The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!

Meanwhile the guys from "Grand Solar Minimum" Youtube Chanel, who seem to be connected to the website electroverse.net (I'm not sure) and mentioned in the post from thorbiorn in which he refers back to Windmill knights post, have published a new interview with Professor Valentina Zharkova, in which she predicts, quite reasonably I think, that in the next 5 to 10 years we will go into another Maunder Minimum Type of event, in which it will be bitter cold in July, although a bit less severe then back then according to her:


They also published an interview at the beginning of this year with John Casey:

Interview with John Casey and Grand Solar Minimum Jake & Mari Interview John Casey. Interviewed on Jul 17, 2017 This is the last interview John Casey had before his stroke. We are keeping him in our prayers! Veritence Publishing, Inc at book publishing

This important new science book, "Upheaval!" is now available through Veritence Publishing, Inc., Trafford Publishing and Amazon.com and other retail outlets, in both paperback and eBook formats. This profound science work by some of the world's leading climate science and seismology experts, shows why the United States has just entered one of its most dangerous periods ever. The book lays out the case for catastrophic earthquakes striking the USA with long term adverse consequences for the entire country starting as early as 2017! Hundreds of billions of dollars are likely in property damage and tens of thousands of Americans may die during the next twenty years of geophysical 'upheaval.'

Mr. John L. Casey. IEVPC Co-Founder and Director. Mr. Casey is also President of Veritence, Inc., a science and engineering consulting company and Veritence Publishing, Inc. a company established to aid scientists, nature and science-fiction authors to get their books published. He was, previous to 2015, the President of the Space and Science Research Corporation (SSRC), a leading climate science research organization. Mr. Casey is a former White House space program advisor, NASA Headquarters and Congressional Consultant and was a Senior Field Engineer on the Space Shuttle program. He is a leading researcher on the science of solar activity cycles and their impacts on climate change and associated catastrophic geophysical events (CGE), including earthquakes, tsunamis and volcanic eruptions. He is also the author of the widely acclaimed climate science books including the 2011 climate book “Cold Sun,” its 2014 remake and natiowide best seller, "Dark Winter," and the December 12, 2016 book "Upheaval! - Why Catastrophic Earthquakes Will Soon Strike the United States."


Has anyone read his books?

Casey mentions, rightfully so, that there might be even bigger cycles at play in regards to the sun, of whom we don't know much about while pointing to the fact that every time the earth went into cold mode in the past, warfare, large scale famines and diseases raged through society. He also says that the last warm peaks we have seen in the last couple of years, will be the last ones for at least the next coming 400 years and that it might get even colder then (if other cycles come at play which we don't know about so much).

Both scientist mentioned above are convinced, based on rather solid data (in stark contrast to the global warming "scientists"), that we are entering a Grand Minimum quickly in the next years, and that this one will be a bit less severe then the Maunder-Minimum.

Zharkova Modell predicts a harsher future then Caseys Modell, while Casey makes it clear that russian scientist working on the problem have a even worse outlook, thinking that another ice age is upon us. So Caseys, as well as Zharkovas, predictions are less sever then the russian ones (but still pretty hard).

While both scientist do a stellar job in their fields I think, both don't seem to take other factors into account, which are IMO quite profound and can change this situation to the worse or better (but probably worse).

For example both seem to approach this mostly from the standard models of our solar system in which electricity/plasma doesn't play much of a role. Both don't take into account comets and comet dust. Both don't take into account Nemesis and how this hypothetical brown dwarf might be affecting things.

Having said that, I think it is well worth the time and effort to look deeper into their works.
 
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On south hemisphere, people will have to forget the summer I guess.
Unseasonable Snowstorm Hits Falls Creek



I also have a brother who lives in Australia and he also says that it will be almost summer, but the weather is still very cold and unpredictable with sudden temperature fluctuations for the season.
And I for one am loving it!:-P:-) As I write this post it is almost 15C in Adelaide and raining @ 10.30am. In the past it would by now have been in the low to mid 30s, so I am not complaining. Even though I have lived here most of my life, I could never get used to the heat.
 
Casey mentions, rightfully so, that there might be even bigger cycles at play in regards to the sun, of whom we don't know much about while pointing to the fact that every time the earth went into cold mode in the past, warfare, large scale famines and diseases raged through society. He also says that the last warm peaks we have seen in the last couple of years, will be the last ones for at least the next coming 400 years and that it might get even colder then (if other cycles come at play which we don't know about so much).

