Mother of all gushers - BP Oil Disaster in Gulf of Mexico

So, is this Israeli bacteria somehow better than the naturally occurring bacteria already eating oil in the gulf?

Funny this would come up now. We were hearing about oil scavenging bacteria and the way it depletes oxygen, creating dead zones, quite a while ago.

Why is this product of Israel so special and why is it being touted as a solution now?

I do see a parallel with Obama's recent news conference where he used weasel words and other techniques to lead one to believe the leak has been plugged and most of the oil is gone.

Now this Israeli bacteria is being presented as the remedy for cleaning up the little remaining oil, which sits in hard-to-reach places, further advancing the notion that most of the oil is gone.

Something about bacteria developed in an Israeli laboratory spooks me. The term "Trojan Horse" comes to mind.

Gonzo
 
Gonzo said:
So, is this Israeli bacteria somehow better than the naturally occurring bacteria already eating oil in the gulf?

That was my first impression too: bacteria are not Israeli and AFAIK the technique was already known, so what's up with this? However I think that the focus on the Israeli biologists and their 'discovery' (like inventing the wheel, it seems to me), has more to do with the source of the article than anything else. They just want to make this look like a national achievement that will save the world, which is obviously not. Now, if the American media starts hailing the 'Israeli solution', that would be interesting.
 
Laura said:
Another video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_2VZB6aPLX8

crazy?

Seems to me that we don't know enough about deep undersea drilling to know what could be going on down there. They are working with enormous pressures, supposedly drilling into the side of a gusher and pumping 'mud' into it to try and stop it. Could have been methane releasing as a result of their drilling, heck, there could be methane and other gas blow outs of different sizes all the time down there.
 
An article: Columbia University’s National Center Disaster Preparedness

40% Of Residents Exposed To BP Gulf Oil Spill Suffer From Respitory Problems

“In an area still recovering from the 2005 Hurricane Katrina, the oil spill represents a significant test of a population’s resiliency.”

Dr. Redlener, a pediatrician and professor at the Mailman School, outlined a number of implications for policymakers and others: “Guidelines need to be developed, with active participation of relevant federal agencies, with respect to the short- and long-term health risks of remaining in affected communities. This should include recommendations, based on known science, on when families would be advised to move out of the community entirely.” He also believes BP should provide funds to state and local agencies involved with providing assessment and care to affected families. “Children are particularly susceptible to the consequences of this disaster and need to have special resources focused on their needs.”

Future Plans
The National Center for Disaster Preparedness at Columbia’s Mailman School, which designed the survey, intends to follow a cohort of at least 1,000 children and adults in the region to determine the continuing health and mental health consequences of the oil spill. Meanwhile the Children's Health Fund will bring badly needed mobile pediatric care to the region shortly. “There are literally no pediatricians in the lower two-thirds of Plaquemines Parish,” notes Dr. notes Dr. Redlener, “and this is one of the worst hit areas.”

Columbia University reports a survey of Gulf Coast residents exposed to the BP Gulf Oil Spill are suffering from a wide range of problems including a shocking 40% who report either respiratory or skin problems.

The survey, conducted by telephone in July after the Deepwater Horizon well was capped, found evidence of significant and potentially lasting impact of the disaster on the health, mental health, and economic fortunes of residents and their children and on the way they live their everyday lives. The findings have implications for health and economic policies going forward.

Survey Findings
Among the key survey findings:

Over 40% of adults living within ten miles of the coast said they have experienced direct exposure to the oil spill or clean-up effort. Within this group, nearly 40% reported physical symptoms of skin irritations and respiratory problems, which they attributed to the oil spill.
Over one-third of parents report that their children have experienced either physical symptoms or mental health distress as a consequence of the oil spill.
One in five households report a drop in income since the oil spill, and 8% report job loss. These losses were most likely to hit those who were already economically vulnerable: households with incomes under $25,000 a year.
More than one-quarter (26.6%) of coastal residents said they thought they might have to move away from the Gulf Coast. Among those earning less then $25,000, the figure was 36.3%. Children whose parents think they may move are almost three times more likely to have mental health distress than are children whose parents do not expect to move.
More than 70% of parents report children spending less time swimming, boating and playing in the sand; 21% say their kids are spending less overall time playing outdoors.
Coastal residents had more favorable assessments and trust in their local and state officials and in the U.S. Coast Guard than they did in BP or other federal agencies.
Slightly over half of all coastal residents felt that BP’s response was “poor,” and 41.3% said that the President’s response to the oil spill was poor.
“Over the last few days we are seeing an effort by officials who are suggesting that, as the oil is less visible on the surface, the ‘crisis is over.’ Clearly, this is far from the case,” says Irwin Redlener, MD, director of the National Center for Disaster Preparedness (NCPD) at Columbia’s Mailman School of Public Health and president of the Children’s Health Fund (CHF). “As shown by our survey, done after the well was capped, there is a significant and persistent public health crisis underscored by the large number of children with medical and psychological problems related to the oil disaster. These concerns will need to be assessed and managed in these coastal communities where there are few or no pediatricians and vastly insufficient mental health professional capacity.”

