Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 27_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels. The largest solar event of the period was a M4.6 event observed at 10:37 UTC on July 26 from AR3376 (N23W82) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Africa


Region 3376 has been the most active, earlier at 04:28:UTC produced a M1.2 and then, at 15:51 UTC a M2

https://twitter.com/x/status/1684215782605987842

There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3376, AR3377, AR3378 AR3379, AR3380, AR3381, AR3382, AR3383, AR3384, and new regions AR3385, AR3386

https://twitter.com/x/status/1684293499477172229

AR3373 is gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 137 (48 of these are grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 35% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at unsettled to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. On July 26 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 587 km/s (Moderate speed) at 16:14 UTC. Total IMF reached 15 nT at 22:13 UTC

Aurora Oval Bz: 2.51 nT North


● Current Conditions at 03:55 UTC on July 27

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 494.4 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 1.63 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 7.31 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: -2.2 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C9 at 23:01 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 137 (SN 141 July 26)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 28_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 09:51 UTC on July 27 from Region 3376 (N22W96) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Middle East​

There are currently 12 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3376, AR3377, AR3379, AR3380 AR3382, AR3383, AR3384, AR3385, AR3386 and new regions AR3387, AR3388, AR3389

AR3378, AR3381 are gone

BIG FARSIDE SUNSPOT: There's a spot on the farside of the sun so large it is affecting the way the whole sun vibrates. Helioseismic echoes pinpoint the active region in the sun's southern hemisphere not far behind the sun's southeastern limb. It should rotate into view this weekend. SpaceWeather.com​

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 147 (49 of these are grouped into 12 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 35% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. On July 27 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 548 km/s (Moderate speed) at 23:07 UTC. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 02:32 UTC​

Aurora Oval Bz: 1.27 nT North


● Current Conditions at 03:35 UTC on July 28

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 1)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 352.1 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 2.88 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.82 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.5 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M1 at 22:34 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 147 (SN 137 July 26)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Wandering Star]

BIG FARSIDE SUNSPOT: There's a spot on the farside of the sun so large it is affecting the way the whole sun vibrates. Helioseismic echoes pinpoint the active region in the sun's southern hemisphere not far behind the sun's southeastern limb. It should rotate into view this weekend. SpaceWeather.com

..................................

This has been repeated during the last year at least several times.

I would say that there is something behind the sun that causes an increase in activity.

 

[dennis]

Wandering Star-
I would say that there is something behind the sun that causes an increase in activity.

The Ra Material states:

11.4 Questioner: Is there a planet behind our sun, opposite to us in orbit, that we do not know about?

Ra: I am Ra. There is a sphere in the area opposite your sun of a very, very cold nature, but large enough to skew certain statistical figures. This sphere should not properly be called a planet as it is locked in first density.

The Law of One Search Results for ‘opposite side of sun’

Lawofone.info is a website dedicated to the study of the Law of One material channeled by L/L Research in the 1980s.

www.lawofone.info

 

[dennis]

Because of the wobble in the orbit of Mercury many people in the 1800's were looking for Planet Vulcan. The Math inferred so, but observations saw no transit of the sun. What if it was in some sort of tidal lock?

This new theory for the wobble of Mercury's orbit touched off a period of "Vulcan-mania" in the latter half of the 19th century as both professional and amateur astronomers went hunting for the proposed planet and some even claimed to have seen it for themselves.

The first of these "sightings" came from an amateur French astronomer named Edmond Modeste Lescarbault in 1859. Working from his makeshift observatory in a barn in his backyard, Lescarbault trained his telescope on the Sun and saw what looked like a tiny round planet transiting the Sun.

Recording its progress, Lescarbault eventually sent his data to Le Verrier, by then the director of the Paris Observatory, after reading an article by Le Verrier about the problem of Mercury's orbit.

"Le Verrier is at a New Year’s Eve party when he gets the letter and treks out to Lescarbault’s house," Levenson explains, "which involves a train ride and then a 12-mile walk, to interrogate him.

"Le Verrier becomes convinced that Lescarbault really did see what he claims to have seen and that the proper interpretation is that this is a transit of a planet. It’s not clear who first named it, but it quickly became known as Vulcan."

Anyway, enter Mr. Einstein and since then no one considers the matter anymore.

"[For Einstein,] Vulcan had long since drifted to the far penumbra of possibility," Levenson wrote in The Hunt for Vulcan. "But now, Albert Einstein, constructing a cosmos on a foundation of relativity, was taking dead aim at the undiscovered planet. From the beginning of his investigation of gravity, Einstein grasped the crucial either/or of Vulcan's existence or absence."

