The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!

[thorbiorn]

The following is a post from a popular meteorologist (who pushes global warming) noting the cold recorded today anomalies in South America and Australia:

Here is the situation in the Northern Hemisphere:

And from a different map projection:


Because of map distortions, that makes the area of the equator look smaller than it really is, it is not straightforward to say what the overall balance is of heat vs cold. A guess is that it looks like the anomaly is on the warm side, at least in the Northern Hemisphere. If that is so, the air can hold more humidity. When the air then is carried north, it cools down, the relative humidity goes up and water vapour condenses to give rise to precipitation in the form of mostly rain or snow. Is that the reason why:

Greenland keeps adding
One location, where the precipitation has been on the plus side since September 1st, is Greenland, as seen in the latest map of the surface mass balance: Surface Conditions: Polar Portal

For Antarctica, I could not find a similar model. The advantage of Greenland is its smaller size, which facilitates surveys. There was however a study, published in 2017 by Elizabeth R. Thomas et al, that based on a number of ice cores modelled the development of the surface mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet over the last 1000 years. It may have been mentioned already, but I could not find it, so here is the abstract:

Regional Antarctic snow accumulation over the past 1000 years

• November 2017
• Climate of the Past 13(11):1491-1513

DOI:10.5194/cp-13-1491-2017

Here we present Antarctic snow accumulation variability at the regional scale over the past 1000 years. A total of 79 ice core snow accumulation records were gathered and assigned to seven geographical regions, separating the high-accumulation coastal zones below 2000 m of elevation from the dry central Antarctic Plateau. The regional composites of annual snow accumulation were evaluated against modelled surface mass balance (SMB) from RACMO2.3p2 and precipitation from ERA-Interim reanalysis. With the exception of the Weddell Sea coast, the low-elevation composites capture the regional precipitation and SMB variability as defined by the models. The central Antarctic sites lack coherency and either do not represent regional precipitation or indicate the model inability to capture relevant precipitation processes in the cold, dry central plateau. Our results show that SMB for the total Antarctic Ice Sheet (including ice shelves) has increased at a rate of 7 ± 0.13 Gt decade⁻¹ since 1800 AD, representing a net reduction in sea level of ∼ 0.02 mm decade⁻¹ since 1800 and ∼ 0.04 mm decade⁻¹ since 1900 AD. The largest contribution is from the Antarctic Peninsula (∼ 75 %) where the annual average SMB during the most recent decade (2001–2010) is 123 ± 44 Gt yr⁻¹ higher than the annual average during the first decade of the 19th century. Only four ice core records cover the full 1000 years, and they suggest a decrease in snow accumulation during this period. However, our study emphasizes the importance of low-elevation coastal zones, which have been under-represented in previous investigations of temporal snow accumulation.

Coming back to the Northern Hemisphere, the Sea Ice is still there

Sea Ice Thickness and Volume: Polar Portal

polarportal.dk

Sea Ice Extent: Polar Portal

polarportal.dk

Checking up on the Northern Sea Route, there has been little news since May, after trade between Russia and the West became more difficult. But judging from the map, if there is 1,5-2 meter ice in the eastern area above Siberia, already now, it might not have been as easy a year as many of the previous years.

 

[treesparrow]

Big freeze strikes Australia: Antarctic blast lashes east coast, SNOW dumps near Sydney as temperatures plunge to single digits in Melbourne - just 4 weeks out from summer -- Sott.net

Australians have woken up to an icy morning as the country is lashed by two jet streams that have pooled cold air over the eastern seaboard. The cold Antarctic air has been dragged north by a pend in the polar jetstream - a band of wind that...

www.sott.net

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Big freeze strikes Australia: Antarctic blast lashes east coast, SNOW dumps near Sydney as temperatures plunge to single digits in Melbourne - just 4 weeks out from summer​

Australians have woken up to an icy morning as the country is lashed by two jet streams that have pooled cold air over the eastern seaboard.

The cold Antarctic air has been dragged north by a pend in the polar jetstream - a band of wind that continuously flows about 8 to 15km above sea level.

Icy gusts are lashing the east coast and snow is dumping just outside of Sydney and in south-eastern alpine region as the polar jetstream clashes with the separate subtropical jetstream.

