My condolences of this tragic loss of life's
I believe that most of these comments are from Professional's in the Aviation Industry and may provide some valuable clues not covered in main stream.
Looks like there may be some damage control within the comments-aka possible shills.
If one is interested go to the sight for the rest of the picks. Had trouble loading them.
Ok.......... sorry about that.
The Aviation Herald
_http://avherald.com/h?article=48e9abe4&opt=0
Crash: Metrojet A321 over Sinai on Oct 31st 2015, disappeared from radar in climb over Sinai
By Simon Hradecky, created Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 07:51Z, last updated Saturday,
Oct 31st 2015 19:29Z
A Metrojet (former Kogalym Avia, Kolavia) Airbus A321-200, registration EI-ETJ performing flight 7K-9268 from Sharm el Sheikh (Egypt) to St. Petersburg (Russia) with 217 passengers and 7 crew, was climbing through FL307 out of Sharm el Sheikh over the Sinai Peninsula (Position N30.16 E34.17, 60nm south of Al-Arish) at 04:12Z when the aircraft disappeared from radar. Wreckage of the aircraft was later located in mountaineous terrain about 20nm south of Al-Arish (Sinai, Egypt). No survivors were found.
Egyptian sources were reporting the aircraft was believed crashed, a search for the aircraft in Sinai was ongoing.
Egypt's Prime Minister confirmed the aircraft has crashed. In the evening of Oct 31st 2015 the Prime Minister reported that 129 bodies have been recovered and taken to Cairo.
Egyptian Authorities reported first parts of the wreckage have been located. There is no evidence of hostile/missile activity around the flight path of the aircraft. 50 ambulances have been dispatched to the crash site, any injured would be flown to Cairo with helicopters. The flight data recorder has been recovered.
Reuters quotes an Egyptian Offical involved in the ongoing rescue operation, that the aircraft has broken up in two major parts, a small part being the tail plane caught fire, the other larger part impacted a rock. Bodies still belted to their seats are around the crash site, around 100 bodies have so far been recovered, the rest still inside the wreckage, however, there are also voices heard from inside a part of the wreckage. 50 ambulances have been dispatched to the crash site.
Russia's Rosaviatsia (Civil Aviation Authority) reported the A321 of Kogalym Avia carried 217 passengers and 7 crew.
Sources in Sharm el Sheik reported the captain of the flight reported technical problems and requested to return to Sharm el Sheikh.
A ground observer reported a large number of helicopters are departing their Cairo airbase in the direction of Sinai.
Egyptian media report with reference to an Egyptian government meeting that the crew reported engine (V2533) trouble, subsequently lost control of the aircraft and communication ceased.
Airbus confirmed the loss of EI-ETJ, that disappeared from radar while flying overhead Sinai, with 217 passengers and 7 crew. The aircraft, built in 1997 and powered by IAE V2533 engines, had accumulated approximately 55,772 flight hours in 21,175 flight cycles.
The airline reported the captain of the flight was experienced with more than 12,000 hours total and 3,800 hours on type.
Egypt's Accident Investigation Commission opened an investigation. The chairman stated, that preliminary facts point towards a technical failure.
Russia's Transport Ministry called a video surfacing in the Internet claiming to show the shoot down of 7K-9263 by Islamic State as not credible and fabricated.
The Russian Embassy to Egypt reported, that no survivors have been found at the crash site, all occupants of the aircraft perished.
Egypt's Civil Aviation Authority reported that there was no Mayday Call from the crew, communication with the aircraft was normal until the aircraft disappeared from radar.
Lufthansa and Air France announced they are going to avoid overflying the Sinai until the cause of the crash has been determined. There have been warnings issued by the FAA to American Operators as well as by Germany to German airlines to operate above FL260 while flying over the Sinai.
On Oct 31st 2015 around 19:00Z Eurocontrol's Air Flow Traffic Management (CFMU) issued following statement by NMOC Brussels: "Attention to Aircraft Operators: The point PASOS in LCCC (Cyprus) FIR is not available for flight planning. FPLs filed via this point will be rejected by IFPS. Please re-file via points: LAKTO or RASDA." LAKTO's position is N32.633333 E32.083333 on airway J863 to Port Said, RASDA's position is N33.100000 E30.950000 on airway A16 to BALTIM, both routes west of Sinai avoiding the Sinai.
According to flightplan the aircraft was tracking between waypoints TBA (Egypt: N29.362420 E34.475080) and PASOS (Cyprus FIR, N32.216667 E33.100000) when it disappeared. Eurocontrol's Air Flow Traffic Management (CFMU) issued a note to all operators along the route TBA-PASOS and vice versa shortly after the aircraft disappeared, that due to technical problems all flights will be tactically rerouted via MELDO (N32.033611 E31.077778) until further notice. The notice was removed a couple of minutes later. Airway UL550, connecting PASOS and TBA, remained in use throughout the day.