For more than half a century, the existence of Vulcan was disputed, but it was at least seriously debated. Einstein, therefore, came to understand that Mercury was a crucial proving ground for developing his theory of general relativity. If relativity could explain the wobble of Mercury's orbit without needing to rely on Vulcan, it wouldn't just solve a great mystery in astronomy and physics. It would show that relativity superseded Newton and his laws of motion and gravitation entirely in describing the universe.

All about Vulcan, a hypothetical planet between the Sun and Mercury

Scientists in the 19th century believed that a hidden ninth planet, Vulcan, orbited between Mercury and the Sun—until Einstein buried the theory once and for all.

interestingengineering.com

 

[Puma]

I would say that there is something behind the sun that causes an increase in activity.

Because of the wobble in the orbit of Mercury many people in the 1800's were looking for Planet Vulcan.

I don't know if it's the planet Vulcan, but we are certainly very AFORTUNATE or a higher power is protecting us. As has been made known by helioseismic studies, big sunspots on the far side possibly generate significant M or X class flares and once they enter the side facing the Earth these sunspots quiet down, make their transition across the solar disk and once they reach the boundaries in the west, outside the Earth's strike zone, boom! back to eruptions

Here is the latest example AR3376

AR3376 entered the solar disk on July 17, a very small active region (30MH) with 11 sunspots. Its maximum size was 180MH (slightly larger than the Earth). During its transition it only generated small C-class flares and it was not until it reached the west that it started to generate M-class flares and today morning a solar flare class M4 with a spectacular coronal mass ejection (CME). What would have happened if the Earth had received the direct impact of the CME?

It is said that this flare was larger than M4, possibly an X, but since it was already on the far side, the instruments only detected it as M.



SpaceWeatherlive..com

https://twitter.com/x/status/1684976247812866048

https://twitter.com/x/status/1685027243477852160

https://twitter.com/x/status/1685006807377330177

https://twitter.com/x/status/1684961751308066816

Now if we review what is to the west of the sun according to Solar System Scope images we find Jupiter and Uranus possibly the triggers of these showy flares that happen when sunspots leave the solar disk.

It is worth mentioning that these planets are linked to seismic activity here on Earth and may generate something very strong during August according to the SSGEOS analysis.

​

 

[dennis]

Puma:
I don't know if it's the planet Vulcan, but we are certainly very AFORTUNATE or a higher power is protecting us.

In the original comic book story, planet Krypton was opposite Earth, what is called a "counter earth" position

 

[Puma]

In the original comic book story, planet Krypton was opposite Earth, what is called a "counter earth" position

And in the Marvel Universe there is a counter-Earth, home of the High Evolutionary who likes to build societies of genetically modified animals and then destroy them.

I don't know if you can see the tweet of Engineer Irene Quiroz in the previous post, but there is a moment, when the CME is happening, when you can see a circular object or something because the solar plasma surrounds that space. (Upper right corner)

​

https://twitter.com/x/status/1685006807377330177

Undoubtedly, we live in times where fantasy surpasses reality.

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 29_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M4 event observed at 15:58 UTC on July 28 from Region 3376 (N23, L=228) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Middle Atlantic Ocean

​

https://twitter.com/x/status/1684974029030006792

There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the solar disk:AR3377, AR3379, AR3380 AR3382, AR3384, AR3385, AR3386 AR3387, AR3388, AR3389 and new region AR3390

AR3376, AR3383

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 154 (49 of these are grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.

Proton event caused by the CME that was associated with the M4.1 flare has indeed hit the S1 storm threshold.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1685077719262887936

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. On July 28 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 453 km/s (Elevated speed) at 01:04 UTC. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 14:20 UTC​

Aurora Oval Bz: -2.75 nT South


● Current Conditions at 02:20 UTC on July 29

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (kp 3)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 383.3 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 1.7 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.53 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: -3.2 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C5 at 20:58 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 154 (SN 147 July 28)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Ca.]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 29_2023

Bárðarbunga Seismic Unrest Iceland - Severe Thunderstorm Watches cover 18 million - Power Outages

Premiered 2 hours ago

Connecticut

https://twitter.com/x/status/1684748663388594176

https://twitter.com/x/status/1684880574480027649

It seems very likely that the first ten days of August will be very cool in France and Western Europe.The air mass at 1500 m could present a deficit of up to 7°C at the end of the pro week with maximum near the ground below 20°C and minimum below 10°C in the northeast.

 

[Olivierlejardinier]

From the recently published Session 11 July 1998, an excerpt about sun/companion star:

Q: (A) I want to continue questions from the previous session. First, about this companion star: where is it now; which part of the zodiac?

