Wandering Star
The Living Force
It remenber to me "om"
simbol altmost complete.
Sol (Sun) and its phenomena
- Thread starter mabar
- Start date
30? Not 35? Or not yet?
Dark Farside Regions Come with Aurora & Meteors for New Year | Space Weather News 30 December 2023
Meanwhile:
SasaM
Jedi Council Member
This extra-high-energy cosmic ray was detected in May 2021, and the discovery paper published in November 2023, thus almost certainly not related to current or recent events in the Solar system including on our Mother Earth. FWIW.
'Goddess particle': Earth slammed by ultra-powerful cosmic ray, and we have no idea where it came from -- Sott.net
Researchers have detected one of the most powerful cosmic rays ever seen slamming into Earth — but they have no idea what caused it or where it came from. The extremely energetic particle, which has been named after a Japanese goddess, arrived...
www.sott.net
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT DECEMBER 31_2023
There are currently 4 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3530, AR3531, AR3533, AR3534
AR3529 & AR3535 are gone
● Auroral Activity
Aurora Oval Bz: -0.78 nT South
● Current Conditions at 04:17 UTC on December 31th
▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 0)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 427 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 3.03 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 7.17 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.93x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 5.4 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C4 0313 UT Dec31
▪︎ Sunspot number: 48 (SN 93 December 30)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from a coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1-2 2024.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C5 event observed at 05:20 UTC
There are currently 4 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3530, AR3531, AR3533, AR3534
AR3529 & AR3535 are gone
Total number of sunspots has decreased to 48 (21 of these are grouped into 4 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 15% chance M flares and 1% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.
● Auroral Activity
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels (Kp1) for the past 24 hours. On December 30th solar wind speed reached a peak of 451 km/sec (Elevated speed) at 21:45 UTC. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 23:31 UTC
Aurora Oval Bz: -0.78 nT South
● Current Conditions at 04:17 UTC on December 31th
▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 0)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 427 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 3.03 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 7.17 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.93x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 5.4 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C4 0313 UT Dec31
▪︎ Sunspot number: 48 (SN 93 December 30)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from a coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1-2 2024.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
WE END 2023 WITH A CLASS X FLARE
The explosion also caused a solar tsunami. The blast wave can be seen in this animation from SDO:
MAJOR X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Mere hours after emerging over the sun's eastern limb on Dec. 31st, big sunspot AR3536 erupted, producing a major X5-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:
This is the strongest flare of Solar Cycle 25 (so far) and the most powerful eruption the sun has produced since the great storms of Sept. 2017.
Radiation from the flare has caused a deep shortwave radio blackout over the Pacific Ocean: blackout map. Ham radio operators may notice loss of signal at all frequencies below 30 MHz for more than 60 minutes after the flare's peak (2155 UT).
Radiation from the flare has caused a deep shortwave radio blackout over the Pacific Ocean: blackout map. Ham radio operators may notice loss of signal at all frequencies below 30 MHz for more than 60 minutes after the flare's peak (2155 UT).
The explosion also caused a solar tsunami. The blast wave can be seen in this animation from SDO:
Solar tsunamis are closely linked to CMEs. Indeed, newly-arriving images from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) show a CME emerging from the blast site.
Normally we would expect a CME leaving the sun's extreme-eastern limb to have no Earth-directed component. This case might be different. The tsunami curls around the sun's limb toward our planet, suggesting we might be in the strike zone after all.
Normally we would expect a CME leaving the sun's extreme-eastern limb to have no Earth-directed component. This case might be different. The tsunami curls around the sun's limb toward our planet, suggesting we might be in the strike zone after all.
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JANUARY 01_2023
AR3530 is gone
● Auroral Activity
Aurora Oval Bz: -2.82 nT South
● Current Conditions at 04:10 UTC on January 01st
▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 0)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 306 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 4:79 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 4:16 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.93x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 5.4 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: X5 2155 UT Dec31
▪︎ Sunspot number: 55 (SN 48 December 31)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from a coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1-2 2024.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. Two significant events were recorded, the first was an M1 class flare observed at 1912 UTC from the new Region 3536 (N05E75) which caused a minor R1 radio blackout over the mid-Pacific Ocean.
