Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT MARCH 27_2023

ALL QUIET. Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at 17:08 UTC on March 26 from Region 3256 (S23W45).

There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3256 AR3257, AR3258 AR3259, AR3260, AR3262 AR3264 and new region AR3265

https://twitter.com/x/status/1640161324461088771

The total number of sunspots has increased to 125 (45 of these are grouped into 8 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 90% chance for C flares, 10% chance for M flares and 1% chance for X flares.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 700 km/s at 14:38 UTC on March 26 Maximum planetary index Kp 2

Aurora Oval (Bz: 0.49 nT North)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1639790814652952576

https://twitter.com/x/status/1640103075515092993

● Current Conditions at 05:10 UTC on March 27

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 1
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 620 km/sec (Moderately high speed)
▪︎ density: 5.71 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -3.7% Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: C1 at 00:03 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 105 (SN 108 March 25)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[YoYa]

I have a question.
Did you notice anything unusual about your bodies on Friday and Saturday?... I could feel my chakras in the form of orbs on both days, but I would never have connected it to solar activity.
Only now, with EE breathing, did I get the idea.
However, I'm still unsure- have you experienced something similar?.... Or can you say something about it?

Translated with DeepL

 

[Wandering Star]

I have a question.
Did you notice anything unusual about your bodies on Friday and Saturday?... I could feel my chakras in the form of orbs on both days, but I would never have connected it to solar activity.
Only now, with EE breathing, did I get the idea.
However, I'm still unsure- have you experienced something similar?.... Or can you say something about it?

Translated with DeepL

Well, the geomagnetic storm surprised those who forecast this and they don't really know where it came from.

My sensation, especially on Saturday and Sunday, was of enormous peace and balance.

Even today with much more energy.

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT MARCH 28_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 06:36 UTC on March 27 from Region 3256 (S21W59).

QUIET SUN: Today, there are 9 sunspot groups on the sun. All 9 are stable and quiet. NOAA forecasters say there is only a 10% chance of M-class solar flares and no more than a 1% chance of X-flares on March 28th.
SpaceWeather.com

There are currently 9 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3256 AR3257, AR3258 AR3259, AR3260, AR3262, AR3263
AR3264 AR3265

The total number of sunspots has increased to 128 (38 of these are grouped into 9 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 90% chance for C flares, 10% chance for M flares and 1% chance for X flares.Sunspot AR3256 continues to be the most active region, it has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares, but so far it is stable and quiet.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 620 km/s at 22:03 UTC on March 27 Maximum planetary index Kp 2

A minor stream of solar wind flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on April 1-2.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1640341594820714501

Aurora Oval (Bz: -3.49 nT South)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1640255117122207744

● Current Conditions at 06:00 UTC on March 28

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 2
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 354.5 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 0.27 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -2.5% Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: C1 ar 02:29 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 128 (SN 125 March 27)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

Did you notice anything unusual about your bodies on Friday and Saturday?...

Not over the weekend, but especially today I felt extremely tired. No desire to exercise and felt a heaviness in my back. My muscles had a kind of pain.

 

[Ryan]

Did you notice anything unusual about your bodies on Friday and Saturday?

No, just a sensation of peaceful relaxation, especially through Saturday and Sunday, similar to Wandering Star.

 

[Antony]

A triangular coronal hole, dangerous for the Earth, has formed on the Sun
A second giant coronal hole has appeared on the Sun, which can direct the solar wind at a speed of 2 million kilometers per hour towards the Earth.

This oddly shaped hole appeared after the discovery of the first coronal hole in the Sun, which is 30 times larger than Earth. When this first "hole" finally disappeared, a new giant coronal hole with a size from 18 to 20 terrestrial appeared in the field of view.

Coronal holes release solar wind into space, which can damage satellites, navigation equipment, electronic equipment and cause a powerful flash of auroras if it reaches Earth.

"Being at the equator means that we are almost guaranteed to see the arrival of a powerful and fast solar wind on Earth a couple of days after it passes by the central meridian," scientists say.

A stream of solar wind from this coronal hole is expected to come to Earth from about Friday evening until Saturday morning this week.

На Солнце образовалась опасная для Земли треугольная корональная дыра

На Солнце появилась вторая гигантская корональная дыра, которая может направить солнечный ветер со скоростью 2 миллиона километров в час по направлению к Земле.

earth-chronicles.ru

There is a vid inside the link. Very strange triangular form of a sunspot indeed.