It comes as residents of Melbourne and Canberra experience temperatures in the single digits - with the nation's capital hitting just six degrees on Wednesday morning and Melbourne nine degrees, with the mercury set to rise throughout the day.

Inland parts of NSW have also experienced widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.

The state's central west is expected to bear the brunt of conditions with snow possible above 800 metres around Lithgow, Orange and Bathurst and more rain will flood already swollen creeks and catchments.

Lighter snowfall will extend further west, while many areas in NSW will have a maximum temperature 10 to 15 below normal.

NSW Minister for Regional Transport and Roads Sam Farraway warned motorists in the region to take care with wet and icy roads.

'The recent extreme weather has badly damaged roads right across the state's network and the forecast of more rain and possible snow only adds to our concerns,' he said.

'The potential for snow and black ice on roads across the Central West will create additional road hazards.

'Some areas across the state's west have received no rainfall for days but we are not yet seeing floodwaters recede.'

A dangerous mix of weather was created by the two jet streams clashing over the country due to the contrast in air mass density and temperature.

The polar stream is bringing cold air from the Antarctic while the subtropical sends through warmer air.



Severe weather warnings for damaging winds have now been issued for parts of Queensland, NSW and South Australia.

Flood warnings are also in place across regions in east and south-east Australia as the wild weather produces heavy rain.

Major flooding is expected at Coonamble and Nanami in NSW on Wednesday, and on Friday at Forbes which copped a deluge last month. The Bureau of Meteorology also expects major flooding on the Bogan River.

More than 90 SES hazard warnings are current for NSW with 48 flood rescues carried out and nearly 760 requests for assistance.

Evacuation orders are in place for residents in Moama, Mathoura, Cowra and Tumut.

Weatherzone meteorologist Yoska Hernandez told Daily Mail Australia that conditions should ease in the coming days.

'The worst of the weather should be today and tomorrow with damaging winds, snowfall and showers.'

'The high pressure system will settle the weather over the following days in the south-east.'

She added that the jet stream was already moving past the east towards the Tasman Sea.

 

[c.a.]

It's dammed cold I tell ya. 🥶

With both sides of the puddle feeling an early November breakout, with #snow accumulations mounting for skiers.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1591452040567267328

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1591506640934682626

Line-1
No snow today in Mérens les Vals
Line-2
11/11/2004 1350m #ariege l'Hospitalet et Mérens

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1591384661300609024

The anticyclone will not last very long towards #Europe West. From Monday, the disturbed Icelandic dynamic will increasingly influence the #France . On the program, generous rains (good news) and temperatures that remain fairly mild!

 

[Laura]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1591905619669549056

 

[Pierre]

Some predictions age not so well!



And, to be sure, I checked pictures of the Kilimanjaro in 2022 and, surprise suprise, there is still snow!

 

[Alix]

Some predictions age not so well!

View attachment 66859

And, to be sure, I checked pictures of the Kilimanjaro in 2022 and, surprise suprise, there is still snow!

View attachment 66860

Here in Montana, there were signs put up by the National Park Service in Glacier National Park in 2010 darkly proclaiming that the glaciers would by gone by 2020. Welp, this year they were ordered by the USGS (US Geological Service) to take the signs down, as there has been no indication that the glaciers in the park are shrinking.

Indeed, teams from Lysander Spooner University visit GNP each September and have noted that GNP’s most famous glaciers such as the Grinnell Glacier and the Jackson Glacier appear to have been growing. The Jackson Glacier has grown as much as 25% or more over the past decade.

 

[Pierre]

Will this winter be cold? One parameter indicates so:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1592541169040461826

 

[Ben]

Will this winter be cold? One parameter indicates so:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1592541169040461826

Left picture December 01 2022? Should that read November? That's if this was based on data rather than forecasts or modelling.

If it is November, then that's 15% colder than last December already, so presumably will get colder still by this December.

 

[mrtn]

Left picture December 01 2022? Should that read November? That's if this was based on data rather than forecasts or modelling.

I also wondered, but it seems they are forecasts. You can see the date of the forecast at the top right in the images, and the 'forecasted' date at the top left, I think. It's confusing because the tweet says 'The current Arctic..'.
I wonder if last years forecast (right) was actually correct.

