Sol (Sun) and its phenomena

NOAA's forecast for the next 24 hours: 99% chance of C flares, 75% chance of M flares and 40% chance of X flares.
Well, sunspot AR3664 erupted again :

Keith Strong

IT WONT STOP! Despite being a day behind the limb sunspot region AR3634 produced yet another X flare - an X3.4 event which is still in progress as I type this. This means it was a much bigger flare than GOES registered. Video data as soon as it is available.

1715766933760.jpeg

RADIO COMMUNICATIONS BLACKOUT BELOW 7 MHz.The flare is drowning out radio signals over most of Europe, Africa, and western Asia.

1715767003965.jpeg
 
did you have a travel/car crystal in the car ?
No! Not for this car, but should carry my personal one more often. Thanks!
Glad you're okay!
Thanks! Yeah, it was intense for sure, but manageable.
Anyways, the odds are probably good - if you look up instances of a particular vehicle failure and you'll generally find many similar cases.
All good points, it is a ‘96 that’s been in the fam since ‘99 and just crossed 250k miles, it’s got all kinds of quirks. I know the car well hence my surprise at how the issue occurred. May have been a blessing in disguise - put “take car into shop” at the top of the list…
So I don't read too much woo into things when vehicle troubles happen, our driving machines do weird stuff all the time. There's usually some woo involved, but it's not a path I tend to give too much weight - main reason being, it doesn't fix the issue, and can lead towards 'specialness' narratives.
Agreed, I think now of it as more a “parental test” — keeping myself and son calm. There were dozens of other moments that occurred that caused my emotions to spiraled out of control. I think I did well setting the right example…

Pattern recognition can be useful and a form of defense and is strengthened by being aware so we can navigate within our environment safely and with proper discernment. It’s that “run amok” part that needs to be held in check or it can become debilitating or psychotic at worse — numbers and symbols everywhere telling me to run for president! Perhaps, these “specialness narratives” (great term!) can inflate the ego to the point where one is opened to feeding or if you can remain objective you can separate the noise you may get better sense of your path in life.

A purpose of HAARP may be just that — to disorient and block each persons true potential or even tune their “polarity” into “self destruct mode”. Everyone born has an opportunity to make an impact here for the better. (Reminds me the Cs phrase “nobody's a nobody”) And maybe one reason it was turned on was the potential for auroras to inspire and wake people up - interesting that they kinda of announced it 🤔

Anyway, just some open thoughts, could write a whole lot more, but don’t want go off topic. 😅
 
No! Not for this car, but should carry my personal one more often. Thanks!

Thanks! Yeah, it was intense for sure, but manageable.

All good points, it is a ‘96 that’s been in the fam since ‘99 and just crossed 250k miles, it’s got all kinds of quirks. I know the car well hence my surprise at how the issue occurred. May have been a blessing in disguise - put “take car into shop” at the top of the list…

Agreed, I think now of it as more a “parental test” — keeping myself and son calm. There were dozens of other moments that occurred that caused my emotions to spiraled out of control. I think I did well setting the right example…

Pattern recognition can be useful and a form of defense and is strengthened by being aware so we can navigate within our environment safely and with proper discernment. It’s that “run amok” part that needs to be held in check or it can become debilitating or psychotic at worse — numbers and symbols everywhere telling me to run for president! Perhaps, these “specialness narratives” (great term!) can inflate the ego to the point where one is opened to feeding or if you can remain objective you can separate the noise you may get better sense of your path in life.

A purpose of HAARP may be just that — to disorient and block each persons true potential or even tune their “polarity” into “self destruct mode”. Everyone born has an opportunity to make an impact here for the better. (Reminds me the Cs phrase “nobody's a nobody”) And maybe one reason it was turned on was the potential for auroras to inspire and wake people up - interesting that they kinda of announced it 🤔

Anyway, just some open thoughts, could write a whole lot more, but don’t want go off topic. 😅

Yeah there is a wood layer to everything. I think the main question for me is if it’s more than usual woo, and if so, how can I tell? And then what do I do about whatever has happened? I remember a guy I knew had a small hole in his gas tank. He decided to get out some sage and smudge it. It’s lucky he didn’t blow himself up.
 