 

[Puma]

A triangular coronal hole, dangerous for the Earth, has formed on the Sun
A second giant coronal hole has appeared on the Sun, which can direct the solar wind at a speed of 2 million kilometers per hour towards the Earth.

Oh, it is not dangerous. In fact the SpaceWeather.com website also points to the fact that the mass media is exaggerating the presence of a "giant coronal hole."

Spaceweather.com Time Machine

For example, this page, which also talks about the storm that will cause the coronal hole, uses the image of a coronal hole that I saw years ago and has nothing to do with the current coronal hole that has caused a sensation in the mass media. It is as if they had seen a coronal hole for the first time, but it is rather bait




There have been much larger coronal holes. A few months ago we had a trans-equatorial coronal hole.

Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) threshold reached at 08:02 UTC due to a stream of solar wind flowing from a transequatorial coronal hole. Geomagnetic storm subsided around 15:00 UTC

A trans-equatorial coronal hole - the dark area on the western side of the Sun - is in prime position to affect the Earth with high-speed coronal winds and could produce low-level geomagnetic storms. If this one doesn't then the one in the east could in a week or so. Keith Strong vía Twitter December 1, 2022

The past severe geomagnetic storm was caused by a crack in the Earth's magnetic field. Possibly caused by a CME.

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT MARCH 29_2023

X-FLARE

An X1.27 flare form sunspot region AR3256 in the SW quadrant of the Sun. This is the 8th largest flare so far this cycle. It occurred at 02:33 UTC on March 29 and caused a Strong R3 radio blackout over South Pacific Ocean and Oceania.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1640916005764452355

Prior to flare X1.27 solar activity had remained at low levels for the past 24 hours with a number of C flares with a C2 being the largest solar event of the period observed at 15:47 UTC on March 28 from Region 3256 (S22W62).

There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3256 AR3257, AR3258, AR3260, AR3262, AR3263
AR3264 AR3265, AR3259 is gone

The total number of sunspots has decreased to 114 (34 of these are grouped into 8 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 90% chance for C flares, 10% chance for M flares and 1% chance for X flares.Sunspot AR3256 continues to be the most active region, it has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 474 km/s at 00:22 UTC on March 28 Maximum planetary index Kp 2

SOLAR WIND, INCOMING: A minor stream of solar wind is heading for Earth. ETA: April 1st. The gaseous material is flowing from a relatively small hole in the sun's atmosphere, now facing our planet. Arctic auroras are likely when the solar wind arrives. SpaceWeather.com

Aurora Oval. (Bz: 1.59 nT North)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1640803755233890311

● Current Conditions at 04:30 UTC on March 29

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 2
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 364.3 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 1.12 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -1.6 % Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: X1 at 02:33 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 114 (SN 128 March 28)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Antony]

Russian scientists have found out that magnetic storms destroy up to a quarter of the Earth's ozone layer

MOSCOW, 29 Mar — RIA Novosti. Physicists from St. Petersburg State University and other Russian universities, together with colleagues from the Davos Physico-Meteorological Observatory, proved that up to a quarter of the Earth's ozone layer can collapse in a day of geomagnetic storms, the Ministry of Science and Higher Education told RIA Novosti.
They noted that scientists around the world pay great attention to the research of the ozone layer and climatic conditions on Earth. To do this, it is necessary to take into account natural and anthropogenic factors acting in the atmosphere, from the surface of the planet to near—Earth outer space.
The destruction of the ozone layer is often associated with the precipitation of high-energy protons, electrons and alpha particles that penetrate into the atmosphere from the magnetosphere — the plasma shell of the Earth, whose physical properties are determined by the magnetic field and its interaction with streams of charged particles. As a result, free radicals are formed, which destroy ozone.

We found that during geomagnetic disturbances in the polar atmosphere, the concentration of radicals increases. This leads to the destruction of ozone at the heights of the mesosphere during the day. The maximum destruction we found was 14-25 percent at an altitude of about 75 kilometers. That is, magnetospheric storms are capable of destroying up to a quarter of the available ozone on this surface," said Irina Mironova, head of the section "Magnetosphere and the effect of energetic particles on the Atmosphere" of the Laboratory for Research of the ozone layer and the upper Atmosphere of St. Petersburg State University.

