The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!

Gary said:
Two recent articles on the Mini Ice Age from Electroverse:
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Very interesting articles, thanks Gary. Just saw this article on Electroverse, about the impact of the Grand Solar minumum in Spain:

Today, the impacts of the Grand Solar Minimum are seen in Spain.
Across the higher elevations of the Iberian Peninsula as much as half a meter (1.64 ft) of snow has accumulated — totals that would be at home after a powerful winter storm, not least one in late-Sept/early-Oct. And along with the early snow, the Cogulla weather station, located in Cerler (which sits at an elevation of 2,300m), also registered a teeth-chattering low of -5.9C (21F).
At the higher elevations the snow will now not go away, warns the guard of the Góriz refuge Joan María Vendrell: it is here to stay for the season.

This is how glaciers build.

This is also how ice ages begin.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow.
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electroverse.net

Another "Winter" Snowstorm Blankets the Spanish Mountains - Electroverse

Of late, both hemispheres have been suffering out-of-season cold and snow as polar conditions have invaded the mid-latitudes.
electroverse.net electroverse.net
 
I see that snow has fallen in England and other places, but near St. Petersburg (Russia) all last week the weather was abnormally WARM (+ 17C + 19C) and it was warm at night, although at this time there should be night FROZES. Nothing of the kind, the trees are full of leaves, I have watermelons blooming in my greenhouse (in October!). I went outside in shorts during the day! Heat records were broken every day in the history of observations.
But I see that the weather in general has become very UNSTABLE and UNEXPECTED. Before that, at the beginning of September it was cold, on September 17 we even turned on the central heating (earlier than usual).
In addition, the spring was very cold, frosts literally until 30-31 MAY, there was no foliage on the trees at all until the beginning of JUNE! I saw trees blooming without leaves at all!
Summer was also very strange, after the cold the heat came + 30C, and then it got colder again and heavy rains and hail began. A lot of hail this summer.
 
 
In the lower parts of the interior of BC the thermometer decided to announce its winter drop over the last few days. Snow has been building at higher elevations, and now steadily inching its way down slope. Frost this morning followed by light snow - cold winds. Tomorrow is to be colder, so stripped the greenhouse and covered some flowers with hope, which will likely not 'show' again. The little chart on my phone shows - 3 c in the am tomorrow, and by Sunday it comes in at lovely -13 c, with snow (great :rolleyes:). Halloween is weeks away, so will have to see if the weather become more entrenched or it eases off for a charitable late October and early November (there is more to do outside before the crunch of winter).

Seems just the other week it was wildfires and dry furnace heat; all forgotten now.
 
Early snow in Polish mountains. Biggest since 10 years.


At least 20 centimeters of snow has fallen. What fell from the roof totally blocked us and we just can't go down - said Janusz, the owner of one of the guesthouses. He added that the snow is very wet. - There hasn't been so much snow for 10 years as I am here yet - he said.
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tvnmeteo.tvn24.pl

W Karkonoszach spadło ponad 20 centymetrów śniegu. "Totalnie nas zablokowało"

W Karkonoszach spadł śnieg, miejscami ponad 20 centymetrów. Drogi zostały zasypane, ciężko poruszać się samochodem. - To, co spadło z dachu, totalnie nas zablokowało i po prostu nie możemy zjechać na dół - powiedział pan Janusz, właściciel jednego z pensjonatów.
tvnmeteo.tvn24.pl tvnmeteo.tvn24.pl
 
https://twitter.com/x/status/1315031802084499463
Possible impacts of a future grand solar minimum on climate: Stratospheric and global circulation changes
First published: 28 April 2015 A. C. Maycock 55-69 minutes

https://twitter.com/x/status/1317487576186576896
Current space weather NOAA Saturday, Oct. 17, 2020
SOLAR FLARE ACTIVITY: Departing active region AR2775 unleashed a pair of C-class solar flares on Oct. 16th. The strongest (C3.5) propelled a cloud of plasma into space; it will not hit Earth. UV radiation from the flares briefly ionized the top of Earth's atmosphere, causing minor shortwave radio brownouts over South America: map. Aurora alerts: SMS Text.
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weather.us

Satellite Cloud Tops Alert Super HD, USA

weather.us weather.us


https://twitter.com/x/status/1317664281177989120

Just a lot of hokum. Just speculation with lots of red flags. Buzz words, drought, heat etc. equals Climate pron 101 vs Reality.