 

[c.a.]

Arctic Air Arrives in the Central U.S. Late Week

The coldest air of the season so far arrives Thursday night! By Friday morning and into the weekend, many of us will feel temperatures in the single digits and

www.weathernationtv.com

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1591959423559385089

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1592805176167264257

sometimes exceeded 100 mm in the last 30 hours in #Corse 144.4 mm at Restonica 117.2 mm at Renno 105.4 mm at Ghisoni 94.2 mm at Sartène 92.7 mm in Bocognano 92.1 mm to Figari 83.4 mm at Vivario 50.5 mm in Ajaccio-Milelli 5.2 mm in Bastia

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1592801056907370496

Line-1
Autumn sets in (finally) from Thursday with an oceanic westerly flow. By Saturday it will fall on average: 15 to 30mm of rain along the Pyrenean foothills, and 80mm in the Basque Country. To the east on 11/66, the north wind will dry out the air mass (classic in westerly flow).
https://twitter.com/Meteo_Pyrenees/status/1592799600372756480/photo/1
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In this context, the snow will be present from the middle mountains (1200-1400m) mainly to the west of the massif on the slopes bordering the foothills. We expect 20/25cm > 1800m on the 64, 5 to 15cm on the center chain and less than 5cm to the east.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1592956948244180993

I visually recorded 4-1/2 feet of fresh powder (from last Friday) night at the top of Donner Summit CA. while in preparation for the flight out Monday.

This time frame is the preferred window when traveling from the bay area (at about 22:30 hrs.) and a golden hour from the madness on the roads with a nice awe-inspiring vista whereas taking it nice slow in case of unforeseeable ice on the road.

In the meantime, I am back just in time for the onset of a cold fall weekend in the french foothills.

Just like the research shows, the jet stream has gone full tilt and will intensify for the foreseeable future.

 

[sid]

We are going through another spell of cold weather, right in the middle of what should be summer with 30C+ temperatures. The Sott has covered it in this article - Southern Tasmania hit with spring snow and heavy rain as cold front moves through -- Sott.net

What caught my attention is the article someone linked in the comments. Its a really good read, a bit long to post here. There is a summary at the end, which I have added below. We understand now that under-water volcanic and out-gassing events eventually lead to global cooling and are seeing a first hand demonstration of that.

A significant cooling event continues in the Stratosphere due to the large Water Vapor cloud, but can it impact the upcoming Winter Season?

The strong cooling event continues in the southern stratosphere, potentially influencing the Winter 2022/2023 seasonal weather patterns

www.severe-weather.eu

SUMMARY​

The January eruption of Hunga Tonga in the South Pacific has injected a large amount of water vapor into the stratosphere. That water vapor is now causing significant cooling of the southern stratosphere, continuing into late Fall and early Winter.

We looked at the historical data and found that there is a weak indication of the south stratospheric cooling, coinciding with later stratospheric warming events over the northern hemisphere. But much more research is needed, as other background signals can be at play.

Stratospheric warming during the northern hemisphere winter can mean a heavy disruption of circulation. This causes pressure changes and can unleash cold air from the Arctic into the United States and Europe.

It would make sense for the changes in the stratosphere on the southern side of the planet could also impact the northern hemisphere. As the cooling in the southern hemisphere is substantial, the upcoming winter will be a great real-life “lab test” of the potential global weather changes.

 

[cholas]

According the Weather Underground for our locale:

Average High(F): 63

Average low: 44

Record low: 27

It's currently 24 (8am) and the last 4 mornings hovered around 20 when I awoke. Four days of record lows and not a word from the media.

Yet if we have a record high one never hears the end of it. 🙄

 

[Ocean]

From Benjamin Fulford's Telegram. I'm not sure how accurate it is but I can't help noticing that this was predicted on the Economist's cover in 2017:

Major rivers around the world suddenly dried up at the same time — no one knows why

Something ominous is happening to the world's water reserves, as large lakes and rivers across the planet have suddenly dried up for unknown reasons. Just at the moment when the globalists proclaimed a global food crisis.

— Several sections of the Mississippi River in the USA had to be closed due to record low water levels. A state of emergency has also been declared on the Nile River in Africa due to water shortages.
The Nile is the main source of water not only for Egypt, but also for Sudan, South Sudan and Ethiopia. It is also, like the Mississippi, a vital economic river that supports both agriculture and fishing.