A: Libra Constellation.

Q: (A) Where is the periodic comet cluster?

A: Not visible. It approaches in "scatter pattern," indicating that one or two of the members may have already made the circuit.

Q: (A) We have been told that it will look like one solid object at first.

A: Yes, but not necessarily only one grouping. Will show up first in the region of the Magellanic Clouds.

Q: (A) So, we have the idea. Next question concerning this companion star; we were told that its mass is less than the sun, can we have a figure on how much less?

A: 56 percent of the mass of the sun.

Q: (A) Okay, if this is really so, then when it really starts to approach the solar system, and they rotate in tandem, it means that the sun will really start to feel its gravity, and because of this, the solar system will start to move with respect to other stars, so all the constellations will shift, is this correct?

A: More like a slight "wobble" effect.

Q: (L) Will that be perceptible to us here on the Earth?

A: Only through measurements.

Q: (T) There have been a lot of reports of late regarding major solar activity, solar flares, solar winds, etc. The surface of the sun has a whole lot going on. The last I heard, one of the two satellites observing the sun, one of them is gone. Is this an effect from the sun itself, or is this an effect of the approaching brown dwarf?

A: The sun.

Q: (T) As the brown dwarf approaches, will it intensify the solar flare activity?

A: The effect on the physical orientation of the sun from the periodic passage of its companion is to flatten the sphere slightly. This returns to its original spherical shape with the retreat.

Q: (L) Is this flattening of the sphere of the sun going to have any noticeable effects in terms of enhanced, accelerated, or magnified radiation from the sun?

A: No.

Q: (T) Solar flares or anything like that?

A: No.

Q: (T) So there is not going to be any appreciable effect on the planet from this as far as the sun goes?

A: The sun's gravity increases, thus inhibiting flares.

Q: (T) Inhibiting flares is good. (L) Not necessarily. Solar minimums have been periods of ice ages. (T) One of the recent crop circles this year shows what the crop circle interpreters say is an image of the sun with a large solar flare coming off of it. It is supposed to be a warning to us that the surface of the sun has become unstable...

A: All events intersect.

Q: (A) Okay, I would like to ask what kind of effects other than just gravity we should expect from the close passage of this star? Any particular electro-magnetic, gamma radiation, or what to look for? In which part of the spectrum?

A: Radiation emits from those cosmic bodies which radiate.

Q: (L) Are you saying that the brown star does not radiate?

A: Yes.

Q: (L) If it doesn't radiate, what does it do?

A: Its radioactive field is severely limited as the "fire" went out long ago. It does not give off light.

Q: (J) It's a brown star. (T) One or two steps away from being a collapsing black hole. (L) Well, that's friendly, especially after watching "Event Horizon" last night!

A: No. Black holes only form from 1st magnitude stars.

Q: (A) We have been told that there is going to be a change of the magnetic field of the earth. Does this mean that the magnetic pole will shift?

A: Yes.

Q: (A) About this shift of the poles, is it going to be a complete pole reversal?

A: Yes.

Q: (A) What is going to happen inside Earth that could cause this magnetic pole reversal?

A: Is caused by disturbances in the mineral content of the substrata rock, brought on by the interaction of Earth with outside forces.

Q: (L) What specific outside forces?

A: Those already discussed.

Q: (L) What is going to be the specific mechanism of this disturbance? Can you describe for us the steps by which this pole reversal will take place?

A: Pole reversal is cyclical anyway, these events merely serve as trigger mechanism.

Q: (L) Let me ask it this way: is there a charge that builds up in the mineral substrata that requires discharge, or that becomes excited to the point that it discharges and then reverses? Is this what we are talking about in terms of the mechanism?

A: Examine what is needed to magnetize metal. Ask Arkadiusz.

Q: (A) What is needed to magnetize metal. One has to align the spins of the atoms which means one has to strike the metal, or one has to bring a magnetic field close. (T) Strike as in annealing... heating and striking metal or rock which causes the crystalline structure to decompose so that the metal becomes pliable. Then, each time it is hit, it reforms until it cools again. (L) Is this what we are talking about here?

A: Close.

Q: (A) One can also have an external magnetic field to align. But, where is it going to come from?

A: Guess.

Q: (L) The wave?

A: All are interconnected.

Q: (T) Now, this is just a thought: where would an external magnetic field strong enough to do something like that come from? On the earth, if you supercharge the ionosphere, you create an extremely intense magnetic field. That's what the ionosphere basically is. That is what the HAARP group of programs is about. That is what Tesla was into - the ionosphere - cause there is a large charge there. (L) Is the HAARP project involved here?