U.S. Winter Outlook: Cooler North, warmer South with ongoing La Nina
October 15, 2020 Weather Climate climate outlooks winter Snip
Persistent drought dominates the Western landscape
NOAA’s winter forecast for the U.S. favors warmer, drier conditions across the southern tier of the U.S., and cooler, wetter conditions in the North, thanks in part to an ongoing La Nina. Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — a division of the National Weather Service — are also closely monitoring persistent drought during the winter months ahead, with more than 45% of the continental U.S. now experiencing drought.

"NOAA's timely and accurate seasonal outlooks and short-term forecasts are the result of improved satellite observations, more detailed computer forecast modeling, and expanding supercomputing capacity," said Neil Jacobs, Ph.D., acting NOAA administrator. "From expansive and multi-hazard winter storms to narrow but intense lake effect snow, NOAA will provide the necessary information to keep communities safe."


https://twitter.com/x/status/1316464716487831559

www.windy.com

Professional weather forecast

50+ weather layers, weather radar and satellite
www.windy.com www.windy.com
 
https://twitter.com/x/status/1318764946746970116

www.oilseedcrops.org

Earth’s Winds and Clouds are Changing | Grand Solar Minimum - Official ADAPT 2030 Website (Keeping Your Families Reset Prepared)

Earth's wind and cloud patterns have begun to show definite signs of change versus what was considered the normal just two years ago. Now every colliding weather front is a record rain downpour, hail depth, wind or electrical event. There has been a noticeable change affecting crop yields and...
www.oilseedcrops.org www.oilseedcrops.org

https://twitter.com/x/status/1318655370378813441

https://twitter.com/x/status/1318766874625298432
 
Here's an interesting take on the latest snowy October situation developing in Canada by a local meteorologist -

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

'Get your shovelling practice in': Southern Manitoba snow dump could be here to stay

Unseasonably cold temperatures mean October melt might not be forthcoming, Environment Canada says

Winnipeggers awoke Wednesday morning to snow blanketing rooftops and roads, and unseasonably cold weather means the white stuff might not be going away before spring.

"Unfortunately, with five or six centimetres and with our below-normal temperatures looking like it's going to continue at least until Halloween, it's probably a pretty good bet that the snow is going to stick around here," said Chris Stammers, a meteorologist with Environment Canada.

"Get your shovelling practice in."

Many Winnipeg roads and Manitoba highways were covered in ice and snow ahead of rush hour, the provincial highway conditions map said.

A crash closed Highway 1 at the Portage la Prairie bypass, between Highway 240 and Angle Road, but it reopened around 9:30 a.m. A semi-trailer truck was seen being pulled from a ditch in the area.

There were five to eight centimetres of snow in Winnipeg, and six to eight centimetres from the Dauphin area south to the U.S.-Canada border.

It's normal to get snow in October, but it often melts away. Stammers recalled that when Winnipeg got walloped with over 30 centimetres during a Thanksgiving weekend snowstorm last year, it disappeared before winter later set in.

With temperatures around 10 C below normal for this time of year, he isn't confident Winnipeg will be snow-free again in 2020.

"When the temperatures are that far below normal at this time of year, any snowfall is probably going to stick," he said. "That part of it is unprecedented, but the fact that we're getting snow in October is not really."

There is a chance of more snow on Thursday, Stammers said.

 
On October 20, a thunderstorm passed in Crete (Greece), accompanied by heavy rain and hail - snowdrifts appeared on the roads and streets.
The main blow of the elements fell on Heraklion, Chania and Malia - the inhabitants of these cities woke up in the middle of the night due to the noise of the rain. Greek media showed footage of the main highway on the island, covered in white snowdrifts from hail, and workers shoveling rainfall from the streets of the coastal town of Malia.

