United Gnosis
Jedi Council Member
The fatality rate he gives for the normal flu is wrong. It is 0.1% and not 1%. And the estimate of 2% he gives for this virus is not as "unproblematic" as he claims, because that would be close to the fatality rate of the Spanish Flu.
Indeed. and thank you. There is something to say about the current comparisons to flu numbers, especially the absurd notion that the flu 'kills more'. It doesn't. It's already endemic and affects hundreds of millions yearly, absolutely not the same.
Knowledge protects, not self-calming. Minimizing the issue does not help in any way, nor does the repeated incitement 'not to panic' help for self-controlled information seekers. Assume that this community is smart; each of us independently knows he might likely be wrong, but identifies with truthseeking, not emotional reactions. We all know of dozens of ways in which assumptions or representations about this may be wrong or misleading, but implying that to dig in and research is the same as panic helps in no way, and I feel that this is partly what Agron does with his argument.
There is some serious gaslighting going on, especially with those MSM misrepresentations of flu numbers. First, realize that in the exact same way that 'covid CFR may be much lower than reported, from lack of testing asymptomatic cases' applies in the same exact way to flu numbers. The overwhelming majority of cases of flu are also never spotted and therefore also do not dilute the CFR down. I was born in the 80s and for so long as I was taught, the flu was measured at 0.1% mortality _among confirmed cases_ with mortality going up to about 1% for geriatric patients. The Spanish flu was recorded at 15%-20% fatality, with a 100-150 million deaths. Since this year suddenly, Wikipedia now says Spanish Flu was 2% CFR, their numbers aren't even consistent anymore, go figure.
The point is, we don't need to worry about numbers so much anymore. Medical authorities are still splitting hairs on whether it has an r factor of 2.2 or 2.5, as if either were reasonable. Cases of 1 single person in the wrong place at the wrong time can and HAVE infected over 100 people at a time. In the case of exponential spread, it doesn't matter if you catch 95% of cases, if only one or two escapes detection and goes into a metro or a networking evening or anything, transmissibility is NOT 2 or even 5. It is at minimum a 10 or 15, because the one or two cases that get away will dominate the exponential dynamic even if you catch most of them. What we do know, from reports on the ground in multiple countries and quickly growing more local for everyone, is that the healthcare system is seeing an accelerated draw on resources that threatens to quickly surpass max capacity. This is not a 'flu which kills 1 or 2%'. Rather, this seems to be a flu that has a russian-roulette probability of severe pneumonia. The 15-20% of individuals - across all ages, including healthy and young - that do require medical care, that is the main factor of concern, likely to affect cross-industry supply lines.
We have cause to suspect - it seems obvious, really - that these events are being used by various sects of PTB. Whether created deliberately as a weapon, an accidental weapon or otherwise, they are NOT letting a good crisis go to waste. Not because panic is warranted, of course, but the 'desired' solution is waiting in the wings. Only proper knowledge will allow for facing that. Not self-calming.
It was especially telling that Facebook censored the accelerated Chinese clinical studies for Vit C deployment. The tools exist, but they don't want them to be known - if most people understood the main means of immune system boosting, then this would indeed be no more than 'just a flu'. But I'm hearing the news, at least here in Quebec, and they're already ridiculing alternative health inquiries, and recommending that those hypochondriacs most stressed about their health direct themselves to purpose-specific CoViD 'health clinics', and put them on the shortlist for vaccines and antibiotic treatment. Looks rather like they want suspected cases to congregate and optimize infection.
It's important to understand in which ways this is serious AND in which ways this is not. Only clear understanding will demarcate the proper path forward. I am certain this would not need to be serious, but have all the reason to believe that it is, from the incompetence and misdirections. Hence, I am confident that focus and insistence on the issues are very important.
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On another note, I just came back from the local costco, and I was pleasantly surprised. 2 ladies were at the entrance, using lysol-style wipes on the handles of every cart, and the various product taste-testing tables were conspicuously absent; a great idea as people usually congregate there a lot. Besides that, nothing was different and everything was _completely_ stocked. There was a nervous vibe around, but clear signs of restraint and 0 panic; saw only 2 shoppers with carts that might be twice more full than usual, too much TP a clear sign, but even then I overheard other shoppers talking to each other, "do we need this? Do we need that? No, we already have some, should be good.." Clearly, the more prepped you are, the less of an instant logistical draw you will create on the system.
In the pharmacy section, I felt only one person checking me out - I was looking for vitamin D and didn't find it, so I spent some time looking around, and the person - older but not elderly - looked at me like I knew something when I did find it. He asked me what it was for, I answered, "i'm buying this one because I don't have any, and it seems useful for epithelial cells reconstruction, but if you ask me the most important one to have is Vit C, I simply already have a pound per family member but none of this one." He thanked me, and that was about the most 'panicky' interaction I had. I was surprisingly pleased.
The only thing I kind of regret is not 'panic-buying' 2-3 more pounds of vitamin C. Not because I need it, but because maybe seeing it in a cart would inspire people to panic-buy something more useful than toilet paper.
My rambling 2 cents. Please excuse the insomnia