The survey found a dramatic relationship between economic vulnerability and health effects. Adults with household incomes under $25,000 were by far the most likely to report physical and mental health effects for themselves and also among their children. “Much the way Hurricane Katrina had its greatest effect on those with the least, the oil spill is also having a greater impact on those coastal residents who are economically vulnerable, says David Abramson, PhD, MPH, director of Research at NCDP and assistant professor of clinical sociomedical sciences at the Mailman School. “In an area still recovering from the 2005 Hurricane Katrina, the oil spill represents a significant test of a population’s resiliency.”

Dr. Redlener, a pediatrician and professor at the Mailman School, outlined a number of implications for policymakers and others: “Guidelines need to be developed, with active participation of relevant federal agencies, with respect to the short- and long-term health risks of remaining in affected communities. This should include recommendations, based on known science, on when families would be advised to move out of the community entirely.” He also believes BP should provide funds to state and local agencies involved with providing assessment and care to affected families. “Children are particularly susceptible to the consequences of this disaster and need to have special resources focused on their needs.”

A Riki Ott, a well respected marine toxicologist who has recently stated that the conditions along the Gulf coast are so bad that “We need to start talking about who’s going to pay for evacuations”, first reported the break out of skin lesions caused by the BP Spill on the Huffington Post back in May.

When Ryan Heffernan, a volunteer with Emerald Coastkeeper, noticed a bag of oily debris floating off in Santa Rosa Sound, she ran up to BP’s HazMat-trained workers to ask if they would retrieve it.

“No, ma’am,” one replied politely. “We can’t go in the ocean. It’s contaminated.”

Ryan waded in and retrieved the bag. That was Wednesday, June 23, the first day visible oil hit Pensacola Beach. Ryan had been swimming off the beach the day before, as she said, “to get in my last swim before the oil hit.” The trouble is that not all of the oil coming ashore is visible. Dispersed oil – tiny bubbles of oil encased in chemical dispersants – are in the water column. On Thursday Ryan was treated at a local doctor’s office for skin rash on her legs.


What’s wrong with this picture?


Lots. For starters, Ryan’s story from Pensacola Beach is not an isolated incident. I have received emails and heard personal stories from Louisiana to Florida of people who have developed skin rashes and blisters from going in the ocean. People describe stings by “invisible jellyfish.” Turtle patrol volunteers who walk beaches daily write of blisters and bronchitis. And then there are individuals like Sheri Allen who took her dog for a walk on a beach in Mobile Bay in May.

Sheri wrote me that her “arms and legs were burning, even after the shower. The following morning … (there were) … small blood blisters. By evening the blisters had begun to welt. By the fourth day, the areas had got larger and swollen.” She went to see a doctor but the sores remain and they have begun to scar her arms and legs. For several days after Sherri’s incident, her husband found fish kills on the beach.



It’s not just skin rashes and blisters. At community forums, I commonly hear from adults and children with persistent coughs, stuffy sinuses, headaches, burning eyes, sore throats, ear bleeds, and fatigue. These symptoms are consistent across the four Gulf states that I have visited. Further, the symptoms of respiratory problems, central nervous system distress, and skin irritation are consistent with overexposure to crude oil through the two primary routes of exposure: inhalation and skin contact.

Most distressing to me are stories about sick children. “Dose plus host makes the poison,” I learned in toxicology. A small child is at risk of breathing a higher dose of contaminants per body weight than an adult. Children, pregnant women, people with compromised or stressed immune systems like cancer survivors and asthma sufferers, and African Americans are more at risk from oil and chemical exposure – the latter because they are prone to sickle cell anemia and 2-butoxyethanol can cause, or worsen, blood disorders.