More impressions from the crash site (Photos: STR/EPA/Picturedesk):
Egypt's Prime Minister at the crash site (Photos: Reuters/Stringer):
Aerial overview of the area at the time of crash, aircraft position over Gulf of Suez viewing north from southern entry into Suez Canal towards Al-Arish and Mediterranean Sea at the top:
Infrared Satellite Image VISSR at 03:00Z (Graphics: AVH/Meteosat):
Map (Graphics: AVH/Google Earth):
comments:
The data transmission ended in high altitude
By JoergAtAvHerald on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:47Z
Barry Sheridan wrote:
> AF447 (I think) was found to have come down like this, could there be some sort of similarity here?
AF447 was in a stall for minutes and all aircraft systems (except the pitot tubes and depending systems like the autopilot) worked until it crashed into the sea.
In this case the data transmission ended much earlier in high altitude. There must be happend something much more severe, before this airplane came down.
inconsistent photos
By elemes on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:40Z
The photo under the title "First impression" shows a site very much different from the newer photos shown above.
@Henry
By 727driver on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:37Z
A plane doesn't lose all 3 hyd sys all of a sudden, does it?
Damage pattern
By AKar on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:33Z
Note the curiously undamaged bulkhead at the nose, the way the vertical stabilizer is cracked with bend and compression but still at its original position, and the rear door forced up from its frame but otherwise at its original position.
All this seem to suggest yet another relatively flat-down Airbus.
Metrojet A321
By Henry on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:33Z
In case of failure of all 3 hydraulic sistem the aircraft is out of control.
Crashed upside down ?
By Fanfwe on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:33Z
Hi,
I'm not an expert, but the first picture looks like the nose of the aircraft.
Based on the location of the static ports, it looks like the part of the nose which is "intact" is the bottom part of it (avionics bay). The top part (cockpit) is completely crushed.
Could the aircraft have crashed upside down ? Or am I interpreting that picture wrong ?
A321 crash in Egypt
By Dan Ethan on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:21Z
Apperantly a low speed crash down from FL307 in climb. Spectrum is broad from pilot error to recover from a malfunction pitfall to pilot suicide /mass murder. Previous examples are; AF-447 A330 Crash (JUN/01/2009), AEROFLOT-593 A310 Crash (MAR/23/1994),recent GERMANWINGS A320 suicide pilot's mass murder,Egyptair 990 (OCT/31/1999),LAM Flight 470 (NOV/29/2013)...
ISIS video
By opa-opa on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:16Z
ISIS has posted videos of a plane blowing up and dropping out of the sky.
Also Egyptian authorities have confirmed there was NO contact between the pilot and ATC about technical difficulties about the crash. Not sure who or why the misinformation was spread earlier.
Evidence of coming down flat
By Barry Sheridan on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 20:12Z
Judging by the photographs the crush damage suggests thte aircraft came down in a level attitude with little obvious forward velocity. The fire damage also appears to confirm this, the aircraft being largely intact on impact. AF447 (I think) was found to have come down like this, could there be some sort of similarity here?
@EASA SIB
By 727driver on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 19:55Z
Thx Olle, there is a similar NOTAM out there.
In the weanwhile AF and LH stopped flying over SINAI at all........
EASA SIB
By Olle on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 19:52Z
There is a SIB( saftey bulletin message ) issued by EASA 2014-11-13
Subject: Egypt Sinai Peninsula Airspace
Applicability: National Aviation Authorities and aircraft operators.
Description: Due to ongoing insurgent activity, operators of civil aircraft should be aware of the risk to flight operations safety in the Northern Sinai Governorate of Egypt deriving from possible use of small arms fire, rocket-propelled grenades, mortars and anti-aircraft fire, including shoulder-fired man-portable air defence systems (MANPADS). The threat is considered to represent a significant risk to aviation overflying this area at or below FL260. The Agency draws the aviation community’s attention to any further information that may indicate the existence of serious risks to the safety of international civil flights. Flight Traffic Data: average daily traffic from the European region: 340 overflights on Sinai peninsula.
My copmany has a no go for FPL over northen Sinai.
By Pitting on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 19:47Z
Look in the third picture of the blue tailfin, it appears to be full of pitting and there is even a bullet-like hole blasted at the lower section. Not an expert but it reminds me of mh17.
photo a/c tail
By MD-11 on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 19:07Z
at the crashsite photo showing the tail, you can see that the damage is from vertical input force. It seems that the speed of the airplane must be nearly by zero. A stall in the air seems to be one aspect of the crash. But what technical problem could cause such a lost of control?
a/c involved in tailstrike
By MD-11 on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 19:01Z
on 16.11.2001 this a/c was involved in accident in Cairo. Tailstrike. The a/c was been operated by MEA, when it suffered a tailstrike while landing a Cairo airport
By Pierre on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 18:55Z
Age of the aircraft have nothing to do with that
I flew well maintained aircraft who where 40 years old (CV 580) and 30 years old DC8. By the way the American military are probably still flying the B707 which were design in the 50 s
Isis is a probability since they got a lot of equipment from the so moderate rebel that the USA support. By the way if you d ont listen only to. and FOXnews you would know that the American lost 50 TONNES of equipment lately and they d ont know where it is. This equipment is certainly not only hand guns and hand grenade
I see why
By Rosta on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 17:58Z
Apparently the airport in Al-Ismaliah is used by the Egyptian army only...