Experts obtained detailed data on the number of particles in the atmosphere using balloon measurements of X-ray radiation associated with the so-called energetic electrons pouring into the atmosphere. Observations were carried out on Apatites in the Murmansk region. To assess the destruction of the ozone layer, a special mathematical model was used, which takes into account various processes occurring in the atmosphere.
In addition, for a more complete and detailed study, St. Petersburg State University scientists have created a model that allows calculating the temperature and concentration of neutral gases, free electrons and ions involved in more than 300 different reactions — for example, involving nitrogen and hydrogen catalytic cycles of ozone destruction.
The results obtained by the scientists of St. Petersburg State University can be used to more accurately predict the future of the ozone layer and the Earth's climate, as well as to analyze the propagation of radio waves.

Магнитные бури уничтожают озоновый слой Земли, рассказали российские ученые

Физики из Санкт-Петербургского государственного университета и других российских вузов вместе с коллегами из Давосской физико-метеорологической обсерватории... РИА Новости, 29.03.2023

ria.ru

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT MARCH 30_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. After the X1.27 flare, region AR3256 (S21W59) produced two M-class flares

●M1 2 at 14:07 on March 29 it produced a Minor R1 Radio blackout over North Atlantic Ocean
●M1.1 at 23:47 it produced a Minor R1 Radio blackout over South Pacific Ocean

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641100984242905089

There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3256 AR3257, AR3260, AR3262, AR3263 AR3264 AR3265 and new regions AR3266 AR3267, AR3268

AR3258 is gone


The total number of sunspots has increased to 135 (35 of these are grouped into 10 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 25% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.
Sunspot AR3256 continues to be the most active region, it has a 'beta-gamma' magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class solar flares.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 429 km/s at 07:00 UTC on March 29 Maximum planetary index Kp 2

SOLAR WIND, INCOMING (UPDATED): A minor stream of solar wind is heading for Earth. ETA: April 1st. The gaseous material is flowing from a relatively small hole in the sun's atmosphere, now facing our planet. Arctic auroras are likely when the solar wind arrives. SpaceWeather.com

Aurora Oval (Bz: -2.45 nT South)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641178607006683136

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641081525872783362

● Current Conditions at 06:30 UTC on March 30

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 2
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 489 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 5 42 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -1.7 % Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: C5 at 23:59 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 135 (SN 114 March 29)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Antony]

Short summary and forecast.


In 2023, more than 30 X-class flares may occur on the Sun

Yesterday, an X-class flare occurred on the Sun, which has already become the 7th X-class flare in 2023, which is equal in number to 7 flashes that occurred in the whole of 2022. If last year 7 outbreaks occurred throughout the year, then this year 7 outbreaks occurred in just 3 months.

This is another sign that the 25th solar cycle is rapidly intensifying. If this trend continues, more than 30 Class X outbreaks could occur by the end of 2023, which is an order of magnitude more than just two years ago.

Official forecasts predict the onset of a solar maximum in 2024 or 2025. If this is the case, then the solar cycle has enough time to intensify even more; X-flares may indeed become commonplace.

What does this mean for us? Everything will depend on where the coronal mass ejection from the next flare will be directed, and if it is directed to the Earth, then everything will depend on the power of the ejection and whether the Earth's shield - magnetosphere will be able to reflect this blow.

В 2023 году на Солнце может произойти свыше 30 вспышек класса Х

Вчера на Солнце произошла вспышка класса Х, которая стала уже 7-й вспышкой класса X в 2023 году, что по количеству равно 7 вспышкам произошедшим за весь 2022 год. Если в прошлом году 7 вспышек происходили в течении всего года, то в этом 7 вспышек про

earth-chronicles.ru

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT MARCH 31_2023

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M5.4 event observed at 07:37 UTC on March 30 from Region 3256 (S22W88). It caused a Moderate R2 radio blackout over Indian Ocean

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641377398212947970

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641378707615956996

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641572822467383298

There are currently 10 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3256 AR3257, AR3260, AR3262, AR3263 AR3264 AR3265 AR3266 AR3267, AR3268

The total number of sunspots has decreased to 99 (21 of these are grouped into 10 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 25% chance for M flares and 10% chance for X flares.