In addition, 3745 lightning strikes on the island of Crete and around it, of which 337 were on land and 3409 were at sea.

mallia-1.jpg

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flashnews.gr

Βομβαρδισμένο από το χαλάζι τοπίο τα Μάλια - Oλική καταστροφή σε θερμοκήπια! (φωτο)

Η ισχυρή χαλαζόπτωση που έπληξε την περιοχή των Μαλίων προκάλεσε μεγάλες καταστροφές σε θερμοκήπια ενώ οι δρόμοι θυμίζουν εικόνες από ορεινή περιοχή.
flashnews.gr flashnews.gr





 
From the Washington Post.

Rare October ice storm hits Oklahoma, knocks out power to 300,000​

* A disruptive and dangerous ice storm is underway in Oklahoma, with ice storm warnings plastering the map and more than 300,000 people without power.

* It was the first time that the National Weather Service in either Norman or Tulsa had issued an ice storm warning during the month of October, and the pre-Halloween glaze was the worst ice storm to strike at any time of year in at least five years.

* Oklahoma City Memorial and Oklahoma Forestry Services crews were scrambling to save the "Survivor Tree," an American elm at the Oklahoma City National Memorial. The monument honors the 168 people who lost their lives at the Alfred P. Murrah Federal Building in a terrorist bombing on April 19, 1995.

* The time of year, when trees are still fully-leafed and vegetation is somewhat verdant, means the ice event is even more disruptive, since there is greater surface area on trees where ice can accrete. That allows more weight to build up, making it easier for limbs and branches to collapse.

* The cause of the ice storm is a narrow layer of cold air at the surface below a mile in altitude. At 7,800 feet, it was nearly 47 degrees Tuesday morning over Oklahoma City, yet temperatures at ground level have remained below freezing since midmorning Monday. That permits liquidwater to fall and hit the ground, quickly freezing on contact.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1320912729075601408

https://twitter.com/x/status/1321123565559795713
 
Arctic Sea Ice is not freezing In October for the first time since measurements began, now having an unknown effect on weather development towards Winter

Arctic sea ice melt season usually lasts from March till September. After reaching the minimum extent in September, sea ice starts to grow back in October. But this year, the growth is much slower than last year, with almost no growth in some places.
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Growth has obviously begun since mid-September, but the rate was rather weak and is not increasing with time, evident by the recent daily increase rate on the image below. At this point, the daily growth should slowly increase over time, but we can see the daily growth area is not increasing and has rather been almost decreasing over time.
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Also looking at the raw temperatures, we can see the eastern Arctic ocean is actually in positive surface temperatures, which means a low to zero chance of freezing over at this point. In normal conditions, almost the entire Arctic ocean should be at or below the freezing point – 0°C (black color) by the end of October.
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This citations are basicially just an intro to the article, there is a lot more. Basicially this could cause harsh winters in Europe and North America, and as I've read from an article from my country that broadcasted this, it says that this is causing temperatures 20 °C (68 F) below average in some parts of the U.S.

What about Winter 2020/2021? As we head towards winter, the connection/effect of the lack of sea ice is getting blurred or not so clear. There is a known effect on the jet stream, as we discussed. But when winter arrives, we have a lot of external factors that mask or reverse a potential sea ice effect.

The first factor is that by the time winter arrives, the Arctic sea ice is already regrown to a certain extent, not exposing so much (or none) open water. The second factor is the Stratospheric Polar Vortex. A strong polar vortex can influence the jet stream and potentially make it stronger, creating a more west-east flow and milder winter across North America and Europe.

But the strength of the polar vortex is also determined by the weather patterns, so here we have a very delicate feedback loop. The sea ice (or lack thereof) can influence the weather patterns, which affects the polar vortex, which then affects back at the jet stream and the weather patterns.

The third factor is the tropical ENSO region, with its developing La Nina phase. A La Nina has a very specific effect on the jet stream, which can override other potential effects from the sea ice. And it can also affect the polar vortex.
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