Interestingly Casey also mentions in the video the well established fact that when the earth enters into cold periods the number of heavy and very catastrophic earthquakes and volcanic eruptions increases and that this is still a big mystery to be solved for scientists. His last book "Upheaval" is partly about this fact and how one should prepare for it, especially in places like America. It is meant for scientists and layperson as well. His previous two books "Cold Sun" and "Dark Winter" go into much more scientific detail about what is coming and why. As it happens Randall Carlson in one of his videos also mentioned studies that indicate that hurricane activity was much more pronounced in cold spells in the past as well. So, not even taking Comets and other factors into account, a time of upheaval will likely start soon and probably has started already.

Casey also goes into the three different views that exists on the severity of the global cooling and how bad it will get while he is asked about Zharkovas work. He thinks it will be quite less severe than the Maunder-Minimum (predicting around 50 Sunspots at the peaks), but still very heavy for our civilization, so much so that it will be a big challenge for civilizations as a whole. While Zharkova thinks it will be worse, almost comparable to the Maunder-Minimum and the russian scientist think it well get even worse, predicting another ice age with zero sunspots at the peaks.

However, he says, that approximately by the 2023 to 2025, those three different views on how severe it will get, will be finally settled, because by that time we will be able to know for sure what scenario is upon us. So it will take just another 4 - 7 years in which we will know scientifically (and very likely already feel globally quite pronounced) what has started; a less severe Maunder-Minimum, a Mounder-Minimum or an ice age. Very interesting and probably quite difficult times ahead!

Therefore I think it is quite reasonable to already start to prepare for it, step by step, in order to maybe be in a better position when it picks up. Good warm clothes and canned food is a good start I think besides following the signs of the times very closely.
 
Interestingly Casey also mentions in the video the well established fact that when the earth enters into cold periods the number of heavy and very catastrophic earthquakes and volcanic eruptions increases and that this is still a big mystery to be solved for scientists.

A solar minimum means that the solar wind decreases, so more cosmic rays/particles fall on the planet, which result in more condensation on the atmosphere, formation of clouds and precipitation, which means cooling. The increase of cosmic rays hitting the earth may have electric effects which could explain the geological upheaval, as well as phenomena such as hurricanes. I believe Pierre explains this in his book.
 
A solar minimum means that the solar wind decreases, so more cosmic rays/particles fall on the planet, which result in more condensation on the atmosphere, formation of clouds and precipitation, which means cooling. The increase of cosmic rays hitting the earth may have electric effects which could explain the geological upheaval, as well as phenomena such as hurricanes. I believe Pierre explains this in his book.
More cosmic rays also means the increased creation of C14 which is radioactive and might contribute to a higher rate of mutations.
The creation of C14 and other light isotopes is called cosmic ray spallation. The Wiki has:
Cosmic ray spallation
is a naturally occurring nuclear reaction causing nucleosynthesis. It refers to the formation of chemical elements from the impact of cosmic rays on an object. Cosmic rays are highly energetic charged particles from beyond Earth [...]

Cosmic rays cause spallation when a ray particle (e.g. a proton) impacts with matter, including other cosmic rays. [...]

Cosmic ray spallation is thought to be responsible for the abundance in the universe of some light elements such as lithium, beryllium, (Helium 3) and boron. [...]

In addition to the above light elements, tritium and isotopes of aluminium, carbon (carbon-14), chlorine, iodine and neon are formed within solar system materials through cosmic ray spallation, and are termed cosmogenic nuclides. [...] There are both radioactive and stable cosmogenic isotopes. Some of the well-known naturally-occurring radioisotopes are tritium, carbon-14 and phosphorus-32.
Nature is just so creative.

In some lecture notes from IceCube Neutrino Observatory they explain more about Cosmic Rays:

Primary Cosmic Rays: accelerated at astrophysical sources  Protons ~87%  He ~12%  1% heavier nuclei: C, O, Fe and other ionized nuclei synthesized in stars  2% electrons  γ-rays, neutrinos  There may be primary components of anti-p and e+ (antimatter in the Universe?)

