lilies
The Living Force
WOW! There are large black areas in the Sun?! First time I've see it. Previous years it was only tiny dark spots, now have become large black areas, WOW!!
The Ice Age Cometh! Forget Global Warming!
- Thread starter Gaby
- Start date
The forecast isn't too bad and these people who sail the boat have experience, though not that many small boats cross this time of the year.
I looked at some web sites that informs about the weather at sea:
Wheather online
Ventusky What I like about this map is also that it shows very well where there is cold at the moment. The contrasts between warm and cold air can be dramatic.
On MarineTraffic: Global Ship Tracking Intelligence | AIS Marine Traffic there are quite a few ships in the Atlantic.
Things are about to change in the coming days.
Dégradation pluvio-orageuse la semaine prochaine : le point ce dimanche
La goutte froide persiste sur la France en ayant tendance à se résorber progressivement. L'air frais persiste dans un contexte assez mou. Cela explique les gelées matinales que nous connaissons dans les secteurs déventés....
www.meteolanguedoc.com
The cold drop persists in France, tending to gradually diminish. The fresh air persists in a rather soft context. This explains the morning frosts that we know in the déventés sectors. The degradation is reduced as expected this morning and tomorrow on the Roussillon with low rainfall. The change of weather is confirmed for the next week with a risk of degradation quite intense. Explanations.
As the depression fades slowly, a vast low-pressure system will slide from the Atlantic to France (see animation below). The transition will be short-lived before the introduction of a flow of South a little softer but especially more humid.
Wednesday will be the transition day. After a still cool morning, the maritime entries will multiply to cover a part of the region. The first rains are expected in the evening and in the night from Wednesday to Thursday.
At the moment, we favor the Languedoc and especially the Cevennes which will be in line of sight of these rains. As explained yesterday, it seems that we were heading for a Cevennes episode.
The situation could remain blocked for several days. Indeed, the episode that should begin between Wednesday and Thursday may persist until Saturday. Thursday and especially Friday will be the most watered days with many rainfall especially between Herault, Gard and the Cevennes. In view of a strong sea wind, the rains may be more heterogeneous on the plains to go hang on the reliefs where they will be abundant.
The models begin to agree (despite normal divergences at this time) on a lasting Cevennes episode between Thursday and Saturday. The Roussillon could also have rain but without consequences. Uncertainties still lie in the precise timing but also in the ability of thunderstorms to develop. Indeed, the instability will not, a priori, be very high. The risk of violent storms is not considered. However, the convective character of the rains will have an important role on the rainfall intensities.
The most plausible scenario reports moderate to punctually strong rainfall over the Cevennes reliefs. On the plains, rainy passages are expected but they can be interspersed with lulls. The first accumulations are 200 to 300 mm on the Cevennes spread over several days, 50 to 100 mm in the interior plains of the Hérault and Gard, rather 30 to 70 mm in approaching the littorals.
This first forecast will certainly be refined regularly in view of the uncertainties mentioned above.
Meanwhile:
Anyone crossing the Atlantic within such a nutshell, especially at this time of the year, is simply foolish and asking for trouble. The great ocean is certainly not something to take lightly in any shape, form or fashion. I think there is a lot to the notion, that if you don't approach natural phenomena like the oceans with the due respect and caution they deserve, you ask for big trouble. Heck, I've already a lot of respect and awe when confronted with relatively small waves at the beach. The ocean is breathtakingly awesome but at the same time breathtakingly dangerous and formidable. Greta and company don't strike me as the most aware and caring people in that respect.
Obsevation of a spike in violance as noted....Cosmic Rays.....🤔
Space Weather for TMRO Space News 11-13-2019
Nov 15, 2019 / 1:24 Tamitha Skov (Space Weather Physicist)
Space Weather for TMRO Space News 11-13-2019
Nov 15, 2019 / 1:24 Tamitha Skov (Space Weather Physicist)
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The Netherlands experienced its coldest Oct 6th this year since measurements began (9.6 degrees Celsius as opposed to 10.1 from 1961), and it's getting colder.
Ouch! I hope people keep warm/wear layers!
When text becomes reality, it's a good day.
www.zerohedge.com
4:25 AM · Nov 22, 2019
Zerohedge
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
www.zerohedge.com
During the late 1700s, the ground froze to a depth of 2 feet according to John Adams. When John Adams set out to travel to Philadelphia, it was bitterly cold and there was a foot or more of snow that covered the landscape that had blanketed Massachusetts from one end of the province to the other. Beneath the snow, after weeks of severe cold, the ground was frozen solid to a depth of two feet. Packed ice in the road made the journey very hazardous.
We saw a warming spike here in the Fifty's *F with osculating pockets of cooler temps throughout the day yesterday. With a good thunderclap with warm rain last night, (during a slight appearance of the Indian summer).
All being related to the broken Jet Stream, obviously related to the Sun.
wattsupwiththat.com
Oppenheimer Ranch Project
Snow Falls Silently & Warmists Deny Science - Super Flares And Cosmic G... https://youtu.be/SIkE16-DwYs via @YouTube
Nov 22, 2019
All being related to the broken Jet Stream, obviously related to the Sun.
Vice Climate Alert: “The Collapse of Civilization May Have Already Begun” | Watts Up With That?
Guest essay by Eric Worrall As the photo above shows, it may already be too late to save our civilization from the horror of global warming induced hot weather and a rising sea level. The Collapse of Civilization May Have Already BegunScientists disagree on the timeline of collapse and whether...
wattsupwiththat.com
Oppenheimer Ranch Project
Snow Falls Silently & Warmists Deny Science - Super Flares And Cosmic G... https://youtu.be/SIkE16-DwYs via @YouTube
Nov 22, 2019
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I decided to follow the boat across to see what would happen. Now that they are pretty close to Portugal it is time to write. Leaving Greta and the climate politics aside, I found the boat crew made skillful use of various pressure systems and dodged a storm passing in front of them while capitalizing on the good winds following it. Sailing today is very different from sailing before advanced weather forecasting and satellite updates were available. Sure, they have seen quite strong winds like 30 knots average, especially in the beginning, and average wave heights up to about 4 meters, but generally both have been lower. The boat they have looks like a catamaran type which should give more stability considering:
The Wiki has:
From Sailing La Vagabonde | A Few Words Behind The Movies this is the present position:
As a side note, at the max of my interest in sailing, I noticed different advertisements coming in. I realized I had joined the armchair sailors, which before I didn't even know existed, that I possibly was the owner of a nice boat and possibly would be interested in applying for a job as a political analyst for the government. Not bad at all, and I learned so much about sailing that I wondered if there was a thread on the forum about this topic, but didn't find anything yet. I'm not yet convinced it is a subject worth the time, but I ought to say that while I have much respect for the sea, and while I actually have lived close to salty water for many years of my life, and consciously have avoided small boats and sailing, I now know, the risks should be approached like all others.
I knew there are armchair sports coaches and political pundits, but who knew sailing was a spectator sport too? Thanks for the funny!
Hundreds Of Flights Canceled, Thousands More Delayed As Winter Storm Moves East
Oppenheimer Ranch Project @Diamondthedave / Dec 2, 2019 / 16:00 / STO
AtmosphericRiver