The second occurred a little more than two hours later in the same region which produced an X5 flare, the largest of the 25th cycle. (See previous post)
There are currently 4 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3531, AR3533, AR3534 and new region AR3536The second occurred a little more than two hours later in the same region which produced an X5 flare, the largest of the 25th cycle. (See previous post)
AR3530 is gone
Total number of sunspots has increased to 55 (15 of these are grouped into 4 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 15% chance M flares and 1% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.
AR 3536 had produced a number of C-class flares and now a X-class flare
AR 3536 had produced a number of C-class flares and now a X-class flare
● Auroral Activity
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels (Kp1) for the past 24 hours. On December 31th solar wind speed reached a peak of 481 km/sec (Elevated speed) at 01:23 UTC. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 05:38 UTC
Aurora Oval Bz: -2.82 nT South
● Current Conditions at 04:10 UTC on January 01st
▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 0)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 306 km/sec (Normal speed)
▪︎ density: 4:79 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 4:16 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.93x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 5.4 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: X5 2155 UT Dec31
▪︎ Sunspot number: 55 (SN 48 December 31)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from a coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1-2 2024.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
Antony
Jedi Council Member
On New Year's Eve, the largest solar flare since 2017 occurred. The registration of the record was reported on the website of the Laboratory of Solar Astronomy of the IKI RAS and the ISSF SB RAS.WE END 2023 WITH A CLASS X FLARE
MAJOR X-CLASS SOLAR FLARE: Mere hours after emerging over the sun's eastern limb on Dec. 31st, big sunspot AR3536 erupted, producing a major X5-class solar flare. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) recorded the extreme ultraviolet flash:
This is the strongest flare of Solar Cycle 25 (so far) and the most powerful eruption the sun has produced since the great storms of Sept. 2017.
Radiation from the flare has caused a deep shortwave radio blackout over the Pacific Ocean: blackout map. Ham radio operators may notice loss of signal at all frequencies below 30 MHz for more than 60 minutes after the flare's peak (2155 UT).
View attachment 88772
The explosion also caused a solar tsunami. The blast wave can be seen in this animation from SDO:
Solar tsunamis are closely linked to CMEs. Indeed, newly-arriving images from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) show a CME emerging from the blast site.
Normally we would expect a CME leaving the sun's extreme-eastern limb to have no Earth-directed component. This case might be different. The tsunami curls around the sun's limb toward our planet, suggesting we might be in the strike zone after all.
In the world catalogs, which are maintained according to London time, the outbreak was attributed to 2023, although in most of Russia it was recorded as early as 2024. The explosion occurred in a certain area due to the fact that magnetic and electrical energy accumulated in the corona of the star due to the movement of sunspots.
"This area was on the far side of the Sun yesterday, and only today it appeared in the field of view of the Earth. For this reason, such a powerful explosion was completely unexpected, since it was previously impossible to observe the processes taking place here. It is possible that before reaching the visible side, the region has already produced several large explosions on the reverse side, which remained hidden from terrestrial instruments," the laboratory suggested. If the guess turns out to be correct, then the series of explosions may continue, and the inhabitants of the Earth will see them in the first days of January.
It is noted that the outbreak can be called an "event of exceptional strength", since the power in the current solar cycle exceeds previous records by half. She was previously awarded a score of X5.0 (the previous record, recorded on December 14, 2023, was X2.8).
Scientists stressed that the influence of this phenomenon on our planet is completely excluded, since it happened at a great distance from the Sun-Earth line, on the eastern edge of the star. "The main impact was the streams of high-power hard X-ray radiation that had already come to Earth and were absorbed by the upper layers of the atmosphere. No other impacts are expected, and the previously issued favorable geomagnetic forecast for the entire period of the New Year holidays remains in force," they promised.