Public officials have failed to sound an alarm about the public health threat because three federal agencies – DHHS, EPA, and OSHA – cannot find any unsafe levels of oil in air or water. Perhaps the federal air and water standards are not stringent enough to protect the public from oil pollution. Our federal laws are outdated and do not protect us from the toxic threat from oil – now widely recognized in the scientific and medical community

Project Gulf Impact, an independent group of citizen journalists working to expose the truth that the government is hiding, has also reported thousands in the Gulf are suffering from skin lesions caused by the BP Gulf Oil Spill.

Thousands in Gulf Suffer from Misdiagnosed Skin Lesions

Area residents have begun to show up at clinics and hospitals with mysterious scabs and pustules covering their extremities, as reported from residents to non-profit relief organizations in the Gulf.

One thirty-three year-old woman, who wished to remain anonymous, has disclosed to Project Gulf Impact that upon seeking medical advice at a clinic, she was told she had scabies. Hours later, she was told by an area hospital that she had a staph infection. The woman was treated with a shot of penicillin and Elimite cream, a topical agent for the treatment of scabies mite infestations, and an oral antibiotic. In addition to the lesions, the woman reported aching bones, weight loss, stomach pains, inflammation in her leg and sties developing in her eyes.



Other residents have shown up at local doctors and area hospitals reporting similar symptoms. According to area residents suffering from the mysterious rash, patients feel like they are not being given the proper medical treatment. Doctors have told area patients they are suffering from scabies with no clear diagnosis and from Staphylococcus infections with no underlying cause.

Exposure to chemicals, such as those being used to break down oil in the region, like the dispersant, Corexit, may be the cause of such infections. Corexit is an agent that has been proven to break down lipid membranes, which cover and protect human skin. Human skin is composed of a thin layer of lipids and Corexit, by nature, breaks down these organized barriers into smaller individual molecules allowing the barrier to become permeable to pathogens. The skin irritation could be caused by prolonged exposure to these chemicals and could break down the ability of the body to fight off infection.

Economic conditions in the Gulf have left many people without health insurance, leaving them with little recourse in terms of medical care.

For more information, follow Project Gulf Impact on Twitter @PrjGulfImpact or visit http://www.projectgulfimpact.org.

Update (8/2/2010):

Project Gulf Impact has launched its Health Information Line.

Gulf residents can leave messages relevant to reporting a health situation in the Gulf and people from around the world are invited to give offers of medical aid, provide essential information or be involved in the health and wellness efforts surround the Gulf crisis. Callers are not required to leave any personally identifiable information and can remain anonymous.

The Health Information Line is available at (504) 814-0283. Emails are also welcome at projectgulfimpact@gmail.com.

While many believe the break out of skin lesions in the Gulf may be attributed to BP’s use of the highly toxic dispersant Corexit, Jeffrey H. Toney the Dean of the College of Natural, Applied and Health Sciences at Kean University has warned us that the break out skin lesions may be due to high levels of arsenic in the Gulf which scientists warn is on the rise in the Gulf because of the spill.

Not surprisingly, wastewater generated from oil production can be quite toxic. An unappealing cocktail of toxins including heavy metals, this water contains high levels of mercury, lead, cadmium and arsenic. Of particular concern is arsenic: such waste can contain up to one hundred thousand times the safe limit in drinking water set by the Environmental Protection Agency. About two liquid ounces of contaminated wastewater consumed by a 150 pound person in one day corresponds to a lethal dose.



British scientists recently conducted a study of the effect of crude oil on how ocean sediments can filter out toxic chemicals such as arsenic. They found that arsenic absorption within sediments is significantly reduced when exposed to oil. With the filtration system essentially shut down, arsenic can then be dispersed freely affecting the entire food chain, including us.

Potential dangers of arsenic-contaminated water are reminiscent of Bangladesh, with widespread reports of skin lesions and a higher incidence of cancer. Drinking water in Bangladesh is widely recognized as an environmental and public health nightmare, having poisoned up to 77 million residents, resulting from the widespread use of groundwater. Hand-pumped wells can access water containing extremely high levels of arsenic leached from rocks, not to mention contamination from mining and industrial production plants. Indeed, the World Health Organization has referred to this as “the largest mass poisoning of a population in history”.

Lessons learned from Bangladesh should guide us in the event that arsenic-laced waters begin washing ashore in the Gulf. A number of technologies were specifically developed for arsenic removal.
 

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It's interesting that the anti-BP people on Facebook are starting to look at other things as well, like 9/11, food poisoning, etc.
 