Secondaries: particles produced in interactions of primaries with interstellar gas Also particles produced in atmospheric showers (Li, Be, B, anti-p, e+) Aside from particles produced in solar flares, they come from outside the solar system
[...]
All stable elements of periodic table are found in CRs and abundances are very similar to solar system one.
From the image below one gets an idea of the result of cosmic rays hitting the atmosphere
cosmic_ray_spallation_900x600.jpg

When cosmic rays, especially high-energy galactic cosmic rays, strike Earth's atmosphere, they often produce a cascade of secondary sub-atomic particles called an "air shower". This diagram depicts an incoming cosmic ray (in red, at the top) and the resulting air shower which includes protons (green), neutrons (orange), pions (yellow), muons (purple), photons (blue), and electrons & positrons (pink). An actual air shower may consist of millions of particles, depending on the energy of the initial cosmic ray.
I guess the secondary subatomic particles are the ones that help to affect the formation of clouds as suggested by some:
The study reveals how atmospheric ions, produced by the energetic cosmic rays raining down through the atmosphere, helps the growth and formation of cloud condensation nuclei – the seeds necessary for forming clouds in the atmosphere. When the ionization in the atmosphere changes, the number of cloud condensation nuclei changes affecting the properties of clouds. More cloud condensation nuclei mean more clouds and a colder climate, and vice versa. Since clouds are essential for the amount of Solar energy reaching the surface of Earth the implications can be significant for our understanding of why climate has varied in the past and also for a future climate changes.
 
How a rising of the ocean waters may flood most of our port cities within the foreseeable future — and why it will be followed by the growth of a vast glacier which may eventually cover much of Europe and North America.
Wikischolars-MauriceEwingVema-450x356.jpg

Maurice Ewing and the schooner Vema. Image from Neptune’s Needle

THIS is the story of two scientists, who started five years ago — with a single radiocarbon clue from the ocean bottom and a wild hunch — to track down one of the earth’s great unsolved mysteries: What caused the ancient ice ages? Their search led over many continents and seas, to drowned rivers and abandoned mountain caves, into far-removed branches of science. It took them down through recorded history, from the stone tablets of primitive man to contemporary newspaper headlines.

These two serious, careful scientists — geophysicist Maurice Ewing, director of Columbia University’s Lamont Geological Observatory, and geologist-meteorologist William Donn believe they have finally found the explanation for the giant glaciers, which four times during the past million years have advanced and retreated over the earth. If they are right, the world is now heading into another Ice Age. It will come not as sudden catastrophe, but as the inevitable culmination of a process that has already begun in northern oceans.

As Ewing and Donn read the evidence, an Ice Age will result from a slow warming and rising of the ocean that is now taking place. They believe that this ocean flood — which may submerge large coastal areas of the eastern United States and western Europe — is going to melt the ice sheet which has covered the Arctic Ocean through all recorded history. Calculations based on the independent observations of other scientists indicate this melting could begin, within roughly one hundred years.

It is this melting of Arctic ice which Ewing and Donn believe will set off another Ice Age on earth. They predict that it will cause great snows to fall in the north — perennial unmelting snows which the world has not seen since the last Ice Age thousands of years ago. These snows will make the Arctic glaciers grow again, until their towering height forces them forward. The advance south will be slow, but if it follows the route of previous ice ages, it will encase in ice large parts of North America and Europe. It would, of course, take many centuries for that wall of ice to reach New York and Chicago, London and Paris. But its coming is an inevitable consequence of the cycle which Ewing and Donn believe is now taking place.

The coming of another Ice Age is an event serious scientists have never been able to predict from observable Earth phenomena. For until Ewing and Donn postulated their new Theory of Ice Ages (it was first published in Science in June 1956 and a second report appeared in May 1958) the very nature of the problem seemed to defy the kind of scientific understanding which makes prediction possible.

Scientists know that the glaciers which stand quiet in the Arctic today once covered America with a wall of ice up to two miles thick — its southern boundary extending from Long Island across New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, and the Dakotas to the Missouri River, with extensions into the western mountain country . . . that it covered northern Europe, England, large parts of France and Germany . . . that it created the Great Lakes, the Hudson and St. Lawrence Rivers . . . that it moved mountains, crashed down forests, destroyed whole species of life.

They also know that it is cold enough at the Arctic for glaciers to grow today, but almost no snow has fallen there in modern times. What caused those snows that built the Ice Age glaciers until their own height forced them to march, and what caused them finally to retreat? And why has the earth been swinging back and forth between Ice Ages and climate like today’s for a million years, when before then the entire planet enjoyed a temperate climate with no extremes of hot or cold? Scientists could answer these questions only in terms of sudden catastrophe — a volcanic eruption, the earth’s movement into a cloud of cosmic dust — and unpredictable catastrophes are not the concern of contemporary science. Few scientists had even worked on the problem in recent years.

It was only by a combination of lucky circumstance and persistent curiosity that Ewing and Donn as a team began working steadily on the Ice Age Mystery. As Director of Lamont Geological Observatory, located on top of the New York Palisades over the Hudson River, Ewing teaches theoretical geophysics and directs research in earthquake seismology, marine geology and biology, and oceanography. Donn teaches geology at Brooklyn College and directs the research in meteorology at Lamont. Since the two men live twenty miles apart and were occupied all day, they would often meet at eleven at night in a deserted laboratory at Columbia University — midway between their homes — and work into the morning on the Ice Age trail.