— The Amazon River in South America is another major source of water that is facing severe drought. Flood waters from the Amazon destroyed crops and flooded entire settlements only to subside and make the region drier than it should be. This remains a disastrous situation for Peru, Colombia and Brazil, which depend on the Amazon for hydration and economic activity.

— In Europe, similar drops in the water level are observed on the Rhine, which, like in the Mississippi, made trade through some sections impossible. Europe is also experiencing a major energy crisis, which is compounded by the fact that due to the Rhine situation in Germany, it is difficult to extract coal as a last attempt to avoid a blackout this cold winter.

— The Yangtze River in China, the third longest in the world, is also drying up like others. This creates serious problems for the developing communist regime, which uses the Yangtze for strategic purposes. It is reported that the current state of the Yangtze is a "record" in terms of damage caused by prolonged drought. It also affects river navigation, forcing several large companies to suspend their operations.

— In the southwest of America, the Colorado River basin is also drying up, which puts at risk states such as California, Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Utah and New Mexico, which depend on this important natural water resource.

— The water level in Lake Mead, which feeds Las Vegas, is constantly falling to levels never seen before since the dam was built. This portends ominous consequences for major cities such as Vegas, Phoenix and the Los Angeles area of Southern California.

— The Indus River in Asia is another source of water that is being depleted, leaving fishermen without means of livelihood. For centuries, the Indus has remained the center of civilization in South and Central Asia, including Pakistan, where plants that feed 220 million people require water from it. (Benjamin

 

[Pat]

From Benjamin Fulford's Telegram. I'm not sure how accurate it is but I can't help noticing that this was predicted on the Economist's cover in 2017:

Major rivers around the world suddenly dried up at the same time — no one knows why

Something ominous is happening to the world's water reserves, as large lakes and rivers across the planet have suddenly dried up for unknown reasons. Just at the moment when the globalists proclaimed a global food crisis.

— Several sections of the Mississippi River in the USA had to be closed due to record low water levels. A state of emergency has also been declared on the Nile River in Africa due to water shortages.
The Nile is the main source of water not only for Egypt, but also for Sudan, South Sudan and Ethiopia. It is also, like the Mississippi, a vital economic river that supports both agriculture and fishing.

— The Amazon River in South America is another major source of water that is facing severe drought. Flood waters from the Amazon destroyed crops and flooded entire settlements only to subside and make the region drier than it should be. This remains a disastrous situation for Peru, Colombia and Brazil, which depend on the Amazon for hydration and economic activity.

— In Europe, similar drops in the water level are observed on the Rhine, which, like in the Mississippi, made trade through some sections impossible. Europe is also experiencing a major energy crisis, which is compounded by the fact that due to the Rhine situation in Germany, it is difficult to extract coal as a last attempt to avoid a blackout this cold winter.

— The Yangtze River in China, the third longest in the world, is also drying up like others. This creates serious problems for the developing communist regime, which uses the Yangtze for strategic purposes. It is reported that the current state of the Yangtze is a "record" in terms of damage caused by prolonged drought. It also affects river navigation, forcing several large companies to suspend their operations.

— In the southwest of America, the Colorado River basin is also drying up, which puts at risk states such as California, Nevada, Arizona, Colorado, Utah and New Mexico, which depend on this important natural water resource.

— The water level in Lake Mead, which feeds Las Vegas, is constantly falling to levels never seen before since the dam was built. This portends ominous consequences for major cities such as Vegas, Phoenix and the Los Angeles area of Southern California.

— The Indus River in Asia is another source of water that is being depleted, leaving fishermen without means of livelihood. For centuries, the Indus has remained the center of civilization in South and Central Asia, including Pakistan, where plants that feed 220 million people require water from it. (Benjamin

View attachment 66968

View attachment 66971

Are we about to experience DEATH with pestilence, dried rivers and explosion?

 

[Ben]

Something ominous is happening to the world's water reserves, as large lakes and rivers across the planet have suddenly dried up for unknown reasons.

Well the only two reasons I can see are that the water either evaporated or....

....it went underground! Much more interesting.