Oxajil said:
It's interesting that the anti-BP people on Facebook are starting to look at other things as well, like 9/11, food poisoning, etc.

Perhaps we can expect a certain behaviour in people once they realized they've been lied to by their government and ruling corporate interests. Maybe they start asking themselves, "What else has been a lie?", and begin looking at the world with somewhat fresh eyes, seeking objective data to help fill in the gaps.

The lies have gotten so big that I envision a collapse of the control system upon which they are based.

Gonzo
 
Published today.

_http://uk.news.yahoo.com/5/20100809/twl-fury-over-gulf-of-mexico-oil-spill-r-3fd0ae9.html

Fury Over Gulf Of Mexico Oil Spill Report

Sky News

Gulf Coast residents and business owners have reacted with alarm to claims that around 75% of the oil that leaked from the BP Deepwater Horizon rig has gone.


They fear the report by US government scientists will cause political and media attention to fade and that they will be abandoned as they struggle to cope with incomes and livelihoods devastated by the leak.

Patrick Hue is a fisherman in the town of Buras, south of New Orleans. Nearly 50 years old, his dark tan and taut frame are evidence of a life spent at sea catching plump shrimps that are world renowned.

He says the oil is still there and he will take you out onto the Gulf to prove it.

Circling his boat in the shallows off Buras, the outboard motor churns the muddy water and oil soon floats to the surface - the sheen glistening in the unforgiving sun.

Dragging his hand through the mixture he holds up his palm and a black smear of crude emerges. "Evidently somebody is not doing their job right to be honest with you," he declares.

While Patrick is anxious to get back out on the water and work he does not want to if the bay is not clean. He is also concerned about the start of the new shrimping season next week as hundreds of trawlers drag the mud and agitate any remaining oil.

"We don't want to get anyone sick. We have a reputation to have the best seafood in the world. If just one person gets sick on this seafood it ruins our whole image and ruins our whole lives."

Patrick was just one of hundreds of worried residents who filed into a town hall meeting in Buras called by Navy Secretary Ray Mabus.

Mabus, a former Governor of Mississippi, has been dispatched to the Gulf by President Obama to come up with a long term restoration plan for the region.

Buras was flattened and flooded by Hurricane Katrina five years ago. The BP leak has set the town back again.

Mabus was confronted by the evidence. One local man waved a bottle of oil-contaminated seawater he had scooped up the day before.

He angrily declared: "There is no way anyone can tell me that is it over with. I have proof. I know where it is at."

A woman grabbed the microphone and said: "Right now we are in survival mode. We cannot even begin to start our recovery because we don't know the extent of the damage."

Mr Mabus tried to give some reassurance. "I live on the coast. The only reason I took this job was because I love this place so much and I want to make sure we keep the life that we have had."

Parish president Billy Nungesser has been an outspoken presence on America's airwaves since the Deepwater Horizon rig exploded back in April. He speaks for many.

"I can tell you, if these camera crews leave Plaquemines Parish the skimmers and the boom will hit you in the butt on the way out. They will be chasing right behind you."
 
Matt Simmons dead of a heart attack? My spider-sense is tingling...:) The PTB have lost all subtlety these days - even a 2 year old can connect the dots on this one.
 
Oil Spill Truth on Facebook seems to be lending credence to the "two oil wells" theory.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Oaf998FwQVI

This video shows the difference in coordinates between the 'A' well and 'B' well and clearly shows the change from one to the other once the video feed started showing a capped well. I know the context this theory was originally presented to the forum was dodgy to say the least (see here - http://www.cassiopaea.org/forum/index.php?topic=17588.msg183184#msg183184), but I'm wondering if the two wells theory should be dismissed simply because the person who was presenting it in the video displayed some erratic behaviour.

After all, a good way to distract from the truth could be to give it to a nutcase to disseminate.
 
Matt Simmons is dead

http://www.kjonline.com/news/Energy-expert-Simmons-dies-in-North-Haven.html

Energy expert Simmons dies in North Haven
By Tux Turkel tturkel@mainetoday.com
Staff Writer


Matthew Simmons, an international oil expert who most recently focused on developing renewable energy from the waters off Maine, died Sunday night of an apparent heart attack, his office is reporting. He was 67.


Simmons founded the Ocean Energy Institute in 2007, hosting a grand opening of its new office last month in Rockland. The goal of the think tank and venture capital fund was to attract investment in research to make Maine a global leader in offshore wind and other ocean energy sources.