Now, why would that be? Well, according to my theory, we are going to pass through the border between two cosmic clouds: our current cloud mixture and the G-cloud. And as we pass through that border, what will potentially happen is the same thing that happened in the 19th century when they had many auroras and 4 solar storms. Two smaller ones, at the beginning and the end of the "solar upheaval", and two strong ones in the middle. All separated by solar sunspot maximums. If my theory is correct, at that time the solar system was passing the border between the Local Interstellar Cloud and the mixture cloud, which sits between LIC and the G-cloud, and where we are right now.

If that is true, and if this storm was the first storm in the cycle, then the next two will be much stronger, and the last one will be as strong as this one. And after that we will enter the G-cloud where our cosmic environment will be much different than this one. Of course, this "solar upheaval" doesn't have to be an exact copy of the one from the 19th century, but we could expect something similar.

On that topic, I think a documentary called "Magnetic Storm", made by the PBS in 2003, is excellent. I watched it many years ago, but I was just reviewing some clips, and in today's context, it makes even more sense. The auroras could well be a sign of an incoming pole shift, due to a progressive weakening in different areas.

Neil found the transcript:

But I don't see the actual video anywhere online. If anyone is interested, say so. ;-)

EDIT: Found it. It's actually here:

By now there are probably more modern documentaries made about it, but that one stuck in my mind for some reason.
 
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On that topic, I think a documentary called "Magnetic Storm", made by the PBS in 2003, is excellent. I watched it many years ago, but I was just reviewing some clips, and in today's context, it makes even more sense. The auroras could well be a sign of an incoming pole shift, due to a progressive weakening in different areas.

I found it on YT. It was interesting. That would explain the South Atlantic Anomaly. If I understood one scientist correctly, we should expect more of those anomalies before the pole shift. But we are certainly going towards that point.
 
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT MAY 16_2024

Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a X3.3 event observed at 08:37 UTC from AR3664 the flare generated a Strong R3 radio blackout over Africa & Eurasian Region
20240515_200626.png
Screenshot_20240515-201527_X.jpg

● Solar flares from unnumbered sunspot west far side (The sunspot is on the opposite side of the earth so it did not have an impact or cause a radio blackout.)

● M2.8 at 14:06 UTC
● M3.2 at 14:17 UTC
● X2.9 at 14:38 UTC
The total number of sunspots has decreased to 173 of which 53 of them are grouped into 12 active regions as follows:​
Active RegionSunspotsSize (MH)
AR36671120
AR3670710 By
AR3671730
AR3672140
AR3673120
AR367410120
AR3675220
AR3676490 By
AR36797240 Byd
AR3680210
AR3682680 By
AR3683530 new reg
hmi200 (1).gif
AR3678 & AR3681 are gone

AR3670, AR3676 & AR3682 have beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares while AR3679 has developed a beta-gamma-delta magnetic field that harbors energy for strong X-class flares

NOAA's forecast for the next 24 hours: 99% chance of C flares, 75% chance of M flares and 40% chance of X flares.

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. On May 15 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 595 km/s (Moderately high speed) at 01:12 UTC. Total IMF reached 13 nT at 10:29 UTC​
GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH--CANCELLED: A series of off-target CMEs emitted by departing sunspot AR3664 has missed Earth. As a result, today's minor geomagnetic storm watch has been cancelled. SpaceWeather.com​

Aurora Oval Bz: Bz: -0.38 nT South
aurora-map.jpg

● Current Conditions at 03:40 UTC on May 16

Geomagnetic activity is at Kp 2 (quiet) The solar wind has a elevated speed of 428 km/s pointing south with negative Bz value of -0.38 nT which offers moderate conditions for aurora sightings at high latitudes. Thermosphere Climate Index (TCI) is hot today again.

On May 16 Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a chance for an X-class flare while the geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active levels.​

▪︎ Geospace unsettled (Kp3)
▪Solar wind speed record: 428 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 1 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 5 nT
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare : C5 2039 UT May15
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: HOT

▪︎ Neutron Counts today: -7.0% (Low)
▪︎ Sunspot number: 173 (SN 185 May 15)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
............................
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
I found it on YT. It was interesting. That would explain the South Atlantic Anomaly. If I understood one scientist correctly, we should expect more of those anomalies before the pole shift. But we are certainly going towards that point.