A: No.

Q: (T) They are monkeying around with that stuff. (L) Do the people in charge of the HAARP project know about all of this and are they constructing this HAARP array to utilize this energy in some way?

A: Those who know are at foundation.

Q: (T) To protect us?

A: HAARP is for mind control. It is hoped it can be successful in 4th density too!

Q: (L) Well, if these people are aware that this sort of thing is getting ready to happen... never mind. (A) We have been told that this magnetic disturbance is closely related to this realm border crossing, and you asked us the question 'what is the root of realm' and it is reality. Now, realm has an m at the end. Does this have something to do with magnetic?

A: Realm border is when the reality shifts for all.

Q: (A) Yes, but why is this reality shift related to magnetic field disturbance? What is the connection?

A: Your physiology and etheric orientation are both tied into the magnetic state of your environment.

Q: (L) Okay, you said before that the magnetic field is going to reverse...

A: Magnetic poles reverse.

Q: (L) Okay, what is the magnetic field going to do. It is going to change in some way. Is it going to increase, decrease... is this to a degree - something other than direction - amplification? (T) Will anything change in the strength of the field?

A: Let us illustrate. Now: Earth. [A circle is drawn with radiating spikes all around fairly close to the surface.] Earth after: [A circle is drawn with double radiating spikes with those in polar regions considerably longer than the others.]

Q: (T) So, it is the same, except it is larger?

A: Close.

Q: (T) Are you indicating that the magnetic field will be stronger?

A: Broader and larger.

Q: (L) What is the cross in the middle?

A: Geodirectional grid reference. You incorrectly added circle on side. Lines of magnetic field alignment should be shown as longer at poles. "Crosshairs" in illustration are for directional reference only.

Q: (T) Does this mean it will be stronger also?

A: Larger and broader.

Q: (A) People work near strong magnets much stronger than the Earth's magnetic field, yet nothing happens to them that we can see.

A: Not true. Body chemistry is altered. Is not long term or permanent exposure.

Q: (L) So, apparently long term and permanent exposure can make a big difference. .../...

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 30_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1.4 event observed at 16:24 UTC on July 29 from Region 3380 (S10W12) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Caribbean​

There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3377, AR3379, AR3380, AR3384, AR3385, AR3386 AR3387, AR3388, AR3389, AR3390 and new region AR3391​

AR3382 is gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 148 (50 of these are grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 40% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

A SUNSPOT VISIBLE FROM MARS: There is a sunspot on the farside of the sun so large it is visible from Mars. Perseverance saw it yesterday during a routine check of the sun. The rover monitors the brightness of the sun over Jezero crater as a way of detecting Martian dust stoms. The sunspot will turn toward Earth early next week.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. On July 29 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 411 km/s (Elevated speed) at 13:38 UTC. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 19:54 UTC
​

EARTH-DIRECTED CME (UPDATED): A CME *is* heading for Earth following the eruption of a magnetic filament during the late hours of July 28th. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the liftoff:​

​

Shortly after the eruption, SOHO coronagraphs saw a faint, lopsided-halo CME emerging from the sun's southern hemisphere. A NOAA model of the CME shows it hitting Earth on August 1st. The impact could cause G1 (Minor) to G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storms with high-latitude auroras. SpaceWeather.com​

Aurora Oval Bz: -4.09 nT South


● Current Conditions at 04:00 UTC on July 30

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 1)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 434.4 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 4.92 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 7.37 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.3 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C4 at 23:40 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 148 (SN 154 July 29)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JULY 31_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1.4 event observed at 08:14 UTC on July 29 from Region 3390 (S19E46). it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Indian Ocean​

The red bands at the poles show us that the proton storm is still going on.

PROTONS ARE *STILL* HITTING EARTH'S ATMOSPHERE: For the second day in a row, energetic protons from the sun are raining down on Earth's atmosphere. This is called a "radiation storm" (S1-class), and it was caused by a magnificent eruption on July 28th:​

The blast site was hidden from view just behind the sun's northwestern limb. Earth-orbiting satellites registered an M4-class solar flare, but the underlying explosion was stronger. It was probably an X-flare partially eclipsed by the edge of the sun.​

How can a sunspot not facing Earth send so many protons in our direction? The answer is "the Parker spiral." Take a look. As the sun spins, its magnetic field spirals like water flowing from a twirling lawn sprinkler. Lines of magnetic force emerging from behind the sun's northwestern limb (where the explosion happened) spiral back and make a direct connection to Earth. It's a superhighway for energetic protons.​

