Stowaway
The Force is Strong With This One
Deepwater Horizon and carbon credits revival
With apologies for what may be a somewhat disjointed narrative, I want share my thoughts on the unfolding BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. I believe there is very likely an agenda involving a specific political outcome which, in the minds of the controllers, must and will be achieved. What might be the political aim behind the oil spill and subsequent activity? I give my personal observations and speculations which I invite you to consider, comment on and offer your own in return. May we be united by the common aim of discovering the truth.
Conspiracy is characterized by some mixture of secrecy, deception, and intimidation. Conversely, an atmosphere of secrecy, deception and intimidation implies the existence of a conspiracy. The only real way to disprove the existence of a conspiracy is to verifiably demonstrate a climate of openness, truthfulness, and good will. I offer this as an axiom for evaluating the behavior of anyone – be they individuals or organizations of any description.
To further the goal of discovering what is really going on, I find it necessary to make two preliminary hypotheses:
(1) The injection of oil into the ocean must and will continue at maximum rate for as long as possible.
(2) The use of “chemical dispersant” must and will continue at maximum rate for as long as possible.
Evidence for the first hypothesis is strong. The US government has the sovereign right and duty, and possesses the legal, diplomatic, and military power to kick BP the hell out of Dodge and employ the full resources of the nation to contain the spill and minimize the environmental damage. This it has not done and apparently will not do; rather the complete opposite: The US provides full support and protection of BP’s operations in the Gulf of Mexico as well as on sovereign coastal soil. The government stands ready to refuse any and all assistance from other nations as well as all other concerned entities. In the meanwhile nothing has been accomplished which has had any effect in reducing the rate of oil discharged into the gulf.
The evidence for the second hypothesis is equally strong, namely that BP immediately began dumping enormous quantities of “chemical dispersant” solvent/detergent continuously into the gulf. The effectiveness of the use of dispersant in such large quantity for the purpose of containing environmental damage is controversial, to say the least of it. The operation has continues despite a directive by the Environmental Protection Agency to cease the activity. Notwithstanding the power and authority to enforce the EPA’s directive, the government has taken no action to do so.
Having got this far, the evidence suggests a third hypothesis:
(3) The Deepwater Horizon explosion was a planned event.
The official narrative as propagated by BP states that critical safety features were either not installed or were improperly maintained and operated. The explosion that took down Deepwater Horizon was simply an accident – albeit in hindsight an accident begging to happen. It’s a neat story that explains everything; therefore forensic material from the site will not be studied. Survivors of the disaster will kindly keep their mouths shut concerning any recollections that do not square with the official story. The US government will continue to allow BP to investigate and report on itself without challenge, notwithstanding loss of life and inestimable environmental devastation. Case closed. I can’t help but regard this third hypothesis a valid one for as long as these conditions prevail.
For me the analysis so far is a matter of simple observation and common sense. I believing the impressions of others who are following these events are generally similar to my own; I am attempting to organize my impressions and present them in a coherent way so as to share my thoughts and invite feedback.
At this point I offer my more speculative thoughts. The evidence is weaker and I could surely be wrong. But at present I cannot escape the following about what the ultimate agenda may be:
(4) Carbon credits will be forced back on the table.
The validity of this hypothesis depends on the validity of the first three. I am motivated to write this post because of its predictive power if this fourth hypothesis is true.
The carbon credit (Cap and Trade) proposals that have circulated in recent years go like this:
* National governments will ratify international treaties which limit collective annual “fossil fuel” carbon emissions.
* Fossil fuel users will be allocated an annual award of ‘carbon credits”, or permits, to use or trade. Permits may be either auctioned in the open market or possibly awarded on an arbitrary – but presumably “fair” – allocation formula. Existing players may be granted “grandfather” status to obtain a larger allocation of carbon credits than would otherwise be the case.
* Wall Street will maintain a convenient exchange for the trading of carbon permits, carbon permit options, carbon permit futures, options on carbon permit futures, etc.
