Perceval said:
spyraal said:
Update: According to latest news, within the next 24 hours we shall witness the division of SYRIZA. At least 25 to 30 of SYRIZA's MPs up to now clearly stated that they will not sign the horrendous agreement. They also stated they don't considered resigning from their seats in the parliament. Instead of that they might form a new independent parliamentary group.
Still, there are more than enough MPs from other "willing" political parties of the old-guard for the agreement to pass through the parliament though. But SYRIZA is loosing it's cohesion every passing minute.
Divide and conquer. I don't doubt that this outcome was anticipated, or at least hoped for, by the bastard brokers in Brussels.
Oh, I think too that this was a definite part of the plan. The harshness of the agreement that was inflicted on Tsirpas was certainly aiming to both humiliate him and provoke this reaction from SYRIZA members, causing a split to their so far unified front.
But today's news have it that 109(!) out of 201 members of SYRIZA's Central Commission (the party's most important and influential organ) are opposing the agreement. They claim it goes against the popular will and mainly against the ideals and principals of a radical Leftist party SYRIZA is supposed to be.
This may sound like a division was successful, and of course it is in a way. Yet as SYRIZA, even from a year ago, was appearing to have a real potential for becoming government, a lot of so-called "leftists" or "socialists" from the failed parties of PASOK and DIMAR ("Democratic Left" in Greek), parties that failed due to their participation in austerity coalition governments during the past years and thus lost most their popular support, migrated to SYRIZA as rats who abandoned their own sinking ships. So Tsipras and SYRIZA (and they received a lot of criticism for that) had accepted all these people inside their ranks. Most of these people represent the school of "EU realists", meaning they support EU and the Euro currency as the only way for Greece. Their presence and influence have "corrupted" SYRIZA's radical ideology from the inside, as quite a few of them were given government positions and even ministries. No wonder Varoufakis could not find the needed support to prepare for a Grexit with all these people having a vote inside the Government Council. Remember here it was the Government Council that voted against Varoufakis' "Plan B" according to what he said.
So, all things considered, and although this may indeed be a "split" in SYRIZA's ranks, this can also be an opportunity for removing all these elements whose presence at the current moment blunts the needed radical edge from SYRIZA. And although these "infiltrators", the leftovers from other pro-austerity failed parties, together with these still faithful to Tsipras or so-called "presidential" supporters still represent a significant percentage of SYRIZA's electoral power, the other more radical part of SYRIZA that actually
wants a Grexit (and which some estimate that it might soon become even a separate new party) can attract and absorb a major part of population that wants a solid and clear response to this agreement: A clear rejection and a return a Greek national currency through a GREXIT.
So, what is now SYRIZA might loose a great part of it's members and support as result of this agreement, but it seems that this can also lead to the formation of a new and determined political party with a clear anti-EU Grexit agenda that could very well gather more popular support than the "old" SYRIZA. Varoufakis and Zoe Kostantopoulou (the remarkable brave woman that is now President of the Parliament) are said to be some of the leading figures that would support and lead such an initiative for a new
truly radical party.
Some members of SYRIZA's Central Commission have even called for a removal of Tsipras from the leadership of the party, and they seem to have -by a small margin- even the needed majority to do that (109 out of 201). One way or the other, SYRIZA in it's current state of division cannot hold and exercise power for much longer. Soon, from anytime the next coming days (depending on inner party developments) or the latest on the coming September, Tsipras will have to go to general elections. He cannot do otherwise. A government needs parliament majority to effectively pass new legislation. And SYRIZA was elected back in January with only 149 MPs (on a total of 300). That is why it is currently in coalition with the right wing party of ANEL ("Independent Greeks") that supported Tsipras up to now with it's own force of 15 MPs. But even this coalition party of ANEL might not vote for this new agreement, as they claim so far.
As a conclusion, things are very difficult for Tsipras. And although the attempted division of SYRIZA has been quite successful, it might also lead to the birth and formation of a new and this time truly radical political formation that has a real potential to enjoy more popular support than Tsipras and SYRIZA ever had, especially after the harsh and humiliating treatment of Greece Tsipras approved. And this is something I doubt the PTB were planning or counting for. Maybe this realization has something to do with the IMF's recent incredible statements about the need to provide a major relief to Greece as it concerns the payments of it's national debt. They may want to de-polarize the current situation that only leads to Tsipras' humiliation and decline, and by extend to the "side-effect" of the the creation of this new and more radical center of gravity in Greek politics I mentioned above...