This radiation storm looks like it will continue at S1 levels for at least one more day. Its main effect is a polar cap absorption event (PCA) inside the Arctic Circle. Right now, shortwave radios around the north pole aren't working very well. This global map shows which frequencies are most affected. SpaceWeather.com​

There are currently 9 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3379, AR3380, AR3385, AR3386 AR3387, AR3388, AR3389, AR3390, AR3391

AR3377, AR3384 are gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 139 (49 of these are grouped into 9 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 55% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. On July 30 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 532 km/s (Elevated speed) at 09:39 UTC. Total IMF reached -7 nT at 04:15 UTC​

GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH (G2): Geomagnetic storms are possible on Aug. 1st when a CME is expected to hit Earth's magnetic field. Minor G1-class storms are likely with a chance of escalating to category G2. The CME was hurled almost directly toward Earth by the eruption of a magnetic filament in the sun's northern hemisphere on July 28th. SpaceWeather.com​

https://twitter.com/x/status/1685589694250176512

Aurora Oval Bz: -5.12 nT South


● Current Conditions at 04:30 UTC on July 31

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 451.7 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 3.82 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5.25 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.2 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 04:17 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 139 (SN 148 July 30)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT AUGUST 01_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1.6 event observed at 09:00 UTC on July 31 from Region 3390 (S19E32). it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Indian Ocean



There are currently 11 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3379, AR3380, AR3385, AR3386 AR3387, AR3388, AR3389, AR3390, AR3391 and new regions AR3392, AR3393

Total number of sunspots has increased to 197 (77 of these are grouped into 11 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 55% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1686185827775201280

● AR3380 (S10W39 size 400MH) has grown and poses a beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares

https://twitter.com/x/status/1686093951650975744

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. On July 31 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 445.3 km/s (Elevated speed) at 00:11 UTC. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 02:38 UTC

Aurora Oval Bz: 2.23 nT North

​

● Current Conditions at 03:30 UTC on August 01

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 374.2 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 4.81 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 2.31 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.2 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M1.2 at 02:03 UTC from AR3380 (S10W39 size 400MH) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Pacific Ocean


▪︎ Sunspot number: 197 (SN 139 July 31)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
...
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com

​

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT AUGUST 02_2023

AR3380 (S10W53) starts August with 7 moderate flares so far. The first of these flares was M1 and occurred at 01:56 UTC and 7 minutes later a M1.2 at 02:03 UTC.​

M1.2 at 02:03 UTC from AR3380 (S10W39 size 400MH) it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Pacific Ocean

The largest solar event of the period was a M3.6 event observed at 06:57 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over India
​

Other events from the same region

●M2.1 at 04:47 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Indonesia.
●M1.3 at 05:37 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Indonesia.
●M1.4 at 14:09 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over North Atlantic Ocean

https://twitter.com/x/status/1686345037976686592

●M1.06 at 21:51 UTC it caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Pacific Ocean

ACTIVE SUNSPOT: Set your watch. 3 hours from now there should be another M-class solar flare. That's how often sunspot AR3380 has been exploding:​

​

Extreme ultraviolet flashes from this sunspot have been ionizing the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing a series of shortwave radio blackouts around all longitudes of our planet. If this continues, ham radio operators may notice frequent loss of signal and other propagation effects at frequencies below 15 MHz.​

The explosions have also hurled some faint CMEs into space. NOAA analysts are modeling them now to see if any will hit Earth​

There are currently 10 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3380, AR3384, AR3386 AR3387, AR3388, AR3389, AR3390, AR3391 AR3392, AR3393

AR3379 is gone

Total number of sunspots has decreased to 160 (60 of these are grouped into 10 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 55% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

Sunspot AR3380 poses a threat for M-class solar flares. It continues with a beta-gamma magnetic field.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. On August 01 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 481 km/s (Elevated speed) at 01:23 UTC. Total IMF reached 12 nT at 17:26 UTC
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NO IMPACT: A CME expected to hit Earth's magnetic field on Aug. 1st may have missed. There is a hint of a near miss in solar wind data around 1600 UT, but the ripple effect was feeble and did not cause a geomagnetic storm. The CME might still be en route. If so, its late arrival would spark at most a G1-class storm on Aug. 2nd​

Aurora Oval Bz: 7.83 nT North


● Current Conditions at 03:20 UTC on August 02

▪︎ Geospace quiet (kp 2)
▪︎ Solar wind speed record: 400 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 10.27 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 11.03 nT
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 2.9 % (Below average)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M1 at 21:51 UTC
▪︎ Sunspot number: 160 (SN 197 August 01)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.

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