Крупнейшую с 2017 года вспышку на Солнце зарегистрировали в новогоднюю ночь
В новогоднюю ночь практически одновременно с боем курантов произошла крупнейшая с 2017 года вспышка на Солнце. О регистрации рекорда сообщили на сайте Лаборатории солнечной астрономии ИКИ РАН и ИСЗФ СО РАН. Там уточнили, что влияние этого явления на Землю полностью исключено.
Here also is a more in-depth article and what it may imply about its Kp levels.
Major X5.0 solar flare erupts from Region 3536 — the strongest flare of Solar Cycle 25
A major X5.0 solar flare erupted from Active Region 3536 at 21:55 UTC on December 31, 2023. The event started at 21:36 and ended at 22:08 UTC. This is now the strongest solar flare of the current…
watchers.news
A Type IV radio emission was associated with the event. Type IV emissions occur in association with major eruptions on the Sun and are typically associated with strong coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar radiation storms.
Additionally, the flare event was associated with a 10cm Radio Burst (tenflare) lasting 21 minutes and with a peak flux of 3 100 pfu. A 10cm radio burst indicates that the electromagnetic burst associated with a solar flare at the 10cm wavelength was double or greater than the initial 10cm radio background. This can be indicative of significant radio noise in association with a solar flare. This noise is generally short-lived but can cause interference for sensitive receivers including radar, GPS, and satellite communications.
The location of this region does not favor Earth-directed CMEs, but this will change in the days ahead as it rotates toward the center of the disk.
This region was named 3514 during the last transit and was responsible for the X2.8 solar flare on December 14 — the strongest solar flare since September 2017 before today’s X5.0.
There is a small possibility that a part of the CME may reach Earth in a couple of days.
Radio frequencies were forecast to be most degraded over the Pacific Ocean at the time of the flare.
In addition to the X-flare, the newly numbered Region 3536 (N05E75, Hax/alpha) produced an M1.0 flare at 19:12 UTC on December 31.
Regions 3533 (N14W78, Bxo/beta) and 3534 (S13E03, Dao/beta) were seen to be in decay while Region 3531 (S20W77, Hsx/alpha) was stable over the past 24 hours.
View attachment 1704091199875.webp
Three prominent filament eruptions were observed during the same period. The first filament eruption occurred in the vicinity of S40E65 at around 06:00 UTC on December 31, the second was near N38W50 at around 09:00 UTC, and the third was located near S52E68 at around 17:00 UTC.
Three CMEs associated with the filament eruptions have been analyzed and determined to be directed off the Sun-Earth line, SWPC forecasters said.
As of this report, LASCO satellite imagery had not been updated to include the X5.0 flare.
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.
Solar activity is expected to be low with M-class flares likely, and a chance for X-class flares through January 3, particularly from new Region 3536.
Periods of active geomagnetic field conditions are expected on January 1 and 2, with quiet and unsettled levels expected on January 3, due to negative polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) influences.
Featured image: X5.0 solar flare on December 31, 2023. Credit: NASA/SDO AIA 304
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JANUARY 02_2024
The second event an M4.6 at 12:25 UTC the flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over South Atlantic Ocean
There are currently 2 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3534, AR3536
AR3531 & AR3533 are gone
● Auroral Activity
Aurora Oval Bz: 3.59 nT North
● Current Conditions at 04:00 UTC on January 02
▪︎ Geospace unsettled (Kp 3)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 413 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 8.32 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 8.86 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.84x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 5.0 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 2249 UT Jan 01
▪︎ Sunspot number: 44 (SN 55 January 01)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from a coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1-2 2024.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. Two significant events were recorded from AR3536 (same region that produced the X5 flare) An M2.3 class flare observed at 08:54 UTC which caused a minor R1 radio blackout over Indian Ocean.