Yes, that type of anomaly, together with more "visual effects" like the auroras. And I found the link to cancer to be interesting too. We know human technology, vaccines, etc. are destroying people's health, but there may also be more "cosmic" factors as well, at a larger scale. And as in the case of weather change, the authorities will just blame it on people driving cars, eating junk, etc.
 
I found this in the transcript about Aurora Borealis :

(Pierre) The Aurora Borealis?

(L) Yeah, that stuff comes in at the poles.

(Pierre) Yeah, the magnetosphere is weaker there. Related question: We've witnessed over the past few days several X-class solar flares. I wanted to know if this unusual solar activity was triggered by an incoming cometary cluster related to Nemesis?

A: Check planetary alignments and factor in distant body

Q:
(L) So something was just lining up.

(Pierre) And easing the discharge.

(Joe) Planetary alignments.


So I went back to check if there was any alignment on the 8-9 of May and thank to Puma who report them in the Earthquakes tread, I found this.
On the 6th of Mai Puma posted the map prediction for the period from o5-o5 to 05-14 in this post; Earthquakes around the world

There were 3 planetary and lunar geometry on the 7- 8 of May.
● Next planetary geometries:
▪︎ Mercury- Venus- Uranus/ 2024-05-07
▪︎ Earth- Moon- Sun/ 2024-05-08 (new moon)

● Next lunar geometries
▪︎ Earth- Moon- Uranus/ 2024-05-08
▪︎ Earth- Moon- Jupiter/ 2024-05-08

I just thought that I will save this information here so if the phenomena repeat, we can compare the alignment, geometry and maybe discern a pattern or planet that may play a prominent role.
 
Yes, that type of anomaly, together with more "visual effects" like the auroras. And I found the link to cancer to be interesting too. We know human technology, vaccines, etc. are destroying people's health, but there may also be more "cosmic" factors as well, at a larger scale. And as in the case of weather change, the authorities will just blame it on people driving cars, eating junk, etc.
It look like when major change occur in our environment, there are disease (covid) and manipulation at the genetic level (vax) to diminish the chance to survive the change.

October, 22 1994

Q: (L) After the "flood of Noah" approximately how many people survived that cataclysm on the whole earth?

A: Approximately 19 million.

Q: (L) Why did the population of the earth continue to decline from that point?

A: Because of disease and inability to adjust due to artificial manipulations of the genetic pool.
 
I found this in the transcript about Aurora Borealis :

(Pierre) The Aurora Borealis?

(L) Yeah, that stuff comes in at the poles.

(Pierre) Yeah, the magnetosphere is weaker there. Related question: We've witnessed over the past few days several X-class solar flares. I wanted to know if this unusual solar activity was triggered by an incoming cometary cluster related to Nemesis?

A: Check planetary alignments and factor in distant body

Q:
(L) So something was just lining up.

(Pierre) And easing the discharge.

(Joe) Planetary alignments.


I just thought that I will save this information here so if the phenomena repeat, we can compare the alignment, geometry and maybe discern a pattern or planet that may play a prominent role.

The X-flares in 2017 appeared from 6-10 of September. And at that time, right behind the Earth, opposite to the Sun, was Neptune. So the distant body could be something behind the Neptune.
 
SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT MAY 17_2024

Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 0804 UTC from Region 3685 (S13E64). The flare generated a Minor R1 radio blackout over India region​
20240516_214244.jpg
20240516_214249.png

The total number of sunspots has decreased to 208 of which 78 of them are grouped into 13 active regions as follows:​
Active RegionSunspotsSize (MH)
AR3667150
AR3670220 By
AR3671510
AR3672550
AR3673120
AR367418130
AR3676590 By
AR367913230 By
AR3680210
AR3682730 By
AR3683830
AR3684410
AR36857 180 By New reg
hmi200.jpg
AR3675 is gone

AR3670, AR3676, AR3679, AR3682 & AR3685 have beta-gamma magnetic field that harbors energy for M-class flares. AR3685 is the far side region that produced the X2.9 class flare at 14:38 UTC May 15.