According to police reports, Simmons suffered a heart attack while in a hot tub at his home on North Haven. An autopsy is planned for today in Augusta, according to the Knox County Sheriff's Office.

Simmons was a leading energy investment banker, a former energy adviser to President George W. Bush, and author. He wrote the 2005 book “Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy,” which laid out an argument that the world was approaching peak oil production.

Simmons' death came as a shock to colleagues at the Ocean Energy Institute, which is preparing a statement for release later today.

The organization plans to continue his work, according to Bob West, the institute's managing director.

"That's our goal, to carry his vision forward," he said. "Matt wanted it to continue and there's a process in place."

Maine officials were expressing their sympathies this morning.

Gov. John E. Baldacci had met with Simmons a number of times. The Ocean Energy Institute is a part of the consortium led by the University of Maine that has received millions of dollars from the federal government to research and develop offshore wind turbines. Baldacci also recognized Simmons’ leadership during his State of the State address delivered earlier this year.

“Matt Simmons was an innovative thinker who pushed ideas that have the potential to yield a more environmentally and economically sustainable future for Maine and the world,” Baldacci said. “I visited Matt and his team last month and thanked them for their partnership with the state as we aggressively build an independent energy future for Maine."

U.S. Rep. Chellie Pingree, D-Maine, also has a home on North Haven.

"Matt was a neighbor and a friend and the news of his passing is profoundly sad," she said. "Matt was a visionary, a man of ideas and an outspoken advocate for the things he believed in. He was dedicated to making Maine a leader in offshore wind energy and made significant contributions to life in the midcoast."
 
Re: Matt Simmons is dead

Interesting. Here's an item from the MSM that is quite critical of Simmons. Obviously, they would be, but it points out some things that may be worth chasing down.

http://www.consumerenergyreport.com/blogs/rsquared/

Is Matt Simmons Credible?

Written by Robert Rapier
Tuesday, 27 July 2010 20:00

I am going to address a touchy subject in this essay, but I simply can’t ignore it any longer. I have noticed that a lot of people are finding my blog through keyword searches of “Debunking Matt Simmons.” About two and a half years ago, I did write an essay called Debunking Matt Simmons. Because of Matt’s recent claims about the disaster in the Gulf of Mexico, there has been a spike in interest over whether his claims related to the disaster are actually credible. So now seems like a good time to revisit the subject.

The topic is touchy because Matt Simmons has long been revered in the energy business, and some of his fans will be upset with me for writing this.

But Simmons has lately been making what I feel are very irresponsible and sensational claims that don’t hold up to scrutiny. So I will review his history here to show a pattern of Simmons making sensational predictions based on meager and/or misinterpreted data; predictions that later proved to be grossly inaccurate.

Matt Simmons, Investment Banker and Author

Matt Simmons is an investment banker to the oil industry, probably most well-known for writing the book Twilight in the Desert . The book laid out the arguments that Saudi Arabia had overstated their oil reserves, that their oil production was on the cusp of decline, and that prices were set to soar.

The book became very popular, especially when Saudi production began to decline shortly after the book came out.

My view was that Saudi production fell not because of the arguments Simmons put forward in Twilight, but rather because the Saudis were holding production back to keep prices up. So my feeling was that the Saudi decline was unrelated to many of the arguments that Simmons put forth. And in fact a couple of years later as oil prices climbed, Saudi production climbed back into record territory.

But I thought the book was important for two reasons. One, it put a spotlight on Saudi Arabia and really highlighted the importance of that country to the rest of the world, especially once oil supplies began to shrink. Second, it called a lot of attention to the issue of peak oil. I have always said that Twilight and The Long Emergency were both influential in causing me to become more involved in writing and talking to people about energy.

That isn’t to say the books don’t have flaws. They do. In Simmons’ book, I felt he frequently came to conclusions that weren’t warranted by the arguments he presented. A famous example is his “fuzzy logic” argument. Fuzzy logic is the basis of many control systems, but Simmons incorrectly interpreted the phrase to mean “hunch.” So when the Saudis used fuzzy logic in their control systems, Simmons made an argument that they were really guessing about their oil reserves. In his own words, “if they can basically just keep turning on a tap, why does it take fuzzy logic?” The comment was nonsensical, but as later events would show not simply an isolated example of Simmons speaking out when he didn’t know what he was talking about.

