the sky on fire.' Hues of white and green eventually gave way to reds that blanketed the heavens from horizon to horizon."​

By the time the storm subsided on July 16, 2000, auroras had been reported as far south as Texas, Florida and Mexico.

The Bastille Day Event is special to researchers. It was the first major solar storm after the 1995 launch of SOHO, the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory. Data from the young satellite taught researchers a lot, very quickly, about the physics of extreme flares.


Above: A modern MHD computer simulation of the Bastille Day explosion. Credit: Tibor Török et al., The Astrophysical Journal, 856:75 (22pp), 2018 March 2

Tibor Török of Predictive Science, Inc., is one of many researchers still studying the Bastille Day Event. He recently applied a modern magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) computer model to some of the data, and found that 1033 ergs of magnetic energy were released in the explosion--about the same as a thousand billion WWII atomic bombs.

No wonder the Voyagers felt it.

It took the Bastille Day CME months to reach the distant spacecraft--180 days to Voyager 2, and 245 days to Voyager 1. Being near the edge of the solar system, both spacecraft were normally bathed in high levels of cosmic rays. The CME swept aside that ambient radiation, creating a temporary reduction called a "Forbush Decrease." Conditions did not return to normal until 3 to 4 months later. Finally, the storm was over.

Cosmic Rays Solar Cycle 25 is intensifying, which is reflected in the number of cosmic rays entering Earth's atmosphere. Neutron counts from the University of Oulu's Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory show that cosmic rays reaching Earth are slowly declining--a result of the yin-yang relationship between the solar cycle and cosmic rays.

About UV and sun protection times


High Above Down Under | Episode 3: UV Light – More Than Just Sunburns
Jul 12, 2023, NASA Goddard RT/ 5:24
Follow two NASA rocket teams as they launch from Australia to study our nearest stellar neighbors – Alpha Centauri A & B – on a quest to understand how stars make the planets around them suitable for life. In this episode, Miles digs into the science behind the mission. What is UV light good for anyways? To learn more about NASA’s Sounding Rockets Program - https://www.nasa.gov/soundingrockets
Music credits: “Neutral Thinking” by Nicolas Montazaud [SACEM]; “Epic Earth” by Andy Hopkins [PRS], Dean Mahoney [PRS], Jacob Nicholas Stonewall Jackson [PRS]; “Tightrope Walker” by Nicolas Montazaud [SACEM], “Natural Response” by Jonathan Elias [ASCAP], Sarah Trevino [ASCAP]; “Canny Koala” by Ian Paul Livingstone [PRS]; “The Final Piece” by Jonathan Elias [ASCAP], Sarah Trevino [ASCAP] from Universal Production Music.Credit: NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center Additional footage: Office of the Chief Minister of the Northern Territory government, Equatorial Launch Australia
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 15_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 09:36 UTC on July 14 from AR3363 (S21W38) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Saudi Arabia​
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MASSIVE EXPLOSION ON THE SUN

There are currently 8 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3362, AR3363, AR3367, AR3370 AR3371, AR3372 and new regions AR3373, AR3374
hmi200.gif
AR3361, AR3364, AR3366, AR3368, AR3369 are gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 146 (50 of these a re grouped into 8 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 50% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

BIG SUNSPOTS

●AR3363 (S21W39 size 780 MH) continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares. Today produced a series of C-class and an M-class flare.

●AR3372 (N24E34 size 770MH) has developed a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. On July 14 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 444 km/s (Elevated speed) at 17:14 UTC Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) threshold reached at 17:43 UTC Total IMF reached 18 nT at 20:43 UTC (strong solar magnetic field)
WEAK CME IMPACT FAILS TO CAUSE A STORM: As predicted, a CME hit Earth on July 14th (1633 UT). The weak impact (data) disturbed Earth's magnetic field for a few hours but failed to spark a full-fledged geomagnetic storm. No bright auroras have been reported. SpaceWeather.com​

Aurora Oval Bz: 0.41 nT North
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● Current Conditions at 03:20 UTC on July 15

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 395.5 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 3.26 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 11.99 nT (Strong Solar magnetic field)

▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 0.6 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C6 at 00:16 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 146 (SN 219 July 13)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 16_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels. The largest solar event of the period was a M2.9 event observed at 07:41 UTC on July 15 from AR3363 (S22W47) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over India​
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AR3372 produced two M-class flares M1 at 09:53 UTC and M2.1 at 10:10 UTC Both flares caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Africa

There are currently 8 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3362, AR3363, AR3367, AR3370 AR3371, AR3372, AR3373, AR3374

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 141 (41 of these a re grouped into 8 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 50% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

●AR3363 (S22W49 size 720 MH) continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares. Today produced a series of C-class and an M2.9​

THIS SUNSPOT IS BLOWING BUBBLES: Big sunspot AR3363 has an inky-black core wide enough to swallow Earth. What is going on in there? On July 11th, a Dutch astronomer nicknamed "Neo" decided to take a closer look, and this is what he saw:​
"I captured a phenomenon called 'umbral flashes,'" says New. "Rapid bubbling from the depths of the Umbra is shown in this timelapse movie, which I created from 11 minutes of raw video."

The umbra of a sunspot is its dark central core. It is where magnetic fields are so intense, incandescent heat from the underlying sun is bottled up and prevented from reaching the surface. That is why sunspot umbras look dark.

Yet they are not completely dark. Professional astronomers have long known that flashes of light and popping bubbles can be seen in sunspot cores. These events are not fully understood. One theory holds that gas from the sun's atmosphere falls into the umbra. When it reaches the "floor" of the sunspot, the gas rebounds, forming luminous shockwaves that observers describe as "umbral flashes."​

●AR3372 (N24E24 size 660MH) continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares


● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. On July 15 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 469 km/s (Elevated speed) at 18:56 UTC Total IMF reached 16 nT at 21:13 UTC (strong solar magnetic field)​

Aurora Oval Bz: -3.07 nT South
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● Current Conditions at 03:20 UTC on July 16

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 1)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 375.6 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 0.16 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 7.12 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.0 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C3 at 21:50 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 141 (SN 146 July 15)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 17_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at 17:46 UTC on July 16 from AR3363 (S24W49) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North America
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There are currently 5 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3363, AR3371, AR3372, AR3373, AR3374
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AR3362, AR3367, AR3370 are gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 99 (49 of these a re grouped into 5 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 60% chance for M flares and 25% chance for X flares.

●AR3363 (S22W62 size 720 MH) continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares.

●AR3372 (N24E11 size 700 MH) has developed a beta-gamma-delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class flares.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
On July 15 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 489 km/s (Elevated speed) at 19:41 UTC Total IMF reached 14 nT at 19:47 UTC (strong solar magnetic field) Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) threshold reached at 23:10 UTC Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) threshold reached: 23:59 UTC
CME IMPACT AND GEOMAGNETIC STORM: Arriving a full day earlier than expected, a CME hit Earth's magnetic field on July 16th: data. The impact at 1920 UT caused a 20 nT jolt in the USGS's magnetometer at Fredericksburg, Virginia. A G1-class geomagnetic storm is now underway. SpaceWeather.com

Aurora Oval Bz: 2.23 nT North
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● Current Conditions at 04:30 UTC on July 17

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 461 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 2.17 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 9.06 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.0 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C4 at 03:40 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 99 (SN 141 July 16)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 

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