NOAA's forecast for the next 24 hours: 99% chance of C flares, 40% chance of M flares and 10% chance of X flares.​

● Auroral Activity

The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to moderate storm levels for the past 24 hours. On May 16 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 529 km/s (Moderately high speed) at 05:28 UTC. Moderate G2 geomagnetic storm (Kp6) Threshold reached at 08:34 UTC. Total IMF reached 17 nT at 06:11 UTC​
Aurora Oval Bz: 6.02 nT North
aurora-map.jpg

● Current Conditions at 04:1p UTC on May 17

Geomagnetic activity is at Kp 2 (quiet) The solar wind has a elevated speed of 418 km/s pointing north with positive Bz value of 6.02 nT which offers low conditions for aurora sightings at high latitudes. Thermosphere Climate Index (TCI) is hot.
RARE SOUTH PACIFIC AURORAS CONFIRM 'GREAT STORM': On the south Pacific island of New Caledonia, no one expects to see auroras. Ever. Situated about halfway between Tonga and Australia, the cigar-shaped island is too close to the equator for Northern or Southern Lights. Yet on May 10, 2024, this happened:​
"I have rarely been so happy when taking a photo!" says Frédéric Desmoulins, who photographed the display from Boulouparis in the island's south province. "I could see the red color of the auroras with my naked eye. According to the New Caledonian Astronomy Society, these photos are the first for this territory."
"The auroral visibility from New Caledonia is really unique and extremely valuable," says Hisashi Hayakawa, a space weather researcher at Japan's Nagoya University. "The last time sky watchers saw auroras in the area may have been during the Carrington Event of Sept. 1859, when auroras were sighted from a ship in the Coral Sea."
Hayakawa specializes in historical studies of great auroral storms. He tries to go back in time as far as possible. The problem is, magnetometers and other modern sensors didn't exist hundreds of years ago. Instead, he looks for records of aurora sightings in old newspapers, diaries, ships logs and even paintings. Great Storms are identified by their low latitude--anything with naked-eye auroras below 30° MLAT (magnetic latitude).
"May 10th was definitely a 'Great Storm,'" declares Hayakawa. "Naked-eye auroras in New Caledonia (MLAT = -26.4°) and Puerto Rico (MLAT = 27.2°) cracked the latitude barrier in both of Earth's hemispheres."​
In fact, it is among the top 20 Great Storms of the past 500 years. The above timeline from a research paper by Hayakawa has been modified to display the May 10th event. It is the green dot on the far-right end of the timeline.
SpaceWeather.com​
On May 17 Solar activity is likely to be low with a chance for an M-class flare while the geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active levels.​

▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp2)
▪Solar wind speed record: 418 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 9 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 9 nT
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare : C8 0146 UT May17
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: HOT

▪︎ Neutron Counts today: -7.1% (Low)
▪︎ Sunspot number: 208 (SN 173 May 16)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
▪︎ There are no significant equatorial coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
............................
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
 
This is nothing too special considering how many photos have been taken, but it came from a different part of the world. China Daily still carried a beautiful picture of the aurora borealis:
66468b41a31082fc2b6e2169.jpeg
Photo taken on May 11, 2024, shows the northern lights in the sky of Xiliinhot city, North China's Inner Mongolia autonomous region. [Photo/VCG]
The coordinates of the city are: 43.951736, 116.088485, so it is far north of some other observations.
 
"I have rarely been so happy when taking a photo!" says Frédéric Desmoulins, who photographed the display from Boulouparis in the island's south province. "I could see the red color of the auroras with my naked eye. According to the New Caledonian Astronomy Society, these photos are the first for this territory." [...]

"The last time sky watchers saw auroras in the area may have been during the Carrington Event of Sept. 1859, when auroras were sighted from a ship in the Coral Sea."

Pretty interesting, eh!

Recall the December 1859 Atlantic article I quoted here, which correlated riots breaking out in Jamaica with the sightings of auroras there during the Carrington Event.

Well, serious rioting broke out in New Caledonia a few days ago...

France declares state of emergency in New Caledonia after deadly riots

 
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