Matt Simmons, Layman

Twilight in the Desert made Simmons famous, and he began to be called upon as an expert on all things oil-related. There were two very big problems there. First, Simmons is an investment banker, and is not remotely an expert on all things oil-related. In fact, I don’t know anyone who is. But the bigger problem is that he either thinks he is, or just can’t say no to requests to do interviews and presentations. And when he does those, he frequently makes sensational claims and predictions. I am on an e-mail list where I saw this recent comment about Matt from a long-time admirer of his work, which I think hits the nail squarely on the head:

I think something happens to the psyche when the media pay attention to you for so long. You stop all self criticism, believing that whatever thoughts come to your mind have validity and import. In truth, it doesn’t matter if you are eventually proven wrong, because by then you’re off on the next topic.

Simmons’ Blunders at ASPO 2008

In my previous essay on debunking Simmons, I provided some examples of Simmons making factually incorrect statements. These statements were based on him not having enough information (or bad information), yet still speaking authoritatively on a topic. There were two later examples from his talk at the 2008 ASPO conference — where I also presented. (See his presentation here). He claimed in his presentation that we don’t have a good idea of our gasoline inventories, and because of Hurricane Ike we were just beginning a gasoline crisis that could bring the entire country to a halt. He spun quite a frightening tale, and I could see the shock on some people’s faces.

Contrary to Matt’s argument, the evidence was just the opposite. Even as he was speaking, refineries were coming back online from the hurricane outages and inventories were recovering. I caught up with Simmons later and told him that I used to work in a group in a refinery that provided inventory data to the Department of Energy, and we do indeed have very good data on gasoline inventories. So his fundamental premise was wrong. I was asked about Matt’s comments on a later panel session, and I said that gasoline inventories were beginning to recover and that I predicted they would be higher in a month. They were. Matt’s frightening scenario based on Hurricane Ike didn’t come to pass.

Another example is his argument about the $100 trillion corrosion issue in the oil industry. The gist is that he argues that the oil industry is full of rusting infrastructure, and he questions whether we have the money or even the iron resources to fix the problem. Further, he questions aloud how it is that he – Matt Simmons, investment banker – has ‘discovered’ this problem that the oil industry has missed. I won’t go into all of the reasons that Matt is way off the mark on this, as that would be an essay in itself. A corrosion engineer at The Oil Drum once weighed in on this issue, and explained that corrosion is well-understood, and not something that Simmons discovered. Oil companies are full of corrosion engineers who work to replace corroded equipment as needed. But it was another oil-related “crisis” Simmons “discovered” and he ran with it.

And that brings us to his recent interviews over the spill in the gulf.

Sometimes Silence is Golden

Personally, I have a rule about presentations and interviews: If the topic is outside of my area of expertise, I decline. If CNN calls up and says “Can we interview you on the future of the solar industry?” I will tell them no and give them the names of some experts in the field. Lately I have been asked a lot to comment on specifics on the disaster in the Gulf of Mexico. I always decline, again because there are plenty of people who know more about the specifics than I do.

Simmons doesn’t seem to have a filter that tells him to pass up an interview if he might not know what he is talking about. Here is a sampling of some recent interviews in which he makes numerous extraordinary claims. I have included some of the more extraordinary claims below, but there are plenty more out there that I didn’t list.

Simmons’ Sensational Claims on the Gulf Spill

In these and various other interviews, Simmons claims:

1. Use of a small bore nuclear device is the “only option” to stop the flow of oil.

I don’t want a banker who doesn’t know what fuzzy logic is being taken seriously on the issue of using nukes in the Gulf of Mexico.

2. BP would be insolvent by July 8, 2010. He has also stated several times that the stock is going to zero.

While I have said that I don’t think the BP brand can continue in the long run, I wouldn’t call them insolvent and it will certainly take some time for the legal issues to play out. A prediction of insolvency by July 8th was ridiculous. Simmons has also shorted BP stock, so some of this may be wishful thinking on his part.

3. The “real, untold story” is another leak that is 5-7 miles away spewing 120,000 bbls/day.

I haven’t the faintest idea where he came up with this, but I have spoken to several experts who say the chance of that is zero.

4. That there is an underground lake of oil that is 500 feet thick, 100 miles wide, and may be covering 40% of the Gulf of Mexico.

As one person calculated, that would equate to 500 trillion barrels of oil; total global reserves are estimated in the region of 2 trillion barrels.

5. The leak could last 24 years.

He believes this, because short of the nuclear weapon idea he sees no other way to stop the leak and thinks we may have to wait for all of the oil to come out of the reservoir. Meanwhile, the news is that BP is starting to get the leak under control.