The second event an M4.6 at 12:25 UTC the flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over South Atlantic Ocean
There are currently 2 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3534, AR3536
AR3531 & AR3533 are gone
Total number of sunspots has decreased to 44 (13 of these are grouped into 2 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 60% chance M flares and 25% chance for X flares. All regions have stable magnetic fields.
● Auroral Activity
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels (Kp4) for the past 24 hours. On January 1st solar wind speed reached a peak of 457 km/sec (Elevated speed) at 00:57 UTC. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 20:44 UTC Active Geomagnetic Conditions (Kp4) threshold reached at 22:30 UTC
Aurora Oval Bz: 3.59 nT North
● Current Conditions at 04:00 UTC on January 02
▪︎ Geospace unsettled (Kp 3)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 413 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 8.32 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 8.86 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.84x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 5.0 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 2249 UT Jan 01
▪︎ Sunspot number: 44 (SN 55 January 01)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Solar wind flowing from a coronal hole should reach Earth on Jan 1-2 2024.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
Iceland Eruption likely in days ahead. East Coast EQ activity. TUES 1/2/2024
Lewotobi Lakilaki volcano (Flores, Indonesia): increasing activity sent alert level to Level 3
Lewotobi volcano (Flores, Indonesia): news & activity updates
www.volcanodiscovery.com
The activity of the volcano has been intensifying over the past several days.
A significant flank fissure, about 160 meters long, on the northwestern side of the summit followed the new eruptive period at the volcano on 23 December. New fissures have been widening gradually in the northeast direction. On 1 January, the location of the eruptive activity has shifted and eruptions started to occur from a south-southeast summit fissure.
Earthquakes have been more frequent under the volcano during the last month. Moreover, Real-time Seismic Amplitude Measurement (RSAM) detection continues at elevated levels, including periods of high amplitude tremor.
Thus, a decision has been made to rise the alert level for the volcano from Level II (Waspada) to Level III (Siaga). Due to the alert level rise, the exclusion zone around the main crater extended from 2 to 3 km radius. People are advised to avoid the exclusion zone due to potential hazards of pyroclastic flows with sliding distance of up to 4 km to the north, northwest, south and southwest.
Source: Pusat Vulkanologi dan Mitigasi Bencana Geologi volcano activity update 1 January 2024
Near-constant ash emissions from Lewotobi Lakilaki volcano on 1 January (source: PVMBG)
The scary sound of Earth’s magnetic field
Despite being essential to life on Earth, the magnetic field isn’t something we can actually see in itself, or ever hear. But, remarkably, scientists at the Technical University of Denmark have taken magnetic signals measured by ESA’s Swarm satellite mission and converted them into sound – and...
www.esa.int
Despite being essential to life on Earth, the magnetic field isn’t something we can actually see in itself or ever hear. But, remarkably, scientists at the Technical University of Denmark have taken magnetic signals measured by ESA’s Swarm satellite mission and converted them into sound – and for something that protects us, the result is pretty scary.
The force that protects our planetEarth’s magnetic field is a complex and dynamic bubble that keeps us safe from cosmic radiation and charged particles carried by powerful winds flowing from the Sun. When these particles collide with atoms and molecules – mainly oxygen and nitrogen – in the upper atmosphere, some of the energy in the collisions is transformed into the green-blue light that is typical of the aurora borealis, which can sometimes be seen from high-northern latitudes.
While the aurora borealis offers a visual display of charged particles from the Sun interacting with Earth’s magnetic field, actually being able to hear the magnetic field generated by Earth or its interaction with solar winds is another matter.
Our magnetic field is largely generated by an ocean of superheated, swirling liquid iron that makes up the outer core around 3000 km beneath our feet. Acting as a spinning conductor in a bicycle dynamo, it creates electrical currents, which in turn, generate our continuously changing electromagnetic field.
