Adding to what Luc said above, this Simplicius substack goes through all, or close to all the approaches discussed above. ziutek saying maybe a cosmic intervention exceeds even Simplicius' catalogue!
Special Report: The Curtain Closes On Yevgeny Prigozhin
The surprise to me is that Simplicius towards the end of the article recounts such a lack of functionality in the MOD at the beginning of the Operation with slow and careful upgrading and shifting of leadership within the defense forces. It looked like by and large, Russian forces were accomplishing most objectives with a couple exceptions, and being very effective.
Otherwise, he (likely he?), Simplicius considers the possibility of Prig being alive, along with his two closest organizers.
Well, that's probably how it is in most cases.
We bring misery upon ourselves.
I don't know why but somehow I feel that Prig is alive.
I share ziutek's 'I don't know why but somehow I feel that Prig is alive.' For me it's a sense of energetic continuation I get for Prig, but that's not a lot to go by...!!
Simplicius writes, "
As Putin once said to a reporter, “I’m not your friend, I’m the president of Russia.” Russia is an assassin candidate amongst others.
I like Simplicius' assessment or Prig.
"
Prigozhin, by my accounting, was a charismatic and likable figure. Because, while being an inordinately rich billionaire, he successfully depicted himself as a ‘common man’, the redeemed folk hero type as above, a sort of freedom fighter against the myriad corruptions and ills of the modern world. He was a witty showman and had a good feel for what the sodden masses hungered for, which made him appealing. But like certain hucksters—for instance, more recently Andrew Tate—he had a knack for concealing his personal interests behind clever “populist” facades. As long as you give people 70% of what they want to hear, the 30% graft can be easily masked away with a street magician’s sleight-of-hand.
Maybe, ultimately, he wasn’t even a bad man—I’m not necessarily saying he was, or that his disputes with the Russian MOD were out of malice. Perhaps it’s even understandable that a man who built his own empire should be expected to fiercely defend it in the way he did."
Finally, it makes more sense to me that NATO and Ukraine were the most likely of all the possible assassins, with Russian co-conspirators, an effort to achieve regime change from within, angering people in Russia who like Prig. It would be hard to come up with any other scenario outside those of Simplicius, except for something cosmic happening, as ziutek wrote above.