Sunspot AR3256 is preparing to say "see you soon" this weekend. In the last 24 hours this active region lost its gamma component in its magnetic field which finally remains as beta.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4)
threshold reached at 17:59 UTC on March 30, Solar wind speed reached a peak of 592 km/s at 20:27 UTC on March 30 Maximum planetary index Kp 4 Earth will be caught in a stream of solar wind this weekend, which comes from a coronal hole on the west side of the sun.

Aurora Oval (Bz: -1.85 nT South)


● Current Conditions at 05:00 UTC on March 31

▪︎ Geospace active
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 4
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 623.5 km/sec (Moderately high speed)
▪︎ density: 0.97 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -1.7 % Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: C2 at 23:26 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 99 (SN 135 March 30)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 01_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4.4 event observed at 09:09 UTC from Region 3260 (N24W85).

Spectacular Coronal Mass Ejection

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641975435876605957

A nice prominence eruption was just observed off the northwest limb. A coronal mass ejection (CME) is now becoming visible in coronagraph imagery, but will be directed away from Earth. Image by GOES-16 SUVI. SolarHam.com

There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3260, AR3262, AR3264 AR3265 AR3266.

AR3256, AR3257, AR3263, AR3267, AR3268 are gone.


The total number of sunspots has decreased to 61 (11 of these are grouped into 5 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 10% chance for M flares and 5% chance for X flares. With AR3256 located behind the west limb, solar activity is expected to decrease to lower levels this weekend.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm level for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 692 km/s at 03:46 UTC Minor G1 geomagnetic storm (Kp5) threshold reached at 05:59 UTC on March 31. Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) threshold Reached: 23:15 UTC Maximum planetary index Kp 5

Aurora Oval (Bz: 4.21 nT North)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641889122758578176

https://twitter.com/x/status/1641822155867586561

● Current Conditions at 04:50 UTC on April 01

▪︎ Geospace quiet
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 2
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 531.1 km/sec (Moderately high speed)
▪︎ density: 1.1 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -1.8% Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: C6 at 03:28 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 61 (SN 99 March 31)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 02_2023

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C6 event observed at 03:28 UTC on April 01 from an unnumbered sunspot.

Farside activity

https://twitter.com/x/status/1642329068816281600

https://twitter.com/x/status/1642179402040582145

There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3260, AR3264 AR3265 AR3266. AR3262 is gone

The total number of sunspots has decreased to 23 (7 of these are grouped into 4 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 50% chance for C flares, 1% chance for M flares and 1% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.

QUIET WEEKEND: Solar activity is low this weekend as multiple sunspots are in decay and pose no threat for strong solar flares. NOAA forecasters say the chance of M- or X-class flares is no more than 1%. SpaceWeather.com

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 662 km/s at 02:47 UTC on April 01 Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) threshold reached at 23:54 UTC Maximum planetary index Kp 4

Aurora Oval (Bz: -1.11 nT South)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1642206342529122304

https://twitter.com/x/status/1642315646829748224

● Current Conditions at 05:30 UTC on April 02

▪︎ Geospace active
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 4
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 567.5 km/sec (Moderately high speed)
▪︎ density: 1.61 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -1.7% Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: B6 at 23:39 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 23 (SN 61 April 01)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com

 

[Puma]

SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT APRIL 03_2023

QUIET WEEKEND Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3.4 event observed at 23:12 UTC on April 02 from AR3270

https://twitter.com/x/status/1642693017810227201

There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3262, AR3264, AR3269 and AR3270

This is new region AR3270 (S23W05)

https://twitter.com/x/status/1642689305037488128

The total number of sunspots has increased to 54 (14 of these are grouped into 4 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 25% chance for C flares, 1% chance for M flares and 1% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 731 km/s at 04:43 UTC on April 02 Active geomagnetic conditions (Kp4) threshold reached at 02:58 UTC on April 03

Aurora Oval. Bz: -1.58 nT South

● Current Conditions at 03:50 UTC on April 03

▪︎ Geospace active
▪︎Geomagnetic conditions now : Kp 4
▪︎Solar wind speed record: 470 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 1.83 p/cm3 (low density)
▪︎Neutron Counts today: -1.0% Below Average
▪︎X-ray Solar Flare: C3 at 23:13 UTC
▪︎Sunspot number: 54 (SN 23 April 02)
SpaceWeather.com
SpaceWeatherlive..com