* Fewer carbon credits will be issued over time, forcing fossil fuel prices higher, effecting energy conservation and promoting large scale investments in alternative energy sources.
Cap and trade legislation is ready on the shelf, awaiting the suitable political climate to be enacted – exactly as was the Patriot Act and the plans for invading of Afghanistan on 911.
It is hard for me to imagine BP ending up a loser in the cap and trade scheme, if it comes to pass. It seems unlikely that higher oil prices, whether brought on by legislation which artificially lowers supply, or by other means, will lower BP’s profits. It also seems possible that an enormously lucrative black market will be created for any oil producer who has the means to game the system and get away with it. It is already clear, de facto, that BP has minimal accountability to the US government.
The “hide the decline” email disclosures from the University of East Anglia was a powerful setback to those wishing to create the desired political climate. An all-new ideological war on fossil fuel extraction has become necessary, which we may soon see presented as an ocean toxicity issue, as well as a dramatic make-over on the old arguments about global warming.
Credit: www.roffs.com
The oil dispersant acts on the surface oil slick by emulsifying the oil to micron-size droplets. The droplets then disperse, vertically into the water column as well as laterally across the sea surface. The large scale lateral dispersion in the case of the Deepwater Horizon leak involves an oil spill of unprecedented magnitude. Due to oil’s high reflectivity of sunlight in the infrared spectrum, the slick should result in higher surface air temperature and reduced water temperature.
BP’s application of oil dispersant greatly extends the region of ocean temperature anomaly – in the end perhaps to millions of square miles. It is an ecological experiment in process on a grand scale. More than that, the Deepwater Horizon disaster is a dramatic rebuke to the “global warming deniers”, demonstrating that mankind’s extraction of fossil fuels can and does measurably impact the global climate. Thus this prediction: the spill will be stopped only after the global warming faction has collected sufficient data to credibly renew their case for petroleum “cap and trade”.
That's what's on my mind today. Thank you to the hosts of this forum for the opportunity to share my thoughts.
With apologies for what may be a somewhat disjointed narrative, I want share my thoughts on the unfolding BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. I believe there is very likely an agenda involving a specific political outcome which, in the minds of the controllers, must and will be achieved. What might be the political aim behind the oil spill and subsequent activity? I give my personal observations and speculations which I invite you to consider, comment on and offer your own in return. May we be united by the common aim of discovering the truth.
Conspiracy is characterized by some mixture of secrecy, deception, and intimidation. Conversely, an atmosphere of secrecy, deception and intimidation implies the existence of a conspiracy. The only real way to disprove the existence of a conspiracy is to verifiably demonstrate a climate of openness, truthfulness, and good will. I offer this as an axiom for evaluating the behavior of anyone – be they individuals or organizations of any description.
To further the goal of discovering what is really going on, I find it necessary to make two preliminary hypotheses:
(1) The injection of oil into the ocean must and will continue at maximum rate for as long as possible.
(2) The use of “chemical dispersant” must and will continue at maximum rate for as long as possible.
Evidence for the first hypothesis is strong. The US government has the sovereign right and duty, and possesses the legal, diplomatic, and military power to kick BP the hell out of Dodge and employ the full resources of the nation to contain the spill and minimize the environmental damage. This it has not done and apparently will not do; rather the complete opposite: The US provides full support and protection of BP’s operations in the Gulf of Mexico as well as on sovereign coastal soil. The government stands ready to refuse any and all assistance from other nations as well as all other concerned entities. In the meanwhile nothing has been accomplished which has had any effect in reducing the rate of oil discharged into the gulf.
The evidence for the second hypothesis is equally strong, namely that BP immediately began dumping enormous quantities of “chemical dispersant” solvent/detergent continuously into the gulf. The effectiveness of the use of dispersant in such large quantity for the purpose of containing environmental damage is controversial, to say the least of it. The operation has continues despite a directive by the Environmental Protection Agency to cease the activity. Notwithstanding the power and authority to enforce the EPA’s directive, the government has taken no action to do so.