Launched in 2013, ESA’s trio of Swarm satellites are being used to understand exactly how our magnetic field is generated by measuring precisely the magnetic signals that stem not only from Earth’s core, but also from the mantle, crust and oceans, as well as from the ionosphere and magnetosphere. Swarm is also leading to new insights into weather in space.
Musician and project supporter Klaus Nielsen, from the Technical University of Denmark, explains, “The team used data from ESA’s Swarm satellites, as well as other sources, and used these magnetic signals to manipulate and control a sonic representation of the core field. The project has certainly been a rewarding exercise in bringing art and science together.”
It might sound like the stuff of nightmares, but, remarkably, this audio clip represents the magnetic field generated by Earth’s core and its interaction with a solar storm.
“We gained access to a very interesting sound system consisting of over 30 loudspeakers dug into the ground at the Solbjerg Square in Copenhagen.
“We have set it up so that each speaker represents a different location on Earth and demonstrates how our magnetic field has fluctuated over the last 100 000 years.
“Throughout this week, visitors will be able to hear the amazing rumble of our magnetic field – so if you are in Copenhagen come along and check out this unique opportunity.
“The rumbling of Earth’s magnetic field is accompanied by a representation of a geomagnetic storm that resulted from a solar flare on 3 November 2011, and indeed it sounds pretty scary.”
The intention, of course, is not to frighten people – it is a quirky way of reminding us that the magnetic field exists and although its rumble is a little unnerving, the existence of life on Earth is dependent on it.
The loudspeakers at Solbjerg Square in Copenhagen, Denmark, will broadcast the rumble of Earth’s magnetic field on 24–30 October around 08:00, 13:00 and 19:00.
Bringing Earth’s magnetic rumble to Copenhagen
Bringing Earth’s magnetic rumble to Copenhagen
Despite being essential to life on Earth, the magnetic field isn’t something we can actually see in itself, or ever hear. But, remarkably, scientists at the ...
www.youtube.com
SOLAR CYCLE 25 ACTIVITY REPORT JANUARY 03_2024
There are currently 3 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3534, AR3536 and new region AR3537
● Auroral Activity
Aurora Oval Bz: 2.54 nT North
● Current Conditions at 04:45 UTC on January 03
▪︎ Geospace unsettled (Kp 3)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 406 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 3.45 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 6.7 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.82x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 4.0 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 0330 UT Jan03
▪︎ Sunspot number: 59 (SN 44 January 02)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Earth is inside a stream of solar wind from a large coronal hole.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 1830 UTC from AR3536. The flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over South Pacific Ocean
There are currently 3 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3534, AR3536 and new region AR3537
Total number of sunspots has increased to 59 (19 of these are grouped into 3 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 99% chance for C flares, 60% chance M flares and 25% chance for X flares. Sunspot AR3536 has a 'delta-class' magnetic field that poses a continued threat for strong X-class solar flares.
All sunspots have two magnetic poles, plus (+) and minus (-). They're supposed to be oriented side-by-side, like this:. Instead, the magnetic field of AR3536 is perpendicular to normal:
. This twist may explain why the sunspot is so active. Twisted magnetic fields harbor extra energy for solar flares. In the past 2 days, AR3636 has unleashed four M-class flares and an X5-class flare that ranks as the most powerful explosion of Solar Cycle 25 (so far).
If this strange magnetization persists, more flares may in the offing.
Misinformation is rampant on social media. Not only did they invent that the X5 class flare caused the quake in Japan. Now they are inventing that it will knock out satellites.