6. The gulf states need to be evacuated.

Simmons says “We’re going to have to evacuate the gulf states. Can you imagine evacuating 20 million people? . . . This story is 80 times worse than I thought.”

That last claim was in the Washington Post, leading one critic to ask of the story’s author:

Did he consider that Simmons is a financial analyst and may have an agenda in creating heightened hysteria surrounding the spill?
Did he consider the effect printing this claim could have on the people of the Gulf Coast?

When Appealing to Authority, Make Sure the Authority is an Authority

Here are some comments I recently read from an actual petroleum expert (geologist) on some of Matt’s arguments:

He doesn’t seem to understand that the rig was connected to the well by the riser before it sank, and it was spewing oil and gas into the rig from the blow out. He also doesn’t seem to understand that most old blow outs occurred when drilling – and the drill string would get blown out of the hole – not the casing. And he doesn’t seem to know that blow outs are more common than we are currently aware and that relief wells are tried and tested means of stopping this. And he is the foremost oil expert in the World!

This is the problem in a nutshell. He is making authoritative, alarming, and far-fetched claims, but the real experts aren’t backing him up. His claims are quite consistent with his claims of recent years where he goes out on a limb, finds himself all alone, and eventually just jumps to another limb. I can’t figure out if he is simply after publicity to sell his book, or whether he is really as deluded as his comments seem to indicate.

Yet one thing interviewers almost always do is play up Matt’s experience. The danger in this sort of appeal to authority comes about when the supposed authority isn’t really an expert, and yet has the potential to cause mass hysteria and/or influence public policy. Simmons thinks it would be a good idea to set off a nuclear explosion in the Gulf of Mexico. He thinks we should evacuate 20 million people in the Gulf Coast. He has influence. But I think the media needs to start doing a better job here and stop facilitating this nonsense.

Conclusions

The purpose of this essay was not simply to dump on Simmons. But he is involved in sensationalistic fear-mongering, enabled by the media’s mistaken belief that he is an expert in all things oil-related. I want to make sure people know that they should take his claims with the grain of salt they deserve. As I have documented here, that grain of salt is warranted based on his history of sensational claims that never materialized.

Sadly, I believe he is in the process of destroying his credibility, and I ultimately do not think history is going to judge him kindly when it looks back on these events. This is very unfortunate, because despite the sensational claims, I still believe he is correct on a lot of the big picture questions of peak oil, long-term prices, and the need to take action. But if he loses his credibility, he will diminish his ability to convince people of the importance of the big picture issues.

By. Robert Rapier

Then, from the same blog:

I just received a shocking e-mail this morning. Matthew Simmons has passed away. I do not have a link yet, but here was the text of the press release from Matt’s Ocean Energy Institute:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Rockland, Maine (August 9, 2010)

Matthew R. Simmons, founder of the Ocean Energy Research Institute in Rockland, Maine, passed
away suddenly on Sunday. He is survived by his wife, Ellen, and their five daughters. Mr. Simmons
was also former chairman of Simmons & Company International. Details of the services are
pending. In lieu of flowers, the family asks that donations be made to the Ocean Energy Research
Institute.

CONTACT:

Robert West
207-593-7725, ext 104
rwest@oceanenergy.org

Judy Gristwood
713-227-0576 / 713-227-0577
jgristwood@oceanenergy.org

There had been rumors of health issues, which some speculated were behind some of his recent comments about the BP oil spill. Even so, he appeared to be in good health as recently as 3 weeks ago when he was last seen on the air.

My deepest condolences to the family. As I have said many times, Simmons was one of my earliest peak oil influences, and one of the reasons I decided to start writing about energy. He educated a great many people to the threats lurking in our dependence upon oil, and he will be missed.
 
Well with all this information I recognize I am really uncertain of the future. We can see that something is happening but I can not see clearly what it is. The forum and the information gives me some clue. But I guess that in the months ahead we will go through some hazardous times. But again. Having read some news in april-june. I was certain that by now will be sorta fighting for our lives. Seems that that has been a little bit postponed.
 
Mixtli said:
Well with all this information I recognize I am really uncertain of the future. We can see that something is happening but I can not see clearly what it is. The forum and the information gives me some clue. But I guess that in the months ahead we will go through some hazardous times. But again. Having read some news in april-june. I was certain that by now will be sorta fighting for our lives. Seems that that has been a little bit postponed.