 

Ice Age Maps showing the extent of the ice sheets
Ice Age Maps showing the extent of the ice sheets



Translated from Dutch by Microsoft
Today's snow is just a taste. The real snow smasher has yet to come! ❄️❄️❄️😍 #Alpes #snow @wxcharts @sneeuwhoogtenl


Florentin Cayrouse on Twitter
Translated from French by Microsoft
Very hectic time expected between this Saturday and this Sunday on the country with frequent showers and a #vent sometimes very strong, especially between this Saturday night and Sunday evening. We'll even talk #tempête about #Corse. @wxcharts

We’ve had over 100” to date. And this is what it looks like captures by @jswansonphoto today.
Aspen Snowmass on Twitter
3:18 PM - 7 Dec 2018
Dt2adVRVYAALluI.jpg
 
Below is a translation (Yandex with a few improvements) of the review of the long report (available in English here) about the developments in the ice in Greenland and the arctic over the last year.

2018: An extraordinary ice season in the Arctic
In a time where climate change and the melting of sea ice and ice sheet is almost a daily conversation, it is particularly interesting to see how the ice in the Arctic has it. On polarportal.dk DMI's climate and ice researchers therefore made the season up for the ice in the Arctic, and it differs in several aspects from most other years. 2018 have both welcomed on a cold Summer in Greenland and weakened sea ice.

Photo: Martin Stendel, climate researcher at DMI.
4fa8951935.jpg

In brief, have a cold summer in Greenland and much precipitation strengthened the Greenland ice sheet. Sea ice, by contrast, has been particularly subjected, because of high water temperatures as well as heat gain. This has led to a large area north of Greenland was ice-free in two periods in February and August. Read here for more details.
Wettest may in Greenland since 1949 and a general cold and precipitation rich summer
While the danes sweated through a record-dry and sunny summer, so it is very different in Greenland.
Here it was totally opposite. May was rekord wet, and Summer in Greenland was both cold and rich in precipitation.
This pattern, where low pressure systems were looking towards Greenland, while high pressure dominates over Scandinavia, or vice versa, low pressure systems looking towards Denmark, while Greenland has high pressure dominated weather – is well known. It is however rare that the situation is a stalemate as long as in 2018.
Renovation of the fine white surface and record low melting
The cold and precipitation rich summer in Greenland left its mark on the ice cap - in the literal sense.
The cold Summer featured frequent snowstorms on the inland ice, which refreshed the clear white surface. As the color white reflects more of the light rays, was the ice albedo record a big part of the Summer.
The high albedo and the general cold Summer contributed to the melting of the Greenland ice sheet was relatively low, and places the average melting as the lowest, in the 10 years there is measurements for.
But before we breathe a sigh of relief, it should be mentioned that the prevalence of non-snow-covered areas, in turn, has increased over the period 2000-2018.
The increase is not very big, but pointing in the direction of, that there is more melting than buildup of ice since 2000.
Two unusual openings in the thick of polaris
An important player for the climate of the Arctic and the earth in the whole, the extent of sea ice.
Sea ice is important for climate, because it is light and therefore reflects a large part of the sun's rays. If the sea ice melts, there will be more dark ocean water, which warms up, and in this way further contributes to warming.
At this season the inventory, there are several things that indicate that the sea ice state does is not doing too well:
· In the beginning of the year was the extent of sea ice is the lowest in 40 years
· Both in February and in august there were big open holes in the otherwise solid and thick polaris at Cape Morris Jesup - the world's northernmost weather station. The ice in this area is usually several metres thick and very stable.
· By the end of the melting season the extent of the sea ice remains low, with 2 million square kilometers less ice than for an average period 1981-2000.
According to Martin Stendel, climate researcher at DMI, a continued break-up of sea ice threaten the sea ice stability. If the perennial ice breaks up and drifts south (where it melts), it can have major consequences for the climate.
If the ice melts in Summer, as climate change models suggest will be thick multi-year ice is replaced by ice that just formed over the winter. It will make it easier for the ice to melt away over the Summer, and as a consequence can the Summers in the Arctic will be completely ice-free in the nearer future.
Such a substantial change in the ice cover can not be avoided to have an influence on our climate.
If you want to read more details and also read about how the glaciers have it in the Arctic or want to read more details, seasonal report both in Danish, English, Greenlandic on polarportal.dk/en/news/2018-season-report/
Of Herdis Preil Damberg
10. december 2018.
 

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