A sign that things are about to change drastically?

[angelburst29]

New breed of Earthquakes - New Zealand's Earthquakes weakened Earth's Crust
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpress.com/2013/11/26/new-zealand-earthquakes-weakened-earths-crust-new-breed-of-earthquakes/

Canterbury earthquakes produced some of the strongest vertical ground accelerations ever seen in an earthquake. The makeup of this unique dense and thick slab of rock could have implications for other regions around the lower South Island. “There will be few other places in the world where a similar earthquake sequence might occur,” Reyners said. The research, published in Nature Geoscience showed that the strong quakes in Canterbury also could cause widespread cracking and weakening of the earth’s crust – challenging the common assumption that the strength of the crust was constant.

 

[lostinself]

This person has some interesting data, hard to actually compare this with official information as I couldn't find a similar analysis on any other place (if someone know where to get it, please let me know). Although the author goes in the direction of "Global Warming".

_http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/gallery/Quakes/index.htm

I think he took the data from here:

http://www.volcano.si.edu/search_eruption.cfm

It would be interesting to have a plot of most recent activity (last 30 years or so). The possibility to download results seems gone... If i find time, i'll try to data-mine these tables and perhaps draw a plot.

 

[Laura]

Anyone have any idea what this is?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YxzTX0SD6pw&feature=youtu.be

Rare giant spinning ice disc. They happen.

 

[Palinurus]

It's on SotT twice:

http://www.sott.net/article/269273-Amazing-spinning-ice-circle-spotted-in-US-river

http://www.sott.net/article/269244-Giant-spinning-ice-circle-discovered-in-North-Dakotas-Sheyenne-River

 

[Mark7]

Anyone have any idea what this is?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YxzTX0SD6pw&feature=youtu.be

Rare giant spinning ice disc. They happen.

Subsurface sinkhole creating counter-clockwise spinning vortex - just a guess.

 

[Laura]

Anyone have any idea what this is?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YxzTX0SD6pw&feature=youtu.be

Rare giant spinning ice disc. They happen.

Subsurface sinkhole creating counter-clockwise spinning vortex - just a guess.

I've seen debris in slow moving swamp water doing the same thing.

 

[lostinself]

So i've extracted the complete eruptions data from the Smithsonian Institute listings linked in my earlier post. It contains some 10,000 records.

A simple LibreOffice plot showing volcanic activity for the last 60 years:

The source data includes all eruptions but those with a "discredited" status (denoting a false alarm). Non-eruptive releases of a gas has been included. I'm not sure if underwater volcanos are present in this data.

Each pair of columns represents 1 year. "N" (blue) is the total annual number of volcanic events; "VEI" (red) is the sum of volcanic explosivity index values of year's eruptions. Single VEI goes from 0 to 8 and a higher value indicates a more violent erruption.

Based on the data, there's no definite increase of volcanic activity in recent decades, though there is a slight rise between 2000-2010. The activity comes in pulses and now we seem to be in the post-2010 minimum. It seems to me there can be indeed a social factor behind the apparent rise of volcanism over last centuries. Which of course doesn't mean things can't get more violent in the years that come, considering the pulses are probably connected to our cosmic environment...

 

[sacriface]

Nice piece o work, lostinself!

I have no mind for maths and any related stuff, but looking at the actual drop (If I am reading it right) in the last three years, doesn't it even look a little suspicious?

It goes lower than any minimum since 1954, if it is a kind of sinusoid trend, are we thus to expect a larger surge to follow?

Having in mind the heating of the lower layers of ocean waters mentioned in the last Sott radio show + all the countless additional space and earth factors.

It could seem like a storm brewing, here as well..

edit.:
Another thing is that the Smithsonian Institute could be silently warping the data..? Knowing of the pretty shifty role it has played in the sciences it couldn't be out ruled, IMO..

 

[mkrnhr]

thanks lostinself for the link to the database.
Do you know if it is possible to retrieve downloadable data in single ascii files instead of several html pages?

 

[lostinself]

I have no mind for maths and any related stuff, but looking at the actual drop (If I am reading it right) in the last three years, doesn't it even look a little suspicious?

Yeah, it's suspiciously low especially in 2013. On the other hand, the year hasn't ended yet and perhaps they haven't yet put all recent events into the database. The most recent eruption i see is from september 15th. They seem to do some maintenance and the filtering of the results on their webpage currently doesn't work at all. Coincidence?

(I'm talking about the website here: _http://www.volcano.si.edu/search_eruption.cfm)

 

[sacriface]

Coincidence?
(I'm talking about the website here: _http://www.volcano.si.edu/search_eruption.cfm)

certainly a Coincidence. That's what I was talking about..

However regarding the suspiciousness at first it was meant about the actual suspicious drop of activity rather that any sort data cherry-picking. One the second note though, we also have a coincidence, similar to satellites shutting/falling(thus shutting) down, blacking out, revising earthquake magnitudes (always downwards), classifying meteor records data, and so on, ad infinitum.

 

[Mal7]

The most recent eruption i see is from september 15th.

Apart from the most recent eruption in the database being September 15th 2013, I don't think they can have listed all the volcanic eruptions for 2013 from before that date either. For example, if you look at the month of August 2013 only 1 eruption is listed (Kamchatka Peninsula, August 15 12013), compared with 5 for August 2012, 3 for August 2011, 6 for August 2010, 2 for August 2009, 5 for August 2008.

There do seem to have been other eruptions in August 2013 that are not presently listed in the database, e.g. (from an internet search):

10 August 2013: Mount Rokatenda, Indonesia. [edited to add: 6 people were killed in this eruption: _http://sciencythoughts.blogspot.co.nz/2013/08/six-people-killed-by-eruption-on-mount.html]
18 August 2013: Sakurajima, Japan.
20 August 2013: White Island, New Zealand.
21 August 2013: Poas volcano, Costa Rica.
30 August 2013: Veniaminof, Alaska

 

[lostinself]

thanks lostinself for the link to the database.
Do you know if it is possible to retrieve downloadable data in single ascii files instead of several html pages?

It's not currently possible; i had to get those pages parsed. Here's a dump of my MySQL table (CSV, XML, SQL formats):

_http://wikisend.com/download/857022/eruptions.zip

 

[Cosmos]

Have you counted those eruptions yourself? It seems like the search function is not working at the moment, I tried it and it brings up all 10746 results from all the data they have on record, even when you restrict it to a certain time frame:

*** We are reviewing and updating the filtered search options and downloadable results, so both of those functions have been temporarily disabled. Clicking the "Search Eruptions" button below will still return a preview screen of all Holocene eruptions in our database. ***

 

[lostinself]

Apart from the most recent eruption in the database being September 15th 2013, I don't think they can have listed all the volcanic eruptions for 2013 from before that date either. For example, if you look at the month of August 2013 only 1 eruption is listed (Kamchatka Peninsula, August 15 12013), compared with 5 for August 2012, 3 for August 2011, 6 for August 2010, 2 for August 2009, 5 for August 2008.

That doesn't look good :-|. I wonder if there are similar databases available elsewhere.

Have you counted those eruptions yourself? It seems like the search function is not working at the moment, I tried it and it brings up all 10746 results from all the data they have on record, even when you restrict it to a certain time frame:

*** We are reviewing and updating the filtered search options and downloadable results, so both of those functions have been temporarily disabled. Clicking the "Search Eruptions" button below will still return a preview screen of all Holocene eruptions in our database. ***

I got exactly 10746 results. I know the filtering doesn't work and i start to find it a bit suspicious, given the moment.