Having got this far, the evidence suggests a third hypothesis:
(3) The Deepwater Horizon explosion was a planned event.
The official narrative as propagated by BP states that critical safety features were either not installed or were improperly maintained and operated. The explosion that took down Deepwater Horizon was simply an accident – albeit in hindsight an accident begging to happen. It’s a neat story that explains everything; therefore forensic material from the site will not be studied. Survivors of the disaster will kindly keep their mouths shut concerning any recollections that do not square with the official story. The US government will continue to allow BP to investigate and report on itself without challenge, notwithstanding loss of life and inestimable environmental devastation. Case closed. I can’t help but regard this third hypothesis a valid one for as long as these conditions prevail.
For me the analysis so far is a matter of simple observation and common sense. I believing the impressions of others who are following these events are generally similar to my own; I am attempting to organize my impressions and present them in a coherent way so as to share my thoughts and invite feedback.
At this point I offer my more speculative thoughts. The evidence is weaker and I could surely be wrong. But at present I cannot escape the following about what the ultimate agenda may be:
(4) Carbon credits will be forced back on the table.
The validity of this hypothesis depends on the validity of the first three. I am motivated to write this post because of its predictive power if this fourth hypothesis is true.
The carbon credit (Cap and Trade) proposals that have circulated in recent years go like this:
* National governments will ratify international treaties which limit collective annual “fossil fuel” carbon emissions.
* Fossil fuel users will be allocated an annual award of ‘carbon credits”, or permits, to use or trade. Permits may be either auctioned in the open market or possibly awarded on an arbitrary – but presumably “fair” – allocation formula. Existing players may be granted “grandfather” status to obtain a larger allocation of carbon credits than would otherwise be the case.
* Wall Street will maintain a convenient exchange for the trading of carbon permits, carbon permit options, carbon permit futures, options on carbon permit futures, etc.
* Fewer carbon credits will be issued over time, forcing fossil fuel prices higher, effecting energy conservation and promoting large scale investments in alternative energy sources.
Cap and trade legislation is ready on the shelf, awaiting the suitable political climate to be enacted – exactly as was the Patriot Act and the plans for invading of Afghanistan on 911.
It is hard for me to imagine BP ending up a loser in the cap and trade scheme, if it comes to pass. It seems unlikely that higher oil prices, whether brought on by legislation which artificially lowers supply, or by other means, will lower BP’s profits. It also seems possible that an enormously lucrative black market will be created for any oil producer who has the means to game the system and get away with it. It is already clear, de facto, that BP has minimal accountability to the US government.
The “hide the decline” email disclosures from the University of East Anglia was a powerful setback to those wishing to create the desired political climate. An all-new ideological war on fossil fuel extraction has become necessary, which we may soon see presented as an ocean toxicity issue, as well as a dramatic make-over on the old arguments about global warming.
The oil dispersant acts on the surface oil slick by emulsifying the oil to micron-size droplets. The droplets then disperse, vertically into the water column as well as laterally across the sea surface. The large scale lateral dispersion in the case of the Deepwater Horizon leak involves an oil spill of unprecedented magnitude. Due to oil’s high reflectivity of sunlight in the infrared spectrum, the slick should result in higher surface air temperature and reduced water temperature.
BP’s application of oil dispersant greatly extends the region of ocean temperature anomaly – in the end perhaps to millions of square miles. It is an ecological experiment in process on a grand scale. More than that, the Deepwater Horizon disaster is a dramatic rebuke to the “global warming deniers”, demonstrating that mankind’s extraction of fossil fuels can and does measurably impact the global climate. Thus this prediction: the spill will be stopped only after the global warming faction has collected sufficient data to credibly renew their case for petroleum “cap and trade”.
That's what's on my mind today. Thank you to the hosts of this forum for the opportunity to share my thoughts.