Why request Cairo and not Al-ismaliah
By Rosta on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 17:53Z
First of all my sincere condolences to all affected by this tragedy.
I have a possibility naive question but the closest airport would have been Al-Ismaliah not Cairo - can anyone think of a reason why the pilot would request Cairo airport landing? Maintenance accessibility, size...?
r3m
By Gabriel on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 17:47Z
Not always. When an airplane is shot down sometimes it disintegrates mid-air. Sometimes the damage caused (control lines severed, pilots incapacitated, damaged wing or control surface, etc...) renders the plane uncontrollable and the plane crashes practically in one piece or almost in one piece.
Examples are Korean Air shot down by the Russians, or the DHL (was it DHL?) A-300 in Iraq that managed to land with severe damage in one wing and almost no control (had it crashed it would have done so in one piece).
#old style
By OKANE on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 17:41Z
If 15 years was max for all aircraft, you would probably have half the airlines go out of business. Those not shutting down, would have to curtail service, including most majors.
The science is established that age has nothing to do with airworthiness. (DC3s are still flying). Its the number of cycles, the pressurization and depressurization. In addition, the climate, especially tropical, oceanic conditions. And of course, excellent maintenance. The Aloha Airlines tragedy is one of the best cases to illustrate this.
references
By Jetman on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 17:40Z
We do not use wiki to fly, maintain, train and investigate in this business....we use only certify data and wiki is not one of them at all.
Of course we do not know the A/C conf, alt to star APU and problemS but discussion can be opened ie for easy driver....alpha prot is activated under certain speed to keep AOA condition, and this is not in wiki.
Shoot down sounds unlikely based on information available so far
By r3m on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 16:49Z
I am sure I have not read all the information available on this. However the reports make it sound like the aircraft came down in one area. If you look at aircraft that were shot down or blown up in the past, most of them come down over a very large area.
@ easyFlyer
By Tobias on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 16:38Z
"Wikipedia says that 1549 had a ram-air turbine which deployed (Like the Gimli Glider incident), not the APU being used (Southern Airways DC-9 crash used the APU)"
Well, the official NTSB report does say the APU was turned on by Cpt. Sullenberger.
I love Wik as welli, but it is rarely 100% accurate.
Go to and search for us airways 1549, and get the report. Quite good reading as a matter of fact
We can't trust Daesh
By Nicolas on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 16:37Z
That's very sad, I hope the families will get answers.
Thanks Simon for the
Daesh is good at communication. Its claim is to be treated cautiously. According to official reports it seems they aren't able to reach an airliner at FL300. It's very plausible they just try to take credit for this to make an impression after the confused initial reports.
@old style
By (anonymous) on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 16:32Z
I'm not sure what caused this crash but I'm almost positive it wasn't the age of the airframe. Look at all the accident statistics you want, there is no correlation between aircraft age and decreased safety. The aircraft is less than 20 years old, it could have been easily operated for 20 more.
Stall Protection
By easyFlyer on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 16:19Z
"I believe US Airways flight 5149 that ditched in Hudson river were stall protected because Cpt. Sullenberger turned on the APU thereby keeping the flight envelope protection system in normal law though without engine power.
From the NTSB report, page 98: "The flight envelope protections allowed the captain to pull full aft on the sidestick without the risk of stalling the airplane""
Wikipedia says that 1549 had a ram-air turbine which deployed (Like the Gimli Glider incident), not the APU being used (Southern Airways DC-9 crash used the APU)
IS claim
By Graeme on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 16:05Z
Not only have IS claimed to have shot the aircraft down, but they have published blurred footage of what looks like a swept wing twin engined airliner photographed from the rear and below. An explosion is seen on the left wing after which heavy fire and smoke is seen trailing from the aircraft which appears to fly on for some minutes trailing the heavy smoke. It may have been in a descent. The moment of impact was not shown.
By wolfgang lammer on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 15:57Z
@Piotr747:
"Just small info for all "experts" on this forum. After dual engine failure and with many other failures Airbus is not protected any more from stall... and other exceedances."
A airbus can really drop down from FL > 300, instantly, even all engines down, avionics down, power lost etc.. without trial to restore? Without emergency call..
checking aircraft age...
By Old style on Saturday, Oct 31st 2015 15:51Z
15 years should be age max for airplanes. Safety first, not profit.