● Auroral Activity
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. On January 02 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 454 km/s (Elevated speed) at 1135 UTC Total IMF reached 12 nT at 0207 UTC (Strong impact to Earth's magnetic field)
Aurora Oval Bz: 2.54 nT North
● Current Conditions at 04:45 UTC on January 03
▪︎ Geospace unsettled (Kp 3)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 406 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 3.45 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 6.7 nT
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.82x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 4.0 % (Low)
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C1 0330 UT Jan03
▪︎ Sunspot number: 59 (SN 44 January 02)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• Earth is inside a stream of solar wind from a large coronal hole.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT JANUARY 04_2023
● Auroral Activity
Aurora Oval Bz: 1.6 nT North
● Current Conditions at 04:25 UTC on January 04
▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 2)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 455.4 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 6.92 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 6.34 nT
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M3 0155 UT Jan04 from AR3536 the flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Southeast Asia
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.82x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.6 % (Low)
▪︎ Sunspot number: 63 (SN 59 January 03)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at 1018 UTC from Region 3536 (N06E37).
There are currently 4 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3534, AR3536, AR3537 and new region AR3538
There are currently 4 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3534, AR3536, AR3537 and new region AR3538
Total number of sunspots has increased to 63 (23 of these are grouped into 4 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 95% chance for C flares, 55% chance M flares and 25% chance for X flares.
AR3536 has a 'delta-class' magnetic field that poses a continued threat for strong X-class solar flares.
AR3536 has a 'delta-class' magnetic field that poses a continued threat for strong X-class solar flares.
● Auroral Activity
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. On January 03 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 496 km/s (Elevated speed) at 19:52 UTC Total IMF reached 11 nT at 05:17 UTC (Strong impact to Earth's magnetic field)
Aurora Oval Bz: 1.6 nT North
● Current Conditions at 04:25 UTC on January 04
▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 2)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 455.4 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 6.92 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 6.34 nT
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: M3 0155 UT Jan04 from AR3536 the flare caused a Minor R1 radio blackout over Southeast Asia
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.82x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.6 % (Low)
▪︎ Sunspot number: 63 (SN 59 January 03)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
SOLAR CYCLE ACTIVITY REPORT JANUARY 05_2023
● Auroral Activity
Aurora Oval Bz: -1.93 nT South
● Current Conditions at 03:45 UTC on January 05
▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 2)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 494 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 2.67 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 3.91 nT
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C3 0052 UT Jan05
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.78x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.8 % (Low)
▪︎ Sunspot number: 64 (SN 63 January 04)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
.........
SpaceWeatherlive.com
SpaceWeather.com
Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M3.8 event observed at 0155 UTC from Region 3536 (N06E24, see previous report)
There are currently 4 sunspot regions on the solar disk: AR3534, AR3536, AR3537, AR3538
Total number of sunspots has increased to 64 (24 of these are grouped into 4 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 90% chance for C flares, 40% chance M flares and 15% chance for X flares.
AR3536 has a delta-class magnetic field that poses a threat for strong X-class solar flares while AR3537 and AR3538 have also developed a delta class magnetic field but its threat is low for X-class flares.
Total number of sunspots has increased to 64 (24 of these are grouped into 4 active regions) NOAA forecasts for the next 24h: 90% chance for C flares, 40% chance M flares and 15% chance for X flares.
AR3536 has a delta-class magnetic field that poses a threat for strong X-class solar flares while AR3537 and AR3538 have also developed a delta class magnetic field but its threat is low for X-class flares.
● Auroral Activity
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. On January 03 Solar wind speed reached a peak of 481 km/s (Elevated speed) at 21:38 UTC Total IMF reached 8 nT at 21:38 UTC
Aurora Oval Bz: -1.93 nT South
● Current Conditions at 03:45 UTC on January 05
▪︎ Geospace quiet (Kp 2)
▪ Solar wind speed record: 494 km/sec (Elevated speed)
▪︎ density: 2.67 p/cm³ (low density)
▪︎ Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
Bt: 3.91 nT
▪︎ X-ray Solar Flare: C3 0052 UT Jan05
▪︎ Thermosphere Climate Index
today: 19.78x1010 W Warm
▪︎ Neutron Counts today: - 3.8 % (Low)
▪︎ Sunspot number: 64 (SN 63 January 04)
▪︎ Spotless Days 2023 total: 0 days (0%)
• There are no significant coronal holes on the Earthside of the sun.
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