Well, fighting for our lives can take a number of forms. For example:

http://www.cassiopaea.org/forum/index.php?topic=19164.0
and:
http://www.cassiopaea.org/forum/index.php?topic=19171.0
 
There have been several versions of this 'two wells' story trying to surface for awhile now. Part of this is what Matt Simmons was saying. Today there is a new source claiming the same thing, based on his analysis of public land survey documents. I don't know if this is true, but it would certainly be the kind of big lie we could expect from BP. Could be interesting to see where this one goes.

_http://www.examiner.com/x-10438-Human-Rights-Examiner~y2010m8d6-Breaking-Gulf-news-LandSurveyor-proves-Simmons-right-TV-well-sham


Ammunition fired from the petrochemical-military industrial complex (PMIC) Disinformation non-lethal weapon aimed at the American public and the world has been blocked at least momentarily by one man, a former land surveyor demonstrating Matt Simmons has been correct about the TV Gulf reporting sham and two wells. The surveyor presents the most damning evidence that the operation has been planned and orchestrated with expertise, as AC Griffith publicly stated this week.

The well that the reader sees on TV reports about the oil capping and other scenes are illusions. What the reader hears most talking heads say about the catastrophe is pacification and distraction. The surveyor calls it a "dog and pony show."

As Professor Jeffery Grupp states in his book, Telescreen:
The Orwellian telescreen replaces the self, the family, nature, reality, and the mind with its non-stop absurdist patter of banality, violence, and vulgarity. The Telescreen is the pervasive media screen put in front of, and injected into, the eyes and ears of humans in the American electronic techno-culture. This begins from birth, and moulds consciousness throughout life: not a genuine human consciousness, but rather is a less-than-human, despiritualized semi-consciousness."

In a series of four short videos (below), the unidentified land surveyor presents official BP public documents that he downloaded, compared to "live coverage" revealing the TV illusion. He explains in layman's terms what has transpired using BP surveyor maps and documents.

According to the public documents, not only are there the two wells Matt Simmons has insisted exist. The documents also reveal that the plan since the beginning of the operation has been to abandon both wells.

Simmons stated in July, "There is no way BP would not know they were misleading everyone," and, "They would have to be deaf, dumb, and blind and they're not. These are smart guys."

Mainstream corporate "news" reporters either did not uncover what a concerned citizen land surveyor did from public records, or, as such reporters failed to do during the 911 crimes and Hurricane Katrina, the PMIC sponsors did not allow these facts to be aired just as they blocked reporters.
Instead, corporate "news" media provided their world audience with another dog and pony show including just enough truth to not be totally absurd to the causal viewer.

Also of interest is that with his expertise, Simmons believes that for people to survive, they needed to be evacuated. He predicts a heavy' resident death toll.
"We're going to have to evacuate the Gulf states," stated world expert Matt Simmons, founder of the oil investment firm, Simmons and Co. reported Washington Post. "Can you imagine evacuating 20 million people?"

After viewing the following short, fascinating videos by 56KCanadian, it is sobering to contemplate Simmons' most quoted statement, to discredit him by name-calling him Mr. Doom, "This story is 80 times worse than I thought."
 
Italian theoretical physicist, Dr. Gianluigi Zangari says the BP Oil Disaster has caused a dramatic weakening in the vorticity of the Gulf Stream and North Atlantic Current, and a reduction in North Atlantic water temperatures by 10 Celsius.

“The breaking of a crucial warm stream-Gulf Loop Current Stalls from BP Oil Disaster … may generate a chain reaction of unpredictable critical phenomena and … may have serious consequences on the dynamics of the Gulf Stream thermoregulation activity of the Global Climate.”

The Gulf Stream’s impact on climate is well known, keeping Iceland and Scotland comfortable in winter compared to the deep-freeze of Labrador at the same latitude. The Gulf Stream directly affects weather and climate patterns over the whole Northern Hemisphere, and perhaps even world wide.

More on: http://pesn.com/2010/08/01/9501682_Gull_Loop_Current_Stalls_from_BP_Spill/

Interwiev with Dr. Gianluigi Zangari you could listen on (part 1): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AZVu3Uv-jAc&feature=related
part2 on: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GK_BVkCNH7Y&feature=related
part 3 on: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU55b9faiDc&feature=related
part 4 on: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU55b9faiDc&feature=related
part 5 on: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Df4EsqdzKjI&feature=related
part 6 on: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sTVTBSxgWfE&feature=related
part 7 on: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KGwy8bsiWe4&feature=related
 
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